Teck Resources (TECK.B) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$30.48B
• Dividend Yield: 0.78%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.33M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 23.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.82
• Revenue Growth: -29.29%
• EPS Growth: 178.41%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 7,200
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): 1.37
• Shares Outstanding: 481,500,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,358,665
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,333,970
• PEG Ratio: 0.09
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.29
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.02
• P/FCF Ratio: -31.90
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$77.95
• Price Target Upside: 25.10% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 10
• EPS Forecast (FY): 3.79
• Revenue Forecast (FY): C$13.01B

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: C$64.00 ▲(2.71% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/22/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/22/26

The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance: a solid, moderate-leverage balance sheet is offset by highly cyclical earnings and uneven recent cash flow (including negative free cash flow in 2025). Technicals further weigh on the score with a weak trend and bearish momentum despite oversold readings. Valuation is only middling, with a relatively high P/E for a cyclical profile and a low dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Balance-sheet strength

Moderate leverage and a substantial equity base provide durable financial flexibility: they lower refinancing and liquidity risk during downturns, support continued capital spending or project development, and allow the company to withstand commodity-driven revenue shocks without immediate solvency stress.

diversified commodity mix

Exposure to both metallurgical coal and multiple base metals gives structural revenue diversification across steel and industrial markets. This multi-commodity profile helps capture different upcycles, reduces single-commodity dependence, and supports more stable long-term cash generation when one commodity underperforms.

Upcycle cash-generation ability

Historically strong operating cash flow in favorable commodity cycles demonstrates the firm's capability to generate significant cash when prices recover. That structural ability underpins capacity for debt reduction, reinvestment in mines and infrastructure, and restoring shareholder returns in sustained upcycles.

Negative Factors

Cyclical earnings volatility

Pronounced cyclicality in revenue and margins creates persistent earnings unpredictability. Over multi-month horizons this undermines forecastable free cash flow, complicates capital allocation and capital markets access, and limits management's ability to deliver consistently high returns across commodity cycles.

Inconsistent cash flow / negative FCF

Recurrent swings to negative free cash flow reduce lasting financial flexibility. When FCF is negative in down cycles, the company faces harder choices on capex, dividends and debt servicing, weakening the resilience of operations and constraining long-term investment and balance-sheet repair strategies.

Concentration & commodity exposure risks

Concentration in cyclical commodity markets (met coal, copper, zinc) leaves earnings highly sensitive to specific commodity swings and steel demand. Structural exposure to a narrow set of end markets increases revenue and margin volatility and heightens long-term operational and pricing risk.

Teck Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Teck Resources Limited engages in exploring for, acquiring, developing, and producing natural resources in Asia, Europe, and North America. It operates through Steelmaking Coal, Copper, Zinc, Energy, and Corporate segments. The company's principal products include steelmaking coal; copper, gold, blended bitumen, lead, silver, molybdenum, zinc, and zinc concentrates; chemicals, fertilizers, and other metals. It also produces indium and germanium. In addition, the company holds interest in Frontier oil sands projects in the Athabasca region of Alberta; and owns interests in exploration and development projects in Australia, Chile, Ireland, Mexico, Peru, Turkey, and the United States. The company was formerly known as Teck Cominco Limited and changed its name to Teck Resources Limited in April 2009. Teck Resources Limited was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Teck makes money mainly by producing and selling mined commodities, with revenue largely determined by sales volumes and prevailing market prices. Key revenue streams include: - Steelmaking (metallurgical) coal sales: Teck produces metallurgical coal and sells it to steel producers. Revenue is generated through physical delivery contracts whose pricing is typically linked to benchmark/index prices and/or negotiated terms, so earnings fluctuate with coal price cycles and shipment volumes. - Base metals production and sales: Teck earns revenue from selling base metals and related products produced from its mining operations. Depending on the operation and product, sales can include concentrates and/or refined metal, with realized prices generally tied to global commodity benchmarks (and adjusted for quality, treatment/refining charges where applicable, and logistics). Additional factors affecting earnings: - By-products and co-products: Mining operations can generate additional payable metals/minerals alongside primary products; these contribute incremental revenue when sold. - Logistics and infrastructure interests: Where Teck has interests in transportation or terminal infrastructure associated with moving products to market, these assets support its ability to sell into export markets and can influence costs and reliability of shipments; specific standalone revenue from such interests is null. - Hedging and pricing mechanisms: Teck may use commodity price risk management and contract pricing mechanisms that can affect realized prices and timing of revenue recognition; specific hedging program details are null. Overall, Teck’s profitability is driven by commodity prices, production performance, operating and transportation costs, foreign exchange movements, and the ability to access export and end-use markets. Specific significant partnerships or customer concentration details are null.

Teck Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet strength is a key support (moderate leverage and sizable equity base), but overall performance is constrained by pronounced cyclicality: revenue and margins swung sharply through 2021–2025 and cash generation has been inconsistent with negative free cash flow again in 2025. KPI insights reinforce a copper-led improvement since mid-2024, but with continued zinc-driven volatility and concentration risk.

Income Statement

Revenue has been volatile—strong growth in 2021–2022, followed by declines in 2023–2024, and a modest rebound in 2025. Profitability shows a similar cycle: very strong margins in 2021–2022, a sharp step-down in 2023, near-breakeven operating performance in 2024, and improved earnings again in 2025. Strength: the business has demonstrated an ability to generate substantial profits in upcycles. Weakness: earnings and margins are highly cyclical with meaningful year-to-year swings.

Balance Sheet

Leverage looks manageable for the period shown, with debt consistently well below equity (debt-to-equity around ~0.38–0.41 in 2021–2024), providing balance-sheet flexibility. Equity remains substantial despite earnings volatility, and total assets are large relative to debt. Strength: moderate leverage and a sizable equity base. Weakness: returns on equity have been inconsistent—strong in 2021–2022, weaker in 2023, and low in 2024—highlighting sensitivity to commodity/price cycles.

Cash Flow

Cash generation has been inconsistent. Operating cash flow was strong in 2021–2023 (and especially 2022) but fell notably in 2024 and again in 2025. Free cash flow is particularly volatile, swinging from strongly positive in 2022 to negative in 2020 and 2023, modestly positive in 2024, and negative again in 2025—suggesting a combination of cyclicality and/or heavy investment periods. Strength: the company can produce significant cash in favorable conditions. Weakness: uneven free cash flow and weaker recent operating cash flow reduce near-term financial flexibility.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.76B	9.06B	15.01B	17.32B	13.48B
Gross Profit	2.35B	1.61B	5.14B	8.57B	5.08B
EBITDA	3.67B	1.92B	5.97B	8.44B	6.37B
Net Income	1.40B	406.00M	2.41B	3.32B	2.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	45.44B	47.04B	56.19B	52.36B	47.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	5.01B	7.59B	744.00M	1.88B	1.43B
Total Debt	9.61B	9.96B	11.09B	10.02B	9.33B
Total Liabilities	19.43B	19.94B	27.90B	25.85B	23.59B
Stockholders Equity	25.10B	26.08B	26.99B	25.47B	23.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-1.02B	155.00M	-1.70B	2.52B	25.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.04B	2.79B	4.08B	7.98B	4.74B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.00B	6.17B	-4.76B	-5.68B	-4.82B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.32B	-2.56B	-469.00M	-1.99B	1.06B

Teck Resources Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 62.31
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TECK.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 62.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.16, below the 50-day MA of 74.45, and above the 200-day MA of 59.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.29 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TECK.B.

Teck Resources Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AFM	73 Outperform	C$1.30B	7.36	49.14%	9.17%	34.89%	67.31%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
TECK.B	55 Neutral	C$30.48B	23.18	5.59%	0.78%	-29.29%	178.41%
AII	52 Neutral	C$5.92B	-15.51	-108.87%	―	7.50%	-508.68%
SKE	50 Neutral	C$4.37B	-20.03	-131.76%	―	―	44.04%
IVN	49 Neutral	C$15.54B	58.54	5.71%	―	―	97.71%
LAC	42 Neutral	C$1.78B	-8.53	―	―	―	-465.27%