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Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc (TSE:SWP)
TSX:SWP

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc (SWP) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SWP

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc

(TSX:SWP)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.50
▼(-0.66% Downside)
Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc shows potential with strong revenue growth and improved profitability, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial performance is hindered by high leverage and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, and valuation is moderate. The company needs to address operational challenges to enhance its financial health.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A significant increase in revenue indicates strong demand and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Improved Profitability
Improved profitability through effective cost management enhances financial stability and supports future investment in growth.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt strengthens the balance sheet, improving financial flexibility and lowering risk, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage can increase financial risk and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Cash Flow Challenges
Weak cash flow performance can strain operations and limit the company's ability to fund new initiatives or manage debt effectively.
Declining Margins
Shrinking margins indicate challenges in maintaining cost efficiency, which can impact profitability and competitive positioning.

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc (SWP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSwiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. (SWP) is a Canadian company specializing in the production of decaffeinated coffee using its proprietary Swiss Water Process, which is an environmentally friendly method that eliminates caffeine while preserving the coffee's original flavor profile. Founded in 1988, the company operates in the specialty coffee sector and caters to a growing market of health-conscious consumers seeking high-quality decaffeinated options. SWP sources its green coffee beans globally and offers its decaffeination services to coffee roasters and retailers, ensuring a sustainable and premium product.
How the Company Makes MoneySwiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. primarily generates revenue through the sale of its decaffeinated coffee products and the provision of decaffeination services to other coffee brands. The company charges fees for its proprietary Swiss Water Process, allowing partners to have their coffee beans decaffeinated while maintaining flavor integrity. Key revenue streams include direct sales to coffee roasters, retail partnerships, and the sale of branded decaffeinated coffee products. Additionally, SWP benefits from long-term partnerships with major coffee brands and retailers, which provide a steady demand for its services and products. The growing consumer preference for decaffeinated options also contributes to increased sales and revenue growth.

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment. The company showcased strong performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability, alongside successful debt reduction. However, ongoing challenges such as market volatility, the impact of Brazilian tariffs, and increased operating expenses posed significant hurdles.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Volume Growth and Strong Demand
Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. reported a 7% volume growth compared to Q3 last year, driven by strong demand for their chemical-free decaffeinated coffee and disciplined operations.
Revenue Increase
Q3 revenue increased by 50% to $62.7 million compared to $41.2 million in Q3 2024, primarily driven by higher volumes and elevated coffee prices.
Improved Profitability
Q3 adjusted EBITDA was up 52% year-over-year, reaching $3.3 million, indicating improved profitability due to effective pricing and cost management.
Debt Reduction and Strong Balance Sheet
The company continued to strengthen its balance sheet by generating cash from operations and making further progress on debt reduction, with total debt repayments of $11.9 million in Q3.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges Due to Market Volatility
The NY'C' futures market remained inverted, causing ongoing short-term EBITDA impacts as hedge positions were rolled forward, leading to timing differences in financial results.
Impact of Brazilian Tariffs
The 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee imports to the U.S. caused dislocation in supply chains and required swift changes in sourcing strategies, impacting operations.
Increased Operating Expenses
Q3 operating expenses increased by 16% year-over-year to $4.2 million, with administrative expenses up 22% due to higher non-cash stock-based compensation.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. reported a 7% increase in volume growth compared to the same period last year, driven by strong demand for their chemical-free decaffeinated coffee and strategic inventory management. The company achieved a 50% rise in revenue to $62.7 million, largely due to higher volumes and elevated coffee prices. Total shipped volumes increased by 7% year-over-year, while specialty volumes surged by 24%. The NY'C' futures market volatility and inversion impacted short-term EBITDA, although adjusted EBITDA rose by 52% to $3.3 million. The company continued to focus on debt reduction, cash generation, and maintaining a robust balance sheet, ending the quarter with $3.9 million in cash and net working capital of $38.8 million. Despite market challenges, Swiss Water maintained strong operational performance and financial flexibility, positioning themselves for continued steady results in the future.

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc exhibits strong revenue growth and improving profitability, but faces challenges with high leverage and negative operating cash flow. While the company is effectively utilizing its equity, the high debt levels and cash flow issues could pose risks. Continued focus on margin improvement and cash flow management will be crucial for sustaining financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc shows a positive revenue growth rate of 12.37% in the TTM, indicating strong sales momentum. However, the gross profit margin has slightly decreased to 14.32% from 15.13% in the previous year, suggesting increased cost pressures. The net profit margin improved to 1.36% from 0.73%, reflecting better control over expenses. Overall, the company demonstrates solid revenue growth with improving profitability, though margins remain a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.25, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. Return on equity improved to 4.86% in the TTM, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands at 26.96%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing. While the company is leveraging its equity effectively, the high debt levels could be a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The operating cash flow is negative at -19.74 million, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow growth rate improved by 20.86%, suggesting some recovery. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.06, indicating that free cash flow covers net income, but the negative operating cash flow coverage ratio highlights potential liquidity issues. Overall, cash flow management remains a concern despite some positive trends.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue241.96M173.13M166.28M176.94M125.08M97.57M
Gross Profit25.95M26.19M18.80M26.09M17.61M15.65M
EBITDA17.51M17.83M16.59M20.42M12.89M9.81M
Net Income2.37M1.27M-528.00K2.39M496.00K2.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets214.60M216.92M200.34M219.04M168.25M139.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.94M8.51M11.09M3.76M4.25M2.75M
Total Debt111.61M117.60M116.58M115.68M88.57M66.40M
Total Liabilities157.52M162.05M144.48M164.13M112.65M86.24M
Stockholders Equity57.08M54.87M55.86M54.91M55.59M52.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.96M1.18M10.63M-27.01M-20.09M-8.16M
Operating Cash Flow-1.64M2.14M30.55M-1.04M-6.38M4.37M
Investing Cash Flow-1.32M-963.00K-19.55M-24.61M-13.72M-12.54M
Financing Cash Flow-8.08M-3.75M-3.67M25.16M21.59M4.17M

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.53
Price Trends
50DMA
4.54
Negative
100DMA
4.44
Positive
200DMA
3.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
53.81
Neutral
STOCH
66.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SWP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.46, below the 50-day MA of 4.54, and above the 200-day MA of 3.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SWP.

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
C$1.37B21.8713.44%2.67%11.25%58.21%
64
Neutral
C$3.09B15.0511.72%4.96%-0.03%497.79%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
C$42.95M18.194.23%46.54%968.67%
58
Neutral
C$409.88M8.828.60%4.82%6.15%-36.76%
45
Neutral
C$298.14M-125.14-95.27%212.16%-46.40%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SWP
Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc
4.59
0.77
20.16%
TSE:DTEA
DAVIDsTEA
0.85
0.39
84.78%
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
14.21
-0.76
-5.08%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
25.07
7.98
46.69%
TSE:JWEL
Jamieson Wellness Inc
32.91
-3.46
-9.51%
TSE:HBFG
Happy Belly Food Group
2.29
1.07
87.70%

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results Amid Market Volatility
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. reported a strong financial performance in the third quarter of 2025, with a 50% increase in revenue and a notable rise in net income compared to the previous year. Despite market volatility and increased tariffs on Brazilian coffee, the company has managed to maintain growth through strategic coffee purchases and favorable foreign exchange movements. The company’s operational discipline and risk management have allowed it to strengthen its balance sheet and continue serving its customers effectively, even as the coffee market faces ongoing challenges.

Financial Disclosures
Swiss Water to Discuss Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. announced a conference call to discuss its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, scheduled for November 7, 2025. The financial results will be released a day prior, on November 6, 2025, after market close, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and potentially impacting its market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025