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Stella-Jones Inc (TSE:SJ)
TSX:SJ

Stella-Jones (SJ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SJ

Stella-Jones

(TSX:SJ)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$96.00
▲(8.23% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance (healthy margins, improved leverage, and strong recent cash flow). Technicals add moderate support with a stable uptrend versus longer-term averages and neutral momentum. Valuation is reasonable at a mid-teens P/E with a modest dividend, while earnings-call commentary is constructive but tempered by pricing pressure and segment volume headwinds.

Stella-Jones (SJ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Stella-Jones Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStella-Jones Inc. produces and markets pressure-treated wood products in Canada and the United States. It offers railway ties and timbers for railroad operators; and wood utility poles for electrical utilities and telecommunication companies. The company also provides residential lumber and accessories to retailers for outdoor applications; industrial products, including bridge and crossing timbers, foundation and marine piling, construction timbers, crane mats, fence posts, and highway guardrail posts; and coal tar-based products. In addition, company manufactures wood preservative and creosote. Stella-Jones Inc. was incorporation in 1992 and is headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyStella-Jones generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of pressure-treated wood products. The company's primary revenue streams are the sale of utility poles and railway ties. Utility poles are integral to the telecommunications and electrical utility sectors, providing a steady demand for replacements and new installations. Railway ties are critical components for railway maintenance and expansion, ensuring a consistent need within the transportation sector. Stella-Jones also benefits from long-term supply agreements with key customers and partners, which provide a stable and predictable revenue base. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic acquisitions to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach.

Stella-Jones Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced view with strong sales growth, strategic acquisitions, and robust cash generation being offset by challenges in railway ties volumes and spot market pricing. The company remains optimistic about its strategic initiatives and long-term growth trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Sales Growth
The company reported a 2% organic sales growth compared to the prior year quarter, driven by higher infrastructure volumes, primarily for utility poles.
EBITDA Increase
EBITDA increased to $171 million with a solid EBITDA margin of 17.8%, led by higher volumes.
Utility Poles Sales Growth
Sales for utility poles increased to $480 million in the third quarter, up from $448 million in the same period in 2024, driven by a 5% volume increase.
Brooks Acquisition
The company announced the closing of the Brooks acquisition, expanding its product offering and presence in the wood distribution crossarm and transmission framing component markets.
Strong Cash Generation
Cash generated from operating activities was $198 million compared to $186 million in Q3 last year, aided by a reduction in inventory.
New ESG Milestones
The company published its latest ESG report, highlighting progress in sustainability efforts, including limited assurance of Scope 1 and Scope 2 greenhouse gas emissions.
Negative Updates
Railway Ties Volume Decline
Railway ties sales were impacted by a Class 1 customer treating their railway ties internally, resulting in a mid-single-digit year-over-year decline expectation.
Spot Market Pricing Pressure
The slower demand in the spot market for utility poles continued to impact spot pricing, which remained below 2024 levels.
Inventory Cost Impact on Residential Lumber
Residential lumber sales increased due to higher pricing, but this was supported by elevated inventory costs, indicating potential margin pressures.
Company Guidance
During Stella-Jones' third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance and metrics reflecting its financial health and strategic initiatives. Organic sales growth was reported at 2%, boosted by higher infrastructure volumes, with total sales up 5% year-over-year due to acquisitions. The utility poles segment saw sales increase to $480 million, a rise from $448 million in 2024. However, spot market pricing pressures led to a 3% decline in utility pole pricing. The railway ties segment showed a slight increase in sales to $211 million, driven by improved pricing, while residential lumber sales rose to $201 million due to higher inventory costs. The company maintained strong EBITDA margins of 17.8%, with an EBITDA of $171 million. Cash flows from operations exceeded $500 million over the past 12 months, supporting strategic investments and shareholder returns, including a new normal course issuer bid for share buybacks. The company also highlighted its ongoing commitment to ESG initiatives, such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Looking ahead, Stella-Jones expects utility pole sales growth in the low-single-digit range for 2025 and is focusing on strategic acquisitions like Brooks to enhance its product offerings and market presence.

Stella-Jones Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stella-Jones exhibits strong financial health characterized by consistent revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and effective cash management. The company maintains a balanced approach to leverage and equity, enhancing its financial stability. Overall, Stella-Jones is in a strong financial position with positive growth trends and efficient operations.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Stella-Jones has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 4.52% increase from 2023 to 2024. The company also maintains healthy profitability margins with a gross profit margin of 20.86% and a net profit margin of 9.19% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 14.50% and 18.24%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is solid at 16.44%, showcasing effective use of equity funds. The equity ratio of 47.31% suggests a well-balanced financing mix between debt and equity.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Stella-Jones reported significant improvement in free cash flow, growing from negative in 2023 to a positive $265 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.28 indicates robust cash generation relative to net income, and the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 reflects efficient capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.50B3.47B3.32B3.06B2.75B2.55B
Gross Profit696.00M724.00M688.00M524.00M456.00M446.00M
EBITDA654.00M633.00M608.00M448.00M400.00M385.00M
Net Income339.00M319.00M326.00M241.00M227.00M210.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.05B4.10B3.71B3.07B2.67B2.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.00M50.00M0.00-167.00M-144.00M-139.00M
Total Debt1.53B1.70B1.61B1.11B878.00M745.00M
Total Liabilities1.98B2.16B2.06B1.52B1.22B1.05B
Stockholders Equity2.07B1.94B1.65B1.56B1.45B1.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow391.00M265.00M-58.00M147.00M187.00M123.00M
Operating Cash Flow513.00M408.00M107.00M255.00M251.00M178.00M
Investing Cash Flow-149.00M-137.00M-258.00M-154.00M-193.00M-54.00M
Financing Cash Flow-295.00M-221.00M151.00M-101.00M-58.00M-124.00M

Stella-Jones Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price88.70
Price Trends
50DMA
85.52
Positive
100DMA
82.17
Positive
200DMA
78.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.98
Negative
RSI
57.59
Neutral
STOCH
78.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 88.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.02, above the 50-day MA of 85.52, and above the 200-day MA of 78.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SJ.

Stella-Jones Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$4.85B14.5317.08%1.43%1.98%7.05%
69
Neutral
C$301.73M19.834.46%7.35%-28.86%-48.20%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
48
Neutral
$7.68B-22.58-3.61%2.21%-6.67%-168.27%
48
Neutral
C$1.67B-3.59-15.06%1.76%34.61%
47
Neutral
C$146.86M-2.30-12.20%2.06%-46.23%
46
Neutral
C$524.31M-1.81-20.72%-3.63%31.61%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SJ
Stella-Jones
88.70
19.08
27.41%
TSE:WFG
West Fraser Timber Co
97.46
-30.06
-23.58%
TSE:ADN
Acadian Timber
16.50
0.22
1.35%
TSE:WEF
Western Forest Prod
13.91
0.86
6.59%
TSE:IFP
Interfor
10.19
-7.87
-43.58%
TSE:CFP
Canfor
14.31
-1.34
-8.56%

Stella-Jones Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Stella-Jones Sets Ambitious Financial Targets for 2026-2028
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

Stella-Jones Inc. has announced its financial objectives and growth plans for 2026-2028, aiming to achieve annual sales of approximately $4 billion by 2028 and maintain an elevated EBITDA margin of 17.5-18.5%. The company plans to shift to an opportunistic share repurchase strategy and introduce an EPS growth target of over 10% to align with its strategic objectives. Supported by a strong balance sheet and recent acquisitions, Stella-Jones is well-positioned for future growth and aims to continue delivering value to its stakeholders. The company’s capital allocation strategy focuses on maintaining investment-grade credit ratings, strategic growth opportunities, and consistent dividend payouts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SJ) stock is a Hold with a C$89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stella-Jones stock, see the TSE:SJ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Stella-Jones Completes Strategic Acquisition of Brooks Manufacturing Co.
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Stella-Jones Inc. has completed the acquisition of Brooks Manufacturing Co., a company that produces treated wood distribution crossarms and transmission framing components. This strategic acquisition, valued at approximately US$140 million, is expected to enhance Stella-Jones’ position as a preferred partner for utilities and aligns with its goal to bolster infrastructure across North America. The acquisition is anticipated to have a positive impact on the company’s operations by expanding its product offerings and strengthening its market presence in the utility sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SJ) stock is a Hold with a C$89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stella-Jones stock, see the TSE:SJ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Stella-Jones Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Stella-Jones reported a strong financial performance in the third quarter of 2025, with sales reaching $958 million, a 5% increase from the previous year, and operating income rising by 4% to $135 million. The company’s strategic acquisition of Brooks, a crossarm manufacturer, aligns with its growth strategy to strengthen its utility sector position and expand its infrastructure offerings. This move is expected to enhance Stella-Jones’ ability to meet rising demand and support long-term growth, highlighting its robust financial health and commitment to investing in future opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SJ) stock is a Hold with a C$89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stella-Jones stock, see the TSE:SJ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Stella-Jones Strengthens Board with Two New Appointments
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

Stella-Jones Inc. has announced the appointment of Ms. Renée Laflamme and Mr. Sean Donnelly to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to ten members. Ms. Laflamme brings over 25 years of experience in the financial services and insurance sectors, while Mr. Donnelly offers extensive expertise in innovation, technology, and manufacturing. Their appointments are expected to enhance the board’s capabilities and align with Stella-Jones’ strategic priorities, supporting the company’s commitment to infrastructure development and sustainable practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SJ) stock is a Hold with a C$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stella-Jones stock, see the TSE:SJ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025