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Rise Gold (TSE:RISE)
:RISE

Rise Gold (RISE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RISE

Rise Gold

(RISE)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.33
▲(9.33% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/21/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (no revenue, recurring losses, and ongoing cash burn with reliance on external funding). Technicals also remain bearish with the price below key moving averages and negative MACD, despite near-oversold momentum indicators. Valuation provides limited support because losses make the negative P/E less informative and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / No debt
Having no reported debt materially reduces refinancing and interest-burden risk for a pre-production miner. This durable balance-sheet characteristic gives management flexibility to pursue permitting and engineering work without near-term debt maturities pressuring liquidity or operations.
Valuable project optionality
Ownership of a historic, potentially restartable gold project provides multiple long-term value pathways. Structural optionality—develop to production, sell, partner, or monetize via royalties/streams—means the asset can generate strategic choices that reduce binary technical risk over a multi‑month horizon.
Improving cash flow trend
Although still negative, the trend toward less negative operating and free cash flow suggests incremental progress in spending discipline or project efficiency. If sustained, this improvement lowers required external funding and narrows financing/dilution needs over the next several months.
Negative Factors
No revenue / Pre-production
Absence of operating revenue is a durable constraint: the business cannot self-fund operations from cash flow and remains exposed to development timeline risk. Until production or a monetization event occurs, value depends on successful permits, capital raises, or third‑party deals.
Persistent cash burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow creates ongoing reliance on external financing. Over a multi-month horizon, sustained cash burn increases execution risk if capital markets tighten, raising the probability of dilution or scaled-back development activity.
Dilution risk & volatile equity base
Volatile equity and prior financing-driven balance-sheet changes signal a pattern of raising capital to fund losses. This structural reliance on equity issuance elevates dilution risk for existing shareholders and can erode per‑share economics if operating cash flow does not turn positive.

Rise Gold (RISE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rise Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRise Gold Corp. explores for mineral properties in the United States. It primarily holds a 100% interest in the Idaho-Maryland Gold Mine property that comprises approximately 175 acres surface land and approximately 2,800 acres of mineral rights located in the Grass Valley of Nevada County in northern California. The company was formerly known as Rise Resources Inc. and changed its name to Rise Gold Corp. in April 2017. Rise Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRise Gold does not have publicly available information indicating recurring operating revenue from producing mines; its business model is primarily project advancement rather than current mineral production. As a result, the company typically funds operations through capital markets activities (e.g., issuing equity and/or other financing) to pay for exploration, engineering studies, environmental work, permitting, and corporate overhead. If the Idaho-Maryland project is successfully permitted and developed, future monetization would generally be expected to come from gold sales from mining operations and/or alternative outcomes such as selling the project, forming a joint venture, or receiving royalties/streaming consideration; however, specific commercial terms, partners, or committed revenue arrangements are not available here and are therefore null.

Rise Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect an early-stage company with no revenue, persistent net losses (TTM net loss about $4.8M), and ongoing cash burn (TTM free cash flow about -$2.46M). The main offset is low leverage (no debt in TTM), but continued funding needs and dilution risk remain key concerns.
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
Across the annual periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), the company reports no revenue, indicating it is still pre-production/early-stage. Losses are persistent and sizeable, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net loss of about $4.8M and annual net losses ranging roughly from $1.8M to $4.5M. Operating losses have widened versus the prior year in the latest TTM period (EBIT more negative), which highlights weak earnings quality and limited near-term self-funding capacity; the main positive is that losses have not been steadily accelerating every year (some variability), but the overall profitability profile remains very weak.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage appears manageable: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows no debt and the latest annual period shows very low debt relative to equity, reducing refinancing and interest-burden risk. However, shareholder returns are deeply negative (return on equity is strongly negative across all periods) due to ongoing net losses, and equity levels have been volatile (notably much higher in TTM than the latest annual snapshot), implying dependence on financing activity and/or balance sheet changes rather than operating performance. Overall, the balance sheet is a relative strength versus the income statement, but still exposed to dilution risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is consistently negative: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every period, including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow of about -$2.46M, which signals ongoing cash burn to sustain operations. The cash burn in the latest TTM period is less negative than the latest annual figure (an improvement), and the provided free cash flow growth is positive, but it is improving from a negative base rather than turning sustainably positive. With continued negative operating cash flow, the company likely remains reliant on external funding until revenue ramps.
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.00-16.67K-23.36K-24.14K-26.11K
EBITDA-5.22M-3.90M0.00
Net Income-4.82M-4.55M-3.51M-3.66M-3.46M-1.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.02M4.44M5.16M5.66M5.69M5.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.87M3.85M243.67K758.27K471.92K773.28K
Total Debt0.00171.43K1.77M1.44M1.36M976.59K
Total Liabilities996.07K1.18M2.78M2.09M2.09M1.62M
Stockholders Equity12.03M3.26M2.38M3.57M3.60M4.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.46M-1.17M-2.21M-2.48M-2.69M-2.85M
Operating Cash Flow-2.46M-1.17M-2.21M-2.48M-2.69M-2.85M
Investing Cash Flow965.75K2.61M0.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow11.29M1.10M1.70M2.76M2.39M248.20K

Rise Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.30
Price Trends
50DMA
0.48
Negative
100DMA
0.38
Negative
200DMA
0.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
32.02
Neutral
STOCH
15.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RISE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.50, below the 50-day MA of 0.48, and below the 200-day MA of 0.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:RISE.

Rise Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
C$81.10M-167.955.12%
46
Neutral
C$63.52M-9.01-177.75%47.21%
44
Neutral
C$33.61M-72.72-24.99%69.15%
43
Neutral
C$43.34M-7.07-73.49%2.75%
43
Neutral
C$61.95M-8.79-78.97%-592.74%
43
Neutral
C$76.55M-5.68-50.93%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RISE
Rise Gold
0.34
0.24
223.81%
TSE:EDG
Endurance Gold
0.46
0.33
240.74%
TSE:GLDC
Cassiar Gold
0.42
0.21
100.00%
TSE:RPX
Red Pine Exploration
0.17
0.05
41.67%
TSE:GPAC
Great Pacific Gold
0.50
0.11
28.21%
TSE:HWG
Headwater Gold
0.44
0.24
120.00%

Rise Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Rise Gold Strikes Strategic Deal to Advance Idaho-Maryland Mine as U.S. Critical-Minerals Asset
Positive
Mar 3, 2026

Rise Gold has entered into an 18-month strategic development partnership with U.S.-based Morgan Hughes Energy to advance the Idaho-Maryland Mine as a domestic gold and critical-minerals project. Morgan Hughes will support development planning, capital formation and alignment with federal critical-minerals and industrial initiatives, with its compensation structured through 18 million milestone-based warrants exercisable at USD $0.40 through 2029.

The deal aims to position the mine as a key U.S. source of gold and tungsten at a time when China dominates global tungsten supply and U.S. domestic production has lapsed since 2015. The partnership proceeds in parallel with Rise Gold’s ongoing legal effort to overturn Nevada County’s denial of permits and vested rights for mine operations, a case now before the California Superior Court with oral arguments set for March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RISE) stock is a Hold with a C$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rise Gold stock, see the TSE:RISE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Rise Gold Faces Court-Ordered Delay in Idaho-Maryland Mine Vested Rights Case
Negative
Jan 9, 2026

Rise Gold Corp. reported that the Superior Court of California for Nevada County has postponed oral arguments on the company’s Writ of Mandamus regarding its claimed vested right to operate the Idaho-Maryland Mine from January 9, 2026, to March 6, 2026, without providing a reason. The writ seeks to overturn the Nevada County Board of Supervisors’ 2023 rejection of Rise Gold’s vested rights petition, a decision the company argues conflicts with a key California Supreme Court precedent on abandonment of mining rights; management expressed frustration at the delay but emphasized that the case could have significant implications for property and mining rights across California.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RISE) stock is a Hold with a C$0.38 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rise Gold stock, see the TSE:RISE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 21, 2026