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Rf Capital Group Inc. (TSE:RCG)
:RCG
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RF Capital Group (RCG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RCG

RF Capital Group

(OTC:RCG)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$21.50
▲(8.97% Upside)
RF Capital Group's stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive corporate developments, such as the acquisition by iA Financial Corporation, which is expected to create synergies and enhance market presence. However, the stock is hindered by a poor valuation due to negative profitability metrics. Financial performance is improving but still faces challenges with profitability and operational efficiency.

RF Capital Group (RCG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

RF Capital Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRF Capital Group (RCG) is a diversified financial services firm that operates in various sectors, including investment banking, asset management, and wealth management. The company offers a range of core products and services, such as financial advisory, capital raising solutions, portfolio management, and investment strategies tailored to meet the needs of individual and institutional clients. RCG is committed to delivering innovative financial solutions and building long-term relationships with its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyRCG generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily including fees for advisory services in investment banking, commissions from asset management, and management fees from its wealth management services. The company charges clients for financial consulting and advisory services during mergers and acquisitions, which is a significant revenue source. Additionally, RCG earns income from performance fees based on the investment returns of managed assets. Strategic partnerships with institutional investors and other financial entities further enhance its revenue potential by expanding its service offerings and client base.

RF Capital Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with notable revenue and asset growth, successful recruitment, and positive employee engagement. However, these were offset by significant declines in interest income and adjusted EBITDA, onetime leadership transition costs, and the departure of advisory teams.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Revenue
For the third quarter of 2024, RF Capital reported $91.9 million in revenue, an increase of 5% compared to the third quarter of 2023.
Growth in Fee Revenue
Fee revenue, the largest component of RF Capital's revenue, increased by 7% compared to Q3 2023, driven by an increase in Assets Under Administration (AUA).
Positive Employee Engagement
For the 7th consecutive year, RF Capital was certified as a great place to work, with 87% of participants expressing pride in their workplace, up from 84% last year.
Strong Recruiting Pipeline
RF Capital's recruiting pipeline stands at over $29 billion, with successful recruitment of several high-profile teams in the last quarter.
Increase in Assets
RF Capital's assets increased by $3.8 billion since the beginning of the year, with an additional $400 million growth in October.
Negative Updates
Decline in Interest Income
Interest income declined by 18% due to lower client cash balances, continuing a trend from the past two quarters.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $12.5 million in Q3 2024, a decrease from $16.9 million in Q3 2023, due to higher operating expenses.
Two Team Departures
Two advisory teams with assets under management of approximately $456 million departed during the quarter.
Onetime Leadership Transition Costs
RF Capital incurred onetime costs related to leadership transitions, impacting operating expenses and resulting in a decrease in cash flow available for growth.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2024 earnings call for RF Capital, several key metrics and future guidance were highlighted. The company's assets under management increased by $3.8 billion since the start of the year, with an additional $400 million growth in October alone. Fee-based revenues reached $204.5 million for the nine months ending September 30, 2024, marking a 6% increase compared to the same period last year. However, adjusted EBITDA showed a decline, recording $41.1 million for the nine-month period, down 9% from the previous year. The adjusted net income stood at $6.5 million, up by $2.9 million year-over-year. The recruiting pipeline was robust, with assets over $29 billion in view. Looking ahead, the company expects AUA to align with equity market returns and recruiting activity, while interest revenue is projected to decline with lower benchmark rates. Meanwhile, operating expenses are expected to remain under control, with cash flow primarily directed towards expanding the advisor network.

RF Capital Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RF Capital Group has shown strong revenue growth and improved margins, indicating a positive turnaround. Profitability remains a challenge with a low net profit margin and zero EBIT margin, but cash flow has significantly improved, reflecting effective cash management.
Income Statement
72
Positive
RF Capital Group has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory with a 6.52% increase from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin improved from 50.21% in 2023 to 57.69% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin turned positive at 0.15% in 2024 from a negative 3.43% in 2023, showcasing a turnaround in profitability. However, the EBIT margin was 0%, reflecting challenges in achieving operational efficiency, and the EBITDA margin slightly declined to 15.52% from 14.60% in 2023.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49, demonstrating moderate leverage. Return on equity improved but remained low at 0.17%, indicating limited profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio decreased to 22.42% from 23.96% in 2023, suggesting a slight increase in leverage. Overall, the balance sheet indicates moderate financial risk with room for improvement in equity utilization.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
RF Capital Group showed a strong recovery in free cash flow from negative $273.68 million in 2023 to positive $20.91 million in 2024, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 41.82, reflecting effective conversion of revenue into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 36.82 highlights efficient cash flow management, though the historical volatility in cash flow remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue377.41M369.33M346.75M353.97M321.79M80.53M
Gross Profit211.52M213.09M174.07M204.22M179.18M56.81M
EBITDA48.88M57.34M50.62M53.02M22.64M53.06M
Net Income-7.24M568.00K-11.89M-4.80M-20.15M28.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.38B1.46B1.38B1.70B2.22B2.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments86.52M90.15M80.83M367.85M518.10M556.25M
Total Debt129.52M160.36M170.60M142.95M117.37M137.66M
Total Liabilities1.06B1.13B1.05B1.35B1.86B1.74B
Stockholders Equity318.63M326.98M330.54M346.92M354.89M379.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.98M20.91M-273.68M-136.44M-23.54M3.04M
Operating Cash Flow41.34M23.75M-268.50M-107.40M-14.21M5.38M
Investing Cash Flow-8.84M-2.85M-5.19M-29.04M-9.34M83.89M
Financing Cash Flow-13.00M-13.18M-13.34M-13.80M-14.64M-50.00M

RF Capital Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.73
Price Trends
50DMA
12.16
Positive
100DMA
10.49
Positive
200DMA
9.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.53
Positive
RSI
85.60
Negative
STOCH
64.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RCG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.80, above the 50-day MA of 12.16, and above the 200-day MA of 9.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 85.60 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RCG.

RF Capital Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$121.33M37.9524.51%1.63%21.95%76.74%
71
Outperform
C$285.84M-2.17%6.40%-90.40%
64
Neutral
$11.40M3.1727.26%
62
Neutral
C$15.64B6.6413.72%5.97%22.30%-10.12%
61
Neutral
C$177.19M4.1626.91%350.79%3577.03%
58
Neutral
C$289.59M0.07%23.63%95.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RCG
RF Capital Group
19.72
11.89
151.85%
TSE:ELC
Elysee Development
0.41
0.08
24.24%
TSE:AIM
Aimia Inc.
3.17
0.51
19.17%
TSE:LPC
Lorne Park Capital
2.22
0.80
56.34%
TSE:STCK
Stack Capital Group
13.20
3.00
29.41%

RF Capital Group Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
RF Capital Group Reports Q2 2025 Results and Announces Acquisition Agreement
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

RF Capital Group reported a 2% decrease in revenue for Q2 2025 compared to the previous year, primarily due to a decline in non-commissionable revenue, including a significant drop in interest income affected by lower Canadian interest rates. Despite this, the company’s AUA increased by 9% to $40.4 billion, driven by strong equity markets and advisor recruitment. The company also announced a definitive agreement for acquisition by iA Financial Corporation, which is expected to impact its strategic direction and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RCG) stock is a Hold with a C$13.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RF Capital Group stock, see the TSE:RCG Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
iA Financial Corporation Acquires RF Capital Group to Boost Wealth Management Presence
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

iA Financial Corporation has announced its acquisition of RF Capital Group Inc. for $597 million, a strategic move to strengthen its position in the Canadian independent wealth management sector. This acquisition will expand iA’s national footprint and enhance its presence in the high-net-worth segment, adding over $40 billion in assets under administration. The transaction is expected to be neutral to core earnings in the first year and accretive to core EPS by at least $0.15 in the second year. The deal will unlock synergy opportunities across technology, operations, and products, while maintaining RF Capital’s independent operations under the Richardson Wealth brand. This move is anticipated to create scale advantages and accelerate growth, benefiting both clients and advisors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RCG) stock is a Hold with a C$13.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RF Capital Group stock, see the TSE:RCG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025