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Madison Pacific Cl B (TSE:MPC)
TSX:MPC
Canadian Market

Madison Pacific Cl B (MPC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MPC

Madison Pacific Cl B

(TSX:MPC)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
C$5.00
▼(-4.03% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is primarily constrained by uneven financial quality (large profitability swings and limited cash conversion) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partly offset by a reasonable P/E and a very high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Steady revenue growth
Consistent top-line growth indicates durable demand for the company’s real estate income streams and supports occupancy and lease renewals. Over a multi-quarter horizon, steady revenue reduces reliance on one-off gains and underpins predictable rental cash flows for operations and distributions.
Consistent positive operating & free cash flow
Repeated positive operating and free cash flow provides a durable internal funding source for maintenance, selective acquisitions, and dividends. Even with volatility, the ability to generate cash from operations increases resilience to external shocks and supports ongoing capital allocation.
Manageable leverage with stable equity
Debt levels are moderate relative to equity, providing financial flexibility while preserving leverage benefits typical of real estate firms. Stable equity and historically positive ROE in most years give a long-term buffer against cyclical dips and support credit access for refinancing or opportunistic growth.
Negative Factors
Volatile profitability including large 2024 loss
Sharp swings in reported profits, driven by large non-recurring or fair-value items, undermine predictability of distributable earnings and capital planning. Such volatility complicates forecasting, stresses stakeholder confidence, and raises the risk that high margins may not persist across business cycles.
Weak cash conversion relative to net income
Low operating cash flow-to-net-income ratios suggest earnings include significant non-cash or timing items. Over time, weak cash conversion can limit the company’s ability to sustainably fund dividends, capex, or debt service despite headline profitability, increasing funding and liquidity risk.
Trend of rising debt into 2025
An upward debt trend increases interest and refinancing exposure, reducing financial flexibility. Coupled with earnings volatility and modest cash conversion, higher leverage raises the risk of covenant pressure or constrained capital allocation during downturns, weakening long-term resilience.

Madison Pacific Cl B (MPC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Madison Pacific Cl B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMadison Pacific Properties Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, and manages office, industrial, commercial, retail, and multi-family rental real estate properties in Metro Vancouver region, British Columbia, Alberta, and Ontario. Its property portfolio comprises interests in 1,655,820 square feet of net rentable area of industrial properties; 126,990 square feet of net rentable area of retail/highway commercial properties; and 116,689 square feet of net rentable area of office properties. The company also provides property management services, including tenant services and relationships, building operations, leasing, lease administration, property accounting and reporting, and project management. In addition, it holds interest in undeveloped residential lands in Mission, British Columbia. The company was formerly known as Princeton Mining Corporation and changed its name to Madison Pacific Properties Inc. in April 1998. Madison Pacific Properties Inc. was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company primarily makes money through real estate-related income and gains. Key revenue sources typically include rental and leasing income from tenants, recoveries and reimbursements (e.g., property operating costs billed back to tenants where applicable), and property management-related fees if such services are provided internally or to third parties. Additional earnings can come from net proceeds on property dispositions (capital gains realized when properties are sold above their carrying value) and, depending on its financing structure, from interest income on cash balances or other investments. Specific breakdowns of revenue streams, material property types/geographies, tenant concentration, and any significant partnerships or joint ventures are null.

Madison Pacific Cl B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth and consistently positive operating/free cash flow support the score, but large year-to-year profit swings (including a major loss in 2024) and weak cash conversion versus net income reduce confidence in earnings durability. Leverage appears manageable, though debt has been rising into 2025.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily over time, with a sharp step-up in 2025 (+34.6% annual). Profitability metrics look very strong in most years, but results have been volatile—most notably a large loss in 2024 (net margin about -99%), followed by a return to solid profitability in 2025 (net margin about 57%). Margins and earnings appear influenced by sizable non-recurring or fair-value type swings, which reduces confidence in the durability of reported profits.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is moderately leveraged for the sector, with debt-to-equity generally in the ~0.67–0.86 range and total debt rising into 2025. Equity has been relatively stable, and returns on equity are positive in most years but inconsistent (including a negative year in 2024). Overall, financial leverage looks manageable, but the combination of rising debt and earnings volatility increases risk.
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
Operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently positive, which is a key strength, and free cash flow rebounded strongly in 2025. However, cash generation is modest relative to the income statement in profitable years (operating cash flow is only ~0.08–0.24x net income across the period provided), suggesting earnings may not consistently translate into cash. Free cash flow also shows volatility (including a decline in 2023), which tempers the overall quality score.
BreakdownDec 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.82M44.49M40.47M37.39M32.79M
Gross Profit29.59M31.45M27.50M26.20M23.39M
EBITDA55.90M25.97M31.26M39.18M24.96M
Net Income26.15M-44.13M18.62M63.30M50.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets841.82M795.45M853.35M842.15M741.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.68M14.63M45.16M41.96M42.25M
Total Debt349.41M302.91M308.78M310.46M280.05M
Total Liabilities418.66M371.73M377.78M379.04M342.19M
Stockholders Equity406.47M411.95M462.69M450.31M388.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.85M14.68M4.63M9.32M8.10M
Operating Cash Flow14.85M14.68M5.84M10.89M9.55M
Investing Cash Flow-15.43M3.62M11.27M-32.14M-22.79M
Financing Cash Flow855.00K-12.62M-13.91M20.96M-15.96M

Madison Pacific Cl B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.21
Price Trends
50DMA
5.05
Negative
100DMA
5.11
Negative
200DMA
5.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
38.21
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MPC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.87, above the 50-day MA of 5.05, and above the 200-day MA of 5.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MPC.

Madison Pacific Cl B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
C$34.78M7.074.41%2.31%2.03%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
C$129.83M4.799.18%
58
Neutral
C$278.54M12.123.93%8.35%5.67%
53
Neutral
C$130.97M17.25-8.54%10.31%58.15%-235.04%
51
Neutral
C$118.83M-0.59-28.36%-33.25%90.14%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MPC
Madison Pacific Cl B
4.75
0.27
6.00%
TSE:IEI
Imperial Equities
3.68
-0.01
-0.30%
TSE:PKT
Parkit Enterprise
0.61
0.20
48.78%
TSE:BRE
Bridgemarq Real Estate Services
13.81
1.40
11.31%
TSE:IVQ
Invesque
0.13
-0.02
-13.33%
TSE:TRBE
Tribe Property Technologies
0.24
-0.24
-50.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026