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Leef Brands (TSE:LEEF)
:LEEF

Leef Brands (LEEF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:LEEF

Leef Brands

(LEEF)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.23
▼(-17.86% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/14/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—deep losses, negative operating cash flow, and negative equity—indicating elevated financial risk. Technicals are comparatively better with positive momentum and price above key moving averages, but near-overbought signals limit upside confidence. Valuation remains unattractive given the negative P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Manufacturing & distribution model
A vertically focused manufacturing and distribution model in regulated markets provides durable control over product quality, cost structure and shelf access. That setup helps capture manufacturing margin and supports scalable revenue growth if distribution relationships expand over the coming months.
Revenue growth and gross margin
Consistent TTM revenue growth combined with a mid-20s gross margin indicates product demand and the ability to cover direct costs. Over a 2–6 month horizon this underpins potential operational leverage if SG&A and production efficiencies are improved, enabling path to narrower losses.
Positive FCF-to-net-income ratio
A positive free cash flow to net income ratio signals the company can convert reported losses into cash, implying working-capital or non-cash charge dynamics that help liquidity. This cash conversion ability provides a more durable runway than accounting losses alone over several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative stockholders' equity
Negative equity is a structural balance-sheet weakness that restricts financing options, increases dilution risk, and can trigger covenant issues. It materially limits the firm's ability to invest, acquire capital cheaply or withstand shocks over the next several months unless repaired.
Negative operating cash flow
Sustained negative operating cash flow and sharply falling free cash flow undermine liquidity and force reliance on external financing or asset sales. This reduces strategic flexibility and makes it hard to fund growth or absorb margin pressure over a 2–6 month timeframe.
Deep operating losses
Very large negative net and EBIT margins show the core business is not currently profitable and is consuming capital. Without structural cost reduction or pricing improvements, these losses will continue to erode liquidity and equity, making recovery difficult in the medium term.

Leef Brands (LEEF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Leef Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLeef Brands (LEEF) is a consumer-focused company specializing in innovative products within the cannabis industry. The company operates in sectors such as health and wellness, personal care, and lifestyle products, offering a diverse range of core products including CBD-infused consumables, topicals, and wellness supplements. With a commitment to quality and sustainability, Leef Brands aims to enhance the everyday lives of its customers through effective and reliable cannabis-based solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyLeef Brands primarily makes money by selling cannabis products it manufactures into regulated cannabis markets. Revenue is generated through wholesale distribution of its packaged products to licensed dispensaries/retailers and other permitted cannabis operators, and, where applicable, through direct-to-consumer sales via company-operated retail (if and where the company is licensed to do so). The company’s earnings are influenced by product mix (e.g., higher-margin manufactured/processed products versus lower-margin bulk inputs), its ability to scale manufacturing and distribution, prevailing state/provincial regulatory and tax regimes, wholesale pricing dynamics, and access to retail shelf space via distribution relationships. Specific details on named brands, exact revenue breakdown by channel, or material partnerships are null.

Leef Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate material weakness: strong negative profitability (net margin -80.72%, EBIT margin -84.32%), negative operating cash flow and declining free cash flow (-37.14% TTM), and significant balance-sheet stress with negative stockholders’ equity.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Leef Brands shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has a positive revenue growth rate of 5.25% in the TTM, indicating some growth momentum. However, profitability metrics such as the net profit margin (-80.72%) and EBIT margin (-84.32%) are significantly negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges and inefficiencies. The gross profit margin is moderate at 27.47%, suggesting some ability to cover direct costs, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet of Leef Brands highlights significant financial instability. The company has negative stockholders' equity, leading to an undefined debt-to-equity ratio, which is a major red flag. The return on equity is also negative, indicating that the company is not generating returns for its shareholders. The equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, further emphasizing the financial distress.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Leef Brands' cash flow statement reveals some concerning trends. The operating cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow has decreased by 37.14% in the TTM, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 2.95, suggesting that despite losses, the company is managing to generate some cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.37M30.75M28.50M30.61M27.00M7.85M
Gross Profit9.92M7.62M8.94M10.02M9.55M2.16M
EBITDA-11.33M-17.43M-14.26M-33.41M-18.89M
Net Income-20.74M-26.13M-24.62M-34.97M-28.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.46M41.27M42.98M44.00M61.93M47.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.92M887.89K2.73M6.41M3.31M1.45M
Total Debt24.17M24.14M23.15M20.38M10.91M1.33M
Total Liabilities57.68M54.35M55.41M43.15M34.19M10.13M
Stockholders Equity-16.22M-13.08M-12.43M-2.80M23.94M36.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.67M-7.43M-7.32M-7.42M-6.44M-2.09M
Operating Cash Flow-2.65M-4.01M-1.05M187.82K-6.32M-710.62K
Investing Cash Flow-1.61M-3.01M-6.27M-7.28M2.23M-1.97M
Financing Cash Flow4.02M4.76M3.63M10.38M49.69K2.56M

Leef Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.28
Price Trends
50DMA
0.18
Positive
100DMA
0.22
Positive
200DMA
0.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
69.43
Neutral
STOCH
88.39
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LEEF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.19, above the 50-day MA of 0.18, and above the 200-day MA of 0.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:LEEF.

Leef Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
C$137.10M-1.15-119.94%-4.23%37.33%
47
Neutral
C$131.79M-2.1488.51%3.17%-24.07%
46
Neutral
C$60.62M-3.62163.84%
42
Neutral
C$69.95M-0.45-90.71%2.19%-91.41%
40
Neutral
C$18.10M-0.080.63%-31.86%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LEEF
Leef Brands
0.24
0.03
14.63%
TSE:JUSH
Jushi Holdings
0.67
0.27
67.50%
TSE:CWEB
Charlotte's Web Holdings
0.86
0.73
537.04%
TSE:AYR.A
Ayr Wellness
0.16
-0.08
-35.42%
TSE:PLTH
Planet 13 Holdings
0.22
-0.24
-52.75%

Leef Brands Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
LEEF Brands Secures US$4.5 Million to Expand Flagship Cannabis Farm and Adds Industry Veteran to Board
Positive
Mar 13, 2026

LEEF Brands has secured an initial US$4.5 million tranche of up to US$8 million in non-brokered private placement financing led by Mindset Capital, issuing common and preferred shares to fund the expansion of its Salisbury Canyon Ranch cultivation facility in California. The capital is intended to scale the ranch to its full 180-acre permit, boosting internal low-cost biomass supply to improve margins and product consistency over time, while adding cannabis industry veteran Jamie Mendola to the board to strengthen strategic execution and growth planning.

The financing structure includes units priced at CAD $0.25 with attached warrants and preferred shares carrying a 15% annual dividend, with the company targeting completion of the raise within about 45 days. Expanded production at Salisbury Canyon Ranch is expected to position LEEF as a competitive low-cost producer of clean cannabis inputs, potentially enhancing its role in the cannabis supply chain as regulatory reforms evolve and demand for high-quality concentrates grows.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LEEF) stock is a Hold with a C$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Leef Brands stock, see the TSE:LEEF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026