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Interfor Corporation (TSE:IFP)
TSX:IFP

Interfor (IFP) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IFP

Interfor

(TSX:IFP)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$10.00
▼(-1.86% Downside)
Interfor's overall stock score reflects significant financial and operational challenges, with declining revenues and profitability being the most impactful factors. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. The earnings call further highlighted strategic challenges, contributing to a low overall score.
Positive Factors
Product and Operational Diversification
Interfor's mix of dimensional lumber, engineered and treated products across sawmills and remanufacturing provides durable revenue diversification. Value‑added products typically command better margins and reduce exposure to commodity lumber cycles, supporting more stable long-term earnings.
Scale and Geographic Revenue Diversification
Multiple mill footprints and export channels create economies of scale and broaden demand sources. Geographic diversification lowers dependence on any single housing market cycle, improving resilience to regional construction slowdowns and enabling steadier utilization and margin retention over time.
Strengthened Liquidity and Financial Flexibility
The $144M equity raise materially bolstered liquidity and reduced near-term solvency risk, lowering net leverage to 35.2% of invested capital. Stronger liquidity supports disciplined capital allocation, weathering cyclical downturns, and funding operational adjustments without excessive debt reliance.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline and Negative Margins
Sustained revenue contraction with negative margins signals structural demand or pricing issues and operational inefficiencies. Persistent losses erode equity and limit reinvestment capacity, making it harder to restore competitive positioning or fund margin-enhancing initiatives over the medium term.
Material Free Cash Flow Weakness
A 71% fall in free cash flow materially reduces the company's ability to self-fund capital expenditures, service obligations, or return capital. Weak FCF constrains strategic investments and increases reliance on external financing, heightening vulnerability during prolonged cyclical downturns.
Increased U.S. Duties on Canadian Lumber
A regulatory jump to >35% duties is a structural headwind that raises landed costs and erodes competitiveness in the U.S. market for a meaningful share of shipments. This reduces long-term margin potential and may force enduring shifts in sourcing, pricing, or market allocation strategies.

Interfor (IFP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Interfor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInterfor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells wood products in Canada, the United States, Japan, China, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers lumber products for decking, fascia and trims, framings, furniture, industrial packaging, Japan Zairai, millworks, paneling, sidings, trusses, and windows and doors. It also provides logs, wood chips, and other residuals. The company was formerly known as International Forest Products Limited and changed its name to Interfor Corporation in May 2014. Interfor Corporation was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Burnaby, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyInterfor generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of lumber and related wood products. The company's main revenue streams include the sale of dimensional lumber to wholesalers, retailers, and construction companies, as well as specialty products that cater to specific market needs. Interfor benefits from economies of scale, operating multiple sawmills to maximize production efficiency and reduce costs. Additionally, the company engages in exporting its products to international markets, which further diversifies its revenue sources. Significant partnerships with suppliers and distributors enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings. Factors such as timber prices, housing market dynamics, and construction industry trends also play a crucial role in influencing Interfor's revenue performance.

Interfor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted Interfor's strategic financial management and cost discipline but was overshadowed by significant challenges, including increased U.S. duties, substantial lumber price weakness, and production curtailments leading to an EBITDA loss.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Equity Raise and Financial Flexibility
Interfor completed a bought deal equity offering generating $144 million of gross proceeds, increasing financial flexibility with financial leverage at 35.2% and available liquidity of $386 million.
Cost Discipline and Top Quartile EBITDA Margins
Interfor maintained top quartile EBITDA margins and focused on cost discipline, optimizing their portfolio for operations that support industry-leading margins.
Negative Updates
Significant Lumber Price Weakness
Interfor experienced significant lumber price weakness, particularly in Southern Yellow Pine, with a benchmark composite average price fall of nearly 20% quarter-over-quarter.
Increased U.S. Duties on Canadian Lumber
The U.S. increased the combined rate of antidumping and countervailing duties on Canadian lumber shipments from 14.4% to over 35%, impacting about 25% of Interfor’s total lumber shipments.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Interfor reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $36 million, excluding noncash duty-related adjustments, with a total revenue drop of 12% quarter-over-quarter.
Production Curtailments and Revenue Decline
Interfor announced reductions of approximately 250 million board feet of lumber for Q4, representing about 26% compared to Q2 volumes, contributing to a 12% revenue drop.
Company Guidance
During the Interfor analyst conference call for Q3 of Fiscal Year 2025, the company provided guidance on several key metrics amidst a challenging market environment. The company announced a reduction of approximately 250 million board feet of lumber for Q4, representing about 26% compared to Q2 volumes, as a response to the persistently weak price environment caused by economic uncertainty and housing affordability concerns. Interfor reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $36 million, excluding non-cash duty-related adjustments, on total revenue of $689 million, reflecting a 12% quarter-over-quarter revenue drop. This was driven by a 6% increase in the volume of lumber shipped, a 10% decrease in the average realized lumber price, particularly in Southern Yellow Pine, and slightly weaker U.S. dollar. Production costs per unit of lumber increased by 2% quarter-over-quarter. The company also noted that the combined antidumping and countervailing duties imposed on lumber shipments from Canada rose from 14.4% to over 35%, impacting around 25% of Interfor's total lumber shipments. Despite these challenges, Interfor has strengthened its balance sheet with a recent equity raise generating $144 million of gross proceeds, resulting in financial leverage of 35.2% as measured by net debt to invested capital, and available liquidity of $386 million by the end of Q3. Looking ahead, Interfor anticipates improvements in economic indicators starting in 2026, with continued upward trends in 2027, and remains committed to aligning production with market realities in a disciplined and proactive way.

Interfor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Interfor faces challenges with declining profitability and increasing leverage, as seen in the income statement and balance sheet. However, the cash flow statement provides a glimmer of hope with positive free cash flow growth, suggesting potential for financial recovery. Strategic focus on improving profitability and managing debt levels will be crucial for future stability and growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Interfor's income statement reveals a challenging period with declining revenues and profitability. The TTM data shows a significant revenue growth of 31.6%, but this is overshadowed by negative profit margins, with a net profit margin of -9.05% and an EBIT margin of -7.87%. The company has struggled to maintain profitability, as evidenced by the negative net income and EBIT figures. Historical data indicates a downward trend in revenue growth and profitability since 2021, highlighting the need for strategic improvements.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.63 in the TTM period, indicating a rise in leverage, though it remains manageable. The return on equity is negative at -17.32%, reflecting the company's recent losses. However, the equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid asset base. Overall, while the balance sheet is stable, the increasing leverage and negative ROE are concerns.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive trends, with a significant free cash flow growth of 65.36% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.42, indicating that operating cash flow covers a portion of the net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, suggesting that despite losses, the company generates positive free cash flow. This indicates potential for recovery if profitability improves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.95B3.02B3.32B4.58B3.29B2.18B
Gross Profit258.60M112.20M156.80M1.20B1.34B600.58M
EBITDA-51.00M-62.00M-72.50M1.03B1.23B504.94M
Net Income-289.70M-304.30M-266.80M598.20M819.01M280.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.91B3.08B3.40B3.62B2.60B1.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.40M43.40M55.00M77.61M538.56M457.39M
Total Debt958.10M950.80M938.00M833.22M414.76M422.25M
Total Liabilities1.66B1.55B1.67B1.59B967.54M762.88M
Stockholders Equity1.25B1.53B1.73B2.03B1.64B1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.90M70.20M-79.60M426.91M875.61M359.63M
Operating Cash Flow120.20M144.30M119.80M732.36M1.05B526.78M
Investing Cash Flow-55.40M-9.90M-189.80M-1.24B-656.49M-162.62M
Financing Cash Flow-77.80M-149.50M49.70M31.06M-316.25M86.60M

Interfor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.19
Price Trends
50DMA
8.30
Positive
100DMA
9.49
Positive
200DMA
11.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Negative
RSI
73.86
Negative
STOCH
87.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IFP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.77, above the 50-day MA of 8.30, and below the 200-day MA of 11.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.86 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:IFP.

Interfor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$299.90M19.714.46%7.35%-28.86%-48.20%
62
Neutral
C$99.98M15.803.12%5.01%3.81%-50.79%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
48
Neutral
C$7.59B-22.58-3.61%2.21%-6.67%-168.27%
48
Neutral
C$1.63B-3.59-15.06%1.76%34.61%
47
Neutral
C$144.12M-2.30-12.20%2.06%-46.23%
46
Neutral
C$530.49M-1.81-20.72%-3.63%31.61%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IFP
Interfor
10.19
-7.73
-43.14%
TSE:WFG
West Fraser Timber Co
97.46
-30.40
-23.77%
TSE:ADN
Acadian Timber
16.50
0.17
1.04%
TSE:GDL
Goodfellow
11.75
-0.02
-0.17%
TSE:WEF
Western Forest Prod
13.91
1.01
7.83%
TSE:CFP
Canfor
14.31
-1.27
-8.15%

Interfor Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Interfor Sets February Dates to Unveil Q4 and Fiscal 2025 Results
Neutral
Jan 13, 2026

Interfor Corporation has announced it will release its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on February 12, 2026, followed by an analyst conference call on February 13, 2026 at 8:00 a.m. Pacific Time. The call will include a summary of the company’s financial performance by management and a Q&A session with analysts, and both live and recorded access will be provided, underscoring Interfor’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency and engagement with the investment community as it navigates market conditions in the forest products sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFP) stock is a Buy with a C$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Interfor stock, see the TSE:IFP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Interfor Faces Financial Challenges Amid Weak Lumber Market
Negative
Nov 6, 2025

Interfor Corporation reported a significant financial downturn in Q3 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $184 million and a net loss of $216 million, largely impacted by non-cash duty items and weak lumber market conditions. The company has implemented production curtailments to address ongoing market challenges, while also maintaining a stable financial position through strategic financial maneuvers, including a bought deal equity offering and the monetization of certain assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFP) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Interfor stock, see the TSE:IFP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Interfor Announces Further Lumber Production Cuts Amid Weak Market Conditions
Negative
Oct 17, 2025

Interfor Corporation has announced further temporary reductions in lumber production for the fourth quarter of 2025 due to weak market conditions and economic uncertainty. The curtailments, affecting operations in British Columbia, Ontario, the US Pacific Northwest, and the US South, will reduce production by approximately 250 million board feet, or 26%, compared to the second quarter of 2025. This decision reflects Interfor’s strategy to align production with market demand, acknowledging the impact on employees, contractors, suppliers, and communities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFP) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Interfor stock, see the TSE:IFP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025