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Interfor Corporation (TSE:IFP)
TSX:IFP
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Interfor (IFP) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IFP

Interfor

(TSX:IFP)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.00
▼(-4.53% Downside)
Interfor's stock score is primarily impacted by its financial struggles, including declining profitability and increased leverage. Technical indicators reinforce a bearish outlook, while valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings. The earnings call provided some strategic insights but was overshadowed by significant market challenges.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation Ability
Interfor's strong free cash flow growth indicates robust cash generation ability, which can support future investments and debt management.
Financial Flexibility
The equity raise enhances Interfor's financial flexibility, providing liquidity to navigate market challenges and invest in strategic opportunities.
Cost Discipline
Interfor's focus on cost discipline and maintaining strong EBITDA margins supports long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Increased leverage can strain financial resources and limit strategic flexibility, posing risks to long-term financial health.
Increased U.S. Duties
Higher U.S. duties on Canadian lumber shipments significantly impact Interfor's cost structure and profitability, affecting competitive advantage.
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue reflects market challenges and reduced demand, potentially impacting long-term growth and market position.

Interfor (IFP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Interfor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInterfor Corporation (IFP) is a leading North American wood products company, primarily engaged in the production of lumber and specialty wood products. With operations across various regions, Interfor operates sawmills and remanufacturing facilities, focusing on high-quality, value-added products. The company's core offerings include dimensional lumber, engineered wood products, and treated wood products, serving a diverse customer base in residential and commercial construction, as well as industrial markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyInterfor generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of lumber and related wood products. The company's main revenue streams include the sale of dimensional lumber to wholesalers, retailers, and construction companies, as well as specialty products that cater to specific market needs. Interfor benefits from economies of scale, operating multiple sawmills to maximize production efficiency and reduce costs. Additionally, the company engages in exporting its products to international markets, which further diversifies its revenue sources. Significant partnerships with suppliers and distributors enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings. Factors such as timber prices, housing market dynamics, and construction industry trends also play a crucial role in influencing Interfor's revenue performance.

Interfor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted Interfor's strategic financial management and cost discipline but was overshadowed by significant challenges, including increased U.S. duties, substantial lumber price weakness, and production curtailments leading to an EBITDA loss.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Equity Raise and Financial Flexibility
Interfor completed a bought deal equity offering generating $144 million of gross proceeds, increasing financial flexibility with financial leverage at 35.2% and available liquidity of $386 million.
Cost Discipline and Top Quartile EBITDA Margins
Interfor maintained top quartile EBITDA margins and focused on cost discipline, optimizing their portfolio for operations that support industry-leading margins.
Negative Updates
Significant Lumber Price Weakness
Interfor experienced significant lumber price weakness, particularly in Southern Yellow Pine, with a benchmark composite average price fall of nearly 20% quarter-over-quarter.
Increased U.S. Duties on Canadian Lumber
The U.S. increased the combined rate of antidumping and countervailing duties on Canadian lumber shipments from 14.4% to over 35%, impacting about 25% of Interfor’s total lumber shipments.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Interfor reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $36 million, excluding noncash duty-related adjustments, with a total revenue drop of 12% quarter-over-quarter.
Production Curtailments and Revenue Decline
Interfor announced reductions of approximately 250 million board feet of lumber for Q4, representing about 26% compared to Q2 volumes, contributing to a 12% revenue drop.
Company Guidance
During the Interfor analyst conference call for Q3 of Fiscal Year 2025, the company provided guidance on several key metrics amidst a challenging market environment. The company announced a reduction of approximately 250 million board feet of lumber for Q4, representing about 26% compared to Q2 volumes, as a response to the persistently weak price environment caused by economic uncertainty and housing affordability concerns. Interfor reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $36 million, excluding non-cash duty-related adjustments, on total revenue of $689 million, reflecting a 12% quarter-over-quarter revenue drop. This was driven by a 6% increase in the volume of lumber shipped, a 10% decrease in the average realized lumber price, particularly in Southern Yellow Pine, and slightly weaker U.S. dollar. Production costs per unit of lumber increased by 2% quarter-over-quarter. The company also noted that the combined antidumping and countervailing duties imposed on lumber shipments from Canada rose from 14.4% to over 35%, impacting around 25% of Interfor's total lumber shipments. Despite these challenges, Interfor has strengthened its balance sheet with a recent equity raise generating $144 million of gross proceeds, resulting in financial leverage of 35.2% as measured by net debt to invested capital, and available liquidity of $386 million by the end of Q3. Looking ahead, Interfor anticipates improvements in economic indicators starting in 2026, with continued upward trends in 2027, and remains committed to aligning production with market realities in a disciplined and proactive way.

Interfor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Interfor's financial performance is challenged by declining profitability and increasing leverage. The income statement shows negative profit margins, and the balance sheet reflects a rise in leverage with a negative ROE. However, positive free cash flow growth provides some hope for recovery.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Interfor's income statement reveals a challenging period with declining revenues and profitability. The TTM data shows a significant revenue growth of 31.6%, but this is overshadowed by negative profit margins, with a net profit margin of -9.05% and an EBIT margin of -7.87%. The company has struggled to maintain profitability, as evidenced by the negative net income and EBIT figures. Historical data indicates a downward trend in revenue growth and profitability since 2021, highlighting the need for strategic improvements.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.63 in the TTM period, indicating a rise in leverage, though it remains manageable. The return on equity is negative at -17.32%, reflecting the company's recent losses. However, the equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid asset base. Overall, while the balance sheet is stable, the increasing leverage and negative ROE are concerns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive trends, with a significant free cash flow growth of 65.36% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.42, indicating that operating cash flow covers a portion of the net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, suggesting that despite losses, the company generates positive free cash flow. This indicates potential for recovery if profitability improves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.96B3.02B3.32B4.58B3.29B2.18B
Gross Profit257.00M112.20M156.80M1.20B1.34B600.58M
EBITDA62.70M-62.00M-72.50M1.03B1.23B504.94M
Net Income-179.60M-304.30M-266.80M598.20M819.01M280.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.89B3.08B3.40B3.62B2.60B1.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.30M43.40M55.00M77.61M538.56M457.39M
Total Debt855.70M950.80M938.00M833.22M414.76M422.25M
Total Liabilities1.45B1.55B1.67B1.59B967.54M762.88M
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.53B1.73B2.03B1.64B1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow113.60M70.20M-79.60M426.91M875.61M359.63M
Operating Cash Flow184.60M144.30M119.80M732.36M1.05B526.78M
Investing Cash Flow-28.60M-9.90M-189.80M-1.24B-656.49M-162.62M
Financing Cash Flow-233.50M-149.50M49.70M31.06M-316.25M86.60M

Interfor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.38
Price Trends
50DMA
8.59
Negative
100DMA
10.71
Negative
200DMA
12.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
52.93
Neutral
STOCH
71.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IFP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.88, below the 50-day MA of 8.59, and below the 200-day MA of 12.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:IFP.

Interfor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
C$256.93M16.894.46%9.58%-28.86%-48.20%
49
Neutral
C$6.72B-20.03-3.61%2.09%-6.67%-168.27%
48
Neutral
$1.30B-15.06%1.76%34.61%
47
Neutral
$404.43M-20.72%-3.63%31.61%
47
Neutral
C$122.05M-5.65-12.20%2.06%-46.23%
42
Neutral
$52.21M-1.69-73.85%-17.95%-97.06%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IFP
Interfor
8.38
-11.45
-57.74%
TSE:GFP
GreenFirst Forest Products
1.87
-3.59
-65.75%
TSE:WFG
West Fraser Timber Co
86.48
-44.66
-34.05%
TSE:ADN
Acadian Timber
15.30
-1.50
-8.93%
TSE:WEF
Western Forest Prod
11.53
-1.67
-12.65%
TSE:CFP
Canfor
11.68
-5.70
-32.80%

Interfor Corporate Events

Interfor’s Earnings Call: Strategic Moves Amid Challenges
Nov 9, 2025

Interfor’s recent earnings call painted a complex picture of strategic financial management overshadowed by significant challenges. While the company demonstrated strong cost discipline and financial flexibility, it faced substantial hurdles such as increased U.S. duties, weak lumber prices, and production curtailments, all contributing to an EBITDA loss.

Interfor Corporation Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 8, 2025

Interfor Corporation is a growth-oriented forest products company with operations in Canada and the United States, focusing on lumber production and offering a diverse line of products globally.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Interfor Faces Financial Challenges Amid Weak Lumber Market
Negative
Nov 6, 2025

Interfor Corporation reported a significant financial downturn in Q3 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $184 million and a net loss of $216 million, largely impacted by non-cash duty items and weak lumber market conditions. The company has implemented production curtailments to address ongoing market challenges, while also maintaining a stable financial position through strategic financial maneuvers, including a bought deal equity offering and the monetization of certain assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFP) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Interfor stock, see the TSE:IFP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Interfor Announces Further Lumber Production Cuts Amid Weak Market Conditions
Negative
Oct 17, 2025

Interfor Corporation has announced further temporary reductions in lumber production for the fourth quarter of 2025 due to weak market conditions and economic uncertainty. The curtailments, affecting operations in British Columbia, Ontario, the US Pacific Northwest, and the US South, will reduce production by approximately 250 million board feet, or 26%, compared to the second quarter of 2025. This decision reflects Interfor’s strategy to align production with market demand, acknowledging the impact on employees, contractors, suppliers, and communities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFP) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Interfor stock, see the TSE:IFP Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Interfor to Release Q3 Financial Results and Host Analyst Call
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

Interfor Corporation will release its third-quarter financial results on November 6, 2025, followed by an analyst conference call on November 7, 2025. This announcement is crucial for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the forest products industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFP) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Interfor stock, see the TSE:IFP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Interfor Closes $144 Million Bought Deal Offering
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Interfor Corporation has successfully closed a $144 million bought deal offering of common shares, including the full exercise of the over-allotment option. The proceeds from this offering will be used to pay down existing debt and for general corporate purposes, potentially strengthening the company’s financial position and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFP) stock is a Hold with a C$12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Interfor stock, see the TSE:IFP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Interfor Launches $125 Million Share Offering to Bolster Financial Flexibility
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

Interfor Corporation has announced a $125 million bought deal offering of common shares, led by RBC Capital Markets and Scotiabank. The proceeds from this offering are intended to reduce existing debt and support general corporate purposes, providing the company with increased flexibility amidst current market challenges, including a significant decline in lumber prices and increased U.S. softwood lumber duties.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFP) stock is a Hold with a C$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Interfor stock, see the TSE:IFP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Interfor Announces Temporary Lumber Production Cut Amid Market Uncertainty
Negative
Sep 4, 2025

Interfor Corporation has announced a temporary reduction in lumber production by approximately 145 million board feet, or 12% of its normal capacity, from September to December 2025. This decision, affecting both Canadian and U.S. operations, is a response to weak market conditions and economic uncertainty, with the company planning to adjust production plans as needed.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFP) stock is a Hold with a C$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Interfor stock, see the TSE:IFP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025