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Intact Financial Corporation (TSE:IFC)
TSX:IFC

Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) AI Stock Analysis

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Intact Financial Corporation

(TSX:IFC)

78Outperform
Intact Financial Corporation demonstrates robust financial performance with solid revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow. Technical indicators suggest a strong upward trend, though slightly cautious due to nearing overbought levels. Valuation is balanced, aligning with industry standards. The positive earnings call outcomes and strategic corporate events further bolster the company's outlook, despite challenges in certain segments.
Positive Factors
Competitive advantage
Superior market positioning, strong defensive characteristics, competitive advantage in data analytics, and a management team that continues to deliver are expected to increase IFC's multiple.
Financial performance
A solid Q4/24 certainly puts IFC in the position of entering 2025 with lots of momentum.
Market performance
Top line better in Canada, reflecting rate/unit growth, up 8.2%, showing strong market performance.
Negative Factors

Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Intact Financial Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntact Financial Corp is a property and casualty insurance company that provides written premiums in Canada. The company distributes insurance under the Intact Insurance brand through a network of brokers and a wholly owned subsidiary, BrokerLink, and directly to consumers through belairdirect. Most of the company's direct premiums are written in the personal automotive space. Intact directly manages its investments through subsidiary Intact Investment Management. The vast majority of these invested assets are fixed-income securities. Its asset mix is designed to generate interest and dividend income.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntact Financial Corporation generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies, which involves collecting premiums from policyholders. The company's key revenue streams include personal insurance, such as auto and home insurance, as well as commercial insurance products for businesses. IFC also earns income from investment activities, where premiums collected are invested in various financial instruments to generate returns. Partnerships with brokers and other distribution channels enable IFC to broaden its market reach and maintain a steady flow of new and renewal business, contributing to its revenue growth. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as underwriting profitability, investment income, and effective risk management strategies.

Intact Financial Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intact Financial Corporation exhibits strong financial health, driven by consistent revenue growth, improved profitability, and robust cash flow management. The conservative leverage and effective equity utilization further enhance its financial stability. Nonetheless, the absence of EBIT data limits operational insight, and the reduction in total assets requires strategic consideration to sustain growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Intact Financial Corporation has demonstrated solid revenue growth over the years, with a revenue increase of 10.78% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100% due to an absence of cost of goods sold, typical for insurance companies. Net profit margin improved significantly to 9.40% in 2024 from 5.96% in the previous year, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the absence of EBIT prevents a more comprehensive analysis of operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, indicating conservative leverage. Stockholders' equity has shown growth, contributing to a healthy equity ratio of 30.49%. Return on equity improved to 12.65%, showcasing effective utilization of equity. However, the decrease in total assets over the past few years suggests potential risks in asset management or strategic downsizing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow performance is strong, with a substantial increase in free cash flow from the previous year, marking a 113.12% growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.47 indicates efficient cash generation relative to earnings, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.29 highlights strong cash conversion. These metrics reflect the company's robust cash management, although fluctuations in financing activities warrant attention.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
24.44B22.07B21.15B17.48B12.46B
Gross Profit
24.44B22.09B21.15B17.48B12.46B
EBIT
0.00-96.00M3.12B1.87B897.00M
EBITDA
3.83B2.53B3.64B3.10B1.74B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.30B1.32B2.45B2.07B1.08B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
19.15B2.56B23.85B25.00B2.47B
Total Assets
59.53B55.98B64.96B66.35B35.12B
Total Debt
5.47B5.74B5.14B5.87B3.49B
Net Debt
4.33B4.57B4.13B3.59B2.57B
Total Liabilities
41.38B39.50B49.27B49.57B25.54B
Stockholders Equity
18.15B16.19B15.40B15.67B9.58B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.96B1.39B3.25B2.80B2.19B
Operating Cash Flow
3.39B1.85B3.67B3.13B2.35B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.61B-2.00B-2.75B-5.97B-2.44B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.01B321.00M-2.21B4.21B79.00M

Intact Financial Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price284.26
Price Trends
50DMA
270.18
Positive
100DMA
268.19
Positive
200DMA
254.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.23
Positive
RSI
56.67
Neutral
STOCH
29.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 284.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 284.78, above the 50-day MA of 270.18, and above the 200-day MA of 254.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:IFC.

Intact Financial Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSIFC
78
Outperform
C$50.58B22.9713.38%1.71%5.02%77.36%
TSGWO
69
Neutral
C$47.63B12.4615.52%4.34%-2.40%42.24%
TSIAG
66
Neutral
C$11.56B12.6213.26%2.78%-17.69%29.19%
64
Neutral
$13.79B10.529.20%4.24%17.25%-7.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
284.26
62.57
28.22%
MFC
Manulife Financial
29.25
6.04
26.02%
SLF
Sun Life Financial
54.77
2.50
4.78%
FRFHF
Fairfax Financial Holdings
1,335.11
229.73
20.78%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
51.13
10.04
24.43%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
126.36
42.12
50.00%

Intact Financial Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: 2.91% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased strong financial performance and strategic advancements, with record net operating income and solid underwriting results across multiple regions and lines of business. However, challenges such as higher catastrophe losses and pressure in specific market segments like Alberta auto and U.S. operations were noted. Overall, the positive aspects and growth initiatives significantly outweighed the challenges.
Highlights
Record Operating Income
Net operating income per share of $4.93, up 23% from last year, marking the best quarter on record.
Strong Combined Ratios
Combined ratio was excellent at 86.5%, 4 points better than last year, showcasing strong underwriting across all lines of business.
Personal Auto Growth
Premiums grew 12% in personal auto, driven by customer growth and digital marketing investments.
Personal Property Resilience
Premium growth of 9% in personal property, with a strong combined ratio of 77.1% despite severe weather events.
Commercial Lines Performance
Commercial lines premiums up 4% with a combined ratio of 78.8%, improving 6 points year-over-year.
UK&I Business Integration
Successful integration of Direct Line brokered commercial lines, adding 30% to the premium base with improved performance.
AI and Digital Advancements
Implementation of generative AI solutions and over 500 models to optimize underwriting and customer experience, contributing $150 million in run rate underwriting profit.
Dividend Increase
Increased dividends for the 20th consecutive year, with a 10-year compounded annual growth rate of 10%.
Lowlights
Higher Catastrophe Losses
Incurred $1.5 billion of catastrophe losses for the year, leading to an increase in annual CAT guidance to $1.2 billion for 2025.
Challenges in U.S. Growth
Flat premium growth in the U.S. due to ongoing corrective actions in underperforming segments.
Alberta Auto Market Pressure
Significant cost pressures in Alberta auto due to increased litigation, despite recent regulatory changes allowing for higher rate caps.
Company Guidance
During Intact Financial Corporation's Q4 2024 earnings call, the company reported a record net operating income per share of $4.93, a 23% increase from the previous year, and an operating return on equity (ROE) of 16.5%. The combined ratio was 86.5%, improving by 4 points year-over-year, and the company achieved a 5% top-line growth, with personal lines seeing double-digit increases. Despite $1.5 billion in catastrophe losses, Intact maintained a total capital margin of $2.9 billion. The company also announced a 10% dividend increase, marking the 20th consecutive annual rise, and outlined plans to reach $5 billion in premiums under management by 2025 through BrokerLink's acquisitions. Intact's ongoing strategic initiatives include enhancing AI capabilities, with over $150 million in run-rate underwriting profit driven by more than 500 models, and deploying a new generative AI solution in commercial lines to streamline broker interactions.

Intact Financial Corporation Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intact Financial Corporation Announces $300 Million Note Issuance
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation has announced a $300 million private placement of Series 16 unsecured medium-term notes to accredited investors in Canada. The notes, which will bear interest at a fixed annual rate of 4.645% until 2055, are intended to refinance the company’s outstanding $300 million Series 8 notes due in March 2025. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance Intact’s debt management and operational flexibility.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intact Financial Corporation Announces Share Buyback Plan
Positive
Feb 17, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation has announced the approval of a normal course issuer bid (NCIB) that allows the company to repurchase up to 5,350,283 of its common shares, equating to approximately 3% of its total outstanding shares. This move, approved by the Toronto Stock Exchange, is part of Intact Financial’s strategy to effectively manage excess capital and provide value to shareholders. The share repurchase will be conducted through open market transactions and other approved methods, with purchases starting on or about February 17, 2025, and potentially running until February 16, 2026. This initiative reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to optimizing capital distribution and enhancing shareholder returns.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Intact Financial Reports Robust Q4-2024 Results and Increases Dividends
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation reported strong financial results for Q4-2024, highlighted by a 5% growth in operating direct premiums written and a favorable combined ratio of 86.5%. The company’s net operating income per share increased by 23%, reflecting strong underwriting and investment performance. Intact’s resilience was demonstrated by managing $1.5 billion in catastrophe losses while maintaining a solid balance sheet and increasing dividends for the 20th consecutive year. The company expects continued growth in personal and commercial insurance lines, positioning itself to exceed industry ROE benchmarks.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.