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Hammond Power Solutions (TSE:HPS.A)
TSX:HPS.A

Hammond Power Solutions (HPS.A) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HPS.A

Hammond Power Solutions

(TSX:HPS.A)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$178.00
▲(10.90% Upside)
Hammond Power Solutions' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, despite challenges in cash flow and valuation concerns. The technical analysis suggests potential short-term weakness, while the valuation indicates the stock may be overvalued.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for the company's products, particularly in the U.S., enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial health.
Market Expansion
Increasing manufacturing capacity positions the company to meet future demand, supporting growth and competitive advantage in the electrical equipment industry.
Strong Backlog
A significant backlog ensures future revenue streams and reflects strong demand, particularly in the U.S., enhancing the company's market stability and growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Profitability Decline
Declining profitability due to material cost pressures and overheads can strain financial performance, affecting long-term margins and investment capacity.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariff impacts on key materials can increase costs and reduce margins, posing a risk to profitability and competitive pricing in the global market.
Cash Flow Challenges
Significant decline in free cash flow due to increased capital expenditures may limit liquidity and financial flexibility, impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Hammond Power Solutions (HPS.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Hammond Power Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHammond Power Solutions (HPS.A) is a leading manufacturer of electrical and power distribution products, primarily serving the industrial and commercial sectors. The company specializes in designing and producing a wide range of transformers, inductors, and related components that are essential for power management and distribution. HPS operates with a focus on innovation and quality, catering to diverse applications including renewable energy, automation, and electrical infrastructure.
How the Company Makes MoneyHammond Power Solutions generates revenue through the sale of its core products, which include dry-type transformers, encapsulated transformers, and custom magnetic components. The company's revenue model is primarily based on direct sales to distributors, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and end-users across various industries. Key revenue streams include the sale of standard and custom transformers, as well as services related to product design and engineering. HPS has established significant partnerships with various distributors and industry players, which enhance its market reach and contribute to steady sales growth. Additionally, demand from sectors such as renewable energy and electric vehicles is increasingly influencing the company's earnings, as the need for efficient power solutions rises.

Hammond Power Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showcased strong revenue growth and significant backlog increase, primarily driven by the U.S. and data center segments. However, profitability was challenged by material cost pressures, tariff impacts, and unabsorbed overheads in new facilities. While the company is optimistic about future quarters, current margin pressures and economic uncertainties in certain markets present notable challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue reached $218 million, marking the second best quarter for shipments ever and a 14% increase compared to Q3 2024, driven by U.S. shipments and gains in all market channels.
Significant Backlog Increase
Order volume grew the backlog by 28% compared to the beginning of the year, mainly driven by the U.S. distribution network and OEM business.
Expansion of Manufacturing Capacity
New facilities and equipment in Mexico will add approximately $100 million of capacity, increasing total manufacturing capacity to around $1.2 billion by 2027.
Strong Data Center Segment Performance
Data center activity accelerated, with several large orders received, accounting for 53% of total Q3 closing backlog.
U.S. and Mexico Market Growth
Shipments to the U.S. and Mexico increased by 21% versus the previous year.
Negative Updates
Profitability Decline
Gross margin decreased to 30.1% from 33.8% in Q3 2024 due to ongoing material cost pressures and overhead expenses.
Impact of Tariffs and Input Costs
Changes to steel and aluminum tariffs affected certain products, contributing to reduced margins.
Unabsorbed Overheads in New Facilities
Newer factories in Mexico negatively impacted margins by 233 basis points due to unabsorbed overheads.
Weakness in Canadian Market
Canadian sales decreased by 3%, attributed to slower economic growth and greater uncertainty.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $30,290 million, lower than $34,377 million in Q3 2024, due to lower gross margins despite higher sales volumes.
Company Guidance
During the Hammond Power Solutions Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a strong performance with revenue reaching $218 million, reflecting a 14% increase compared to Q3 2024. The U.S. market led this growth, particularly through the private label and distribution channels, contributing significantly to a 28% increase in the backlog since the beginning of the year. Despite the rise in sales, the gross margin was pressured, decreasing to 30.1% due to material cost pressures and overheads from new facilities in Mexico, which impacted margins by 233 basis points. Nonetheless, pricing adjustments made in September are expected to improve margins in the fourth quarter. The company also noted a significant backlog, with 53% attributed to data center orders, and anticipates expanding its manufacturing capacity to approximately $1.2 billion by 2027, primarily from its Monterrey IV facility. Net earnings for the quarter were reported at $17,440 million, with adjusted EBITDA at $30,290 million, while adjusted EPS stood at $1.56. Looking forward, Hammond Power Solutions expects its increased backlog to alleviate under-absorption challenges and anticipates positive impacts from recent pricing actions.

Hammond Power Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hammond Power Solutions shows strong revenue growth and profitability with healthy margins. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, but negative free cash flow growth and increased debt pose potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hammond Power Solutions has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 3.41% increase in TTM, supported by solid gross and net profit margins of 32.11% and 9.63%, respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 13.25% and 15.18%, indicating efficient operational management. The company has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, reflecting a robust business model.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is strong at 25.79%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 62.06%, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the TTM period warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -142.82% in TTM, primarily due to increased capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.20, while the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential liquidity concerns. Despite these issues, the company has maintained positive operating cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue852.64M788.34M710.06M558.46M380.20M322.10M
Gross Profit266.10M258.28M231.01M165.19M102.43M86.99M
EBITDA126.91M112.69M96.00M69.74M30.05M29.48M
Net Income80.72M71.53M63.40M44.83M15.18M14.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets583.72M493.14M408.34M302.67M235.10M189.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.50M34.09M52.59M28.13M20.91M14.79M
Total Debt92.62M36.23M37.03M17.59M28.14M25.39M
Total Liabilities238.92M185.10M177.97M125.78M109.10M75.48M
Stockholders Equity344.80M308.04M230.38M176.89M126.00M113.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.29M24.05M23.55M27.68M14.38M14.75M
Operating Cash Flow16.52M64.75M44.11M37.01M20.45M19.68M
Investing Cash Flow-59.33M-62.98M-19.36M-12.67M-10.91M-4.75M
Financing Cash Flow30.44M-24.21M755.00K-22.30M-4.26M-24.18M

Hammond Power Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price160.51
Price Trends
50DMA
171.10
Negative
100DMA
147.03
Positive
200DMA
123.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.55
Positive
RSI
42.06
Neutral
STOCH
15.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HPS.A, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 160.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 170.27, below the 50-day MA of 171.10, and above the 200-day MA of 123.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:HPS.A.

Hammond Power Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$132.61M7.3014.23%0.54%12.69%-7.21%
72
Outperform
C$488.44M95.4116.94%46.80%
67
Neutral
C$1.92B23.6725.65%0.68%11.19%19.13%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
C$250.03M-194.31-13.77%26.28%27.86%
47
Neutral
C$15.60M-4.09-341.84%27.76%-0.37%
40
Neutral
-405.71%163.76%-113.54%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HPS.A
Hammond Power Solutions
160.51
31.94
24.85%
TSE:ELVA
Electrovaya
10.60
7.05
198.59%
TSE:HMM.A
Hammond Mfg Cl A SV
11.13
0.74
7.12%
TSE:LPS
Legend Power Systems
0.11
-0.07
-38.89%
TSE:EXRO
Exro Technologies
0.02
-0.11
-84.62%
TSE:GRID
Tantalus Systems Holding
4.78
2.83
145.13%

Hammond Power Solutions Corporate Events

Dividends
Hammond Power Solutions Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. has announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.275 per Class A and Class B share, payable on December 18, 2025, to shareholders on record as of December 11, 2025. This dividend declaration reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness to investors, potentially impacting its market position positively.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Hammond Power Solutions Sees Strong Q3 2025 Growth Amid Market Challenges
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Hammond Power Solutions reported a strong third quarter in 2025, with sales reaching $218 million, marking a 13.7% increase compared to the same period in 2024. The company experienced significant growth in the U.S. market, particularly in private label and distribution channels, despite facing challenges such as material cost inflation and tariffs. The backlog increased by 27.7% since the beginning of the year, with substantial orders from data centers expected to be fulfilled primarily in 2026 from their new facilities in Mexico. This growth trajectory is supported by strategic pricing actions and capital investments to accommodate the rising demand.

Financial Disclosures
Hammond Power Solutions to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. announced it will release its third-quarter financial results for 2025 on October 23, after market close, followed by a conference call and webcast on October 24. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting its industry positioning and investor relations.

Other
Hammond Power Solutions Recognized in 2025 TSX30 Ranking
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Hammond Power Solutions has been recognized in the 2025 TSX30 ranking, which highlights the top-performing companies on the Toronto Stock Exchange. This inclusion signifies the company’s successful execution of its mission to simplify electrification and underscores its strong market positioning and growth trajectory.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025