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HIVE Digital Technologies (TSE:HIVE)
:HIVE

HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) AI Stock Analysis

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HIVE Digital Technologies

(NASDAQ:HIVE)

50Neutral
HIVE Digital Technologies is facing significant financial difficulties, with negative earnings and cash flow issues being primary concerns. Despite these challenges, strategic expansions and growth plans, particularly in Paraguay, offer potential for improvement. Technical analysis shows bearish trends, and valuation remains a concern due to ongoing losses. While growth initiatives provide some optimism, investors should remain cautious.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition of Bitfarm's large Paraguay BTC mining site positions HIVE as a large-scale player in the industry.
Financial Performance
HIVE reported total F3Q25 revenues of $29.2M, up 29% q/q, with BTC mining revenues of $26.7M, driven by higher average BTC prices.
Valuation
HIVE shares are attractively valued, trading at ~4x annualized EV/Adj. EBITDA, with significant BTC holdings.
Negative Factors
Expansion Funding
Management has done an admirable job in managing its balance sheet; thus, capex requirements to fund the expansion to ~25 EH/s are clearly in management's crosshairs via existing ATM/shelf capacity, cash flow, and the BTC HODL.
Model Exclusion
Management expects the HPC/AI business to scale to $100M in ARR by the end of C2025, which is currently not factored into the model.

HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

HIVE Digital Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. operates as a cryptocurrency mining company in Canada, Sweden, and Iceland. It engages in the mining and sale of digital currencies, including Ethereum, Ethereum Classic, and Bitcoin. The company was formerly known as Leeta Gold Corp. and changed its name to HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. in September 2017. HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyHIVE makes money through the mining of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, earning revenue from the rewards and transaction fees associated with validating blockchain transactions. The company also generates income by selling mined cryptocurrencies on various exchanges. Additionally, HIVE may establish partnerships with other technology firms to offer blockchain and data center services, contributing to its revenue streams. The utilization of renewable energy sources helps to reduce operational costs, enhancing profitability.

HIVE Digital Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HIVE Digital Technologies shows a challenging financial performance with negative profitability and cash flow metrics, indicating operational inefficiencies and liquidity concerns. Despite a strong equity position, the company must improve revenue stability and cash management to ensure long-term viability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
HIVE Digital Technologies shows a challenging financial performance with consistently negative net income over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data highlights a negative EBIT and gross profit, indicating operational inefficiencies. Revenue growth has been volatile, with a significant drop from 2022 to 2023 and only a small increase in the most recent TTM period. The company has struggled to maintain profitability margins, which raises concerns about its ability to generate sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position, with a high equity ratio indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, reflecting low leverage which is a positive sign. Stockholders' equity has grown, signifying a strengthening financial base. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in total assets and liabilities, which suggests potential instability in asset management.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals significant challenges, with negative free cash flow in the latest TTM period indicating poor cash management. Operating cash flow has also turned negative, which is concerning for liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, highlighting inefficiencies in converting net income into cash. The company needs to address these cash flow issues to improve its financial health.
Breakdown
Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
114.47M106.32M211.26M100.42M29.41M
Gross Profit
40.39M-32.67M95.73M72.31M1.64M
EBIT
19.94M-125.61M79.28M66.11M-3.03M
EBITDA
24.48M-147.43M146.30M38.34M5.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-51.20M-236.42M79.62M42.54M-1.66M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
16.65M7.24M22.32M41.27M5.13M
Total Assets
307.58M196.12M452.27M178.33M29.10M
Total Debt
30.72M35.41M43.32M30.89M5.06M
Net Debt
21.05M31.04M38.00M-9.40M-73.12K
Total Liabilities
47.89M47.30M63.22M43.86M8.02M
Stockholders Equity
259.69M148.82M389.05M134.47M21.09M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-65.73M1.95M-146.56M-42.29M-1.11M
Operating Cash Flow
13.53M44.78M68.49M22.95M769.51K
Investing Cash Flow
-78.36M-40.89M-214.19M-66.86M-1.88M
Financing Cash Flow
70.15M-4.64M110.77M78.29M-341.16K

HIVE Digital Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.43
Price Trends
50DMA
2.56
Negative
100DMA
3.60
Negative
200DMA
4.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
54.70
Neutral
STOCH
91.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HIVE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.14, below the 50-day MA of 2.56, and below the 200-day MA of 4.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:HIVE.

HIVE Digital Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$12.38B9.577.87%79.17%12.62%-4.94%
50
Neutral
$384.17M-2.15%27.99%90.99%
TSHUT
49
Neutral
C$1.93B3.982.56%199.41%
38
Underperform
C$6.66M-41.72%-19.38%78.11%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies
2.43
-1.45
-37.37%
TSE:CSTR
CryptoStar Corp
0.02
-0.02
-50.00%
TSE:HUT
Hut 8
18.12
6.71
58.81%
BITF
Bitfarms
1.02
-0.87
-46.03%
BRPHF
Galaxy Digital Holdings
15.34
5.83
61.30%
DMGGF
DMG Blockchain Solutions
0.18
-0.17
-48.57%

HIVE Digital Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -38.01%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
HIVE Digital Technologies reported strong revenue and EBITDA with significant Bitcoin holdings and high ROIC. The company is expanding its operations in Paraguay and growing its AI and HPC business. However, the decreased gross mining margin and challenges from the Bitcoin halving and price volatility present concerns. Overall, the positive developments and growth plans outweigh the challenges faced.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EBITDA
HIVE reported $29 million in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA of $17.3 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2024.
Significant Bitcoin Holdings
The company holds 2,805 Bitcoin on the balance sheet, mined with green and clean energy, with no debt against these Bitcoin.
High Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
HIVE achieved an annualized ROIC of 37% this quarter, leading the industry.
Expansion in Paraguay
HIVE announced the acquisition of Bitfarms facilities, enhancing its operating capacity in Paraguay to 300 megawatts, with plans to expand mining hashrate to 25 exahash.
AI and HPC Business Progress
HIVE hit $10 million in annualized revenue from its AI and HPC business this quarter, with plans to expand this to $20 million.
Low Dilution and Efficient Operations
HIVE has the lowest dilution across the peer set while having the highest growth in the industry, maintaining a lean operation.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Mining Margin
The gross mining margin decreased to $6.1 million or 21% in the most recent quarter compared to $11.3 million or 36% in the prior year.
Impact of Bitcoin Halving
The halving event led to rewards earned by miners being halved, impacting the company's results.
Challenges in Bitcoin Price Volatility
Bitcoin's price volatility and higher mining difficulty impact the company's revenue and margins.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for HIVE Digital Technologies, the company provided guidance on various metrics and future growth plans. The quarter ending December 31, 2024, recorded $29 million in revenue with a gross operating margin of 21%, resulting in $17.3 million in adjusted EBITDA. HIVE's strategic expansion in Paraguay is expected to increase its mining capacity to 25 exahash by September 2025, marking a 4x growth from its current 6 exahash. This expansion aims to capture 3% of the global hashrate, potentially generating annualized mining margins between $330 million and over $500 million, depending on Bitcoin prices. Additionally, HIVE's AI and high-performance computing (HPC) business has achieved $10 million in annualized revenue, with targets set to reach $20 million. The company maintains a strong balance sheet, with 2,805 Bitcoin on the balance sheet and a focus on maintaining low SG&A costs as it scales operations.

HIVE Digital Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
HIVE Digital Technologies Completes Major Infrastructure Phase in Paraguay
Positive
Apr 21, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies has completed the first phase of its 100 MW data center infrastructure in Paraguay, marking a significant milestone in its expansion strategy. The company aims to scale its operations to 5 EH/s in Paraguay and 11.5 EH/s globally by mid-2025, with a target of reaching 25 EH/s by the fall. This expansion is supported by strategic hires and disciplined financial management, positioning HIVE for transformative growth in the digital infrastructure sector.

Spark’s Take on TSE:HIVE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:HIVE is a Neutral.

HIVE Digital Technologies has been rated with a score of 46, reflecting its current financial challenges and bearish technical indicators. Despite this, strategic expansions in AI and HPC, as well as sustainable growth initiatives, provide a positive outlook for the future. Investors should remain cautious due to current financial instability and negative earnings, but upcoming expansions and strategic plans might offer potential for improvement.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:HIVE stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
HIVE Digital Technologies Expands with New Hydro-Powered Mining Site in Paraguay
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies has commenced operations at its new 200 MW hydro-powered mining site in Yguazú, Paraguay, marking a significant milestone in its expansion strategy. In March 2025, HIVE mined 108 Bitcoin, increasing its holdings to 2,201 BTC, and plans to quadruple its mining capacity by the end of 2025. The company is focused on sustainable growth and aims to become a leading green-powered Bitcoin miner, with a disciplined capital strategy and efficient infrastructure supporting its expansion.

Spark’s Take on TSE:HIVE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, (TSE:HIVE) is a Neutral.

HIVE Digital Technologies faces significant financial and technical challenges, reflected in negative profitability and bearish technical indicators. While strategic expansions and leadership changes provide growth potential, these are overshadowed by current financial instability and valuation concerns. The stock remains a cautious investment until operational efficiencies and market conditions improve.

To see Spark’s full report on (TSE:HIVE) stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HIVE Digital Technologies Expands Mining Capacity with Strategic Acquisition in Paraguay
Positive
Mar 18, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies has completed the acquisition of Bitfarms Ltd.’s Yguazú 200-megawatt hydro-powered facility in Paraguay, marking a significant expansion in its mining capacity. This acquisition is set to increase HIVE’s capacity by 317%, from 6 EH/s to a projected 25 EH/s by September 2025, reinforcing its commitment to sustainable energy and economic development in Paraguay. The expansion is expected to strengthen U.S.-Paraguay relations and contribute to local infrastructure and job creation, positioning HIVE as a key player in the region’s digital infrastructure industry.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
HIVE Digital Technologies Appoints Gabriel Lamas as Country President of Paraguay
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies has appointed Gabriel Lamas as the Country President of Paraguay, a strategic move to enhance its operations and expansion in the region. Lamas, with over 20 years of experience in infrastructure and energy projects, is expected to drive HIVE’s growth in Paraguay, leveraging his expertise to ensure sustainable and efficient operations, thereby strengthening the company’s position as a leader in high-performance computing and green energy-powered data centers.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HIVE Digital Technologies Reports February 2025 Production and Strategic Growth Plans
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies announced its February 2025 production results, highlighting the mining of 89 BTC and a strategic increase in Bitcoin holdings by 23% year-over-year. The company strategically sold some BTC to invest in capital assets, including hydro-powered mining assets in Paraguay. HIVE aims to expand its mining capacity significantly by September 2025, with plans to quadruple its hashrate. The company also reported progress in its high-performance computing GPU business, with a target to reach $20 million in annualized run-rate revenue by Q2 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
HIVE Digital Technologies Appoints Craig Tavares to Drive HPC Growth
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies announced the appointment of Craig Tavares as President and Chief Operating Officer of Buzz HPC. With extensive experience in the digital infrastructure sector, Tavares is expected to drive significant growth in the company’s GPU Cloud and HPC services, aiming to scale the business to $100 million in revenue. His leadership is seen as crucial in expanding Buzz’s Sovereign AI GPU platform and differentiated HPC service offerings, further strengthening HIVE’s market position.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HIVE Digital Technologies Announces Strategic Expansion and January 2025 Production Results
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies reported its January 2025 production results, highlighting the mining of 102 BTC and a significant increase in their HODL portfolio value. The company strategically sold some of its Bitcoin to invest in a new 200 MW hydro-powered Bitcoin mining facility in Paraguay, marking a major expansion that is expected to increase their mining capacity by 317% by September 2025. This expansion, alongside operational improvements and leadership updates, positions HIVE as a major player in Latin America’s Bitcoin mining industry, focusing on sustainability and efficiency.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HIVE Digital Technologies to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jan 29, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies announced it will release its Q3 2025 financial results on February 11, 2025, followed by an earnings call on February 12, 2025. This announcement highlights HIVE’s commitment to transparency and communication with stakeholders, further solidifying its position as a leader in sustainable digital infrastructure. The release is set to provide insights into the company’s operational strategies and market performance, potentially impacting investor perceptions and future industry positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.