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Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. (TSE:HIVE)
NASDAQ:HIVE

HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HIVE

HIVE Digital Technologies

(NASDAQ:HIVE)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.00
▲(4.53% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
Overall score reflects a solid balance sheet and growth trajectory (including upbeat HPC/GPU guidance), offset by weak/volatile profitability with deeply negative free cash flow and a clearly bearish technical setup (price below all key moving averages with negative momentum indicators).
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage provides durable financial flexibility: with minimal debt relative to equity HIVE can fund operating variability, pursue opportunistic ASIC/GPU purchases or weather crypto cycles without forcing distress sales, supporting long-term survival and strategic optionality.
GPU/HPC Contract Traction
Meaningful contract wins and a clear GPU scale plan materially diversify revenue away from cyclical mining. Lease-to-own financing and initial contract pricing above forecasts increase revenue visibility and allow capex-light expansion, improving recurring ARR potential and lowering crypto-only earnings sensitivity.
Rapid Mining Scale and Revenue Growth
Large increases in hashrate and record revenue demonstrate operational scale economies: expanding to 25 EH and higher throughput increases coin production and operating margin potential, strengthening the company's cash-generating engine over the medium term if mining economics remain adequate.
Negative Factors
Deeply Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistently negative free cash flow indicates growth is not yet self-financing and requires external funding or asset sales. Over months, sustained negative FCF elevates liquidity risk, limits reinvestment optionality and increases reliance on balance sheet actions or dilutive financing to fund capex and GPU conversions.
Earnings Volatility & GAAP Losses
Large non‑cash charges and swingy digital asset mark‑to‑market drive headline losses and uneven adjusted metrics. This persistent volatility complicates forecasting, weakens earnings quality, and can impair investor confidence and access to non‑dilutive capital during adverse crypto cycles or accounting windows.
Crypto Sensitivity & Operational Constraints
Business economics hinge on crypto prices, network difficulty and regulatory clarity; combined with long lead times for critical infrastructure, this raises structural timing risk. Delays in conversions or regulatory actions can slow BUZZ ramp and compress margins, making growth timelines uncertain.

HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

HIVE Digital Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. operates as a cryptocurrency mining company in Canada, Sweden, and Iceland. It engages in the mining and sale of digital currencies, including Ethereum, Ethereum Classic, and Bitcoin. The company was formerly known as Leeta Gold Corp. and changed its name to HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. in September 2017. HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyHIVE generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model for its cloud services, which includes tiered pricing based on usage and features. Additionally, the company earns revenue from one-time project fees for custom software development and consulting services. Key revenue streams also include licensing fees for their proprietary AI analytics tools and managed services contracts with enterprise clients. Significant partnerships with major cloud providers and technology firms further bolster HIVE's earnings by expanding its market reach and enhancing its service offerings.

HIVE Digital Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 16, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operating and strategic momentum: record revenue, large increases in installed hashrate and capacity, meaningful progress and contracts in the GPU/HPC business (including higher‑than‑expected contract pricing), improved fleet efficiency from a cash‑neutral treasury maneuver, and a conservative financing posture. Offsetting this were a large reported net loss driven by non‑cash charges, significant adjusted EBITDA volatility versus prior year/quarter (largely due to accounting treatment and digital asset mark‑to‑market), quarter‑over‑quarter margin compression, and material market/regulatory headwinds that create sensitivity in mining economics and timing of HPC conversions. On balance the operational growth and contract wins materially outweigh the accounting losses and market noise, but the business remains exposed to crypto price/difficulty cycles and supply‑chain timing risks.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Expanded Gross Margin
Total revenue of $93.1M for the quarter with a gross operating margin of $32.1M (35%). Revenue increased from $29.2M year‑ago to $93.1M (+219% YoY) and gross operating margin rose from $5.3M to $32.1M (+~506% YoY).
Material Scale-Up in Hashrate and Capacity
Installed capacity reached 25 EH (22.8 EH average operated during the quarter). Operating capacity totaled 440 MW with Paraguay scaled to ~300 MW and an additional 100 MW PPA announced (expected online September). Company grew from ~6 EH to 25 EH in 2025 and now represents ~2% of the global Bitcoin network.
Significant Traction in GPU / HPC Business
Buzz (GPU cloud/HPC) generated ~$5M revenue this quarter and is on track to $20M ARR. A two‑year contract (initial 504 GPUs) and OEM lease financing support a target of 11,000 GPUs by year‑end. Management projects GPU cloud ARR potential of $140M–$200M and total HPC ARR target of $225M for the year; the initial GPU contract realized pricing ~30% above forecast.
Treasury Management Converted to Operational Gain
Realized $14M from a Bitcoin pledge strategy and used proceeds to acquire ~3,800 Bitmain S21 XP ASICs (cashless swap). This upgraded fleet improved global efficiency from 17.5 to 15.7 J/TH (~10% improvement) and preserved cash. Ending quarter BTC balance: 481 BTC.
Positive Operating Cash Performance and Conservative Balance Sheet
Adjusted EBITDA was positive at $5.7M and management emphasized disciplined capital allocation. Company closed the quarter with roughly $14M cash and ~$14M digital currencies (total current assets cited at ~$91M), low leverage and conservative financing approach (no large leverage taken to buy Bitcoin or GPUs).
Attractive GPU Financing Enables CapEx‑Light Growth
Buzz secured single‑digit lease‑to‑own financing on GPUs (effectively zero down, finance structure with $1 buyout), enabling rapid scaling of GPU capacity with limited upfront CapEx and predictable cash payments.
Negative Updates
Large Reported Net Loss Driven by Non‑Cash Charges
Reported net loss of $91.3M for the quarter versus net income of $68.2M prior year period. The loss was driven primarily by non‑cash items: ~$57M in accelerated depreciation (Paraguay expansion) and ~$31M change in fair value of derivatives/digital currencies.
Adjusted EBITDA and Earnings Volatility YoY and QoQ
Adjusted EBITDA fell from $82.9M (prior year) to $5.7M this quarter (≈‑93% YoY) and from $31.5M in the prior quarter to $5.7M this quarter (~‑82% QoQ). Significant volatility is driven by unrealized digital asset gains/losses and depreciation timing.
Quarter‑over‑Quarter Margin Compression and Market Sensitivity
Gross operating margin fell from ~49% in the prior quarter to 35% this quarter (≈‑14 percentage points QoQ). Mining economics are sensitive to hash price and difficulty (management cited hash price scenarios around $30–$40 and recent hash price flashes to ~$27), creating potential margin pressure in adverse price/difficulty moves.
Crypto Market Turmoil and Regulatory Uncertainty
Macro/market headwinds highlighted include the Binance 10/10 flash event, large ETF flows and institutional losses, short‑selling narratives from prominent investors, and regulatory uncertainty (stablecoin reward debates and delays on U.S. crypto legislation) that have depressed sentiment and contributed to volatility.
Operational & Supply Chain Constraints
Seasonal/operational impacts included temporary curtailments in Canada due to cold weather. Management flagged long lead times and backlogs for transformers, chillers, heavier server racks and other long‑lead items needed for tier‑3 conversions, which could delay HPC rollouts and increase conversion costs/timing risk.
Higher G&A and Accounting Noise
G&A increased ~80% YoY per management commentary even as revenue grew (management stated revenue grew >300% though numeric YoY is +219%). Accelerated depreciation and fair‑value accounting create headline losses that obscure operational cash performance and introduce earnings volatility.
Company Guidance
The company reiterated a dual‑engine growth guide: near‑term focus on scaling Buzz/HPC and steady Bitcoin mining cash flow—Q3 revenue was $93.1M with $32.1M gross operating margin (≈35%), adjusted EBITDA $5.7M and a GAAP net loss of $91.3M largely driven by $57M depreciation and $31M fair‑value charges; the balance sheet showed $14M cash + $14M digital assets, 481 BTC treasury, ~243.1M shares outstanding, ~$91M current assets vs ~$52M current liabilities. Operationally HIVE reported 25 EH installed (avg 22.8 EH during the quarter), ~440 MW operating capacity with an additional 100 MW PPA (expected in September), ~1,184 BTC‑equivalent produced in the quarter, and an annualized mining ARR of ~$150M (company‑wide annualized ARR of ~$385M). On HPC/Buzz guidance they expect to grow from ~5,000 GPUs today to 11,000 by year‑end, hit $35M ARR by March 31 (a 70% QoQ increase), target $140M annualized GPU cloud revenue and $225M total HPC/colo ARR by year‑end (blue‑sky GPU ARR up to $200M, total potential ~$285M), with GPU ROI ~2.5 years, lease‑to‑own single‑digit financing, and a cashless $14M realized Treasury optimization converting ~3,800 new ASICs and improving fleet efficiency from 17.5 to 15.7 J/TH.

HIVE Digital Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: strong TTM revenue growth (+33.2%) and a very low-leverage balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.04x) are positives, but profitability remains weak (TTM net loss) and free cash flow is deeply negative (~-$121.5M), with high multi-year earnings volatility.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew strongly (+33.2%), but profitability remains weak with a net loss (-$73.4M) and negative EBIT margin despite a high EBITDA margin. Results have been highly volatile over the last few years (from strong profitability in 2021–2022 to deep losses in 2023–2025), which lowers confidence in earnings quality and durability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively levered: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) total debt is modest (~$19.8M) against a large equity base (~$558.3M), resulting in very low debt-to-equity (~0.04x). Asset base and equity have grown versus prior years, providing financial flexibility, though returns are still relatively low and profitability volatility is a key risk to sustaining equity value.
Cash Flow
39
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is positive (~$86.2M), but free cash flow is deeply negative (~-$121.5M) and has worsened (free cash flow growth -37.9%), implying heavy reinvestment/capex and/or working-capital drag. Cash generation is therefore not yet translating into self-funded growth, increasing reliance on liquidity management despite the low debt load.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue259.33M115.28M114.47M106.32M211.26M88.34M
Gross Profit2.06M-39.34M40.39M-30.46M96.91M60.83M
EBITDA125.57M68.39M24.48M-150.44M153.07M36.18M
Net Income-73.37M-3.00M-51.20M-236.42M79.62M24.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets622.86M531.60M307.58M196.12M452.27M178.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.17M47.51M16.65M7.24M22.32M41.27M
Total Debt19.80M55.16M30.72M35.41M43.32M30.89M
Total Liabilities64.61M82.46M47.89M47.30M63.22M43.86M
Stockholders Equity558.25M449.14M259.69M148.82M389.05M134.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-121.49M-157.67M-65.73M1.95M-146.56M-42.29M
Operating Cash Flow86.24M16.63M13.53M44.78M68.49M22.95M
Investing Cash Flow-270.15M-183.77M-78.36M-40.89M-214.19M-66.86M
Financing Cash Flow187.42M180.73M70.15M-4.64M110.77M78.29M

HIVE Digital Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.87
Price Trends
50DMA
3.69
Negative
100DMA
4.89
Negative
200DMA
4.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
37.86
Neutral
STOCH
44.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HIVE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.02, below the 50-day MA of 3.69, and below the 200-day MA of 4.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:HIVE.

HIVE Digital Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
49
Neutral
C$682.97M-25.17%60.71%-52.29%
45
Neutral
C$8.92M-3.42-540.25%-33.97%59.10%
42
Neutral
C$1.43M-4.4260.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies
3.14
0.42
15.44%
TSE:WBG
Cascadia Blockchain Group Corp
0.02
-0.02
-50.00%
TSE:PBIT
POSaBIT Systems
0.06
-0.03
-31.25%

HIVE Digital Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HIVE’s BUZZ Unit Lands $30 Million in AI Cloud Deals to Drive Tier-III HPC Expansion
Positive
Feb 13, 2026

HIVE Digital Technologies’ BUZZ high-performance computing unit has signed approximately $30 million in AI cloud customer contracts over two-year terms, supporting the first phase of an AI-optimized GPU deployment at its Canada West Tier-III data center in Manitoba. This initial buildout, centered on 504 liquid-cooled Dell server-based GPUs, is expected to come online by the March 31, 2026 quarter and generate about $15 million in annual recurring revenue for BUZZ once fully operational.

Management expects these contracts to lift HIVE’s total annualized HPC revenue from roughly $20 million to about $35 million as BUZZ’s cloud platform scales, backed by vendor financing and strategic Tier-III partnerships to reduce upfront capital intensity. The company plans continued capital investment in GPUs, power and cooling infrastructure, and operations as it pursues broader GPU AI cloud growth, positioning HIVE as a twin-engine provider of both hashrate services and high-performance computing in the evolving digital infrastructure market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HIVE) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HIVE Digital Technologies stock, see the TSE:HIVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HIVE Digital Sets February 17 Date for Fiscal Q3 2026 Results and Earnings Call
Neutral
Feb 12, 2026

HIVE Digital Technologies will release its financial results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, on February 17, 2026, followed by an earnings conference call and webcast at 8:00 a.m. EST the same day. The earnings release and a replay of the call will be made available on the company’s investor relations website, offering shareholders and analysts fresh insight into the performance of its renewable-powered Bitcoin mining and AI infrastructure operations.

The scheduled disclosure underscores HIVE’s effort to maintain visibility in public markets across multiple exchanges while it scales green energy data centers in Canada, Sweden, and Paraguay. Regular, accessible financial communications are key for investors tracking the company’s execution in the competitive digital asset and high-performance computing sectors, where capital allocation, operational efficiency, and energy strategy can materially affect long-term positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HIVE) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HIVE Digital Technologies stock, see the TSE:HIVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HIVE Digital Posts 290% Hashrate Surge as Green-Powered Mining Footprint Expands
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

HIVE Digital Technologies reported strong January 2026 Bitcoin production, with output rising 191% year-over-year to 297 BTC and average hashrate surging 290% to 22.2 EH/s, maintaining more than 2% of the global Bitcoin network share. The company highlighted its resilient, globally distributed operations, including flagship facilities in Paraguay, and continued investments in efficiency through the deployment of new Bitmain S21 XP ASIC miners expected to lift installed hashrate to 25.5 EH/s and improve fleet efficiency to 17 J/TH, while its risk-managed Bitcoin pledge structure and expanding 540 MW green energy portfolio underscore a strategy aimed at scaling profitably and reinforcing its position as a leading, renewable-powered player in digital infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HIVE) stock is a Hold with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HIVE Digital Technologies stock, see the TSE:HIVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
HIVE Digital Pushes Into Paraguay With New AI Cloud Platform and Tier III Data Center
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

HIVE Digital Technologies is expanding its footprint in Paraguay through a strategic joint venture with the country’s largest telecommunications operator to launch one of the first purpose-built AI BUZZ Cloud platforms in Asunción, hosted in a Tier III data center. The initial rollout, slated to begin in the first quarter of 2026, will feature an enterprise-grade GPU cluster for AI training, inference and data-intensive workloads, with plans to scale based on demand and capital availability, leveraging Paraguay’s renewable hydroelectric power and national fiber network. Building on its existing Tier I data centers and substations developed for Bitcoin mining, HIVE is executing a phased strategy to evolve this energy-based infrastructure into higher-tier, AI-ready facilities, positioning Paraguay as an emerging hub for advanced digital infrastructure similar to development patterns seen in Texas and potentially fostering local economic growth and high-skilled tech employment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HIVE) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HIVE Digital Technologies stock, see the TSE:HIVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HIVE Digital Lifts Bitcoin Output and Expands Green Data Centre Capacity
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

HIVE Digital Technologies reported robust Bitcoin production for December 2025, generating 306 BTC—up 197% year over year—and averaging 23.3 EH/s in hashrate while maintaining over 2% of the global Bitcoin network despite higher mining difficulty and weather-related disruptions. For full-year 2025, output rose 31% to 2,311 BTC even as network difficulty hit record highs, and the company outlined plans to add 100 MW of hydro-powered data centre capacity in Paraguay by Q3 2026, which will expand its renewable energy footprint to about 540 MW and reinforce its positioning as a scale green-energy miner and AI infrastructure provider with a geographically diversified, resilient operating platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HIVE) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HIVE Digital Technologies stock, see the TSE:HIVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
HIVE Digital Technologies Expands into Colombian Capital Markets
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies has announced its listing on the Colombian Stock Exchange, marking its entry into Colombia’s deep Andean capital markets. This move positions HIVE as the first Bitcoin-and-AI infrastructure company to list in Colombia, enhancing its visibility among investors interested in sustainable computing and reinforcing its role as a leader in renewable-powered data centers. The listing aligns with Colombia’s growing status as a regional technology hub and offers HIVE a strategic inflection point to access interconnected Andean exchanges, thereby expanding its capital market channels and commitment to sustainable digital infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HIVE) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HIVE Digital Technologies stock, see the TSE:HIVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
HIVE Digital Technologies Expands into Colombian Market with New Stock Exchange Listing
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies has announced its listing on the Colombian Stock Exchange, marking its entry into Colombia’s capital markets and reinforcing its position as a leader in green AI and Bitcoin infrastructure in Latin America. This move enhances HIVE’s visibility among investors and aligns with Colombia’s growth as a regional technology hub. The company is transitioning from Bitcoin mining to advanced AI and HPC cloud infrastructure, leveraging renewable energy sources to expand its market and accelerate revenue from enterprise AI and HPC customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HIVE) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HIVE Digital Technologies stock, see the TSE:HIVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HIVE Digital Technologies Reports Record Bitcoin Production and Expands AI Infrastructure
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies announced a significant increase in its Bitcoin production, achieving a year-to-date high of 290 BTC in November 2025, supported by a 25 EH/s global mining capacity. The company has fully deployed its 300 MW capacity in Paraguay and plans further expansion with an additional 100 MW hydroelectric-powered data center. HIVE is also advancing its AI and HPC infrastructure, with its subsidiary BUZZ HPC leading in network download speed, positioning the company at the forefront of green-energy AI infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HIVE) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HIVE Digital Technologies stock, see the TSE:HIVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
HIVE Digital Technologies Launches $300 Million ATM Equity Program
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. has announced an equity distribution agreement to launch an ‘at-the-market’ equity program, allowing the company to sell up to US$300 million of its common shares. This strategic move is expected to enhance HIVE’s financial flexibility and support its growth initiatives in the sustainable data center infrastructure sector, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HIVE) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HIVE Digital Technologies stock, see the TSE:HIVE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026