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Sol Strategies (TSE:HODL)
:HODL

Sol Strategies (HODL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HODL

Sol Strategies

(HODL)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▼(-18.37% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance: a sharp profitability breakdown in FY2025 and continued negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals add further pressure with a strong downtrend and bearish momentum. Valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings (negative P/E) and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth
Sustained top-line growth indicates expanding demand for Solana-focused staking and services, improving the company's ability to scale fixed costs and invest in product/partnership development. Durable revenue expansion supports longer-term operational leverage if margins stabilize.
Sizable equity base with moderate leverage
A substantial equity cushion relative to debt gives Sol Strategies financial flexibility to absorb losses and fund organic growth or acquisitions without immediate distress. Moderate leverage reduces short-term refinancing pressure and supports runway while the business scales staking operations.
Recurring staking income and strategic partnerships
Repeatable staking and validating revenue that covers operating costs is a structurally positive cash generator tied to Solana adoption. Coupled with ETF/provider partnerships and Solana focus, this creates a durable, asset-light revenue stream that can improve cash conversion over time.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow signals ongoing cash burn that undermines financial resilience. Over several quarters this heightens funding needs, forces dilutive financing or higher leverage, and constrains the firm's ability to invest in product development or scale infrastructure.
Large net loss and earnings volatility
Extreme swings in profitability reduce predictability of future cash flows and complicate planning. Volatile margins undermine confidence in operations' scalability and make it harder to sustain investment in technology and partnerships without robust, consistent earnings conversion.
Rising liabilities and increased funding risk
Growth in liabilities and use of credit facilities elevates refinancing and interest-rate exposure. Coupled with recurring losses, this increases default or covenant risk and may force costly capital raises or tighter liquidity management, reducing strategic flexibility over the medium term.

Sol Strategies (HODL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Sol Strategies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSol Strategies, Inc. is an investment company. The firm is focused on the Solana ecosystem, which provides strategic investments and infrastructure solutions to enable decentralized finance. Its portfolio includes NGRAVE, Chia Network Inc., and zkSNACKS Limited. The company was founded on October 1, 2002 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCypherpunk Holdings Inc. generates revenue primarily through strategic investments in cryptocurrencies and privacy-centric technologies. The company holds significant positions in digital currencies like Bitcoin and Monero, and derives income from the appreciation of these assets. Additionally, Cypherpunk Holdings invests in and partners with companies that develop privacy-enhancing technologies, potentially earning returns from the growth and success of these ventures. This includes direct equity investments or revenue-sharing agreements with privacy-focused startups and blockchain projects. The company's earnings are influenced by the performance of the cryptocurrency market and the success of its portfolio companies.

Sol Strategies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Sol Strategies demonstrated strong operational growth and strategic advancements, particularly in validator operations and institutional partnerships. However, financial performance was negatively impacted by non-cash losses due to declining SOL prices and increased operating expenses. Overall, the company's long-term prospects appear promising, but short-term financial results are challenged by market volatility.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Staked Assets
Sol Strategies increased its total staked assets from 1.57 million SOL to 3.39 million SOL by the end of the quarter, marking a 113% increase.
Expansion of Validator Operations
The company acquired Laine, a major validator in the Solana ecosystem, and expanded its validator infrastructure through a white label program.
Institutional Partnerships and Recognition
Sol Strategies secured partnerships with BitGo and DigitalX, and was named a validator for Marinade Select, indicating growing institutional trust.
Technological Advancements and Innovations
The launch of a staking app and performance dashboard on Dune enhances transparency and user experience.
Capital Market Activities
Filed a preliminary US$1 billion base shelf prospectus and secured over US$525 million in capital commitments.
Negative Updates
Comprehensive Loss Due to Decline in SOL Prices
The company reported a total comprehensive loss of $32.5 million for the quarter, largely due to unrealized losses on SOL holdings.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased to $8.5 million due to stock-based compensation, amortization of acquisitions, and interest expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Sol Strategies Inc. fiscal second quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted that underscored the company's strategic progress and financial performance. Notably, the company achieved a 113% increase in total staked assets, reaching 3.39 million SOL by the end of the quarter, and expanded its unique wallets supported to over 5,500. Financially, the quarter ended with a total comprehensive loss of approximately $32.5 million, attributed largely to a $27.7 million unrealized loss on cryptocurrencies due to declining SOL prices. Despite this, staking and validating income grew 104% to $2.53 million, indicating strong operational momentum. On the balance sheet, Sol Strategies held roughly CAD 100 million of SOL, bolstered by significant capital commitments totaling over US$525 million in the past six months. The company also completed SOC 1 and SOC 2 Type 1 audits, cementing its compliance credentials. Additionally, Sol Strategies filed a US$1 billion base shelf prospectus to enhance its capital-raising flexibility, and reported adjusted EBITDA of $714,000 for the quarter, reflecting its core business's cash-generating potential despite non-cash accounting impacts.

Sol Strategies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong FY2025 revenue growth (+37.1% YoY), results deteriorated materially with a swing to a very large loss (net margin ~-241%) and negative operating performance. Cash flow is a major weakness with deeply negative operating/free cash flow (~-$11.0M) and recurring cash burn, while the balance sheet remains supported by equity but leverage increased sharply (debt-to-equity ~0.45) and ROE turned significantly negative (~-30.5%).
Income Statement
32
Negative
Revenue expanded strongly in FY2025 (+37.1% YoY), but profitability deteriorated sharply: the company swung from a healthy FY2024 profit (net margin ~70%) to a very large FY2025 loss (net margin ~-241%), with operating results also negative. The multi-year profile shows high volatility (profits in FY2022/FY2024 versus losses in FY2021/FY2023/FY2025), reducing confidence in earnings quality and consistency.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
The balance sheet is supported by a sizable equity base in FY2025 (~$114.8M) versus total debt (~$51.9M), implying moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.45). However, returns to shareholders turned materially negative in FY2025 (ROE ~-30.5%), and leverage rose substantially versus prior years (minimal debt in FY2022–FY2024), increasing financial risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is weak: FY2025 operating cash flow and free cash flow were both deeply negative (about -$11.0M), and free cash flow fell sharply versus FY2024 (growth ~-87%). FY2024 also showed negative operating/free cash flow despite strong reported earnings, and several years show recurring cash burn—highlighting a gap between reported profitability and cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.11M14.56M9.40M0.000.00117.66K
Gross Profit-1.68M0.009.40M0.000.00117.66K
EBITDA-3.17M-1.28M7.97M-6.59M-3.70M-1.46M
Net Income-35.06M-35.04M6.61M-6.28M358.46K-1.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets169.60M169.60M28.90M17.05M23.89M31.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.79M1.79M1.81M1.93M18.60M876.76K
Total Debt51.91M51.91M0.000.000.001.19M
Total Liabilities54.82M54.82M2.18M226.48K308.29K3.39M
Stockholders Equity114.78M114.78M26.72M16.83M23.58M27.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-87.60M-11.03M-856.73K-1.13M-1.79M-2.57M
Operating Cash Flow-11.00M-11.00M-856.73K-1.13M211.00-1.64M
Investing Cash Flow-73.20M-73.20M1.51M-14.77M18.84M-12.08M
Financing Cash Flow84.18M84.18M-767.96K-707.76K-1.18M14.10M

Sol Strategies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.45
Price Trends
50DMA
2.99
Negative
100DMA
4.48
Negative
200DMA
11.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
39.06
Neutral
STOCH
11.30
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HODL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.84, below the 50-day MA of 2.99, and below the 200-day MA of 11.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:HODL.

Sol Strategies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
52
Neutral
C$22.76M-1.63-63.28%36.80%9.34%
52
Neutral
C$53.58M-5.02-10.10%39.64%-70.96%
45
Neutral
C$86.46M-2.96-90.12%972.76%-192.94%
44
Neutral
C$21.10M-5.63-13.56%40.83%-123.25%
43
Neutral
C$109.04M-13.490.60%-21.21%-84.82%
41
Neutral
C$63.97M-1.45-6.67%-90.34%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HODL
Sol Strategies
2.28
-34.12
-93.74%
TSE:DEFI
DeFi Technologies
0.83
0.00
0.00%
TSE:NDA
Neptune Digital Assets
0.85
-1.54
-64.44%
TSE:BIGG
BIGG Digital Assets
0.07
-0.10
-60.61%
TSE:DMGI
DMG Blockchain Solutions
0.26
-0.08
-24.64%
TSE:CBIT
Cathedra Bitcoin Inc
0.72
-1.38
-65.71%

Sol Strategies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
SOL Strategies Debuts STKESOL Liquid Staking Platform on Solana
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

SOL Strategies has launched STKESOL, a liquid staking token that allows Solana holders to stake their SOL for rewards while retaining liquidity through a tradable token integrated at launch with major Solana DeFi platforms like Orca, Squads, Kamino and Loopscale. Built on Solana’s audited SPL Stake Pool Program and using SOL Strategies’ Stakewiz-based validator ranking, STKESOL automatically distributes stake across dozens of validators, aiming to reduce concentration risk, enhance network decentralization, and support smaller validators, while establishing new fee-based revenue streams that complement the company’s existing infrastructure operations and strengthen its position as a key institutional-grade provider in the rapidly growing liquid staking market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
SOL Strategies Tightens Balance Sheet and Expands Capital Access as Solana Operations Scale
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

In its December 2025 business update, SOL Strategies reported active engagement in the Solana ecosystem, highlighted by participation in the Solana Breakpoint conference and co-hosting a validator-focused summit where it showcased open-source tooling for improving validator redundancy and uptime. The company continues to scale its validator and treasury operations, holding more than 523,000 SOL, overseeing over 3.3 million SOL in assets under delegation, serving nearly 27,000 unique wallets, and delivering near-perfect validator uptime and competitive yields, underscoring its operational strength and growing institutional relevance. Management also emphasized a key balance sheet optimization move through the restructuring and repayment of a credit facility with its largest shareholder, while post-period it launched a US$50 million at-the-market equity program to support treasury growth, potential M&A, and working capital, signaling an effort to strengthen its capital structure and fund further expansion in the Solana infrastructure space.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
SOL Strategies Restructures Related-Party Credit Facility to Cut Debt and Bolster Balance Sheet
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. has reached an agreement to restructure and repay its credit facility with former board chairman and major shareholder Antanas Guoga, converting half of the outstanding balance into equity and repaying the remainder in cash. The transaction, which involves issuing more than 2.3 million common shares at a set price and settling the rest through two near-term cash tranches, is characterized by the company as a key step in reducing liabilities, optimizing its capital structure, and reinforcing balance-sheet health, while also constituting a related-party deal under Canadian securities rules for which SOL Strategies is relying on standard exemptions and will provide required disclosures in a forthcoming material change report.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SOL Strategies Posts 37% Revenue Jump and Expands Solana Holdings Despite EBITDA Decline
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

SOL Strategies reported a 36.7% year-over-year increase in revenue to approximately CAD$14.5 million for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, driven largely by new validator and staking reward income, which rose to roughly CAD$5.4 million and CAD$4.8 million respectively from negligible levels a year earlier. Despite this top-line growth and a more than fourfold increase in its Solana (SOL) holdings to 435,159 SOL valued at about CAD$126.4 million, the company’s adjusted EBITDA declined to approximately CAD$4.2 million from CAD$9.5 million, suggesting higher costs or investment in scaling operations as it deepens its role in the Solana ecosystem; management will discuss the results and business outlook on a webcast and conference call on January 6, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SOL Strategies Sets Date for Fiscal 2025 Earnings Release and Investor Call
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. will release its financial results for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025 on December 29, 2025 and will host a webcast and conference call on January 6, 2026, led by its interim CEO and senior leadership team to review performance and take questions from the investment community. The planned event underscores the company’s effort to engage investors around recent milestones and its growth outlook in the Solana-focused blockchain investment space, offering stakeholders more visibility into its operations and strategic positioning in a rapidly evolving digital asset ecosystem.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingProduct-Related Announcements
SOL Strategies Strengthens Position with VanEck Solana ETF Staking Mandate
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. announced its selection as a staking provider for the VanEck Solana ETF, highlighting its operational excellence and reinforcing its strategic positioning within the Solana ecosystem as a premier institutional infrastructure provider. The company also engaged in industry conferences and restructured its debt via DeFi, reflecting its ongoing balance sheet management and utilization of Solana-based financial infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
SOL Strategies to Engage Investors at Upcoming Conferences
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. announced its participation in two upcoming investor conferences, highlighting its active engagement with the investment community. The company’s involvement in these events underscores its commitment to expanding its presence and influence within the blockchain and decentralized applications industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026