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Sol Strategies (TSE:HODL)
:HODL

Sol Strategies (HODL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HODL

Sol Strategies

(HODL)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.50
▲(42.86% Upside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance: a large FY2025 loss, negative operating/free cash flow, and higher leverage. Technicals remain mixed with the price still below key longer-term averages and a negative MACD. Offsetting factors include a more constructive earnings-call outlook tied to staking income, partnerships, and asset growth, though expense and regulatory risks remain.
Positive Factors
Staking-driven cash flow
Staking/validating revenue covered cash operating costs in the quarter and produced recurring cash inflows. This business model—earning fees via protocol participation—is structurally scalable with assets under management and can provide durable operating cash generation as staking volumes grow.
Strategic partnerships & positioning
Exclusive focus on Solana plus institutional partnerships and ETF-provider relationships create differentiated distribution and demand channels. Structural ties to index/ETF product flow and custodial partners support sustained AUM growth and competitive positioning in institutional staking services.
Sizeable asset and liquidity buffer
Material cash/digital asset holdings and a sizeable equity base provide a multi-month liquidity buffer and balance-sheet flexibility. While not unlimited, this asset base and equity cushion support continued operations and inorganic growth while management executes staking and integration strategies.
Negative Factors
Recurring cash burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow (~-$11M FY2025) signals structural cash generation issues. Persistent cash burn increases dependence on external financing, dilutes the runway provided by current assets, and raises long-term funding and execution risk if cash flows don't improve.
Volatile, deteriorated profitability
A dramatic swing to a deep FY2025 loss and heavily negative margins after prior profitable years shows earnings volatility and weak earnings quality. Such inconsistency hampers forecasting, undermines returns, and raises the probability that future capital will be needed to stabilize operations.
Rising leverage and liabilities
Leverage has risen materially from minimal levels to a moderate debt-to-equity ratio and liabilities grew by ~$12.2M, increasing financial rigidity. Higher debt and credit facility use can constrain strategic flexibility, raise interest/covenant risk, and heighten refinancing needs if losses continue.

Sol Strategies (HODL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Sol Strategies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSol Strategies, Inc. is an investment company. The firm is focused on the Solana ecosystem, which provides strategic investments and infrastructure solutions to enable decentralized finance. Its portfolio includes NGRAVE, Chia Network Inc., and zkSNACKS Limited. The company was founded on October 1, 2002 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCypherpunk Holdings Inc. generates revenue primarily through strategic investments in cryptocurrencies and privacy-centric technologies. The company holds significant positions in digital currencies like Bitcoin and Monero, and derives income from the appreciation of these assets. Additionally, Cypherpunk Holdings invests in and partners with companies that develop privacy-enhancing technologies, potentially earning returns from the growth and success of these ventures. This includes direct equity investments or revenue-sharing agreements with privacy-focused startups and blockchain projects. The company's earnings are influenced by the performance of the cryptocurrency market and the success of its portfolio companies.

Sol Strategies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Sol Strategies demonstrated strong operational growth and strategic advancements, particularly in validator operations and institutional partnerships. However, financial performance was negatively impacted by non-cash losses due to declining SOL prices and increased operating expenses. Overall, the company's long-term prospects appear promising, but short-term financial results are challenged by market volatility.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Staked Assets
Sol Strategies increased its total staked assets from 1.57 million SOL to 3.39 million SOL by the end of the quarter, marking a 113% increase.
Expansion of Validator Operations
The company acquired Laine, a major validator in the Solana ecosystem, and expanded its validator infrastructure through a white label program.
Institutional Partnerships and Recognition
Sol Strategies secured partnerships with BitGo and DigitalX, and was named a validator for Marinade Select, indicating growing institutional trust.
Technological Advancements and Innovations
The launch of a staking app and performance dashboard on Dune enhances transparency and user experience.
Capital Market Activities
Filed a preliminary US$1 billion base shelf prospectus and secured over US$525 million in capital commitments.
Negative Updates
Comprehensive Loss Due to Decline in SOL Prices
The company reported a total comprehensive loss of $32.5 million for the quarter, largely due to unrealized losses on SOL holdings.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased to $8.5 million due to stock-based compensation, amortization of acquisitions, and interest expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Sol Strategies Inc. fiscal second quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted that underscored the company's strategic progress and financial performance. Notably, the company achieved a 113% increase in total staked assets, reaching 3.39 million SOL by the end of the quarter, and expanded its unique wallets supported to over 5,500. Financially, the quarter ended with a total comprehensive loss of approximately $32.5 million, attributed largely to a $27.7 million unrealized loss on cryptocurrencies due to declining SOL prices. Despite this, staking and validating income grew 104% to $2.53 million, indicating strong operational momentum. On the balance sheet, Sol Strategies held roughly CAD 100 million of SOL, bolstered by significant capital commitments totaling over US$525 million in the past six months. The company also completed SOC 1 and SOC 2 Type 1 audits, cementing its compliance credentials. Additionally, Sol Strategies filed a US$1 billion base shelf prospectus to enhance its capital-raising flexibility, and reported adjusted EBITDA of $714,000 for the quarter, reflecting its core business's cash-generating potential despite non-cash accounting impacts.

Sol Strategies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cypherpunk Holdings Inc exhibits strong revenue growth and improved net profitability, showcasing potential for future earnings. However, operational inefficiencies and cash flow challenges highlight areas needing attention. The balance sheet's low leverage is a positive sign, though asset and liability management requires careful monitoring to ensure sustainable growth.
Income Statement
The company shows impressive revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from previous periods, especially notable in the TTM period. However, fluctuating EBIT margins and negative EBIT in multiple periods indicate operational challenges. The net profit margin has improved, with a substantial positive net income in the TTM period, which is a strong indicator of profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a healthy equity ratio with low debt levels, indicating financial stability and low leverage. However, the significant increase in total assets and liabilities over the TTM period suggests potential risks related to asset management and liability obligations. Return on equity has improved, reflecting better use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
While the company has shown a substantial increase in financing cash flow in the TTM period, the negative free cash flow and operating cash flow indicate potential cash management issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, as it underscores cash flow challenges despite reported net income improvements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.11M14.56M9.40M0.000.00117.66K
Gross Profit-1.68M0.009.40M0.000.00117.66K
EBITDA-1.28M-1.28M7.97M-6.59M-3.70M-1.46M
Net Income-35.06M-35.04M6.61M-6.28M358.46K-1.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets169.60M169.60M28.90M17.05M23.89M31.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.79M1.79M1.81M1.93M18.60M876.76K
Total Debt51.91M51.91M0.000.000.001.19M
Total Liabilities54.82M54.82M2.18M226.48K308.29K3.39M
Stockholders Equity114.78M114.78M26.72M16.83M23.58M27.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-87.60M-11.03M-856.73K-1.13M-1.79M-2.57M
Operating Cash Flow-11.00M-11.00M-856.73K-1.13M211.00-1.64M
Investing Cash Flow-73.20M-73.20M1.51M-14.77M18.84M-12.08M
Financing Cash Flow84.18M84.18M-767.96K-707.76K-1.18M14.10M

Sol Strategies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.45
Price Trends
50DMA
3.44
Negative
100DMA
5.56
Negative
200DMA
12.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
51.08
Neutral
STOCH
80.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HODL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.74, below the 50-day MA of 3.44, and below the 200-day MA of 12.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:HODL.

Sol Strategies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
52
Neutral
C$26.26M-1.88-63.28%36.80%9.34%
49
Neutral
C$85.86M-1.94-6.67%-90.34%
49
Neutral
C$138.54M372.410.60%-21.21%-84.82%
45
Neutral
C$86.46M-2.96-90.12%972.76%-192.94%
45
Neutral
C$27.84M-7.43-13.56%40.83%-123.25%
44
Neutral
C$56.70M-5.41-10.10%39.64%-70.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HODL
Sol Strategies
3.06
-21.02
-87.29%
TSE:DEFI
DeFi Technologies
0.83
0.00
0.00%
TSE:NDA
Neptune Digital Assets
1.08
0.13
13.68%
TSE:BIGG
BIGG Digital Assets
0.08
-0.08
-52.53%
TSE:DMGI
DMG Blockchain Solutions
0.28
-0.06
-18.84%
TSE:CBIT
Cathedra Bitcoin Inc
0.95
-0.85
-47.22%

Sol Strategies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
SOL Strategies Restructures Related-Party Credit Facility to Cut Debt and Bolster Balance Sheet
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. has reached an agreement to restructure and repay its credit facility with former board chairman and major shareholder Antanas Guoga, converting half of the outstanding balance into equity and repaying the remainder in cash. The transaction, which involves issuing more than 2.3 million common shares at a set price and settling the rest through two near-term cash tranches, is characterized by the company as a key step in reducing liabilities, optimizing its capital structure, and reinforcing balance-sheet health, while also constituting a related-party deal under Canadian securities rules for which SOL Strategies is relying on standard exemptions and will provide required disclosures in a forthcoming material change report.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SOL Strategies Posts 37% Revenue Jump and Expands Solana Holdings Despite EBITDA Decline
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

SOL Strategies reported a 36.7% year-over-year increase in revenue to approximately CAD$14.5 million for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, driven largely by new validator and staking reward income, which rose to roughly CAD$5.4 million and CAD$4.8 million respectively from negligible levels a year earlier. Despite this top-line growth and a more than fourfold increase in its Solana (SOL) holdings to 435,159 SOL valued at about CAD$126.4 million, the company’s adjusted EBITDA declined to approximately CAD$4.2 million from CAD$9.5 million, suggesting higher costs or investment in scaling operations as it deepens its role in the Solana ecosystem; management will discuss the results and business outlook on a webcast and conference call on January 6, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SOL Strategies Sets Date for Fiscal 2025 Earnings Release and Investor Call
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. will release its financial results for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025 on December 29, 2025 and will host a webcast and conference call on January 6, 2026, led by its interim CEO and senior leadership team to review performance and take questions from the investment community. The planned event underscores the company’s effort to engage investors around recent milestones and its growth outlook in the Solana-focused blockchain investment space, offering stakeholders more visibility into its operations and strategic positioning in a rapidly evolving digital asset ecosystem.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingProduct-Related Announcements
SOL Strategies Strengthens Position with VanEck Solana ETF Staking Mandate
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. announced its selection as a staking provider for the VanEck Solana ETF, highlighting its operational excellence and reinforcing its strategic positioning within the Solana ecosystem as a premier institutional infrastructure provider. The company also engaged in industry conferences and restructured its debt via DeFi, reflecting its ongoing balance sheet management and utilization of Solana-based financial infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
SOL Strategies to Engage Investors at Upcoming Conferences
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. announced its participation in two upcoming investor conferences, highlighting its active engagement with the investment community. The company’s involvement in these events underscores its commitment to expanding its presence and influence within the blockchain and decentralized applications industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
SOL Strategies Achieves SOC 2 Type 2 Certification, Enhancing Security Standards
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. has successfully completed its SOC 2 Type 2 and SOC 1 Type 2 examinations with no exceptions noted, reinforcing its commitment to institutional-grade security standards for Solana staking. This achievement validates the company’s robust controls and effective risk management, enhancing its position as a trusted provider in the Solana ecosystem and offering comprehensive assurance to institutional clients.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
SOL Strategies to Engage Investors in Fireside Chat
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. announced that its Interim CEO, Michael Hubbard, will participate in a Water Tower Research Fireside Chat on October 16, 2025. The event will discuss recent leadership changes, an upsized LIFE offering, and the sustainability and competitive differentiation of the company’s DAT++ business model. This participation highlights SOL Strategies’ commitment to transparency and engagement with investors, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
SOL Strategies Expands Solana Treasury with Strategic SOL Purchase
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

SOL Strategies Inc. announced the purchase of 88,433 SOL tokens using proceeds from its C$30 million LIFE offering. This strategic move, which includes acquiring locked SOL tokens at a discount and staking them immediately, underscores the company’s commitment to expanding its Solana treasury and leveraging its validator business to generate staking rewards, aligning with its DAT++ strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HODL) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sol Strategies stock, see the TSE:HODL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026