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Greenlane Renewables Inc (TSE:GRN)
TSX:GRN

Greenlane Renewables Inc (GRN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GRN

Greenlane Renewables Inc

(TSX:GRN)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.22
▼(-6.67% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/04/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (return to profitability and stronger margins, with low leverage) and a positive earnings-call backdrop (profitability, growing backlog, strong cash). These positives are tempered by inconsistent top-line performance and less durable cash-flow trends, while technical signals remain mostly neutral-to-soft.
Positive Factors
Profitability Turnaround
Sustained profitability over consecutive quarters indicates the company has moved past prior losses and can cover operating costs. This durability improves reinvestment capacity, reduces reliance on external financing, and enhances credibility with customers and suppliers, supporting long-term project execution.
Improved Margins
Higher and recovering gross margins reflect better pricing, product mix, or operational efficiency in system delivery. Sustained margin expansion increases long-term cash conversion on projects, strengthens profitability resilience across project cycles, and supports funding of growth initiatives and aftermarket services.
Conservative Balance Sheet & Cash
A low-debt capital structure and a healthy cash cushion give the company flexibility to fund project working capital, invest in R&D and new product rollouts, and absorb project timing swings without costly refinancing. This structural strength reduces solvency risk.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Top-line Growth
Material year-over-year revenue decline and a history of volatility indicate the business remains sensitive to project timing and contract cadence. Persistent top-line inconsistency makes long-term planning, scaling aftermarket revenue, and justifying fixed-cost investments more difficult for sustained growth.
Weak Cash-flow Durability
Although current TTM cash generation is positive, sharp declines and a pattern of past negative operating and free cash flow show cash conversion is volatile. This raises execution risk on project delivery and constrains reinvestment without stable, repeatable cash flows.
Revenue Timing Risk from New Product
The new Cascade LF system is a strategic product, but delayed revenue realization defers cash and profit benefits. Reliance on future deliveries amplifies backlog conversion risk and exposes results to execution, customer financing and permitting timelines over the coming 12–24 months.

Greenlane Renewables Inc (GRN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Greenlane Renewables Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreenlane Renewables Inc. designs, develops, sells, and services a range of biogas upgrading systems worldwide. The company's systems remove impurities and separate carbon dioxide from biomethane in the raw biogas created from anaerobic decomposition of organic waste at landfills, wastewater treatment plants, and farms and for injection food waste facilities into the natural gas grid or for direct use as vehicle fuel. It offers water wash, pressure swing adsorption, and membrane separation technologies. The company markets and sells its upgrading systems under the Greenlane Biogas brand. The company was formerly known as Creation Capital Corp. and changed its name to Greenlane Renewables Inc. in June 2019. Greenlane Renewables Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Burnaby, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreenlane Renewables generates revenue primarily through the sale of its biogas upgrading systems and related technology solutions. Key revenue streams include system sales, which involve the provision of equipment and technology for biogas upgrading projects, and ongoing service contracts that cover maintenance and support for these systems. Additionally, the company may earn revenue from partnerships with various stakeholders in the renewable energy sector, including municipalities and private enterprises investing in RNG projects. Greenlane's financial performance can also be influenced by government policies promoting renewable energy and waste management solutions, as well as the growing demand for sustainable energy sources globally.

Greenlane Renewables Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for Greenlane Renewables, with notable achievements in profitability, revenue growth, and product innovation. The strong cash position and increase in sales order backlog further support a favorable sentiment. However, the delay in revenue realization from the new Cascade LF system presents a challenge. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Adjusted EBITDA and Earnings
Greenlane Renewables reported positive adjusted EBITDA and net income for the third quarter, marking back-to-back quarters of profitability and a significant turnaround from last year's net loss.
Revenue Growth
The company achieved a 10% increase in revenue, reaching $11.6 million compared to $10.5 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Increase in Sales Order Backlog
Sales order backlog grew significantly to $33.5 million, up 27% from Q2 and 58% from Q1 of this year.
Launch of Cascade LF Upgrading Technology
Greenlane introduced its next-generation Cascade LF upgrading system, designed to enhance revenue-generating RNG output from landfill gas assets, with positive initial customer feedback.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin before amortization increased to 39% from 34% last year, driven by stronger sales and enhanced operational efficiency.
Strong Cash Position
The company reported a strong cash balance of $19.3 million, up from $16.2 million at the end of 2024, with no debt.
Negative Updates
Delayed Revenue from New Orders
Revenue from new orders of the Cascade LF system is not expected until 2026, indicating a delay in financial benefits from this product line.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Greenlane Renewables reported strong financial performance, highlighted by a 10% increase in revenue to $11.6 million compared to Q3 2024. The company achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA of $0.5 million and a net income of $0.1 million, marking a significant improvement from last year's net loss of $2 million. Greenlane's gross margin before amortization rose to 39% from 34% the previous year, while general and administrative expenses declined by 5%. The sales order backlog expanded to $33.5 million, showing a 27% sequential increase from Q2 2025 and a 58% increase from Q1. The company maintained a healthy cash position, with $19.3 million on hand, up from $16.2 million at the end of 2024, partially due to a $1.2 million release of restricted cash. Greenlane also launched its Cascade LF upgrading technology, aimed at enhancing RNG output from landfill gas, and is expected to generate revenue starting in 2026.

Greenlane Renewables Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
A clear turnaround is underway with TTM profitability and improved gross margin (~42%), plus low leverage supporting financial flexibility. Offsetting this, TTM revenue is down versus 2024 and free cash flow has weakened sharply from 2024, highlighting ongoing volatility and still-developing cash-flow durability.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Profitability has improved materially: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net income is positive ($2.35M) versus losses in 2024 and 2023, and margins rebounded with a stronger gross margin (~42% TTM vs ~30% in 2024). The main offset is growth quality—TTM revenue is down versus 2024 ($42.2M vs $51.8M), even though the TTM period shows a strong growth rate in the dataset, suggesting results may be volatile or mix-driven. Overall, earnings momentum is better, but top-line consistency remains a key weakness.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively financed, with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.10 TTM; similarly low in prior years). Equity remains sizeable relative to assets, providing flexibility. Returns are improving (ROE ~9.7% TTM) after negative ROE in 2024 and especially 2023, but the business has a track record of earnings variability, which is the primary risk despite the low debt load.
Cash Flow
61
Positive
Cash generation is currently positive with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow of $2.8M and free cash flow of $2.6M, and free cash flow broadly tracks reported earnings (free cash flow to net income ~0.95 TTM). However, free cash flow declined sharply versus 2024 (negative growth of ~61%), and the company has a history of negative operating and free cash flow in 2023 and 2021, indicating cash flow durability is still developing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.15M51.82M57.82M71.24M55.35M22.50M
Gross Profit17.63M15.43M14.38M14.93M12.89M6.42M
EBITDA6.09M655.00K-11.15M-3.05M-868.00K-528.00K
Net Income2.35M-1.86M-29.58M-5.50M-2.45M-2.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.30M45.35M54.35M83.39M78.79M43.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.27M16.17M11.79M21.38M31.47M16.44M
Total Debt2.50M2.07M1.95M1.24M459.00K6.64M
Total Liabilities22.47M21.38M29.05M29.90M22.30M17.30M
Stockholders Equity24.84M23.98M25.30M53.48M56.48M25.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.63M4.54M-9.20M-475.00K-10.69M-2.10M
Operating Cash Flow2.79M4.62M-9.00M40.00K-10.48M-2.04M
Investing Cash Flow771.00K-53.00K-311.00K-9.91M-217.00K-53.00K
Financing Cash Flow-348.00K-278.00K-265.00K-231.00K25.72M16.27M

Greenlane Renewables Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.23
Positive
100DMA
0.24
Positive
200DMA
0.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
56.38
Neutral
STOCH
63.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, above the 50-day MA of 0.23, and above the 200-day MA of 0.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GRN.

Greenlane Renewables Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
C$43.35M20.4319.05%-13.85%-60.15%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
C$37.92M16.0010.00%-30.45%
59
Neutral
C$26.46M51.67-1.51%-3.45%-104.92%
53
Neutral
C$472.23M-22.20-114.59%-33.91%-40.26%
44
Neutral
C$8.33M-5.20-7.42%87.15%47.74%
42
Neutral
C$17.24M-4.3914.18%-29.19%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GRN
Greenlane Renewables Inc
0.24
0.15
182.35%
TSE:BRM
Biorem Inc
2.69
0.20
8.03%
TSE:SHRC
Sharc International Systems Inc
0.11
<0.01
5.00%
TSE:QST
Questor Technology
0.30
-0.02
-6.25%
TSE:TMG
Thermal Energy International
0.16
0.01
10.71%
TSE:ACT
Aduro Clean Technologies
14.19
7.12
100.71%

Greenlane Renewables Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Greenlane Renewables Promotes Dale Goudie to Chief Technology Officer
Positive
Nov 29, 2025

Greenlane Renewables Inc. has announced the promotion of Dale Goudie to Chief Technology Officer. With 30 years of engineering experience, Goudie has been instrumental in developing Greenlane’s Cascade LF landfill gas upgrading system and expanding the company’s patent portfolio. His promotion reflects his leadership and innovative contributions, which have positioned Greenlane as a technology leader in the renewable natural gas market. As CTO, Goudie will continue to drive technological advancements and commercialization efforts that support global decarbonization, strengthening Greenlane’s leadership in biogas desulfurization and upgrading solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRN) stock is a Hold with a C$0.24 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenlane Renewables Inc stock, see the TSE:GRN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
Greenlane Renewables Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Launches New Technology
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Greenlane Renewables reported positive financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a revenue increase to $11.6 million and a positive adjusted EBITDA of $0.5 million. The company has launched its next-generation landfill gas upgrading technology, Cascade LF, which is expected to drive future growth. The sales order backlog has significantly increased, and the company is on track with its strategic initiatives for 2025, positioning itself for long-term value creation for shareholders and customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRN) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenlane Renewables Inc stock, see the TSE:GRN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Greenlane Renewables to Release Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

Greenlane Renewables Inc. will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 13, 2025, after market close. The announcement will be followed by a video presentation by the CEO and CFO discussing the results. This release is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and its ongoing efforts in the energy transition sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026