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Thermal Energy International Inc (TSE:TMG)
:TMG

Thermal Energy International (TMG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TMG

Thermal Energy International

(TMG)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.11
▼(-6.67% Downside)
Thermal Energy International's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow generation, which are reflected in its negative P/E ratio and bearish technical indicators. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships enhance market presence and provide access to larger projects and funding, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Improved Leverage
Improved leverage indicates better financial management, potentially reducing risk and improving financial stability over time.
Stable Gross Profit Margin
A stable gross profit margin suggests consistent cost management and pricing power, which are crucial for long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth indicates challenges in market expansion or product adoption, potentially impacting long-term business prospects.
Cash Flow Decline
Declining cash flow can limit reinvestment opportunities and strain financial resources, affecting future growth and stability.
Profitability Challenges
Negative profitability indicates operational inefficiencies and could hinder the company's ability to generate shareholder value.

Thermal Energy International (TMG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Thermal Energy International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThermal Energy International Inc. engages in the development, engineering, and supply of pollution control products, heat recovery systems, and condensate return solutions in North America, Europe, and internationally. Its products include GEM steam traps; FLU-ACE, a direct contact condensing heat recovery system that recycles the heat lost through the boiler flue gas exhaust; DRY-REX, a low temperature biomass dryer; indirect contact heat recovery equipment; boiler economizers under the HeatSponge brand; wet and dry steam accumulators; electricity co-generation solutions; turn-key thermal energy solutions; and water treatment products and services. It serves food and beverage, pulp and paper, hospital, pharmaceutical, chemicals and petrochemicals, and other industry sectors. Thermal Energy International Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Ottawa, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTMG generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of its thermal energy systems and solutions, which are tailored to meet the specific needs of various industries. Additionally, the company earns income from installation services and ongoing maintenance contracts for its systems. Strategic partnerships with key industry players and government agencies facilitate access to larger projects and funding opportunities, enhancing TMG's market presence. Furthermore, TMG may benefit from performance-based contracts, where revenue is tied to the energy savings achieved through their solutions, aligning their earnings with the success of their offerings.

Thermal Energy International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 23, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Thermal Energy International experienced a record fiscal year revenue and improved margins despite facing a year-over-year revenue decline. The company significantly reduced its debt and outlined strategic initiatives for future growth. However, there were challenges with reduced adjusted EBITDA and lower order intake and backlog at year-end. The positive aspects, including a strong order rebound post year-end, marginally outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fiscal Year Revenue
Thermal Energy International achieved record fiscal year revenue of $29.8 million, representing a significant increase of 41.2% over the last two years.
Improved Margins
Despite a decrease in quarterly revenue, the gross margin improved to 53.9% and adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 5.8% in Q4.
Debt Repayment
The company significantly paid down its bank debt by $2 million in fiscal 2025, including $1.1 million in the fourth quarter, leaving only $329,000 remaining to be repaid by January 2026.
Record Order Intake Post Year-End
A strong rebound in orders post year-end, with order intake of $11.4 million between June 1 and September 22, leading to a record backlog of $24.3 million as of September 22.
Strategic Initiatives for Growth
Several strategic initiatives outlined to drive growth, including developing indirect sales channels, promoting standardized equipment packages, establishing European manufacturing, and leveraging the CREST tool.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
Revenue for fiscal 2025 was down 9% year-over-year despite achieving record revenue for the fiscal year.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the year decreased to $1.05 million from $2 million the previous year due to increased operating expenses and lower gross profit.
Decline in Order Intake and Backlog
Order intake of $21.8 million and order backlog of $12.9 million at year-end were down from the prior year, highlighting the lumpy nature of the business.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended May 31, 2025, Thermal Energy International reported a record fiscal year revenue of $29.8 million, despite a 9% year-over-year decline. The company achieved a gross margin of 53.9% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.8% in Q4, although adjusted EBITDA for the year decreased to $1.05 million from $2 million the prior year, primarily due to increased headcount expenses. The company significantly reduced its long-term debt by $2 million in fiscal 2025, including $1.1 million in Q4, leaving just $329,000 outstanding. Order intake rebounded post-year-end, with $11.4 million received between June 1 and September 22, 2025, boosting the order backlog to a record $24.3 million. Looking ahead, Thermal Energy plans to drive growth through strategic initiatives, including developing indirect sales channels in North America and Europe, promoting standardized equipment packages, establishing manufacturing in Europe, and leveraging the CREST tool to enhance sales efficiency.

Thermal Energy International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thermal Energy International faces financial challenges with a high debt-to-equity ratio and negative cash flows, despite stable gross profit margins. The company struggles with inconsistent revenue growth and liquidity issues, indicating a need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Thermal Energy International's income statement shows mixed performance. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with recent declines in net income. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a recent negative growth rate, suggesting challenges in expanding sales.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity has been positive but declining, reflecting reduced profitability on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, indicating liquidity challenges. Although there was a significant improvement in free cash flow growth recently, the overall cash flow position remains weak. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.16M29.78M25.88M21.09M15.91M
Gross Profit11.65M12.34M12.45M9.57M6.73M
EBITDA901.52K798.31K2.14M1.76M-716.46K
Net Income-58.38K73.17K929.50K717.96K-1.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.49M11.95M16.79M13.51M9.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.29M2.80M6.97M2.81M2.46M
Total Debt1.37M1.59M3.89M4.73M5.31M
Total Liabilities9.69M8.38M13.37M11.59M8.55M
Stockholders Equity3.78M3.57M3.46M1.97M1.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.69M-1.75M5.02M1.33M-1.99M
Operating Cash Flow1.76M-1.67M5.40M1.41M-1.64M
Investing Cash Flow-68.11K-77.73K-376.89K-77.70K-351.93K
Financing Cash Flow-2.49M-2.41M-1.06M-1.04M357.56K

Thermal Energy International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.12
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Negative
100DMA
0.14
Negative
200DMA
0.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
46.59
Neutral
STOCH
41.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TMG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.12, below the 50-day MA of 0.13, and below the 200-day MA of 0.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TMG.

Thermal Energy International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$41.55M19.3619.05%-13.85%-60.15%
64
Neutral
C$37.92M15.6710.00%-30.45%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
48
Neutral
C$11.49M-2.9314.18%-29.19%
45
Neutral
C$21.43M-433.33-1.51%-3.45%-104.92%
45
Neutral
C$10.97M-6.93-7.42%87.15%47.74%
43
Neutral
C$7.70M-1.14-27.49%-32.97%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TMG
Thermal Energy International
0.12
-0.08
-40.00%
TSE:BRM
Biorem Inc
2.55
-0.74
-22.49%
TSE:DST
Dundee Sustainable Technologies
0.11
>-0.01
-8.33%
TSE:SHRC
Sharc International Systems Inc
0.07
-0.08
-53.33%
TSE:QST
Questor Technology
0.40
0.08
25.00%
TSE:GRN
Greenlane Renewables Inc
0.24
0.14
140.00%

Thermal Energy International Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thermal Energy International Grants Stock Options to Enhance Management Incentives
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Thermal Energy International Inc. has announced the grant of 3,334,000 stock options to its officers and directors as part of its remuneration and incentive program. This move is expected to align the interests of the management with those of the shareholders, potentially impacting the company’s operational dynamics and market positioning positively.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thermal Energy Secures Major Arctic Heat Recovery Project
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

Thermal Energy International Inc. has secured a $1.6 million order to supply eight custom-engineered HeatSponge heat recovery units to a remote Arctic mining operation. This project, one of the largest in Boilerroom Equipment Inc.’s history, highlights the company’s innovative engineering capabilities and logistical expertise, as the units must withstand extreme conditions and be transported via standard cargo aircraft. The project demonstrates Thermal Energy’s strategic focus on large-scale opportunities and its commitment to solving complex energy challenges in demanding environments.

Business Operations and Strategy
Thermal Energy Secures $1.5 Million in Repeat Business from Global Nutrition Company
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Thermal Energy International Inc. has secured $1.5 million in orders for two turnkey heat recovery projects from a global nutrition company, marking the seventh and eighth projects with this client. This new business highlights Thermal Energy’s ongoing relationship with the multinational, having generated approximately $13.6 million in business since 2019, and underscores the company’s growth potential in energy efficiency and carbon reduction initiatives across multiple sites worldwide.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thermal Energy International Achieves Record Q1 Order Intake Amidst Revenue Dip
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Thermal Energy International reported a record-breaking order intake of $11.9 million for the first quarter of 2026, marking a 323% increase compared to the previous year. Despite a 19% decrease in revenue to $6.9 million, the company maintained profitability and reduced its long-term debt significantly, positioning itself well for future growth with a strong order backlog and financial stability.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thermal Energy International Achieves Record Q1 Order Intake Amid Revenue Dip
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Thermal Energy International reported a record order intake of $11.9 million for the first quarter of 2026, marking a 323% increase compared to the previous year. Despite a 19% decrease in revenue to $6.9 million, the company remains profitable with a net income of $166 thousand and an adjusted EBITDA of $350 thousand. The order backlog increased by 37% to $18.5 million, positioning the company well for future growth. The company has also made significant progress in debt repayment, with expectations of continued strong performance in the latter half of the fiscal year.

Financial Disclosures
Thermal Energy International to Release Q1 2026 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

Thermal Energy International Inc. announced it will release its fiscal 2026 first quarter financial results on October 28, 2025, before market open. The company will host an earnings conference call and webcast to discuss the results, providing stakeholders an opportunity to engage with management. This announcement is part of Thermal Energy’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with investors and stakeholders, reflecting its commitment to delivering financial and environmental value through its energy efficiency solutions.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thermal Energy International Reports Record Revenue and Strategic Growth Plans
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

Thermal Energy International reported a record revenue of $29.8 million for fiscal year 2025, despite a 9.3% decline in fourth-quarter revenue. The company achieved its highest-ever order intake in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, driven by significant contracts with major corporations, including a $5.1 million order from a leading pharmaceutical company. The company has also made strategic investments to scale its operations, reduce debt, and explore new growth opportunities, such as expanding its Boilerroom Equipment Inc. into Europe and developing higher-margin products.

Financial Disclosures
Thermal Energy International to Release Fiscal 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

Thermal Energy International Inc. announced it will release its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 financial results on September 23, 2025. The company will host an earnings conference call and webcast to discuss the results, offering stakeholders insights into its financial performance and strategic direction. This announcement underscores Thermal Energy’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its investors, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 12, 2025