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Grown Rogue International Inc. (TSE:GRIN)
:GRIN

Grown Rogue International (GRIN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GRIN

Grown Rogue International

(GRIN)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.41
▼(-30.51% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, negative profitability, and deteriorating free cash flow) and bearish technicals. These are partially offset by a reasonable valuation (P/E ~13) and a more constructive earnings-call outlook centered on cost reductions, liquidity, and expansion progress despite ongoing pricing pressure.
Positive Factors
Cost and yield improvements
Sustained lower per‑pound production costs and a 20% yield improvement are structural advantages: they widen unit margins, increase throughput per canopy, and improve competitiveness in price‑sensitive markets. Over months this reduces break‑even levels and raises long‑run cash generation potential.
Negative Factors
Contracting revenue
A near‑term contraction in trailing‑twelve‑month revenue signals structural demand or pricing challenges in core markets. Persistent top‑line decline limits operating leverage, constrains reinvestment capacity, and forces management to rely on cost cuts rather than organic growth to restore profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cost and yield improvements
Sustained lower per‑pound production costs and a 20% yield improvement are structural advantages: they widen unit margins, increase throughput per canopy, and improve competitiveness in price‑sensitive markets. Over months this reduces break‑even levels and raises long‑run cash generation potential.
Read all positive factors

Grown Rogue International (GRIN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Grown Rogue International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grown Rogue International Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in growing and selling cannabis products in the United States. It offers flower products, such as indicas, sativas, and hybrids; and edibles, vape cartridges, pre-rolls, or concentr...
How the Company Makes Money
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Grown Rogue International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Grown Rogue's strong cost control, balance sheet management, and strategic expansion into new markets like New Jersey and Minnesota. However, the company faces ongoing pricing pressure in its core markets and operational challenges in New Jersey. Despite these lowlights, the company's strategic initiatives and financial management indicate a positive outlook.
Positive Updates
Strong Cost Control
Grown Rogue achieved all-in 4-wall production costs of $368 and $348 in Michigan and Oregon, respectively, with potential costs under $200 for indoor production. Yields improved by 20% year-over-year with a record of 75 grams per square foot.
Negative Updates
Pricing Pressure in Core Markets
The company continues to face significant pricing pressure in Oregon and Michigan, with no immediate changes expected in market conditions.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Cost Control
Grown Rogue achieved all-in 4-wall production costs of $368 and $348 in Michigan and Oregon, respectively, with potential costs under $200 for indoor production. Yields improved by 20% year-over-year with a record of 75 grams per square foot.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Grown Rogue Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Obie Strickler detailed the company's performance metrics and future strategies. The company reported significant improvements in production costs, with Michigan and Oregon achieving costs of $368 and $348 per pound, respectively. Yields have increased to 75 grams per square foot, marking a nearly 20% improvement year-over-year. The company maintains a robust balance sheet, having upsized its credit facility to $12 million at a sub-8% interest rate and ending Q3 with over $13 million in cash. Grown Rogue's expansion into New Jersey is progressing well, with the market anticipated to produce 500-600 pounds of flower per month at full Phase 1 capacity. Looking forward, the company plans to focus on Minnesota for new market expansion, leveraging its strong balance sheet and aiming for low production costs similar to those achieved in current markets.

Grown Rogue International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured by contracting revenue (-6.85% TTM) and ongoing profitability issues (negative net and EBIT margins). The balance sheet is moderately stable (debt-to-equity 0.58), but negative ROE and sharply declining free cash flow growth (-54.47%) point to weak returns and liquidity strain.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Oct 2023Jan 2023Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.15M27.02M21.83M17.76M9.38M
Gross Profit11.03M13.44M14.22M8.12M6.10M
EBITDA10.21M-3.66M3.44M3.41M2.55M
Net Income6.35M-11.30M-533.04K447.46K-1.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.90M43.32M30.16M16.37M14.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.09M4.68M8.86M1.58M1.11M
Total Debt17.37M8.39M6.72M4.91M4.57M
Total Liabilities23.66M27.41M17.61M7.43M7.09M
Stockholders Equity30.67M14.55M11.56M6.93M5.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow811.46K5.39M4.27M892.89K-2.29M
Operating Cash Flow2.54M7.12M5.73M2.00M-238.46K
Investing Cash Flow-4.78M-12.20M-2.89M-1.11M-2.73M
Financing Cash Flow11.22M2.95M4.43M-422.54K3.86M

Grown Rogue International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.59
Price Trends
50DMA
0.48
Negative
100DMA
0.50
Negative
200DMA
0.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
43.85
Neutral
STOCH
42.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GRIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.42, above the 50-day MA of 0.48, and above the 200-day MA of 0.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GRIN.

Grown Rogue International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
C$182.41M4.6127.19%27.38%
67
Neutral
C$175.83M36.9611.63%30.64%101.12%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
C$102.33M9.9727.87%-18.30%
47
Neutral
C$147.78M-2.1488.51%3.17%-24.07%
37
Underperform
C$227.80M-0.97188.90%-26.73%-32.33%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GRIN
Grown Rogue International
0.41
-0.08
-16.33%
TSE:JUSH
Jushi Holdings
0.74
0.38
105.56%
TSE:XLY
Auxly Cannabis Group
0.13
0.05
62.50%
TSE:CBST
Cannabist Company Holdings
0.56
0.00
0.00%
TSE:LOVE
Cannara Biotech
1.78
0.64
56.14%

Grown Rogue International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Grown Rogue Enters Illinois via Turnkey Cannabis Facility and Social Equity Partnership
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
Grown Rogue International has secured a lease and partnership to operate a turnkey cannabis cultivation and processing facility in Dwight, Illinois, marking a capital-efficient entry into the state’s adult-use market. Through its 80%-owned a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026