Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$1.89B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 148.03K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 71.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.52
• Revenue Growth: 3.78%
• EPS Growth: -54.87%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 4,462
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): -0.14
• Shares Outstanding: 46,066,746
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 116,461
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 148,027
• PEG Ratio: -1.81
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.26
• P/FCF Ratio: 15.59
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$16.67
• Price Target Upside: -14.60% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: C$20.50 ▲(5.02% Upside)

Canada Goose Holdings shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability, supported by positive earnings call insights. However, high leverage and valuation concerns, along with mixed technical indicators, moderate the overall score.

Positive Factors

Direct-to-Consumer Sales Growth

The sustained growth in direct-to-consumer sales indicates strong consumer demand and effective brand positioning, enhancing long-term revenue potential.

New Product Offerings

The success of new product offerings diversifies the product line and attracts new customers, supporting long-term growth and market expansion.

Gross Margin Improvement

Improved gross margins reflect efficient cost management and a favorable sales mix, contributing to sustainable profitability.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns.

Pressure on Operating Margin

Pressure on operating margins due to increased investments may impact short-term profitability, requiring careful cost management to ensure long-term financial health.

Revenue Decline in North America and EMEA

Declining revenue in key regions like North America and EMEA suggests challenges in market penetration and consumer demand, potentially affecting overall growth.

Canada Goose Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury apparel for men, women, youth, children, and babies in Canada, the United States, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. The company operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other. It offers parkas, lightweight down jackets, rainwear, windwear, knitwear, footwear, and accessories for fall, winter, and spring seasons. As of April 3, 2022, the company operated through its 56 national e-commerce markets and 41 directly operated retail stores in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. It also sells its products through wholesale partners and distributors. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Canada Goose generates revenue primarily through the sale of its premium outerwear and related apparel. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model, selling products through its own branded retail stores and e-commerce platforms, which allows for higher profit margins. Additionally, Canada Goose sells its products through wholesale channels, partnering with select luxury department stores and specialty retailers worldwide. Key revenue streams include seasonal collections, limited edition releases, and collaborations that boost brand visibility. The company's focus on international expansion, particularly in markets such as Europe and Asia, along with strategic marketing and brand positioning, contributes significantly to its earnings.

Canada Goose Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Canada Goose Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with a solid gross profit margin. However, the net profit margin is low, and the company has high leverage, indicating financial risk. Cash flow generation is robust, but recent declines in free cash flow growth warrant attention.

Income Statement

Canada Goose Holdings shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 35.1%, indicating robust demand. The gross profit margin of 69.9% is impressive, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.4%, suggesting room for improvement in operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, indicating stable profitability but highlighting potential for cost optimization.

Balance Sheet

The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.67, which could pose financial risk if not managed carefully. Return on equity is moderate at 10.3%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio of 28.7% suggests a balanced asset structure but indicates reliance on debt financing.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 0.75, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate has declined by 26%, which could impact future investment capacity. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.94 is healthy, showing effective cash conversion.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.37B	1.33B	1.35B	1.22B	1.10B	903.70M
Gross Profit	962.70M	917.40M	943.10M	815.20M	733.60M	554.00M
EBITDA	210.90M	244.30M	299.80M	236.50M	263.70M	190.70M
Net Income	26.40M	58.40M	94.80M	72.70M	94.60M	70.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.72B	1.48B	1.62B	1.59B	1.34B	1.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	285.20M	144.90M	334.40M	286.50M	287.70M	477.90M
Total Debt	831.10M	728.40M	742.80M	754.00M	620.70M	622.60M
Total Liabilities	1.21B	1.06B	1.06B	1.11B	912.70M	907.10M
Stockholders Equity	494.70M	417.00M	541.20M	469.50M	427.90M	600.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	203.60M	108.10M	274.00M	68.20M	114.40M	261.70M
Operating Cash Flow	227.60M	164.60M	292.40M	116.30M	151.60M	293.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-24.40M	-72.40M	-18.40M	-45.30M	-37.20M	-32.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-185.80M	-232.80M	-93.60M	-80.70M	-298.20M	197.00M

Canada Goose Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 19.52
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GOOS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.47, above the 50-day MA of 18.79, and above the 200-day MA of 15.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GOOS.

Canada Goose Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ATZ	78 Outperform	$12.74B	44.48	26.49%	―	26.51%	172.52%
GIL	77 Outperform	$11.89B	18.23	31.12%	1.59%	6.64%	27.37%
GOOS	66 Neutral	C$1.89B	71.09	6.07%	―	3.78%	-54.87%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
PBL	61 Neutral	C$545.68M	15.11	8.11%	1.01%	6.01%	-41.56%
ROOT	55 Neutral	C$129.93M	-4.19	-19.83%	―	4.47%	-3217.53%
UNI	46 Neutral	C$23.77M	-8.92	-16.28%	―	-3.10%	67.01%

Canada Goose Holdings Corporate Events

Canada Goose Reports Mixed Q2 Fiscal 2026 Results

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., a Canadian company known for its high-performance outerwear and apparel, operates in the fashion and retail industry with a focus on craftsmanship and individuality. In its second quarter fiscal 2026 results, Canada Goose reported a 1.8% increase in total revenue to $272.6 million, with direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenue showing a significant rise of 21.8%. The company highlighted its strategic investments in product offerings and brand elevation, alongside expanding its global retail footprint with new store openings.

Canada Goose’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges

Canada Goose’s latest earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment, with the company showcasing robust sales growth in its direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel and a surge in new product offerings, particularly in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. However, challenges such as operating margin pressures and revenue declines in certain regions were also highlighted. Despite these hurdles, the company expressed confidence in its strategic investments aimed at long-term growth, even as it navigates short-term margin pressures.

Canada Goose Reports Q2 2025 Financial Loss Amid Rising Costs

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. released its consolidated interim financial statements for the second quarter ending September 28, 2025. The company reported a net loss of $17.4 million for the quarter, compared to a net income of $6.3 million in the same period last year. Despite an increase in revenue to $272.6 million, up from $267.8 million, the company faced higher selling, general, and administrative expenses, which contributed to the loss. The financial results reflect challenges in maintaining profitability amidst rising costs, impacting the company’s financial performance and potentially affecting its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GOOS) stock is a Hold with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canada Goose Holdings stock, see the TSE:GOOS Stock Forecast page.

Canada Goose Holdings Amends Term Loan Facility for Financial Flexibility

On August 21, 2025, Canada Goose Holdings Inc. announced an amendment to its senior secured term loan facility, originally established in 2016. The amendment includes an extension of the maturity of certain existing term loans and the borrowing of new refinancing term loans, totaling an aggregate principal amount of $300 million. This financial restructuring aims to refinance existing loans and support general corporate purposes, potentially enhancing the company’s financial stability and operational flexibility. The new loans will mature on August 23, 2032, and are subject to specific interest rates and amortization terms, reflecting a strategic move to optimize the company’s financial commitments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GOOS) stock is a Hold with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canada Goose Holdings stock, see the TSE:GOOS Stock Forecast page.

Canada Goose Announces Director Elections and Auditor Reappointment

On August 8, 2025, Canada Goose Holdings Inc. announced the results of its annual meeting of shareholders, where all nominated directors were elected with a majority of votes. Deloitte LLP was also reappointed as the company’s auditor for the ensuing year, reflecting strong shareholder support and stability in the company’s governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GOOS) stock is a Hold with a C$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canada Goose Holdings stock, see the TSE:GOOS Stock Forecast page.