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G Mining Ventures (TSE:GMIN)
TSX:GMIN

G Mining Ventures (GMIN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GMIN

G Mining Ventures

(TSX:GMIN)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$51.00
▲(10.20% Upside)
The score is driven by strong technical momentum and a series of positive operational/project catalysts, supported by improved profitability and low leverage. It is held back primarily by weak cash conversion and deeply negative free cash flow, with valuation also looking relatively expensive at a 32.82 P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
A marked step-up to strong gross, EBIT and net margins indicates the company’s operations and processing are currently cash-generative at prevailing grades. Durable high margins improve the ability to self-fund sustaining capex, service debt and absorb commodity volatility if maintained.
Conservative balance sheet leverage
Low leverage provides financial flexibility to fund development and weather commodity cycles without urgent refinancing. A conservatively levered balance sheet reduces probability of distress, supports staged project spending and preserves optionality for strategic investments.
Advancing project and operational milestones
Concrete project milestones and secured financing materially de-risk the production growth profile. Progress on Oko West plus production and tax incentives enhance resource conversion and future revenue visibility, improving the durability of the company’s growth trajectory.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion from earnings
Significant divergence between net income and operating cash flow indicates earnings are not translating into liquid cash. This weak conversion constrains internal funding for sustaining/growth capex and raises reliance on external financing over the medium term until conversion improves.
Materially negative free cash flow
Large negative FCF reflects heavy investment or working-capital build that depletes liquidity. Persisting negative FCF increases funding needs, heightens execution risk for project payback, and can delay shareholder returns absent a demonstrable move to positive free cash flow.
Limited multi-year operating track record
A short operating history reduces confidence in sustainability of margins, recovery rates and cost structure across cycles. Without multi-cycle performance data, forecasting operating durability and capital intensity is more uncertain, raising execution and modeling risk.

G Mining Ventures (GMIN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

G Mining Ventures Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionG Mining Ventures Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties. Its flagship project is the Tocantinzinho gold project that includes two mining concessions covering an area of 12,889 hectares, 23 exploration licenses covering an area of 76,116 hectares, and two applications for exploration licenses covering an area of 10,569 hectares located in Pará State, Brazil. The company was formerly known as Kanadario Gold Inc. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Québec, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyG Mining Ventures makes money by exploring and developing gold mining projects and ultimately producing and selling gold. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the extraction and sale of gold from its mining operations. This includes identifying promising gold deposits, conducting feasibility studies, and then developing these sites into productive mines. Once operational, the company sells the extracted gold on the open market, which constitutes its primary revenue stream. Additionally, G Mining Ventures may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other mining companies to share resources and expertise, contributing to its earnings. These partnerships can also provide additional funding or access to new mining opportunities, further enabling the company to expand its operations and increase revenue.

G Mining Ventures Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to the year with solid financial results and significant resource growth at Oko West. Operational efficiencies were evident despite weather challenges and unplanned downtime. The company maintained a disciplined approach to cost management and resource development, setting a positive outlook for the remainder of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Revenue was $98 million with an average realized gold price of $2,766 per ounce. Income from mining operations reached $60 million, maintaining a 61% margin. Adjusted EBITDA was $69 million, and adjusted net income stood at $35 million or $0.16 per share.
Operational Efficiency
Produced 35,578 ounces at a cash cost of $689 per ounce and AISC of $960 per ounce, reinforcing first quartile cost performance. Ended the quarter with $149 million in cash.
Resource Growth at Oko West
Published resource and reserve updates showing material increases year-over-year. Indicated resources now total 9.4 million ounces, inferred resources total 1.2 million ounces, and global reserves now total 6.7 million ounces, a 4.6 million ounce increase year-over-year.
Safety and Environmental Permits
Reported zero lost time injuries in the quarter, underscoring a strong safety culture. Secured interim environmental permits for Oko West, enabling early works activities.
Ongoing Development at Oko West
Initiated early works construction activities and announced a robust feasibility study confirming Oko West’s Tier 1 potential with a 12-year mine life.
Negative Updates
Challenges Due to Weather
Heavy rainfall impacted access to higher grade benches at TZ, but the company managed by drawing from surface stockpiles.
Unscheduled Downtime
Throughput averaged 78% of nameplate capacity due to unscheduled downtime related to replacement of damaged SAG mill poly-met liners.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
The consolidated effective tax rate was 48%, higher than Brazil’s statutory rate of 34%, due to pretax losses in non-Brazilian subsidiaries where no deferred tax assets were recognized.
Company Guidance
In the call, G Mining Ventures provided detailed guidance for their operations in the first quarter of 2025. They reported the production of 35,578 ounces of gold at a cash cost of $689 per ounce and an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $960 per ounce, maintaining their first quartile cost position. The company generated an adjusted EBITDA of $69 million and free cash flow of $36 million, ending the quarter with $149 million in cash. Looking forward, they aim to produce between 175,000 and 200,000 ounces for the year, with over 56% of production expected in the second half as grades and throughput increase. Additionally, sustaining capital expenditures are anticipated to total $40 million in Q2, with $22 million projected for the second half, focused primarily on capitalized waste stripping. The Oko West project remains on track for a construction decision in the second half, supported by a robust feasibility study indicating a 12-year mine life with an average annual gold production of 350,000 ounces at a first quartile AISC of $1,123 per ounce.

G Mining Ventures Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability step-change and a conservatively levered balance sheet are positives, but cash generation is a major weakness: operating cash flow trails net income and free cash flow is deeply negative, increasing reliance on funding and execution.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability improved sharply in 2024, with revenue of ~$145.3M and very strong margins (gross margin ~60%, EBIT margin ~52%, net margin ~43%), driving net income of ~$62.0M versus losses in prior years. The key weakness is limited multi-year comparability: 2020–2023 show no revenue and negative earnings, suggesting results are newly ramping and may be less proven through a full cycle.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively levered, with total debt of ~$114.8M against equity of ~$1.01B (debt-to-equity ~0.11) and a sizable asset base (~$1.47B). Return on equity turned positive (~6.1%) after being negative in prior years, though the return profile is still modest relative to the step-up in profitability and could be pressured if earnings normalize.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash generation is the main weak spot: 2024 operating cash flow was ~$28.5M versus net income of ~$62.0M, indicating weaker cash conversion. Free cash flow was materially negative (about -$111.5M) and also declined versus the prior period, consistent with heavy investment or working-capital build; while this can be strategic, it increases reliance on funding and execution to translate spending into durable cash returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue491.58M145.25M0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit323.79M87.43M0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA428.20M96.62M-7.25M-5.22M-2.79M-333.24K
Net Income244.44M62.01M-7.18M-1.90M-2.82M-494.56K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.45B1.47B583.48M259.11M119.10M1.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments131.67M141.22M52.40M82.70M56.96M870.21K
Total Debt119.68M114.76M32.66M32.03K85.52K0.00
Total Liabilities595.22M462.83M322.33M15.47M2.64M64.47K
Stockholders Equity1.86B1.01B261.15M243.64M116.48M1.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.16M-111.47M-62.49M-65.41M-4.52M-404.12K
Operating Cash Flow294.11M28.49M242.89M-1.16M-4.47M-404.12K
Investing Cash Flow-339.62M-119.83M-309.59M-91.79M-24.00M-124.99K
Financing Cash Flow5.89M190.31M31.55M123.57M83.07M813.01K

G Mining Ventures Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.28
Price Trends
50DMA
39.93
Positive
100DMA
34.02
Positive
200DMA
26.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.97
Positive
RSI
55.36
Neutral
STOCH
23.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GMIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.67, above the 50-day MA of 39.93, and above the 200-day MA of 26.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GMIN.

G Mining Ventures Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$9.63B33.0611.27%0.66%43.27%
72
Outperform
C$9.88B35.6117.77%1069.24%4643.80%
67
Neutral
$492.90M-174.71-2.13%0.97%11.95%-44.15%
67
Neutral
C$135.26M28.7217.02%112.93%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
C$33.03M-1.03-64.35%-47.93%-538.46%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GMIN
G Mining Ventures
46.28
31.18
206.49%
TSE:MTA
Metalla Royalty & Streaming
10.65
6.28
143.71%
TSE:VOXR
Vox Royalty
7.53
4.14
122.06%
TSE:EMPR
Empress Royalty
1.12
0.77
220.00%
TSE:STRR
Star Royalties
0.44
0.16
57.14%
TSE:TFPM
Triple Flag Precious Metals
47.80
24.52
105.31%

G Mining Ventures Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
G Mining Ventures Sets 2026–27 Outlook With Higher Output, Lower Costs and Heavy Spend on Oko West
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

G Mining Ventures has issued its operational outlook for 2026 and 2027, projecting steady production growth and improving costs at its Tocantinzinho Gold Mine in Brazil while advancing Oko West in Guyana toward first gold in the second half of 2027. The company expects TZ to produce 160,000–190,000 ounces of gold in 2026 and 200,000–235,000 ounces in 2027, with a heavier production profile in the second half of 2026 as higher-grade ore comes online and a full-year contribution from Phase 2 ore driving the 2027 increase. Cash operating costs are forecast at $736–$865 per ounce in 2026, improving to $633–$743 in 2027, while all-in sustaining costs are projected to fall by roughly 20% year-on-year, underpinned by disciplined spending and operational efficiencies. Sustaining capital at TZ is guided at $69–$81 million in 2026 and $62–$74 million in 2027, with a significant growth capital program of $514–$568 million in 2026 and $217–$240 million in 2027 dedicated mainly to developing Oko West. The company is also planning its largest-ever exploration budget of $42–$50 million in 2026, spread across Gurupi, Oko West and TZ, and says its balance sheet and cash flow generation should support this aggressive growth and exploration agenda, reinforcing its longer-term production and cost profile for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GMIN) stock is a Buy with a C$47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on G Mining Ventures stock, see the TSE:GMIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
G Mining Ventures Posts Strong First Full Year of Output at Brazil’s Tocantinzinho Mine
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

G Mining Ventures reported robust preliminary operational results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 at its Tocantinzinho gold mine in Brazil, marking the operation’s first full year of commercial production. The mine produced 47,346 ounces of gold in the fourth quarter and 171,871 ounces for the year, processing 4,086 kt of ore at an average grade of 1.44 g/t with recoveries of 90.6%, while gold sales closely matched production. An 18% quarter-on-quarter increase in the average mining rate to 64,700 tonnes per day, driven by the commissioning of additional mining equipment, underscores improving mine and plant productivity. Management highlighted that these gains were achieved alongside strong safety performance, with a very low lost time injury frequency rate, reinforcing Tocantinzinho’s role as a key growth asset for G Mining Ventures and supporting its ambition to evolve into a mid-tier precious metals producer ahead of full financial disclosure due at the end of March.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GMIN) stock is a Buy with a C$45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on G Mining Ventures stock, see the TSE:GMIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
G Mining Ventures Secures Mining License for Oko West Project
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

G Mining Ventures has received a Mining License for its Oko West Gold Project in Guyana, marking a significant milestone in the project’s development. This approval allows for full construction and commercial gold production, positioning Oko West as a key asset for the company. The project is set to begin pre-production open-pit mining in early 2026, with the initial mining equipment fleet already being assembled. This development is expected to enhance GMIN’s industry positioning and deliver economic and social benefits to Guyana.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GMIN) stock is a Buy with a C$45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on G Mining Ventures stock, see the TSE:GMIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
G Mining Ventures Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Advances Key Projects
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

G Mining Ventures reported strong financial and operational results for Q3 2025, with a significant increase in gold production and robust financial performance, including record revenues and free cash flow. The company is advancing its Oko West project to full construction, backed by secured financing, and is enhancing profitability at its Tocantinzinho mine through tax incentives. These developments position G Mining Ventures for multi-asset growth and long-term value creation for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GMIN) stock is a Buy with a C$43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on G Mining Ventures stock, see the TSE:GMIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
G Mining Ventures Strengthens Financial Position with First Drawdown on Credit Facility
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

G Mining Ventures Corp. has successfully completed the first drawdown of US$80 million from its US$350 million revolving credit facility to advance the Oko Gold Project in Guyana. This refinancing move, which repays an existing loan, is expected to save the company approximately US$1.5 million annually in interest, thereby strengthening its financial position and supporting ongoing growth and development efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GMIN) stock is a Buy with a C$43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on G Mining Ventures stock, see the TSE:GMIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025