Aris Mining (ARIS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$1.67B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 757.04K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 187.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.37
• Revenue Growth: 42.84%
• EPS Growth: -52.71%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 2,081
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 55
• Industry: Other Precious Metals
• EPS (TTM): 0.37
• Shares Outstanding: 178,100,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,076,352
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 757,045
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$14.00
• Price Target Upside: 47.21% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: C$11.50 ▲(20.93% Upside)

Aris Mining's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, indicating robust operational momentum and strategic growth. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.

Positive Factors

Expansion Projects

Marmato is expected to ramp up, driving total production to approximately 500koz per year, more than doubling current production levels.

Financial Position

The sale of the Juby Gold Project is expected to bring in US$22M, providing additional financial resources.

Production Capacity

The successful installation and commissioning of a second processing mill at Segovia is expected to increase production capacity.

Negative Factors

Project Delays

The Colombian Ministry of Environment has completed the public consultation process in respect to establishing a Temporary Reserve Area where the Soto Norte Project is located, which may delay the start of construction for Soto Norte to 2029.

Aris Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aris Mining Corporation together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold and silver properties primarily in Colombia. The company holds interests in the Segovia operations comprising the El Silencio, Providencia, and Sandra K underground mines located in Colombia. It also owns interest in the Zancudo project located in the Titiribí mining district of Antioquia. In addition, the company holds interests in the Marmato project in Colombia; Juby project located in Ontario, Canada; and Toroparu project in the western Guyana gold district. The company was formerly known as Gran Colombia Gold Corp. and changed its name to GCM Mining Corp. in November 2021. The company was formerly known as GCM Mining Corp. and changed its name to Aris Mining Corporation on September 26, 2022. Aris Mining Corporation is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Aris Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold produced from its mining operations. The company extracts gold from its owned and operated mines, processes the ore to produce gold bullion, and then sells the gold on the open market. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold directly to refiners and dealers, as well as potential long-term supply agreements with major buyers. Aris Mining's earnings are influenced by factors such as gold market prices, production volume, and the efficiency of its mining operations. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to enhance its production capabilities and expand its market reach.

Aris Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Aris Mining shows solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable, with moderate leverage and a strong equity base. However, challenges remain in converting earnings into free cash flow due to capital expenditures.

Income Statement

Aris Mining demonstrated solid revenue growth with a notable increase of 9.77% TTM over the previous year. The gross profit margin improved to 35.19% TTM, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 4.94% TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin decreased slightly to 26.84% TTM, suggesting some operational cost pressures.

Balance Sheet

The company's financial leverage is moderate with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63 TTM, indicating a balanced capital structure. Return on equity improved to 3.29% TTM, which is a positive sign of profitability but still relatively low. The equity ratio stands at 40.44% TTM, suggesting a strong equity foundation.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow showed improvement, reducing its deficit significantly TTM compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 6.84 TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, highlighting ongoing capital expenditures impacting free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	560.51M	510.60M	447.67M	399.96M	382.61M	390.92M
Gross Profit	197.25M	161.69M	185.91M	171.95M	170.05M	192.20M
EBITDA	156.45M	140.73M	122.22M	119.55M	168.85M	70.35M
Net Income	27.69M	24.58M	11.42M	-4.86M	186.23M	-4.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.08B	1.99B	1.35B	1.24B	998.38M	650.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	239.83M	252.53M	194.62M	299.46M	323.56M	122.51M
Total Debt	527.45M	520.57M	382.93M	436.06M	318.07M	145.15M
Total Liabilities	950.88M	911.40M	728.22M	740.75M	519.86M	454.34M
Stockholders Equity	841.24M	798.57M	624.65M	501.38M	478.53M	153.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-13.43M	-40.21M	-9.02M	-38.05M	17.09M	73.58M
Operating Cash Flow	189.35M	141.24M	104.70M	76.95M	80.55M	136.38M
Investing Cash Flow	-221.16M	-198.77M	-180.28M	-54.58M	-229.72M	-72.31M
Financing Cash Flow	128.90M	121.29M	-33.33M	-39.32M	359.67M	-23.61M

Aris Mining Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 9.51
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ARIS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.91, below the 50-day MA of 9.61, and above the 200-day MA of 7.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ARIS.

Aris Mining Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ASM	78 Outperform	$744.10M	33.59	11.47%	―	58.97%	849.69%
ARIS	72 Outperform	C$1.67B	187.94	0.63%	―	42.84%	-52.71%
GGD	66 Neutral	$696.25M	46.58	3.81%	―	110.25%	―
EDR	52 Neutral	$2.13B	―	-14.53%	―	14.41%	-350.79%
Sector *	43 Neutral	C$909.73M	-8.58	0.05%	2.69%	23.40%	-43.48%
ABRA	41 Neutral	C$876.78M	―	-79.33%	―	―	-193.85%
SLS	31 Underperform	C$1.23B	―	-9999.00%	―	―	-28.38%

Aris Mining Corporate Events

Aris Mining Reports Record Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Growth

Aris Mining Corporation reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with record revenue of $200.2 million, a 30% increase from Q1 2025, driven by higher gold prices and increased sales volumes. The company’s cash balance rose to $310 million, and adjusted EBITDA nearly tripled compared to Q2 2024. Aris Mining is advancing its growth pipeline with significant investments in its Marmato Bulk Mining Zone and Segovia operations, positioning itself for stronger production in the latter half of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Partners with Colombian Government to Formalize Artisanal Mining Near Marmato

Aris Mining has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Colombia’s Ministry of Mines and Energy to formalize artisanal and small-scale miners (ASMs) near its Marmato operations. This initiative aims to enhance safety, environmental outcomes, and livelihoods while strengthening operational stability. The agreement is part of the government’s ‘Special Mining District for Peace and Life’ initiative, which prioritizes sustainable mining in Marmato. Aris Mining will provide technical support and training to ASMs and contribute milling capacity to process ASM-sourced material, while its own operations remain unaffected by this initiative.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining’s TSX-Listed Warrants Set to Expire, Strengthening Financial Position

Aris Mining Corporation has announced that its TSX-listed warrants, trading under the symbol ARIS.WT.A, will expire on July 29, 2025. The warrants are currently ‘in-the-money,’ and approximately 48.2% have been exercised, generating C$77 million for the company. If all remaining warrants are exercised, Aris Mining could receive an additional C$83 million. This expiration is part of the company’s strategy to simplify its capital structure, which, combined with strong cash flow, has strengthened its balance sheet. This move is expected to have a positive impact on the company’s financial position and streamline its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Achieves 13% Growth in H1 2025 Gold Production

Aris Mining Corporation reported a 13% increase in gold production for the first half of 2025, totaling 113,415 ounces. The company successfully commissioned the expanded Segovia mill, which is expected to enhance production capacity and help achieve the full-year production guidance of 230,000 to 275,000 ounces. This growth is part of Aris Mining’s strategy to expand its operations and capitalize on the strong gold price environment, positioning the company for a successful year and benefiting stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Sells Juby Gold Project to McFarlane Lake Mining for $22 Million

Aris Mining has announced the sale of its Juby Gold Project in Ontario, Canada, to McFarlane Lake Mining for a total consideration of $22 million. This strategic move aligns with Aris Mining’s focus on Latin American operations, allowing McFarlane to enhance its portfolio and transition into a gold exploration and development company. The transaction, expected to close within 90 days, involves a mix of cash and shares, with Aris Mining retaining a security interest until full payment is received. This sale is expected to unlock potential value for both companies, with Aris Mining concentrating on its core assets and McFarlane expanding its exploration capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Boosts Segovia Operations with New Mill Installation

Aris Mining has successfully installed and commissioned a second processing mill at its Segovia Operations in Colombia, increasing the site’s processing capacity by 50%. This expansion aligns with the company’s growth strategy and is expected to boost gold production significantly in the second half of 2025, with a projected annual production of 300,000 ounces by next year. The expansion further solidifies Segovia’s role as a key cash flow generator for Aris Mining.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.