Aris Mining (ARIS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$4.63B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.26M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 62.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.63
• Revenue Growth: 62.92%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: CA
• Employees: 2,081
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Other Precious Metals
• EPS (TTM): 0.50
• Shares Outstanding: 202,700,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,122,997
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,258,213
• PEG Ratio: 0.25
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.66
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.04
• P/FCF Ratio: -13.19
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$22.25
• Price Target Upside: -2.67% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: C$21.50 ▼(-5.95% Downside)

Aris Mining's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, highlighting robust growth and operational efficiency. However, technical indicators suggest the stock may be overbought, and a high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, which could limit further upside.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and product adoption, supporting long-term financial stability and shareholder value.

Operational Efficiency

Strong operational efficiency, as indicated by healthy margins, enhances profitability and allows for reinvestment in growth opportunities.

Project Pipeline

A robust project pipeline with significant advancements positions Aris Mining for future growth and diversification of revenue streams.

Negative Factors

Profitability Concerns

Low profitability margins indicate challenges in converting revenue into profit, which may affect long-term financial health and investor confidence.

Cash Flow Challenges

Negative free cash flow growth suggests difficulties in generating cash, potentially limiting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

High Initial Capital Expenditure

High capital expenditure requirements for new projects may strain financial resources and delay profitability, impacting long-term strategic goals.

Aris Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aris Mining Corporation together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold and silver properties primarily in Colombia. The company holds interests in the Segovia operations comprising the El Silencio, Providencia, and Sandra K underground mines located in Colombia. It also owns interest in the Zancudo project located in the Titiribí mining district of Antioquia. In addition, the company holds interests in the Marmato project in Colombia; Juby project located in Ontario, Canada; and Toroparu project in the western Guyana gold district. The company was formerly known as Gran Colombia Gold Corp. and changed its name to GCM Mining Corp. in November 2021. The company was formerly known as GCM Mining Corp. and changed its name to Aris Mining Corporation on September 26, 2022. Aris Mining Corporation is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Aris Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and other precious metals. The company's core revenue streams include direct sales from its mining operations, which involve processing ore to produce gold bullion and concentrate. Additionally, Aris Mining may engage in strategic partnerships with other mining companies to share resources and expertise, potentially leading to joint ventures that enhance operational efficiency and profitability. The company's revenue is further bolstered by fluctuating market prices for gold, allowing it to capitalize on favorable market conditions. Moreover, cost management initiatives and investments in technology to improve mining processes contribute to higher margins and overall financial performance.

Aris Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Aris Mining demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, as evidenced by healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, profitability remains a concern with a low net profit margin and return on equity. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but cash flow challenges are evident with negative free cash flow growth. Overall, while the company is growing, it needs to focus on improving profitability and cash flow generation.

Income Statement

Aris Mining shows a strong revenue growth rate of 15.39% TTM, indicating positive momentum. The gross profit margin of 46.99% TTM is robust, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 0.79% TTM, suggesting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 31.75% and 37.96% TTM, respectively, indicating good operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63 TTM suggests a moderate level of leverage, which is manageable but requires monitoring. The return on equity is low at 0.62% TTM, indicating limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio of 42.39% TTM shows a stable capital structure, but there is room for improvement in asset utilization.

Cash Flow

The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative at -473.76% TTM, highlighting potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.11 TTM is satisfactory, indicating that operating cash flows are covering net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting issues in generating free cash flow relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	767.31M	510.60M	447.67M	399.96M	382.61M	374.98M
Gross Profit	373.53M	195.84M	185.91M	204.14M	198.71M	192.20M
EBITDA	302.66M	152.23M	153.49M	166.33M	170.39M	177.38M
Net Income	48.70M	24.58M	11.42M	-4.86M	186.23M	-4.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.39B	1.99B	1.35B	1.24B	998.38M	650.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	417.47M	252.53M	194.62M	299.46M	323.56M	122.51M
Total Debt	517.34M	520.57M	382.93M	422.88M	318.07M	145.15M
Total Liabilities	977.30M	911.40M	728.22M	740.75M	519.86M	454.34M
Stockholders Equity	1.13B	798.57M	624.65M	495.89M	478.53M	153.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	114.71M	-40.21M	-9.02M	-38.05M	17.09M	73.58M
Operating Cash Flow	326.74M	141.24M	104.70M	76.95M	80.55M	136.38M
Investing Cash Flow	-207.91M	-198.77M	-180.28M	-54.58M	-229.72M	-72.31M
Financing Cash Flow	218.29M	121.29M	-33.33M	-39.32M	359.67M	-23.61M

Aris Mining Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 22.86
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ARIS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.61, above the 50-day MA of 17.16, and above the 200-day MA of 11.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.47 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ARIS.

Aris Mining Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ASM	78 Outperform	$1.47B	43.88	14.35%	―	65.77%	458.38%
GGD	74 Outperform	$1.13B	45.18	5.38%	―	104.08%	832.86%
ARIS	69 Neutral	C$4.63B	62.76	5.13%	―	62.92%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
ITR	60 Neutral	C$1.03B	47.25	15.43%	―	―	―
EDR	58 Neutral	C$4.00B	-28.74	-20.46%	―	50.37%	-191.85%
ABRA	41 Neutral	C$1.65B	-29.86	-122.96%	―	―	-171.41%

Aris Mining Corporate Events

Aris Mining Achieves 25% Growth in Q3 2025 Gold Production

Aris Mining reported a 25% increase in gold production in Q3 2025, with 73,236 ounces produced, driven by the expanded Segovia mill. The company is on track to meet its full-year production guidance, supported by a strong financial position and favorable gold prices. This growth positions Aris Mining for a robust finish to 2025 and further momentum into 2026, enhancing its industry standing and stakeholder value.

Aris Mining Sells Juby Gold Project to Focus on High-Growth Operations

Aris Mining has completed the sale of its Juby Gold Project in Ontario, Canada, to McFarlane Lake Mining Limited for US$22 million. This transaction is part of Aris Mining’s strategy to concentrate on its high-growth gold operations in Colombia and Guyana, potentially enhancing its market position and operational focus.

Aris Mining Ensures Safe Recovery of Workers at La Reliquia Mine

Aris Mining reported the safe recovery of all 23 workers trapped underground during a shaft collapse at the La Reliquia Mine, a partner to the Segovia Operations. The incident did not affect Segovia’s regular operations, highlighting the company’s effective emergency response and commitment to safety. This event underscores Aris Mining’s resilience and operational stability, reinforcing its position in the gold mining industry and maintaining trust with stakeholders.