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Galaxy Digital (TSE:GLXY)
TSX:GLXY

Galaxy Digital (GLXY) AI Stock Analysis

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Galaxy Digital

(TSX:GLXY)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
Galaxy Digital Holdings is well-positioned with strong profitability, a robust balance sheet, and strategic growth initiatives in AI and digital assets. The upcoming Nasdaq listing and UK expansion are significant positives. However, revenue volatility, cash management issues, and recent crypto market challenges weigh on the score. The technical analysis indicates potential near-term volatility, and the valuation reflects both optimism and inherent risks. Overall, while the company has a solid foundation for future growth, investors should remain cautious of market volatility and regulatory challenges.
Positive Factors
Digital Asset Market
Digital asset prices have rebounded sharply, enabling Galaxy to generate an estimated $160M - $170M of positive operating income.
Revenue Potential
CoreWeave's election to exercise an option to contract an additional 260MW of incremental critical load implies significant long-term revenue potential for Galaxy Digital Holdings.
US Listing
The uplisting to the Nasdaq is likely to result in significantly increased liquidity for the stock, broader institutional ownership and sell-side coverage of its shares, and a lower overall cost of capital for the company.
Negative Factors
Operating Income
The updated operating income estimates for Galaxy Digital Holdings are significantly lower due to accounting changes.
Profit Estimate
Reduction in Q1 profit estimate is due to unrealized losses from ending spot prices on crypto assets.

Galaxy Digital (GLXY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Galaxy Digital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGalaxy Digital Holdings Ltd., an asset management firm, operates in the digital asset, cryptocurrency, and blockchain technology industry. It operates through five segments: Trading, Principal Investments, Asset Management, Investment Banking, and Mining. The company provides spot, derivate, and financing liquidity to institutional clients, counterparties, and venues that transact in cryptocurrencies and other digital assets; and offers access to traded cryptocurrencies to clients and counterparties across a suite of service offerings, including over-the-counter (OTC) spot liquidity provision, on- exchange liquidity provision, OTC options and trading, and bespoke lending and structured products, as well as engages in the proprietary quantitative, arbitrage, and macro trading strategies. It also manages third party capital across traditional and alternative asset classes. In addition, the company offers financial advisory services, such as general corporate, strategic, mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, and restructuring advisory services, as well as equity, debt, and project finance capital markets services to public and private clients. Further, it has a strategic focus to provide financial tools to North American miners, as well as has partnership with third-party data center providers and hosts its proprietary bitcoin mining equipment for helping to secure the Bitcoin network. Additionally, the company manages various portfolio of private investments across the digital assets industry, such as traditionally structured companies, as well as in those building digital asset networks powered and capitalized by tokens. Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyGalaxy Digital makes money through several key revenue streams. The company operates a trading business that generates income from trading digital assets and providing liquidity in cryptocurrency markets. Through its asset management division, Galaxy Digital earns management and performance fees from a range of investment products, including hedge funds and passive index funds focused on digital assets. The investment banking segment provides advisory services for mergers, acquisitions, and capital raising activities, generating fee-based revenues. Additionally, the company's principal investments arm makes strategic investments in early-stage companies within the blockchain and cryptocurrency sectors, generating returns through capital appreciation and exits. Significant partnerships with other financial institutions and technology firms also contribute to its earnings by expanding its service offerings and market reach.

Galaxy Digital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -9.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture for Galaxy Digital. While the company highlighted significant achievements, including its NASDAQ uplisting and successful data center agreements, it also faced considerable challenges, such as Q1 financial losses and declines in crypto market prices. However, the positive outlook for Q2 and ongoing institutional interest suggest a potential rebound.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Uplisting to NASDAQ
Galaxy Digital announced its transition to become a U.S. company and its upcoming uplisting to NASDAQ, which is expected to enhance visibility, broaden investor access, and improve trading depth.
Data Center Expansion and Revenue Potential
Galaxy Digital has secured a 15-year build-to-suit lease agreement with CoreWeave for a data center at Helios, with an expected revenue generation of approximately $9 billion over the contract's duration.
Increased Institutional Interest in Crypto
The call highlighted significant institutional interest in the crypto space, with increased activity from traditional financial institutions and registrations as a U.S. swap dealer.
Positive Q2 Preliminary Performance
For Q2, Galaxy Digital anticipates a positive operating income of $160 million to $170 million, marking a significant rebound from Q1 losses.
Venture Fund Success
Galaxy Digital raised over $160 million in commitments for the Galaxy Crypto Venture Fund, exceeding initial targets.
Negative Updates
First Quarter Losses
Galaxy Digital reported a net loss of $295 million for Q1 2025, primarily due to the reduced value of balance sheet digital asset holdings and a $57 million impairment charge tied to mining operations.
Decline in Crypto Market Prices
Q1 saw significant pressure in crypto markets, with Bitcoin down 12% and Ether and Solana down between 30% and 50%.
Wind Down of Mining Operations
Galaxy Digital fully unplugged all Bitcoin mining machines at its Helios campus, incurring associated disposal costs and a one-time impairment charge.
Company Guidance
During the Galaxy Digital First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on its financial performance and strategic direction. Galaxy reported a net loss of $295 million for Q1 2025, primarily due to the reduced value of its digital asset holdings, with operating expenses at $188 million after excluding gross-up transaction costs. The company transitioned to a new reporting framework, consolidating its operations into two segments, Digital Assets and Data Centers, and a corporate segment. The Digital Asset segment generated approximately $65 million in adjusted gross profit and $3.5 million in operating income, amid challenging market conditions, with Bitcoin down 12% for the quarter. Galaxy's equity capital stood at $1.9 billion as of March 31, 2025, including $1.1 billion in cash and net stablecoins. Looking forward, Galaxy highlighted the potential for significant revenue from its Data Center segment, with plans to transform its Helios campus into a world-class data center, anticipating approximately $9 billion in incremental revenue from its contracts with CoreWeave. Additionally, Galaxy expressed excitement about its upcoming NASDAQ listing, which it believes will enhance its market presence and investor base.

Galaxy Digital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Galaxy Digital Holdings demonstrates strong profitability and a robust balance sheet with no debt, which is a positive sign. However, the volatility in revenue and free cash flow raises concerns about financial stability and cash management. Despite recent profitability improvements, challenges remain in stabilizing revenue streams and optimizing cash flows.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a strong recovery with significant net income in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to previous periods. The gross profit margin is impressive at 61.74%, and the EBIT margin is exceptionally high at 107.94%, indicating efficient operations. However, revenue growth is volatile, with periods of zero revenue, reflecting potential instability in income streams.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with no debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The equity ratio is high at 91.25%, indicating a solid financial structure. However, fluctuations in stockholders' equity over the years suggest some volatility in the company's capital base.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow in TTM, a concern despite positive operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that operating cash flow is sufficient to cover net income, but the free cash flow to net income is negative, highlighting potential cash management issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.00120.49B136.12B0.00
Gross Profit
0.000.00-631.16M1.85B0.00
EBIT
0.00493.26M256.04M1.70B12.41M
EBITDA
0.00493.24M-794.54M-4.25M-1.90M
Net Income Common Stockholders
78.86M454.76K-522.68M402.08M103.39M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.81M833.00K10.05M26.82M0.00
Total Assets
1.12B875.24M394.27M888.78M267.77M
Total Debt
0.000.000.000.000.00
Net Debt
-1.81M-833.00K-10.05M-26.82M0.00
Total Liabilities
98.19M94.20M94.97M102.48M20.78M
Stockholders Equity
1.02B781.03M299.31M786.29M246.99M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-18.55M-16.52M-76.77M-19.55M103.39M
Operating Cash Flow
-18.55M-16.52M-76.77M-19.55M103.39M
Investing Cash Flow
-85.31M6.86M107.40M12.24M-49.28M
Financing Cash Flow
104.83M439.00K-47.40M34.13M49.28M

Galaxy Digital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.80
Price Trends
50DMA
25.02
Positive
100DMA
22.97
Positive
200DMA
22.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
47.31
Neutral
STOCH
37.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GLXY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.93, above the 50-day MA of 25.02, and above the 200-day MA of 22.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GLXY.

Galaxy Digital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$9.74B31.80-23.34%-82.47%
65
Neutral
C$381.87M131.434.09%3189.96%
64
Neutral
$12.73B9.927.90%78.88%12.06%-7.95%
$319.83M-2.15%
TSNDA
56
Neutral
C$166.49M50.385.61%-9.36%
TSHUT
50
Neutral
C$2.43B3.76-6.53%15.44%-134.04%
$442.35M-16.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GLXY
Galaxy Digital
25.80
11.32
78.18%
TSE:HODL
Cypherpunk Holdings Inc
2.30
2.19
1990.91%
HIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies
1.70
-1.23
-41.98%
TSE:NDA
Neptune Digital Assets
1.31
1.05
403.85%
TSE:HUT
Hut 8
23.02
5.94
34.78%
BITF
Bitfarms
0.78
-1.90
-70.90%

Galaxy Digital Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Galaxy Digital Announces Nasdaq Listing Plans
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. announced its intent to list on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on May 16, 2025, contingent on shareholder approval of a proposed reorganization and final Nasdaq approval. This move is seen as a transformative milestone that could enhance the company’s value and attract a broader investor base, while existing shares will continue trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

Spark’s Take on TSE:GLXY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:GLXY is a Neutral.

Galaxy Digital’s stock score reflects a company with strong profitability and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in AI and digital assets. The robust balance sheet and no debt are significant positives. However, concerns about revenue volatility, cash management, and recent market challenges weigh on the score. The technical analysis suggests potential near-term volatility, while the company’s valuation appears fair. Overall, the company’s strategic positioning and optimism about future growth provide a solid foundation, but investors should remain cautious of market volatility and regulatory challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:GLXY stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Galaxy Digital to Announce Q1 2025 Results and Host Investor Call
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 13, 2025, before the Toronto Stock Exchange opens. CEO Michael Novogratz and the management team will host a conference call to discuss the company’s activities and results, which will be accessible via a live webcast. This announcement comes ahead of a special shareholder meeting on May 9, 2025, to approve the company’s reorganization and domestication from the Cayman Islands to Delaware, marking a significant transition in its corporate structure.

Spark’s Take on TSE:GLXY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:GLXY is a Neutral.

Galaxy Digital’s stock score reflects a company with strong profitability and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in AI and digital assets. The robust balance sheet and no debt are significant positives. However, concerns about revenue volatility, cash management, and recent market challenges weigh on the score. The technical analysis suggests potential near-term volatility, while the company’s valuation appears fair. Overall, the company’s strategic positioning and optimism about future growth provide a solid foundation, but investors should remain cautious of market volatility and regulatory challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:GLXY stock, click here.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Galaxy Expands AI Infrastructure with CoreWeave Partnership
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. has announced a new agreement with CoreWeave Inc. to expand its AI and high-performance computing infrastructure at the Helios data center campus in West Texas. This agreement will increase the total committed capacity to 393 MW of critical IT load, strengthening Galaxy’s position in the AI data center market. The transition from bitcoin mining to AI and HPC infrastructure is underway, with Phase I expected to be operational by the first half of 2026 and Phase II throughout 2027. This move diversifies Galaxy’s business and enhances its ability to deliver value to shareholders, while also supporting Texas’s transformation into a digital infrastructure hub.

Spark’s Take on TSE:GLXY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:GLXY is a Neutral.

Galaxy Digital Holdings demonstrates strong profitability and strategic growth initiatives, notably in AI and digital assets. While financial stability issues and recent market challenges present risks, the company’s optimistic outlook and reasonable valuation support a solid overall score. The significant Nasdaq listing progress and UK expansion further bolster the company’s strategic positioning.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:GLXY stock, click here.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Galaxy Digital Moves Forward with U.S. Nasdaq Listing Plans
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. announced that the SEC has approved its registration statement, marking a significant step towards its reorganization and U.S. listing on Nasdaq. This move is expected to enhance Galaxy’s market presence and operational capabilities, with a special shareholder meeting scheduled for May 9, 2025, to approve the reorganization.

Spark’s Take on TSE:GLXY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:GLXY is a Neutral.

Galaxy Digital Holdings demonstrates strong profitability and strategic growth initiatives, notably in AI and digital assets. Financial stability issues and recent market challenges present risks, but the company’s optimistic outlook and reasonable valuation support a solid overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:GLXY stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Galaxy Digital Expands UK Operations with FCA License
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings has secured a license from the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) for its UK subsidiary, Galaxy Digital UK Ltd, to execute derivatives trading in London. This significant regulatory approval expands Galaxy’s global trading operations and strengthens its investment banking and asset management services in the UK. The license enhances Galaxy’s ability to meet the growing institutional demand for digital assets, reinforcing its position as a leading player in the digital assets ecosystem. The UK’s regulatory framework for crypto assets is seen as a leader in the global digital asset landscape, attracting innovation and investment to the region.

Delistings and Listing ChangesLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Galaxy Digital Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Developments
Positive
Mar 28, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings reported a net income of $174 million for Q4 2024 and $365 million for the full year, despite a legal settlement with the New York Attorney General impacting results. The company is progressing with its reorganization to become a Delaware-incorporated entity and plans to list on Nasdaq, subject to regulatory approvals. Additionally, Galaxy entered a significant 15-year lease agreement with CoreWeave to support AI and HPC infrastructure, expected to generate $4.5 billion in revenue. The company also saw substantial growth in its trading and advisory services, driven by increased derivatives activity and institutional demand.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
GK8 Enhances Institutional Access to DeFi with Avalanche Integration
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

GK8 by Galaxy has integrated its unlimited MPC (uMPC) technology with the Avalanche blockchain, enhancing institutional access to DeFi applications. This integration allows institutions to securely engage with DeFi through MetaMask Institutional, leveraging Avalanche’s low transaction fees and rapid finality. The uMPC technology supports all EVM-compatible chains, ensuring secure asset management without compromising transaction speed, thereby fostering greater institutional participation in DeFi.

Financial Disclosures
Galaxy Digital to Announce Q4 and Full Year 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 13, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. announced that it will release its fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results on March 28, 2025, before the Toronto Stock Exchange opens. CEO Michael Novogratz and management will host a conference call to discuss the results and provide updates to shareholders. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
GK8 Enhances Institutional DeFi Access with Avalanche Integration
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

GK8 by Galaxy has integrated its unlimited MPC (uMPC) technology with the Avalanche blockchain, enhancing institutional access to decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. This integration allows users to securely deploy digital assets into various DeFi services via MetaMask Institutional, leveraging Avalanche’s low fees and fast transaction times. The move is expected to bolster institutional trust and participation in DeFi by ensuring secure and efficient interactions with blockchain-based financial services.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.