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Colabor Group Inc. (TSE:GCL)
TSX:GCL

Colabor (GCL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GCL

Colabor

(TSX:GCL)

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Underperform 38 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:
C$0.04
▼(-5.00% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by sharply deteriorating financial performance (losses, margin compression, and substantially higher leverage) and very weak technicals (deep downtrend with negative MACD). Valuation signals are not supportive due to negative earnings, and a recent negative refinancing/liquidity corporate event adds further downside risk.
Positive Factors
Logistics Network
A strong logistics network supports Colabor's distribution capabilities, ensuring timely delivery and customer satisfaction, which are critical for maintaining competitive advantage in the food distribution industry.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation indicates efficient capital management, providing liquidity and operational flexibility, which is crucial for sustaining growth and handling financial obligations.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Alimplus's assets is expected to enhance market position, create synergies, and provide cross-selling opportunities, boosting growth and competitive standing in Quebec.
Negative Factors
Moderate Leverage
Moderate leverage can pose risks if not managed properly, potentially limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, which could affect long-term sustainability.
Stagnant Revenue Growth
Stagnant revenue growth indicates challenges in expanding market share or increasing sales, which could impact the company's ability to scale and compete effectively in the long term.
Low Net Profit Margin
Low net profit margins suggest limited profitability, which can hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth initiatives and provide returns to shareholders, affecting long-term financial health.

Colabor (GCL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Colabor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionColabor Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, markets and distributes food and food-related products in Canada. It operates in two segments, Distribution and Wholesale. The Distribution segment offers frozen products, dry staples, dairy products, meat, fish, seafood, fruits and vegetables, disposables, and sanitation products. This segment serves restaurants, hotels, foodservice operators, specialty food stores, healthcare institutions, schools and universities, and other retail customers. The Wholesale segment provides food, general food-related, and non-food products to distributors. Colabor Group Inc. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Boucherville, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyColabor Group Inc. generates revenue mainly through the distribution and sale of food and related products. The company operates through its two main segments: Distribution and Wholesale. The Distribution segment involves the direct supply of products to foodservice operators, including restaurants, schools, and healthcare facilities. The Wholesale segment focuses on providing products to independent distributors and retailers. Colabor's earnings are bolstered by strategic partnerships with key suppliers and a robust logistics network that ensures efficient delivery services, which enhances customer satisfaction and retention.

Colabor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 17, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging environment with some positive developments, such as market share growth and cash flow improvements, but significant challenges remain, including overall sales decline, reduced profitability, and lower margins on a large contract renewal.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Distribution Sales Growth
Distribution sales grew by 1.5%, contributing to a market share gain of 6.8% year-over-year, increasing market share to 11.1% from 10.3%.
Renewal of Major Institutional Contract
Colabor renewed a 2-year agreement with an institutional customer, representing approximately 11% of expected revenues for fiscal year 2024.
Cash Flow from Operations
Cash flow from operating activities increased to $9.9 million in the third quarter, up from $8 million in the equivalent quarter of last year.
Negative Updates
Overall Sales Decline
Sales were down 1.6% at $162 million, with wholesale activities declining by 10.1%.
Decrease in Net Earnings
Net earnings dropped to $1.2 million or $0.01 per share, down from $3.5 million or $0.03 per share in the third quarter of 2023.
Lower Profitability
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA fell to $9.5 million or 5.9% of sales from $11 million or 6.7% in the third quarter of last year due to lower volumes and higher operating expenses.
Contract Margin Reduction
The renewed institutional contract was at a lower margin than the previous agreement, impacting future profitability.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal 2024, Colabor Group provided guidance indicating a 1.5% increase in distribution sales, contributing to a market share gain of 6.8% year-over-year, bringing the market share to 11.1%. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, the company's distribution business managed to grow due to new customer acquisitions and increased purchasing volumes among certain existing customers. The company also highlighted a reduction of 10.1% in wholesale revenue and a decline in consolidated adjusted EBITDA to $9.5 million, or 5.9% of sales, compared to 6.7% in the previous year. Colabor successfully renewed a significant institutional contract, accounting for approximately 11% of expected revenues for fiscal 2024, though at lower margins. The management emphasized their focus on operational efficiencies, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and strategic measures to mitigate the impact of reduced margins, while continuing to explore both organic and nonorganic growth opportunities.

Colabor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Colabor presents a stable financial position with strong cash flow generation and moderate leverage. While revenue growth has been stagnant, operational efficiencies are evident through steady margins. The company’s ability to convert income into cash is a notable strength, providing resilience in the Retailers - Staples industry. However, the low net profit margin and moderate ROE suggest potential areas for improvement in profitability and shareholder returns.
Income Statement
Colabor's income statement shows a mixed performance with moderate profitability and fluctuating growth. The gross profit margin for 2024 was 18.54%, and the net profit margin was 0.24%, indicating tight control over costs but very low net profitability. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 was -0.31%, suggesting a slight decline in revenue. The EBIT margin stood at 2.15%, and the EBITDA margin was 5.16%, reflecting decent operational efficiency but limited scalability in profits.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Colabor reflects a balanced approach towards debt and equity. The debt-to-equity ratio for 2024 is 1.53, indicating moderate leverage, which can be a risk if not managed properly. Return on equity (ROE) was 1.42%, suggesting limited returns to shareholders. However, the equity ratio was 33.25%, signifying a healthy portion of assets funded by equity, which provides a cushion against liabilities.
Cash Flow
Colabor's cash flow statement indicates strong cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow grew significantly by 740.57% from 2023 to 2024, a positive sign of efficient capital management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was 23.89, and the free cash flow to net income ratio was 20.19, highlighting robust cash flow relative to net income, which is favorable for liquidity and operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue716.24M657.09M659.13M574.07M475.76M461.32M
Gross Profit93.99M121.84M42.12M103.51M80.07M76.82M
EBITDA-50.11M33.94M35.98M26.70M28.47M26.79M
Net Income-80.16M1.56M5.59M4.07M7.84M3.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets351.44M330.44M327.83M240.69M229.43M234.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments428.00K3.47M0.00-42.46M2.01M9.19M
Total Debt232.67M168.07M172.46M90.11M85.29M103.31M
Total Liabilities322.31M220.60M219.35M137.80M131.84M145.43M
Stockholders Equity29.13M109.84M108.48M102.89M97.59M88.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.00M31.42M3.73M13.39M16.51M35.28M
Operating Cash Flow6.62M37.18M22.31M19.30M18.75M37.30M
Investing Cash Flow-51.89M-6.80M-20.27M-6.06M-1.84M-1.45M
Financing Cash Flow39.59M-24.22M-7.02M-16.51M-23.92M-19.52M

Colabor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.14
Negative
100DMA
0.38
Negative
200DMA
0.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
26.16
Positive
STOCH
44.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GCL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, below the 50-day MA of 0.14, and below the 200-day MA of 0.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 26.16 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GCL.

Colabor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
C$186.43M-46.27-12.77%3.27%60.93%
46
Neutral
C$115.82M-5.61132.78%34.00%
45
Neutral
$277.22M-115.85-95.27%212.16%-46.40%
38
Underperform
C$4.08M-0.05-115.79%10.05%-9028.41%
38
Underperform
C$18.74M-2.65-9999.00%47.86%-225.43%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GCL
Colabor
0.04
-0.89
-95.70%
TSE:DWS
Diamond Estates Wines & Spirits
0.17
-0.03
-16.26%
TSE:HYTN
HYTN Innovations Inc
0.20
-0.20
-50.00%
TSE:OGO
Organto Foods
0.82
0.76
1266.67%
TSE:HBFG
Happy Belly Food Group
2.12
0.85
66.93%
TSE:GURU
GURU Organic Energy Corp
6.20
4.97
404.07%

Colabor Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Colabor Seeks CCAA Protection and Restructures Leadership to Support Formal Sale Process
Negative
Jan 8, 2026

Colabor Group Inc. has obtained creditor protection under the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act from the Superior Court of Quebec for itself and certain subsidiaries, enabling a stay of proceedings and access to debtor-in-possession financing from a banking syndicate to support ongoing operations and a formal sale and investment solicitation process. The court-approved restructuring framework, overseen by Raymond Chabot Inc. as monitor, is designed to seek the best available transaction for the company and its stakeholders, while management remains in charge of day-to-day operations; concurrently, Colabor has strengthened its leadership for this critical phase by appointing longtime finance executive Marc-Antoine Daoust as chief financial officer and moving interim CFO Yanick Blanchard into the newly formalized role of chief restructuring officer.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GCL) stock is a Sell with a C$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colabor stock, see the TSE:GCL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Colabor Seeks CCAA Creditor Protection as TSX Halts Trading and Weighs Delisting
Negative
Jan 8, 2026

Colabor Group Inc. and several of its subsidiaries have applied to the Superior Court of Quebec for protection from creditors under the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act, initiating a formal sale and investment solicitation process to explore potential transactions for the businesses and their assets. The application seeks a stay of proceedings, debtor-in-possession financing from major Canadian banks to fund operations during restructuring, and the appointment of Raymond Chabot Inc. as monitor, while trading in Colabor’s shares has been halted and the Toronto Stock Exchange has placed the company under expedited delisting review, highlighting the severity of its financing challenges after failing to secure required refinancing and equity commitments in 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GCL) stock is a Sell with a C$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colabor stock, see the TSE:GCL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Colabor Group Faces Refinancing Challenges Amid Strategic Review
Negative
Dec 15, 2025

Colabor Group Inc. has announced difficulties in securing satisfactory refinancing options as part of its strategic alternatives review. The company is negotiating with senior lenders for further amendments to its forbearance agreements to ensure additional liquidity for its operations. However, without successful long-term arrangements or strategic alternatives, Colabor’s operations could be severely impacted, potentially leading to creditor protection measures and a decrease in investment value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GCL) stock is a Hold with a C$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colabor stock, see the TSE:GCL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Colabor Group Announces Board Resignation
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

Colabor Group Inc. announced the resignation of Ms. Danièle Bergeron from its Board of Directors following her acceptance of a position with another major company. The interim Chairman of the Board, Mr. Denis Mathieu, expressed gratitude for Ms. Bergeron’s valuable contributions to the company. This change in the board could signal a shift in company dynamics and may impact its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GCL) stock is a Buy with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colabor stock, see the TSE:GCL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Colabor Group Announces Board Member Resignation
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Colabor Group Inc. announced the resignation of Mr. Robert Johnston from its Board of Directors. The company expressed gratitude for his leadership and contributions, which have been significant during his tenure. This change in the board may impact the company’s strategic direction and governance, potentially affecting its operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GCL) stock is a Hold with a C$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colabor stock, see the TSE:GCL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Colabor Group Reports Q3 2025 Results and Leadership Change
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Colabor Group Inc. reported a significant increase in sales for the third quarter of 2025, but faced challenges with a decrease in adjusted EBITDA and a net loss from continuing operations. The company is undergoing a leadership transition with the appointment of Kelly Shipway as the new President and CEO, following the departure of Louis Frenette. Colabor is focusing on a financial turnaround, integration of Alimplus’ activities, and aims to enhance its market position in the foodservice distribution sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GCL) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colabor stock, see the TSE:GCL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Colabor Group Inc. Mourns the Loss of Chairman Warren J. White
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

Colabor Group Inc. announced the passing of its Chairman, Mr. Warren J. White, who was appointed in 2019 and brought significant experience from his career in various international manufacturing organizations. Mr. Denis Mathieu has been appointed as the interim successor. The company expressed condolences to Mr. White’s family and highlighted his unifying presence and compassionate nature.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GCL) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colabor stock, see the TSE:GCL Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Colabor to Release Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

Colabor Group Inc. has announced that it will release its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 16, 2025, after market close. A conference call to discuss these results is scheduled for October 17, 2025, at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GCL) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colabor stock, see the TSE:GCL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025