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GURU Organic Energy Corp (TSE:GURU)
TSX:GURU

GURU Organic Energy Corp (GURU) AI Stock Analysis

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GURU Organic Energy Corp

(TSX:GURU)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(14.29%Upside)
GURU Organic Energy Corp's overall score is primarily affected by its financial performance challenges, including profitability and cash flow issues. While technical indicators show mild bearish trends, the company's strategic distribution shift offers a positive outlook for future growth.

GURU Organic Energy Corp (GURU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

GURU Organic Energy Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGURU Organic Energy Corp., a beverage company, provides plant-based energy drinks. It offers its products under the Guru Original, Guru Lite, Guru Energy Water, Guru Matcha, Yerba Mate, and Guayusa Tropical Punch names. The company markets its organic energy drinks in Canada and the United States through a distribution network of approximately 23,700 points of sale, as well as through guruenergy.com, FB Marketplace, and Amazon. GURU Organic Energy Corp. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Montréal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyGURU Organic Energy Corp makes money primarily through the sale of its organic energy drinks. The company generates revenue by distributing its products through various retail channels including grocery stores, health food stores, and online platforms. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers and wholesale agreements with retailers. GURU capitalizes on the growing trend towards health and wellness, positioning its products as premium offerings in the energy drink market. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships and marketing initiatives to increase brand visibility and expand its customer base. However, specific details on partnerships or additional revenue factors are not available.

GURU Organic Energy Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 11, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -9.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in the U.S. market, successful product innovations, and improved financial metrics. However, challenges remain with declining Q4 revenue, flat sales in Canada, and the upcoming end of the PepsiCo distribution agreement. The company is optimistic about transitioning to a direct distribution model and continuing its growth trajectory.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong U.S. Market Performance
The U.S. market saw a 62% year-over-year growth and record-breaking online performance, particularly on Amazon.
Increase in Gross Profit and Margin
Gross profit increased by 8.4% to $16.7 million, with gross margin improving to 55.3%.
Successful Product Innovation
The launch of GURU Zero, a sugar-free line, was well-received, contributing to growth and expansion in key markets.
Leadership and Governance Strengthened
New independent board members and executive appointments were made to enhance marketing and sales strategies.
Reduced Net Loss
Net loss reduced by 21.3% to $9.4 million in fiscal 2024.
Strong Financial Position
Maintained a strong financial position with $25.5 million in cash and no debt.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Q4
Revenue declined by 6.9% year-over-year in Q4, though offset by stable gross profit.
Flat Sales in Canada
Sales in Canada remained flat in dollar terms, facing increased competition and market share challenges.
End of PepsiCo Distribution Agreement
The distribution agreement with PepsiCo Canada will end in May 2025, requiring a transition back to a direct distribution model.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call for GURU Organic Energy, the company provided robust guidance underscored by a strategic focus on sustainable growth and profitability. GURU reported a 3.3% increase in net revenue, reaching $30.2 million, and an 8.4% growth in gross profit to $16.7 million, alongside an improved gross margin of 55.3%. The U.S. market was a significant driver, boasting a 62% year-over-year growth. Cost management strategies led to a 21.3% reduction in net loss. Innovations such as the Zero Sugar line, which aligns with the growing demand for sugar-free energy drinks in the $23 billion North American market, played a pivotal role in the company's strategy. The leadership team was bolstered by new appointments, including Shingly Lee as VP of Marketing and Patrick Charbonneau as EVP of Sales, to drive growth and enhance market presence. Looking ahead to 2025, GURU plans to transition to a direct distribution model in Canada by May 22, 2025, optimize operational flexibility, and expand its market share, particularly through the Zero Sugar product line.

GURU Organic Energy Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GURU Organic Energy Corp. exhibits strong revenue growth and efficient production with a gross profit margin of 56.95%. However, the company is facing significant profitability challenges with negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins, and a concerning cash flow situation with negative free cash flow. The strong equity position mitigates some risks but continued net losses and cash flow issues are concerning.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
GURU Organic Energy Corp has shown a small revenue growth in the TTM with a Gross Profit Margin of 56.95%, indicating efficient production. However, the company is facing significant profitability challenges with a negative Net Profit Margin of -28.69% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting ongoing operational losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity position with an Equity Ratio of 78.34%. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low at 0.04, indicating low leverage. Despite these strengths, the continued net losses are eroding equity, which is a potential risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
GURU's cash flow situation is concerning with negative Free Cash Flow and a negative Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio, suggesting inefficiency in converting sales into cash flow. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is also negative, indicating deteriorating cash-generating capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.79M30.24M29.29M29.08M30.19M22.10M
Gross Profit17.53M16.74M15.44M15.69M17.88M14.04M
EBITDA-7.64M-8.29M-10.67M-16.52M-9.38M-1.56M
Net Income-8.84M-9.41M-11.96M-17.56M-9.84M-2.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.18M39.14M48.65M65.35M85.01M41.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.16M25.51M33.83M46.29M66.95M30.42M
Total Debt1.09M1.16M1.58M1.99M1.91M471.94K
Total Liabilities8.27M8.20M8.82M10.26M12.46M8.23M
Stockholders Equity29.92M30.93M39.83M55.09M72.55M33.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.42M-9.39M-9.40M-20.09M-11.37M-143.37K
Operating Cash Flow-7.32M-9.30M-9.32M-18.84M-10.16M-137.30K
Investing Cash Flow19.72M19.45M4.11M-21.65M-1.10M-6.06K
Financing Cash Flow-434.77K-462.25K-4.48M-1.00M47.82M30.41M

GURU Organic Energy Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.75
Price Trends
50DMA
1.83
Negative
100DMA
1.81
Negative
200DMA
1.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
45.57
Neutral
STOCH
12.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GURU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.85, below the 50-day MA of 1.83, and above the 200-day MA of 1.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:GURU.

GURU Organic Energy Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
£7.96B-2.81-8.53%7.17%-3.48%-99.82%
53
Neutral
C$3.30M-72.49%-25.35%-657.14%
48
Neutral
$54.10M-23.57%-7.65%31.15%
$4.24M
C$4.93M
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GURU
GURU Organic Energy Corp
1.75
-0.30
-14.63%
TSE:MUSH
Good Shroom Co Inc
0.07
-0.05
-41.67%
TSE:YERB.U
Yerbae Brands
1.16
0.00
0.00%
TSE:FLOW
Flow Beverage Corp.
0.08
-0.11
-57.89%

GURU Organic Energy Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
GURU Organic Energy Corp Achieves Record Margins with Strategic Distribution Shift
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

GURU Organic Energy Corp has completed a strategic shift in its Canadian distribution, achieving record margins and setting a clear path to profitability by Q2 2025. The company reported a significant improvement in net loss, expanded gross margins, and strong US sales growth, driven by innovation and consumer demand for its Zero line. The transition to a direct distribution model in Canada is expected to enhance brand control and execution quality, positioning GURU for sustainable growth and increased market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GURU) stock is a Buy with a C$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GURU Organic Energy Corp stock, see the TSE:GURU Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
GURU Organic Energy to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 29, 2025

GURU Organic Energy Corp., Canada’s leading organic energy drink brand, announced it will release its second-quarter financial results for 2025 on June 12, before markets open. The company will host a conference call on the same day to discuss the results, with a Q&A session for financial analysts. This announcement is part of GURU’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with stakeholders and could impact its market positioning by providing insights into its financial health and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GURU) stock is a Buy with a C$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GURU Organic Energy Corp stock, see the TSE:GURU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025