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Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSE:FFH)
TSX:FFH

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FFH

Fairfax Financial Holdings

(TSX:FFH)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
C$2,872.00
â–²(13.03% Upside)
Fairfax Financial Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance, supported by robust earnings and a solid balance sheet. The positive technical indicators and attractive valuation further enhance the stock's appeal. The recent earnings call provided additional confidence with strong financial results and strategic growth initiatives, despite some challenges in specific segments.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Management
Robust cash flow growth indicates effective financial management and supports future investments and debt servicing, enhancing long-term stability.
International Growth
Expansion in international markets diversifies revenue streams and reduces reliance on any single market, supporting sustainable growth.
Positive Financial Strength Ratings
Upgraded financial strength ratings enhance credibility and can lead to lower borrowing costs, supporting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Decline in Gulf Insurance Premiums
A decline in premiums in a key segment could indicate challenges in maintaining market share, potentially affecting revenue stability.
Increased Debt Levels
Rising debt levels may constrain financial flexibility and increase interest obligations, impacting long-term financial resilience.
Impact of Interest Rate Changes
Interest rate fluctuations can adversely affect earnings and investment returns, posing a risk to financial performance and stability.

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFairfax Financial Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, and investment management services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Insurance and Reinsurance, Run-off, and Non-Insurance Companies segments. It insures against losses to property from fire, explosion, earthquake, windstorm, flood, boiler explosion, machinery breakdown, and construction defects, as well as underwrites automobile, commercial and personal property, and crop insurance. The company also offers workers' compensation, employer's liability, accident and health, medical malpractice, professional liability, and umbrella coverage insurance products; marine, aerospace, surety risk, and other risks and liabilities insurance products; and reinsurance products. In addition, it retails home improvement goods, toys and baby products, golf equipment, sports apparel and accessories, housewares and home décors, and tableware and gifts; invests in retail business; and owns and operates holiday resorts. Further, the company provides integrated travel and travel-related financial services; originates, processes, and distributes pulses and staple foods; creates, produces, and distributes entertainment content; and provision of pet medical insurance and database services, as well as media and marketing solutions. The company was formerly known as Markel Financial Holdings Limited and changed its name to Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited in 1987. Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFairfax Financial Holdings generates revenue primarily through its insurance and reinsurance operations. The company earns premiums from policyholders in exchange for providing coverage against various risks. The underwriting process involves assessing risks and setting premium rates, which can vary significantly based on the type of coverage provided. Furthermore, FFH invests the premiums it receives in a wide range of financial instruments, including stocks, bonds, and other securities, generating investment income. Key revenue streams include underwriting profits from its insurance operations and investment income from its diversified asset portfolio. The company's financial performance is also bolstered by strategic partnerships with other firms in the insurance and investment sectors, as well as its ability to navigate market conditions effectively to maximize returns.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong financial performance with significant increases in net earnings, strong underwriting results, and positive financial strength ratings. While there were challenges such as a decline in Gulf Insurance premiums and impacts from interest rate changes, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Net Earnings
Net earnings for the third quarter of 2025 were $1.2 billion, up from $1 billion in the same quarter of the previous year. The net earnings for the first nine months of 2025 reached $3.5 billion.
Strong Underwriting and Investment Performance
Underwriting income was $540 million, with a combined ratio of 92%. Net gains on investments were $426 million, driven by gains on equity exposures of $525 million.
Increase in Book Value Per Share
The book value per share increased by 15.1% for the first nine months of 2025, adjusted for a $15 dividend, reaching $1,204.
Positive Financial Strength Ratings
Standard & Poor's upgraded the financial strength rating of core operating companies to AA-, and A.M. Best upgraded several subsidiaries to A+.
Growth in International Operations
Excluding Gulf Insurance, international premiums were up 10%, with strong growth in regions like South Africa (20%), Central and Eastern Europe (11.7%), and Asia (13%).
Negative Updates
Decline in Gulf Insurance Premiums
Gulf Insurance saw a 13% decline in net premiums due to timing, expected to normalize in the fourth quarter.
Increased Total Debt to Total Capital Ratio
The total debt to total capital ratio increased to 26.5% at the end of Q3 2025, up from 24.8% at the end of 2024.
Impact of Interest Rate Changes
Net earnings included a net loss of $308 million due to changes in interest rates, affecting insurance and reinsurance contracts and bonds.
Company Guidance
During Fairfax's 2025 third-quarter results conference call, the company reported strong financial performance with net earnings of $1.2 billion, a significant increase from $1 billion in the same quarter of 2024, resulting in net earnings of $3.5 billion for the first nine months of 2025. The company achieved operating income of $1.3 billion from its insurance and reinsurance operations, and interest and dividend income rose to $655 million. Underwriting income stood at $540 million, contributing to a combined ratio of 92%, with global insurers and reinsurers achieving a combined ratio of 91.3%. Fairfax's book value per share increased to $1,204, reflecting a 15.1% rise over the first nine months of 2025. Gross premiums written totaled $8.2 billion for the quarter, down slightly from the previous year, with growth noted in segments such as Brit and Odyssey Group. On the investment side, Fairfax reported net gains of $426 million, with notable contributions from equity gains, despite some losses in the bond portfolio. The company also highlighted a strategic focus on maintaining a robust capital position and potential growth opportunities in its international and investment operations.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fairfax Financial Holdings demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 80% and a net profit margin improving to 14.61%. The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio and strong return on equity, indicating effective equity utilization. Cash flow is robust, though there is room for improvement in operating cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fairfax Financial Holdings shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 80% and a net profit margin improving to 14.61% in TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 4.06% in TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 in TTM, indicating balanced leverage. Return on equity is strong at 18.64%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid financial foundation.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free cash flow growth is robust at 26.61% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.88, reflecting good cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.74B28.45B25.80B19.58B25.80B19.86B
Gross Profit6.34B5.57B5.23B-104.30M12.27B8.18B
EBITDA7.99B7.04B7.31B6.03B5.84B1.47B
Net Income5.12B3.87B4.38B3.37B3.40B218.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets147.98B96.78B91.99B92.13B86.65B74.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.43B7.28B7.96B11.70B25.34B16.30B
Total Debt19.26B13.06B10.80B9.32B7.75B8.81B
Total Liabilities105.67B68.43B64.28B71.79B65.33B56.53B
Stockholders Equity36.44B24.07B22.95B16.68B16.39B13.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.77B3.59B-553.50M-4.84B6.29B-133.50M
Operating Cash Flow5.46B3.99B-39.40M-4.42B6.64B139.80M
Investing Cash Flow-1.62B-1.32B92.00M384.80M1.84B-46.80M
Financing Cash Flow-726.47M-1.56B-1.07B-1.29B-1.19B436.90M

Fairfax Financial Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2540.97
Price Trends
50DMA
2355.64
Positive
100DMA
2380.48
Positive
200DMA
2306.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
42.72
Negative
RSI
68.60
Neutral
STOCH
86.20
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FFH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2540.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2429.43, above the 50-day MA of 2355.64, and above the 200-day MA of 2306.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 42.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.20 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FFH.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$59.76B8.4118.65%0.85%10.08%24.18%
79
Outperform
C$9.13B18.3713.44%1.00%19.80%-12.93%
76
Outperform
C$60.88B15.4215.09%3.65%-20.64%14.88%
73
Outperform
C$50.60B16.9716.27%1.88%2.51%44.44%
71
Outperform
C$16.12B14.9714.34%2.16%-25.13%16.40%
68
Neutral
C$47.30B16.0911.96%4.15%-19.88%-13.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
2,540.97
559.67
28.25%
TSE:SLF
Sun Life Financial
84.86
3.23
3.96%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
66.90
21.58
47.62%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
175.27
45.27
34.82%
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
283.72
25.78
9.99%
TSE:DFY
Definity Financial Corp.
75.11
17.67
30.76%

Fairfax Financial Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Fairfax Financial Sells 25 Million Orla Shares in Strategic Portfolio Rebalancing
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced the sale of 25 million common shares of Orla Mining Ltd., generating approximately CDN$441.1 million. This transaction is part of Fairfax’s investment portfolio rebalancing strategy, reducing its stake in Orla from 16.7% to 9.4% on a non-diluted basis. The move reflects Fairfax’s ongoing investment strategy to adapt to market changes and optimize its holdings, potentially impacting its influence in Orla’s future operations.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fairfax Financial to Redeem Preferred Shares, Series I & J
Neutral
Nov 28, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced its intention to redeem all outstanding Cumulative Preferred Shares, Series I and J, on December 31, 2025, at a redemption price of C$25.00 per share, totaling C$300.0 million. This redemption will result in the delisting of these shares from the Toronto Stock Exchange, impacting the company’s capital structure and potentially influencing its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fairfax Financial Holdings to Discuss Q3 Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced a conference call scheduled for November 7, 2025, to discuss its third quarter results, which will be released on November 6, 2025. This announcement provides stakeholders with an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fairfax Sells Eurolife Life Insurance Stake to Eurobank
Neutral
Oct 13, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced the sale of its 80% equity interest in the life insurance business of Eurolife FFH Insurance Group Holdings S.A. to Eurobank for €813 million. This strategic move allows Fairfax to focus on its core operations in property and casualty insurance while maintaining a stake in the life insurance sector through Eurobank. Additionally, Fairfax will acquire a 45% equity interest in Eurobank’s property and casualty insurance business in Cyprus, with an option to increase its stake over time. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, and it positions Fairfax to strengthen its presence in the Greek insurance market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025