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Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd (TSE:FFH)
:FFH
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Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FFH

Fairfax Financial Holdings

(OTC:FFH)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$2,490.00
â–²(12.64% Upside)
Fairfax Financial Holdings' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths, contributing significantly to the overall score. The low P/E ratio suggests undervaluation, enhancing the stock's attractiveness. However, technical indicators point to a bearish trend, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong Underwriting and Investment Performance
The strong underwriting and investment performance indicates effective risk management and investment strategies, contributing to sustained profitability.
Increase in Book Value Per Share
An increase in book value per share reflects the company's ability to enhance shareholder value through effective capital management and profitability.
Growth in International Operations
Expansion in international markets demonstrates Fairfax's ability to capture growth opportunities globally, diversifying revenue sources and reducing regional risk.
Negative Factors
Increased Total Debt to Total Capital Ratio
Rising debt levels can constrain financial flexibility and increase interest obligations, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Impact of Interest Rate Changes
Interest rate fluctuations can affect investment returns and liabilities, posing a challenge to maintaining stable earnings and financial performance.
Decline in Gulf Insurance Premiums
A decline in premiums from Gulf Insurance indicates potential volatility in regional operations, which could affect overall revenue stability.

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFairfax Financial Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, and investment management services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Insurance and Reinsurance, Run-off, and Non-Insurance Companies segments. It insures against losses to property from fire, explosion, earthquake, windstorm, flood, boiler explosion, machinery breakdown, and construction defects, as well as underwrites automobile, commercial and personal property, and crop insurance. The company also offers workers' compensation, employer's liability, accident and health, medical malpractice, professional liability, and umbrella coverage insurance products; marine, aerospace, surety risk, and other risks and liabilities insurance products; and reinsurance products. In addition, it retails home improvement goods, toys and baby products, golf equipment, sports apparel and accessories, housewares and home décors, and tableware and gifts; invests in retail business; and owns and operates holiday resorts. Further, the company provides integrated travel and travel-related financial services; originates, processes, and distributes pulses and staple foods; creates, produces, and distributes entertainment content; and provision of pet medical insurance and database services, as well as media and marketing solutions. The company was formerly known as Markel Financial Holdings Limited and changed its name to Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited in 1987. Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFairfax Financial generates revenue primarily through its insurance and reinsurance operations, where it earns premiums from policyholders in exchange for coverage against various risks. The company invests the premiums it collects into a diversified investment portfolio, which includes equities, fixed income, and alternative investments, generating investment income. Additionally, Fairfax benefits from underwriting profits, which occur when the premiums received exceed the claims paid out and operating expenses. Significant partnerships with other insurers and reinsurers enhance its market reach and capacity for risk acceptance, further contributing to its earnings. The company's strategic focus on long-term value creation through disciplined underwriting and proactive investment management also plays a crucial role in its profitability.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong financial performance with significant increases in net earnings, strong underwriting results, and positive financial strength ratings. While there were challenges such as a decline in Gulf Insurance premiums and impacts from interest rate changes, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Net Earnings
Net earnings for the third quarter of 2025 were $1.2 billion, up from $1 billion in the same quarter of the previous year. The net earnings for the first nine months of 2025 reached $3.5 billion.
Strong Underwriting and Investment Performance
Underwriting income was $540 million, with a combined ratio of 92%. Net gains on investments were $426 million, driven by gains on equity exposures of $525 million.
Increase in Book Value Per Share
The book value per share increased by 15.1% for the first nine months of 2025, adjusted for a $15 dividend, reaching $1,204.
Positive Financial Strength Ratings
Standard & Poor's upgraded the financial strength rating of core operating companies to AA-, and A.M. Best upgraded several subsidiaries to A+.
Growth in International Operations
Excluding Gulf Insurance, international premiums were up 10%, with strong growth in regions like South Africa (20%), Central and Eastern Europe (11.7%), and Asia (13%).
Negative Updates
Decline in Gulf Insurance Premiums
Gulf Insurance saw a 13% decline in net premiums due to timing, expected to normalize in the fourth quarter.
Increased Total Debt to Total Capital Ratio
The total debt to total capital ratio increased to 26.5% at the end of Q3 2025, up from 24.8% at the end of 2024.
Impact of Interest Rate Changes
Net earnings included a net loss of $308 million due to changes in interest rates, affecting insurance and reinsurance contracts and bonds.
Company Guidance
During Fairfax's 2025 third-quarter results conference call, the company reported strong financial performance with net earnings of $1.2 billion, a significant increase from $1 billion in the same quarter of 2024, resulting in net earnings of $3.5 billion for the first nine months of 2025. The company achieved operating income of $1.3 billion from its insurance and reinsurance operations, and interest and dividend income rose to $655 million. Underwriting income stood at $540 million, contributing to a combined ratio of 92%, with global insurers and reinsurers achieving a combined ratio of 91.3%. Fairfax's book value per share increased to $1,204, reflecting a 15.1% rise over the first nine months of 2025. Gross premiums written totaled $8.2 billion for the quarter, down slightly from the previous year, with growth noted in segments such as Brit and Odyssey Group. On the investment side, Fairfax reported net gains of $426 million, with notable contributions from equity gains, despite some losses in the bond portfolio. The company also highlighted a strategic focus on maintaining a robust capital position and potential growth opportunities in its international and investment operations.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fairfax Financial Holdings demonstrates strong profitability and effective equity utilization, with improving revenue and cash flow trends. While leverage is moderate, the company shows resilience in cash generation, though there is room for improvement in operating cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fairfax Financial Holdings shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 80% and a net profit margin improving to 14.61% in TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 4.06% in TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 in TTM, indicating balanced leverage. Return on equity is strong at 18.64%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid financial foundation.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow growth is robust at 26.61% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.88, reflecting good cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.25B28.45B31.83B25.82B25.80B19.79B
Gross Profit25.26B28.45B25.80B25.82B25.80B19.79B
EBITDA7.93B7.04B6.09B2.03B-100.50M1.47B
Net Income4.57B3.87B4.38B1.15B3.40B37.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets103.57B96.78B91.99B92.13B86.65B74.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.04B7.28B7.96B11.70B25.34B16.30B
Total Debt13.22B13.06B10.80B9.32B7.75B8.81B
Total Liabilities73.57B68.43B64.28B71.79B65.33B56.53B
Stockholders Equity25.77B24.07B22.95B16.68B16.39B13.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.36B3.59B-553.50M-4.84B6.29B-133.50M
Operating Cash Flow3.79B3.99B-39.40M-4.42B6.64B139.80M
Investing Cash Flow-1.26B-1.32B92.00M384.80M1.84B-46.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.65B-1.56B-1.07B-1.29B-1.19B436.90M

Fairfax Financial Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2210.63
Price Trends
50DMA
2372.91
Negative
100DMA
2398.30
Negative
200DMA
2251.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-48.20
Positive
RSI
32.77
Neutral
STOCH
24.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FFH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2210.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2307.07, below the 50-day MA of 2372.91, and below the 200-day MA of 2251.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -48.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:FFH.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$46.18B15.5711.96%3.95%-19.88%-13.92%
77
Outperform
C$47.29B20.3216.27%1.86%2.51%44.44%
76
Outperform
C$54.79B14.8615.09%3.98%-20.64%14.88%
76
Outperform
C$7.99B19.3713.44%1.03%19.80%-12.93%
75
Outperform
C$52.82B7.3218.65%0.98%10.08%24.18%
73
Outperform
C$15.47B15.5114.34%2.29%-25.13%16.40%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
2,210.63
369.66
20.08%
TSE:SLF
Sun Life Financial
82.12
2.52
3.16%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
59.90
13.28
28.49%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
161.33
36.43
29.17%
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
280.17
17.06
6.48%
TSE:DFY
Definity Financial Corp.
70.20
15.77
28.97%

Fairfax Financial Holdings Corporate Events

Fairfax Financial Reports Strong Q3 Earnings Growth
Nov 8, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd, a Toronto-based holding company, primarily engages in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, along with investment management through its subsidiaries.

Fairfax Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings and Strategic Sale
Nov 6, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings reported a significant increase in net earnings for the third quarter of 2025, reaching $1,151.7 million compared to $1,030.8 million in the same quarter of 2024. This growth was driven by strong core underwriting performance, increased interest and dividend income, and favorable results from profit of associates. The company also announced the sale of its 80% interest in Eurolife’s life insurance operations to Eurobank for approximately $940 million, while acquiring a 45% equity interest in Eurobank’s Cyprus-based property and casualty insurance company, ERB Asfalistiki, for about $68 million. This strategic move allows Fairfax to maintain its focus on property and casualty insurance while benefiting from Eurolife’s continued success.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$3200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Financial Renews Universal Shelf Prospectus for Capital Flexibility
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced the renewal of its universal shelf prospectus, allowing the company to offer an unlimited number of debt, equity, or other securities over a 25-month period. This strategic move is designed to provide Fairfax with flexibility in capital raising, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering opportunities for stakeholders to engage with new securities offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$3200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fairfax Financial Holdings to Discuss Q3 Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced a conference call scheduled for November 7, 2025, to discuss its third quarter results, which will be released on November 6, 2025. This announcement provides stakeholders with an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$3050.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Sells Eurolife Life Insurance Stake to Eurobank
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced the sale of its 80% equity interest in the life insurance business operated by Eurolife FFH Insurance Group Holdings S.A. to Eurobank for €813 million. Fairfax will retain its 80% interest in Eurolife’s property and casualty insurance business and acquire a 45% equity interest in Eurobank’s property and casualty insurance operations in Cyprus for €59 million. This strategic move allows Fairfax to focus on its core property and casualty insurance operations while benefiting from Eurolife’s continued success under Eurobank’s ownership.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2792.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Fairfax Sells Eurolife Life Insurance Stake to Eurobank
Neutral
Oct 13, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced the sale of its 80% equity interest in the life insurance business of Eurolife FFH Insurance Group Holdings S.A. to Eurobank for €813 million. This strategic move allows Fairfax to focus on its core operations in property and casualty insurance while maintaining a stake in the life insurance sector through Eurobank. Additionally, Fairfax will acquire a 45% equity interest in Eurobank’s property and casualty insurance business in Cyprus, with an option to increase its stake over time. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, and it positions Fairfax to strengthen its presence in the Greek insurance market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2792.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Financial Announces New Share Buyback Program
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced its intention to commence a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) for its Subordinate Voting Shares and several series of Preferred Shares, as approved by the Toronto Stock Exchange. The NCIB, effective from September 30, 2025, to September 29, 2026, aims to purchase shares that Fairfax believes represent an attractive investment opportunity, potentially enhancing shareholder value. Fairfax has also implemented an automatic share purchase plan to facilitate purchases during regulatory or internal trading black-out periods.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2712.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Financial Announces September 2025 Quarterly Dividends
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced its quarterly dividends for Series G, H, I, J, and K preferred shares, with payment dates set for late September 2025. Additionally, the company disclosed the quarterly dividend rate for Series J preferred shares for the period ending December 30, 2025. This announcement reflects Fairfax’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may impact stakeholders by providing clarity on expected returns and financial planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2655.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Financial to Redeem Preferred Shares in September 2025
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced its plan to redeem all outstanding Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares, Series G, and Cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares, Series H, on September 30, 2025. The redemption will be at a price of C$25.00 per share, totaling C$250.0 million, plus accrued dividends. Following the redemption, these shares will be delisted from the Toronto Stock Exchange, impacting the company’s capital structure and potentially affecting stakeholders’ investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2655.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Completes C$700 Million Senior Notes Offering
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited successfully completed a C$700 million senior notes offering, consisting of C$400 million in 4.45% Senior Notes due 2035 and C$300 million in 5.10% Senior Notes due 2055. The proceeds from this offering are intended for refinancing, repaying, or redeeming existing debt and equity obligations, pursuing acquisition or investment opportunities, and for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Fairfax Financial Launches C$700 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced a C$700 million senior notes offering, consisting of C$400 million due in 2035 and C$300 million due in 2055. The proceeds from this offering will be used to refinance existing debt, pursue potential acquisitions, and for general corporate purposes, which may include increasing cash reserves or short-term investments. This strategic move is expected to enhance Fairfax’s financial flexibility and support its growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025