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Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSE:FFH)
TSX:FFH
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Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FFH

Fairfax Financial Holdings

(TSX:FFH)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$2,738.00
â–²(14.50% Upside)
Fairfax Financial Holdings demonstrates a strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and attractive valuation. The positive earnings call reinforces the company's solid market position and investment strategy, although technical analysis indicates a cautious short-term outlook. The overall stock score reflects the company's resilient financial stability and potential for long-term growth, despite minor operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Increased target multiple reflects continued good operating income visibility and solid BVPS growth.
Net Investment Gains
Net investment gains are significantly better due to strong net gains on equities and convertible bonds.
Underwriting Income
Better underwriting income with a 98.5% combined ratio beats the 100.5% estimate.
Negative Factors
Earnings from Associates
Earnings from associates are weaker than expected, which can be unpredictable.
Impairment Charges
Other division performance is lower than expected, largely due to one-time non-cash impairment charges.

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFairfax Financial Holdings Limited is a Canadian holding company engaged in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, as well as investment management. Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Toronto, Canada, the company operates through its subsidiaries, offering a wide range of insurance products across various sectors including commercial, personal, and specialty insurance. Fairfax is also involved in investment management, leveraging its expertise to make strategic investments in a diverse range of industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyFairfax Financial Holdings generates revenue primarily through its insurance operations and investment activities. The company's insurance subsidiaries underwrite property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, collecting premiums from policyholders which constitute a major source of revenue. Fairfax also manages a significant investment portfolio, investing in a variety of asset classes including equities and fixed income securities. The investment income, which includes interest, dividends, and capital gains, contributes substantially to the company's earnings. Furthermore, Fairfax's strategic acquisitions and partnerships in various industries enhance its revenue streams and overall financial performance.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook for Fairfax, with strong net earnings growth, increased book value per share, and solid investment returns. Positive underwriting results and global insurance and reinsurance growth were highlighted, along with positive ratings upgrades. However, challenges such as a decline in the share of profits of associates and issues at Zenith and Gulf Insurance were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Earnings Growth
Fairfax reported net earnings of $1.4 billion for Q2 2025, up from $915 million in Q2 2024, resulting in net earnings of $2.4 billion for the first half of 2025.
Increased Book Value Per Share
Book value per share increased to $1,158 in Q2 2025, up 10.8% in the first half of the year, adjusted for the $15 dividend.
Solid Investment Returns
Consolidated investment return of 2.6%, driven by increased interest and dividend income and strong net gains on investments. Net gains on investments were $952 million in the quarter.
Positive Underwriting Results
Underwriting income was strong at $427 million, with a combined ratio of 93.3%, producing underwriting profit across most segments.
Growth in Global Insurance and Reinsurance
Insurance and reinsurance companies wrote $9.1 billion of gross premium in Q2 2025, up 2.6% versus Q2 2024.
Positive Ratings Upgrades
Standard & Poor's upgraded the financial strength ratings of core operating companies to AA- and debt rating to A-. AM Best upgraded Allied World's rating to A+.
Negative Updates
Decline in Share of Profits of Associates
Share of profits of associates was $131 million, down $90 million compared to Q2 2024, affected by losses on the Waterous fund.
Challenges at Zenith
Zenith reported an underwriting loss with a combined ratio of 103.3%, impacted by multiple years of rate decreases in the workers' compensation space.
Nonrenewed Contracts Impacting Gulf Insurance
Gulf Insurance's premium decreased 1.3% due to the loss of a significant insurance contract that was nonrenewed in Q3 2024.
Company Guidance
During Fairfax's 2025 second-quarter earnings call, the company reported net earnings of $1.4 billion, a significant increase from $915 million in the same period last year, bringing their first-half net earnings to $2.4 billion. The company experienced strong underwriting income of $427 million and net gains on investments amounting to $952 million, contributing to an increase in book value per share to $1,158, up 10.8% in the first half of the year. Their insurance and reinsurance operations wrote $33 billion in annualized premiums, with a combined ratio of 93.3% yielding an underwriting profit of $427 million. Fairfax's consolidated investment return was 2.6%, driven by a rise in interest and dividend income of $666 million, up 8.5% year-over-year, but offset by reduced profits of associates, primarily due to Eurobank and Poseidon Corp. On the investment front, Fairfax maintained $49 billion in fixed income, yielding 5.1%, and their equity and associate investments were close to $25 billion. The company also highlighted a robust cash position of $3 billion at the holding company level, alongside debt offerings totaling $890 million completed in the quarter.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fairfax Financial Holdings presents a strong financial profile with robust revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage, while cash flow generation supports operational needs despite a recent decline in free cash flow. The company should focus on enhancing operational efficiency and cash management to sustain its financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fairfax Financial Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $30.03 billion, up from the previous annual revenue of $28.45 billion, indicating a growth rate of 5.57%. The net profit margin stands at 13.47% for TTM, reflecting robust profitability. However, the EBIT margin has decreased from 19.82% in 2023 to 14.64% in TTM, suggesting some pressure on operating efficiency. Overall, the company demonstrates solid revenue momentum and profitability, with some areas for operational improvement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Fairfax Financial Holdings shows a healthy equity base with a stockholders' equity of $24.07 billion. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.51, which is fairly moderate and indicates a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio of 24.35% reflects adequate financial stability. However, the total debt has increased slightly over the period, and while it is not concerning, maintaining a check on debt levels will be crucial to sustaining financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow analysis highlights a positive free cash flow of $2.65 billion in TTM, although it has decreased from $3.59 billion in 2023, indicating a decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.76, demonstrating reasonable cash generation relative to net income. While the company maintains a positive cash flow, the decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential challenges in cash management or increased capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.25B28.45B31.83B25.82B25.80B19.79B
Gross Profit25.26B28.45B25.80B25.82B25.80B19.79B
EBITDA7.93B7.04B6.09B2.03B-100.50M1.47B
Net Income4.57B3.87B4.38B1.15B3.40B37.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets103.57B96.78B91.99B92.13B86.65B74.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.04B7.28B7.96B11.70B25.34B16.30B
Total Debt13.22B13.06B10.80B9.32B7.75B8.81B
Total Liabilities73.57B68.43B64.28B71.79B65.33B56.53B
Stockholders Equity25.77B24.07B22.95B16.68B16.39B13.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.36B3.59B-553.50M-4.84B6.29B-133.50M
Operating Cash Flow3.79B3.99B-39.40M-4.42B6.64B139.80M
Investing Cash Flow-1.26B-1.32B92.00M384.80M1.84B-46.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.65B-1.56B-1.07B-1.29B-1.19B436.90M

Fairfax Financial Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2391.21
Price Trends
50DMA
2405.86
Negative
100DMA
2255.04
Positive
200DMA
2101.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.18
Positive
RSI
43.08
Neutral
STOCH
16.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FFH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2391.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2446.16, below the 50-day MA of 2405.86, and above the 200-day MA of 2101.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:FFH.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$58.48B8.2918.70%0.90%16.79%20.82%
77
Outperform
C$51.45B22.1113.23%1.79%5.25%15.06%
75
Outperform
C$12.85B12.8213.43%2.47%-4.55%42.41%
74
Outperform
C$48.33B13.0514.19%4.30%15.27%4.72%
72
Outperform
$47.33B15.2813.18%3.98%0.94%3.50%
71
Outperform
C$8.99B21.8111.48%0.95%18.98%0.82%
58
Neutral
HK$95.83B4.96-4.09%4.96%2.98%-39.97%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
2,402.99
956.37
66.11%
TSE:SLF
Sun Life Financial
84.57
21.90
34.95%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
142.44
48.78
52.08%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
53.00
14.76
38.60%
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
283.73
42.05
17.40%
TSE:DFY
Definity Financial Corp.
73.50
25.06
51.73%

Fairfax Financial Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fairfax Financial Holdings Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Boosted by Investment Gains
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings reported net earnings of $1,436.7 million in Q2 2025, a significant increase from $915.4 million in the same quarter of 2024, driven by substantial net gains on investments. The company’s property and casualty insurance operations showed robust performance with a combined ratio of 93.3% and an underwriting profit of $426.9 million, indicating strong market positioning and effective risk management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$1850.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Other
Fairfax Warns Against Fraudulent Online Communications
Neutral
Jul 18, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has issued a reminder to its shareholders and the public that neither the company, its CEO Prem Watsa, nor any of its officers provide financial or investment advice through social media or messaging platforms. The company warns against impersonation scams and advises individuals to seek information through official channels such as their website, press releases, and reports.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2600.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fairfax Financial Appoints Amitabh Kant as Senior Advisor to Boost Indian Investments
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings has appointed Mr. Amitabh Kant as a Senior Advisor, leveraging his extensive experience in economic development and transformative initiatives in India. This strategic move is expected to enhance Fairfax’s investment approach in India, aligning with the country’s ambitious economic goals and benefiting stakeholders by supporting sectors critical to India’s growth, such as infrastructure and financial services.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$1850.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fairfax Financial Holdings Prices $900 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
May 16, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced the pricing of a private offering of senior notes totaling US$900 million, with the proceeds intended for refinancing, repaying, or redeeming existing obligations, as well as potential acquisitions or investments. This strategic move aims to strengthen Fairfax’s financial position and flexibility, potentially impacting its market operations and providing opportunities for growth and investment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$1850.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025