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Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSE:FFH)
TSX:FFH

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) AI Stock Analysis

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Fairfax Financial Holdings

(TSX:FFH)

76Outperform
Fairfax Financial Holdings shows a robust financial performance and attractive valuation, with recent earnings and corporate events further bolstering market confidence. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential short-term volatility. The company's strong leadership and strategic direction, along with its resilient financial profile, provide a positive outlook.

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFairfax Financial Holdings Limited is a Toronto-based holding company engaged in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance. Founded in 1985, Fairfax operates globally through its subsidiaries, providing a wide range of insurance products and services. The company is known for its prudent investment strategies and focus on long-term value creation, with additional interests in various sectors including hospitality, agriculture, and energy through its diversified investment portfolio.
How the Company Makes MoneyFairfax Financial Holdings makes money primarily through its insurance and reinsurance operations. The company earns premiums by underwriting property and casualty insurance policies globally. In addition to its core insurance business, Fairfax generates significant revenue from its investment activities, leveraging its insurance float to invest in stocks, bonds, and alternative assets. Investment income and capital gains from these activities contribute considerably to Fairfax’s earnings. The company’s revenue model is bolstered by strategic acquisitions and partnerships that enhance its insurance capabilities and expand its investment opportunities. Fairfax's diversified investment approach and focus on value investing are key factors in its financial performance.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fairfax Financial Holdings demonstrates strong profitability and improving cash flows despite fluctuating revenue growth. The company's strategic debt management is commendable, though reliance on liabilities and operational performance volatility require monitoring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Fairfax Financial Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue and profit growth over recent years. The net profit margin has remained robust, supported by a significant increase in net income from the previous year. Despite a decline in total revenue from 2023 to 2024, the company maintains high gross profit margins, indicating operational efficiency. However, the absence of EBIT in 2024 suggests volatility in operational performance.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company has maintained a stable equity position, with an improving debt-to-equity ratio reflecting better leverage management. The return on equity has been strong, supported by increasing net income. However, the equity ratio suggests moderate reliance on liabilities to finance assets, posing a potential risk in high-interest environments.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Fairfax Financial Holdings has shown a significant improvement in free cash flow, reversing from negative values in previous years to a substantial positive in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings, enhancing liquidity and financial flexibility. This positive cash flow trajectory provides a strong buffer against potential future financial challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
28.45B31.83B25.82B25.80B19.79B
Gross Profit
28.45B25.80B25.82B25.80B19.79B
EBIT
5.64B31.40B1.34B-1.03B-4.29B
EBITDA
7.04B6.09B2.03B-100.50M1.47B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.87B4.38B1.15B3.40B37.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.28B7.96B11.70B25.34B16.30B
Total Assets
96.78B91.99B92.13B86.65B74.05B
Total Debt
13.06B10.80B9.32B7.75B8.81B
Net Debt
5.83B5.04B-2.38B-17.59B-7.49B
Total Liabilities
68.43B64.28B71.79B65.33B56.53B
Stockholders Equity
24.07B22.95B16.68B16.39B13.86B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.59B-553.50M-4.84B6.29B-133.50M
Operating Cash Flow
3.99B-39.40M-4.42B6.64B139.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.32B92.00M384.80M1.84B-46.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.56B-1.07B-1.29B-1.19B436.90M

Fairfax Financial Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2195.41
Price Trends
50DMA
2037.85
Positive
100DMA
2011.20
Positive
200DMA
1854.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
39.56
Negative
RSI
68.41
Neutral
STOCH
93.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FFH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2195.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2048.91, above the 50-day MA of 2037.85, and above the 200-day MA of 1854.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 39.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FFH.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSIFC
78
Outperform
C$54.48B24.6813.38%1.62%5.02%77.36%
TSFFH
76
Outperform
$53.19B9.2416.48%0.97%13.82%-6.68%
TSDFY
76
Outperform
C$7.92B18.2513.96%0.97%15.24%23.01%
TSIAG
74
Outperform
C$12.75B13.9613.26%2.51%-17.69%29.19%
TSSLF
70
Outperform
$47.52B15.7512.87%3.95%-12.72%-0.16%
TSGWO
68
Neutral
C$48.27B12.4115.52%4.39%-2.40%42.24%
64
Neutral
$12.64B9.748.05%17044.60%12.66%-4.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
2,195.41
660.69
43.05%
TSE:SLF
Sun Life Financial
82.95
13.38
19.23%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
137.02
52.79
62.67%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
51.86
10.58
25.63%
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
305.47
77.94
34.25%
TSE:DFY
Definity Financial Corp.
68.41
22.65
49.50%

Fairfax Financial Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mix of positive and negative aspects. While the company reported strong net earnings growth, increased book value per share, significant investment gains, and growth in gross premiums, these were offset by a decrease in operating income due to significant California wildfire losses and challenges in international operations. Non-insurance companies also reported an operating loss.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Earnings Growth
Net earnings for the first quarter of 2025 were $946 million, up from $777 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Increase in Book Value Per Share
Book value per share increased to $1,080 in the first quarter of 2025, up by 3.5% adjusted for the $15 dividend.
Significant Investment Gains
Net gains on investments were over $1 billion, driven by gains on equity exposures and bond portfolio due to decreased interest rates.
Growth in Gross Premiums
Insurance and reinsurance companies wrote $8.4 billion of gross premium in the first quarter of 2025, up 5% from the first quarter of 2024.
Strong Performance in North American Insurance Segment
North American insurance segment increased gross premiums by 6.7% over the first quarter of 2024.
Positive International Operations
Excluding Gulf Insurance, international operations gross premiums were up 8%, with robust growth in Fairfax Asia and Eastern Europe.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Income
Operating income from insurance and reinsurance companies was $686 million in the first quarter of 2025, down from $977 million in the first quarter of 2024, mainly due to California wildfire losses.
Significant California Wildfire Losses
Net losses from California wildfires amounted to $692 million, impacting underwriting income and resulting in a consolidated combined ratio of 98.5.
Challenges in International Operations
International insurance and reinsurance operations saw a decrease in gross premiums by 5.1% due to the non-renewal of a significant contract at Gulf Insurance.
Non-Insurance Companies Operating Loss
Non-insurance companies reported an operating loss of $41 million in the first quarter of 2025, compared to an operating income of $17 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During Fairfax's 2025 first-quarter results conference call, management provided detailed financial guidance and performance metrics. The company reported net earnings of $946 million, an increase from $777 million in the first quarter of 2024. Despite California wildfire losses amounting to $692 million, Fairfax's insurance and reinsurance operations delivered an underwriting profit of $97 million, with a consolidated combined ratio of 98.5. The interest and dividend income was $607 million, and net gains on investments exceeded $1 billion. Gross premiums written totaled $8.4 billion, a 5% increase year-over-year, with the global insurer and reinsurer segment contributing significantly to this growth. Fairfax's book value per share increased to $1,080, reflecting a 3.5% rise after adjusting for a $15 dividend. The company highlighted its strong investment portfolio with a $48 billion fixed income component, predominantly in government treasuries, and emphasized the resilience of its operations amidst market volatility. Management expressed confidence in the long-term prospects of its international operations, which now account for 20% of total gross premiums, despite a 5.1% decline in international insurance and reinsurance operations, attributed to the non-renewal of a significant contract at Gulf Insurance.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fairfax Financial Holdings Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings Amid Investment Gains
Positive
May 1, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings reported a significant increase in net earnings for the first quarter of 2025, reaching $945.7 million compared to $776.5 million in the same period of 2024. This growth was driven by substantial net gains on investments, despite a decrease in adjusted operating income and significant catastrophe losses from California wildfires. The company’s property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operations maintained a strong performance with a consolidated combined ratio of 98.5% and underwriting profit of $96.9 million. The company also saw growth in gross and net premiums written, reflecting new business and rate increases.

Spark’s Take on TSE:FFH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:FFH is a Outperform.

Fairfax Financial Holdings demonstrates solid financial health, with strong profitability and cash flow improvements. The valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio, suggesting potential upside. Despite some short-term technical volatility and challenges from unrealized bond losses, the company’s strategic direction and leadership support provide a positive outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:FFH stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fairfax Financial to Discuss Q1 2025 Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced a conference call scheduled for May 2, 2025, to discuss its first quarter results for 2025. This call will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders’ perspectives on Fairfax’s market positioning and operational strategies.

Spark’s Take on TSE:FFH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:FFH is a Outperform.

Fairfax Financial Holdings demonstrates solid financial health, with strong profitability and cash flow improvements. The valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio, suggesting potential upside. Despite some short-term technical volatility and challenges from unrealized bond losses, the company’s strategic direction and leadership support provide a positive outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:FFH stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Fairfax Financial Successfully Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Positive
Apr 11, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced the successful election of its twelve nominee directors during the Annual Shareholders’ Meeting held on April 10, 2025. The voting results indicate strong support for the nominees, reflecting confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction, which could positively influence its market position and stakeholder relations.

Spark’s Take on TSE:FFH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:FFH is a Outperform.

Fairfax Financial Holdings shows a strong financial foundation with impressive profitability and cash flow metrics. The earnings call further confirmed robust results and growth prospects. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to current bearish trends. Valuation metrics present an opportunity, given the low P/E ratio. Despite challenges like unrealized bond losses and catastrophe impacts, the overall outlook remains positive.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:FFH stock, click here.

Shareholder Meetings
Fairfax Financial Holdings Announces Details of Hybrid Annual Shareholders’ Meeting
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced the details of its upcoming hybrid annual shareholders’ meeting, which will be held both in-person and virtually on April 10, 2025. The meeting will include a presentation by Chairman and CEO Prem Watsa, followed by a Q&A session. Shareholders can attend and vote through a web-based platform, and are encouraged to submit questions in advance. This hybrid format aims to increase accessibility and engagement among stakeholders.

Dividends
Fairfax Financial Announces Quarterly Dividends for Preferred Shares
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced the declaration of quarterly dividends for its series of preferred shares, with specific dividend amounts and payment dates provided. Additionally, the company has set the quarterly dividend rates for its floating rate preferred shares for the upcoming period. This announcement reflects Fairfax’s ongoing financial strategies and commitments to its shareholders, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fairfax Financial Holdings Achieves Record Underwriting Profit Amid Decreased Net Earnings for 2024
Neutral
Feb 13, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings reported a net earnings decrease to $3,874.9 million for 2024 from $4,381.8 million in 2023, despite achieving a record underwriting profit of $1.8 billion and a consolidated combined ratio of 92.7%. The company’s property and casualty operations reported strong performance with adjusted operating income of $4.8 billion. Premium growth was fueled by the acquisition of Gulf Insurance, contributing significantly to the annual figures. However, unrealized foreign currency losses impacted comprehensive income, and the company undertook significant share repurchases. Fairfax ended the year with a robust financial position, including $2.5 billion in cash and investments, underscoring its strategic focus on financial stability.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.