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Energy Fuels Inc (TSE:EFR)
TSX:EFR

Energy Fuels (EFR) AI Stock Analysis

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Energy Fuels

(TSX:EFR)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
Energy Fuels is positioned for growth with strong revenue increases and strategic partnerships in critical mineral supply chains. However, persistent net losses, negative cash flow, and bearish technical indicators weigh down the overall score. The company's robust balance sheet and strategic initiatives provide potential for future upside, but current operational inefficiencies need resolution to improve its financial health.
Positive Factors
De-risking and Expansion
Energy Fuels is well-positioned for continued growth due to de-risking and expanding operations.
Operational Momentum
Revised guidance reflects increased confidence in full-year production targets and highlights UUUU’s growing operational momentum.
Revenue Growth
Energy Fuels experienced notable year-over-year revenue growth driven by heavy mineral sand sales, showing strong sales performance.
Negative Factors
2025 Guidance
2025 guidance was well below prior expectations, driven by the current weak uranium spot price.
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue YoY is primarily due to a lack of sales of uranium concentrate.
Uranium Spot Price
The biggest near-term risk for Energy Fuels is a further decline in the uranium spot price.

Energy Fuels (EFR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Energy Fuels Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Fuels Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the extraction, recovery, exploration, and sale of conventional and in situ uranium recovery in the United States. The company owns and operates the Nichols Ranch project, the Jane Dough property, and the Hank project located in Wyoming; and the Alta Mesa project located in Texas, as well as White Mesa Mill in Utah. It also holds interests in uranium and uranium/vanadium properties and projects in various stages of exploration, permitting, and evaluation located in Utah, Wyoming, Arizona, New Mexico, and Colorado. The company was formerly known as Volcanic Metals Exploration Inc. and changed its name to Energy Fuels Inc. in May 2006. Energy Fuels Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Fuels generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of uranium and rare earth elements. The company's key revenue streams include supplying uranium to nuclear power plants, where it is used as fuel to generate electricity. Additionally, the company processes monazite sands to extract rare earth elements, which are vital for various high-tech applications including renewable energy technologies, electronics, and defense systems. Energy Fuels has strategic partnerships and contracts with companies and government entities that facilitate the sale and distribution of these materials. The company's earnings are influenced by market demand for clean energy solutions, global supply chain dynamics, and regulatory policies affecting the mining and energy sectors.

Energy Fuels Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Energy Fuels' strong financial position, increased production guidance, and strategic advancements in rare earth capabilities. However, these positives are somewhat offset by a reported net loss, funding challenges for future expansion, and lower contract sales for 2025.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Production and Inventory Guidance
Energy Fuels has increased their 2025 production and finished goods inventory guidance by 22% and 193% respectively, showcasing growth and confidence in future operations.
Strong Financial Position
The company reported a strong working capital position of $214 million, no debt, and excellent liquidity with over $210 million in cash and marketable securities at the end of Q1 2025.
Record Uranium Production
In April, Energy Fuels achieved record uranium production of 151,000 pounds at an average grade of 1.64%, which is nearly three times the expected grade.
Rare Earth Capabilities and Progress
Energy Fuels is advancing their world-class rare earth and heavy mineral sand projects and has the capability to produce six of the seven heavy rare earths under current China export controls.
Strategic Alliances and Collaborations
The company signed collaboration agreements with POSCO International and Chemours, enhancing their position in the global rare earths market.
Negative Updates
Net Loss in Q1 2025
The company reported a net loss of $26.3 million, or $0.13 per share, due to an aggressive project advancement program and electing not to sell uranium at current prices.
Uncertain Funding for Phase 2 Expansion
There is a significant gap between projected capital costs and the current balance sheet for advancing the Phase 2 expansion at White Mesa, indicating potential challenges in securing necessary funding.
Lower Contract Sales in 2025
Contract sales are light for 2025, with an expected 220,000 pounds of uranium, down from previous expectations.
Company Guidance
During the Energy Fuels First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, CEO Mark Chalmers provided guidance indicating a significant increase in production and inventory metrics. The company raised its 2025 production guidance by 22% and finished goods inventory guidance by 193%. Energy Fuels reported a strong working capital position of $214 million and highlighted a record uranium production in April of 151,000 pounds at an average grade of 1.64%, nearly three times the expected grade of 0.58% in the reserve zone. The company plans to mine between 875,000 to 1.4 million pounds of uranium in 2025 and process between 700,000 to 1 million pounds of finished goods. Energy Fuels aims to maintain significant inventories and is exploring switching between uranium and rare earth processing at its White Mesa Mill, with the flexibility to produce various critical elements. The company also reported a net loss of $26.3 million for Q1, driven by the decision not to sell uranium at current market prices, which have recently increased by 10% to around $70 per pound.

Energy Fuels Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Fuels demonstrates strong revenue growth, notably increasing from $37.9 million in 2023 to $78.1 million in 2024. However, the company faces challenges in profitability with persistent net losses and negative cash flow, indicating operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet is robust with low debt levels, but negative cash flow raises sustainability concerns.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Energy Fuels has demonstrated significant revenue growth, increasing from $12.5M in 2022 to $78.1M in 2024. However, the company remains unprofitable, with a negative net income of $47.8M in 2024. Margins are concerning, with a gross profit margin of approximately 28.4% in 2024 and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity base with a stockholders' equity of $527.8M in 2024, reflecting a solid equity ratio of 86.3%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.004, indicating minimal leverage, which reduces financial risk. However, the company has yet to achieve a positive ROE due to persistent losses.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Energy Fuels has faced challenges in cash flow generation, with a negative free cash flow of $74.9M in 2024. Operating cash flows have also been negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash losses are significant compared to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting the company's struggle to convert earnings into cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
78.11M37.93M12.52M3.18M1.66M
Gross Profit
22.20M19.75M4.67M1.37M14.00K
EBIT
-47.52M-32.37M-44.94M-35.42M-22.98M
EBITDA
-34.05M-29.62M-56.51M-32.24M-20.28M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-47.77M99.86M-89.33M-763.00K-29.12M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
119.46M190.49M75.01M113.01M22.41M
Total Assets
611.97M401.94M273.95M315.45M183.24M
Total Debt
2.18M1.32M1.38M469.00K758.00K
Net Debt
-36.42M-56.13M-61.44M-112.05M-19.41M
Total Liabilities
80.29M22.73M29.54M19.92M25.69M
Stockholders Equity
527.79M375.25M240.43M291.57M153.81M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-75.00M-60.12M-51.70M-30.66M-32.80M
Operating Cash Flow
-43.97M-15.41M-49.70M-29.29M-32.18M
Investing Cash Flow
-13.30M-23.85M-7.07M3.19M3.58M
Financing Cash Flow
15.59M30.41M7.87M117.94M36.58M

Energy Fuels Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.48
Price Trends
50DMA
6.25
Positive
100DMA
6.54
Positive
200DMA
7.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Negative
RSI
62.22
Neutral
STOCH
80.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EFR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.84, above the 50-day MA of 6.25, and above the 200-day MA of 7.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EFR.

Energy Fuels Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LELEU
73
Outperform
$2.32B22.4485.99%58.72%38.27%
MRMRC
68
Neutral
$1.08B41.188.29%-9.84%-111.71%
UEUEC
63
Neutral
$2.72B-9.06%70.62%-447.72%
58
Neutral
$393.35M-30.25%6.50%-151.25%
57
Neutral
$7.22B3.16-4.49%5.63%0.82%-49.15%
URURG
55
Neutral
$302.80M-45.54%200.09%26.67%
TSEFR
51
Neutral
$1.66B-16.11%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFR
Energy Fuels
7.48
-0.93
-11.06%
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels
1.82
-1.07
-37.02%
MRC
MRC Global
12.74
0.24
1.92%
URG
UR-Energy
0.84
-0.70
-45.45%
UEC
Uranium Energy
6.27
0.21
3.47%
LEU
Centrus Energy
143.11
98.41
220.16%

Energy Fuels Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Energy Fuels and Chemours Forge Alliance to Bolster U.S. Critical Mineral Supply Chain
Positive
Mar 18, 2025

Energy Fuels and The Chemours Company have announced a strategic alliance to enhance the U.S. domestic supply chain for critical minerals, such as rare earth elements, titanium, and zirconium. This partnership aims to leverage the complementary capabilities of both companies to address supply chain challenges and reduce reliance on foreign sources, thereby strengthening America’s industrial base and national security.

Business Operations and Strategy
Energy Fuels and POSCO Collaborate to Establish Non-China Rare Earth Magnet Supply Chain
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

Energy Fuels Inc. has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with South Korea-based POSCO International to create a non-China rare earth magnet supply chain. This collaboration aims to link Energy Fuels’ U.S. rare earth oxide production with POSCO’s expertise in traction motor cores, potentially enabling the production of permanent rare earth magnets for electric vehicles in the U.S., Europe, Japan, and South Korea. The agreement could significantly impact the market by providing a scalable and geopolitically shielded supply chain for rare earth elements, with plans to power over 30,000 electric vehicles by the end of the year.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Energy Fuels Reports Strong 2024 Results and Strategic Advancements
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Energy Fuels reported strong financial results for 2024, highlighting the resumption of U.S. uranium mining, profitable uranium sales, and commercial rare earth production. The company secured two critical mineral projects expected to provide low-cost rare earth feedstocks, enhancing its strategic positioning in the U.S. critical mineral space. These developments are part of Energy Fuels’ strategy to diversify into high-growth markets and secure domestic supply chains, positioning the company for long-term shareholder value and a significant role in American energy dominance.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Energy Fuels Schedules 2024 Earnings Call for February 27, 2025
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

Energy Fuels Inc. announced it will host a conference call and webcast on February 27, 2025, to discuss its 2024 financial results. The release of these results and the subsequent discussion will provide insights into the company’s performance and strategic positioning within the critical minerals and nuclear energy sectors. Stakeholders can participate in the call to gain a deeper understanding of the company’s operations and outlook.

Business Operations and Strategy
Energy Fuels and Navajo Nation Forge Landmark Agreement on Uranium Transport
Positive
Jan 29, 2025

Energy Fuels Inc. has signed a landmark agreement with the Navajo Nation to safely resume the transportation of uranium ore from its Pinyon Plain Mine in Arizona to the White Mesa Mill in Utah. This agreement includes additional safety measures beyond USDOT requirements, addressing historical issues and strengthening relationships with the Navajo Nation. The deal marks a significant step in cleaning up abandoned uranium mines and repairing trust with the Navajo people, demonstrating a collaborative approach to addressing past grievances.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.