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Energy Fuels Inc. (TSE:EFR)
:EFR
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Energy Fuels (EFR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EFR

Energy Fuels

(NYSE MKT:EFR)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
Energy Fuels is positioned for growth with strong revenue increases and strategic partnerships in critical mineral supply chains. However, persistent net losses, negative cash flow, and bearish technical indicators weigh down the overall score. The company's robust balance sheet and strategic initiatives provide potential for future upside, but current operational inefficiencies need resolution to improve its financial health.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The substantial revenue growth indicates strong demand for the company's products and successful market expansion, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Strong Financial Position
A robust financial position with significant working capital enhances the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic challenges.
Rare Earth Segment Progress
Advancements in the rare earth segment diversify the company's product offerings and position it to capitalize on growing demand for critical minerals.
Negative Factors
Unprofitability
Continued unprofitability poses a risk to long-term viability, as it may limit reinvestment in operations and strategic initiatives.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates operational inefficiencies and may hinder the company's ability to fund growth and manage debt effectively.
Lower Uranium Grades
Lower uranium grades can impact production efficiency and profitability, potentially affecting the company's competitive position in the market.

Energy Fuels (EFR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Energy Fuels Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Fuels Inc. (UUUU) is a leading U.S.-based uranium and vanadium mining company, headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado. The company operates in the nuclear energy sector, focusing on the extraction and production of uranium, which is essential for nuclear fuel. In addition to uranium, Energy Fuels also produces vanadium, a critical metal used in steel production and energy storage applications. The company holds several mining operations and projects across the western United States, positioning itself as a key player in the growing demand for clean energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Fuels generates revenue primarily through the sale of uranium and vanadium. The company's revenue model is based on the extraction and processing of these minerals, which are then sold to various customers, including nuclear power plants and industrial users. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of uranium concentrate, also known as yellowcake, and vanadium products. The company may also engage in long-term contracts and spot market sales, which can fluctuate based on market demand and pricing. Additionally, Energy Fuels has strategic partnerships and agreements with other companies in the nuclear and energy sectors, which may provide further revenue opportunities and enhance its market position. Factors contributing to its earnings include the global demand for nuclear energy, government policies supporting clean energy initiatives, and the volatility of the commodities market for uranium and vanadium.

Energy Fuels Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Energy Fuels has made significant strides in increasing uranium production and advancing its rare earth segment, supported by a strong financial position. However, challenges remain in terms of political instability in Madagascar and achieving desired uranium grades.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Uranium Production
Energy Fuels increased uranium production and sales, setting the stage for increased gross margins in 2026. The Pinyon Plain mine is producing more uranium than any other company in the U.S.
Rare Earth Segment Progress
Significant progress in the rare earth segment, including heavy rare earth piloting and plans for commercial production. The company has received qualification for NdPr production going into major automobile manufacturers.
Strong Financial Position
Completed a $700 million convertible note offering on favorable terms, leading to a working capital balance approaching USD 1 billion post-quarter.
Strategic Joint Ventures
Received all government approvals for the development of the Donald joint venture project in Australia, with significant heavy rare earth content.
Improved Uranium Cost Structure
Uranium production costs are expected to decline, with a target of $23 to $30 per pound as production ramps up.
Rare Earth and Mineral Sands Expansion
The company plans to expand its rare earth and mineral sands operations, with an updated feasibility study expected by the end of 2025.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Madagascar
Some unrest and political instability in Madagascar affecting the Toliara project, though initial indications are that the new government is pro-economic development.
Lower Uranium Grades
The average grade of uranium mined at Pinyon Plain was lower than expected at 1.27%, due to mining in the upper part of the main zone.
Net Loss
The company reported a net loss of $16.7 million for the third quarter, although this is an improvement from the previous quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Energy Fuels Q3 2025 conference call, CEO Mark Chalmers outlined several key metrics demonstrating the company's strong performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported increased sales and revenues, along with a buildup of low-cost uranium production, resulting in improved gross margins projected for 2026. Energy Fuels also achieved a working capital balance approaching USD 1 billion post-quarter, bolstered by an upsized $700 million convertible note offering. The company's uranium production is expected to yield between 1.1 million to 1.4 million pounds in Q1 2026, with a mining target of over 2 million pounds per year at the Pinyon Plain Mine by 2026. Additionally, the cost of production is forecasted to decrease, with sales contracts for uranium ranging from 620,000 to 880,000 pounds in 2026. Progress in the rare earth segment includes advancements in heavy rare earth piloting and NdPr production qualifications, with plans for commercial production later in 2026. The Donald project in Australia received government approvals and conditional loan support of up to AUD 80 million for its development, positioning Energy Fuels to capitalize on its strategic advantages in critical minerals globally.

Energy Fuels Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Fuels has shown significant revenue growth but remains unprofitable with negative cash flows. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, but operational inefficiencies need improvement for sustainable profitability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Energy Fuels has demonstrated significant revenue growth, increasing from $12.5M in 2022 to $78.1M in 2024. However, the company remains unprofitable, with a negative net income of $47.8M in 2024. Margins are concerning, with a gross profit margin of approximately 28.4% in 2024 and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity base with a stockholders' equity of $527.8M in 2024, reflecting a solid equity ratio of 86.3%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.004, indicating minimal leverage, which reduces financial risk. However, the company has yet to achieve a positive ROE due to persistent losses.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Energy Fuels has faced challenges in cash flow generation, with a negative free cash flow of $74.9M in 2024. Operating cash flows have also been negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash losses are significant compared to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting the company's struggle to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue78.74M78.11M37.93M12.52M3.18M1.66M
Gross Profit-4.06M17.00M15.80M-154.00K-3.10M1.66M
EBITDA-90.66M-43.02M103.97M-55.12M5.97M-22.31M
Net Income-97.77M-47.77M99.86M-59.85M1.54M-27.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets758.32M611.97M401.94M273.95M315.45M183.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments235.26M119.46M190.49M75.01M113.01M22.41M
Total Debt0.002.18M1.32M1.38M469.00K758.00K
Total Liabilities50.75M80.29M22.73M29.54M19.92M25.69M
Stockholders Equity703.25M527.79M375.25M240.43M291.57M153.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-133.02M-82.34M-60.65M-51.70M-30.66M-32.80M
Operating Cash Flow-109.91M-52.96M-15.94M-49.70M-29.29M-32.18M
Investing Cash Flow-107.38M-13.30M-23.77M-6.94M3.50M3.71M
Financing Cash Flow239.58M15.59M30.33M7.74M117.63M36.45M

Energy Fuels Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$5.36B44.7151.74%15.25%37.48%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
55
Neutral
$5.88B-9.95%29737.95%-187.76%
51
Neutral
C$5.22B-18.17%
45
Neutral
$609.62M-3.05-31.94%2.59%-192.73%
45
Neutral
$1.17B0.28%-10.96%-169.10%
44
Neutral
$541.75M-6.63-65.17%138.94%-62.94%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFR
Energy Fuels
21.98
13.00
144.77%
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels
2.39
-0.71
-22.90%
MRC
MRC Global
13.78
-0.18
-1.29%
URG
UR-Energy
1.24
0.07
5.98%
UEC
Uranium Energy
12.20
4.52
58.85%
LEU
Centrus Energy
294.16
202.57
221.17%

Energy Fuels Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Energy Fuels and Chemours Forge Alliance to Bolster U.S. Critical Mineral Supply Chain
Positive
Mar 18, 2025

Energy Fuels and The Chemours Company have announced a strategic alliance to enhance the U.S. domestic supply chain for critical minerals, such as rare earth elements, titanium, and zirconium. This partnership aims to leverage the complementary capabilities of both companies to address supply chain challenges and reduce reliance on foreign sources, thereby strengthening America’s industrial base and national security.

Business Operations and Strategy
Energy Fuels and POSCO Collaborate to Establish Non-China Rare Earth Magnet Supply Chain
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

Energy Fuels Inc. has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with South Korea-based POSCO International to create a non-China rare earth magnet supply chain. This collaboration aims to link Energy Fuels’ U.S. rare earth oxide production with POSCO’s expertise in traction motor cores, potentially enabling the production of permanent rare earth magnets for electric vehicles in the U.S., Europe, Japan, and South Korea. The agreement could significantly impact the market by providing a scalable and geopolitically shielded supply chain for rare earth elements, with plans to power over 30,000 electric vehicles by the end of the year.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Energy Fuels Reports Strong 2024 Results and Strategic Advancements
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Energy Fuels reported strong financial results for 2024, highlighting the resumption of U.S. uranium mining, profitable uranium sales, and commercial rare earth production. The company secured two critical mineral projects expected to provide low-cost rare earth feedstocks, enhancing its strategic positioning in the U.S. critical mineral space. These developments are part of Energy Fuels’ strategy to diversify into high-growth markets and secure domestic supply chains, positioning the company for long-term shareholder value and a significant role in American energy dominance.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Energy Fuels Schedules 2024 Earnings Call for February 27, 2025
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

Energy Fuels Inc. announced it will host a conference call and webcast on February 27, 2025, to discuss its 2024 financial results. The release of these results and the subsequent discussion will provide insights into the company’s performance and strategic positioning within the critical minerals and nuclear energy sectors. Stakeholders can participate in the call to gain a deeper understanding of the company’s operations and outlook.

Business Operations and Strategy
Energy Fuels and Navajo Nation Forge Landmark Agreement on Uranium Transport
Positive
Jan 29, 2025

Energy Fuels Inc. has signed a landmark agreement with the Navajo Nation to safely resume the transportation of uranium ore from its Pinyon Plain Mine in Arizona to the White Mesa Mill in Utah. This agreement includes additional safety measures beyond USDOT requirements, addressing historical issues and strengthening relationships with the Navajo Nation. The deal marks a significant step in cleaning up abandoned uranium mines and repairing trust with the Navajo people, demonstrating a collaborative approach to addressing past grievances.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2025