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Energy Fuels Inc. (TSE:EFR)
XASE:EFR

Energy Fuels (EFR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EFR

Energy Fuels

(NYSE MKT:EFR)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
Energy Fuels is positioned for growth with strong revenue increases and strategic partnerships in critical mineral supply chains. However, persistent net losses, negative cash flow, and bearish technical indicators weigh down the overall score. The company's robust balance sheet and strategic initiatives provide potential for future upside, but current operational inefficiencies need resolution to improve its financial health.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength and liquidity
A very strong liquidity position and essentially no leverage provide durable financial flexibility to fund capital-intensive mine development, rare-earth scale-up and operating volatility. This reduces near‑term refinancing risk and supports multi-year project execution and strategic optionality.
Integrated rare earth processing and large resource base
Owning White Mesa Mill plus a long-life Vara Mada mineral sands project creates an integrated feedstock-to-processing chain. Multi-decade reserves with planned monazite flows to an established US processing asset support durable REE supply capabilities and strategic differentiation versus peers.
Ramped uranium production and lower unit cost trajectory
Material increases in production scale and targeted lower unit costs support sustained margin improvement if maintained. Higher output from Pinyon Plain secures supply volumes for contracts and monetization, improving long-term cash generation potential as operating scale reduces per‑unit costs.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flows increase dependence on external financing to fund growth and operations. If persistent, cash burn can force dilutive equity raises or higher-cost debt, weakening shareholder returns and limiting ability to self-fund multi-year project builds or sustain capital programs.
Deteriorated profitability and large net losses
Sharp deterioration to negative gross profit and large net losses signals weak near-term profitability despite revenue gains. Continued negative margins threaten ROE and reinvestment capacity, raise break-even risk for new projects, and can constrain long-term capital allocation and investor confidence.
Political and execution risk in Madagascar project
Material political, permitting and investment‑agreement uncertainty in Madagascar imperils the Vara Mada timeline and feedstock availability. Delays or added conditions could increase capex, postpone monazite deliveries to White Mesa, and materially change projected long‑term cash flows and integration benefits.

Energy Fuels (EFR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Energy Fuels Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Fuels Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the extraction, recovery, exploration, and sale of conventional and in situ uranium recovery in the United States. The company owns and operates the Nichols Ranch project, the Jane Dough property, and the Hank project located in Wyoming; and the Alta Mesa project located in Texas, as well as White Mesa Mill in Utah. It also holds interests in uranium and uranium/vanadium properties and projects in various stages of exploration, permitting, and evaluation located in Utah, Wyoming, Arizona, New Mexico, and Colorado. The company was formerly known as Volcanic Metals Exploration Inc. and changed its name to Energy Fuels Inc. in May 2006. Energy Fuels Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Fuels generates revenue primarily through the sale of uranium and rare earth elements. The company employs a revenue model centered on the production and sale of uranium concentrate, which is sold to nuclear power utilities under long-term contracts or in spot markets. Additionally, the company has ventured into the rare earth element sector, capitalizing on the growing demand for these materials in technologies such as electric vehicles and renewable energy systems. Key revenue streams include the sales of uranium from its mining operations, processing fees for toll milling of third-party uranium, and potential revenues from the sale of rare earth products. Strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with other mining companies and government entities, further bolster their market position and revenue potential, especially in the context of the increasing focus on domestic supply chains for critical minerals.

Energy Fuels Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Energy Fuels has made significant strides in increasing uranium production and advancing its rare earth segment, supported by a strong financial position. However, challenges remain in terms of political instability in Madagascar and achieving desired uranium grades.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Uranium Production
Energy Fuels increased uranium production and sales, setting the stage for increased gross margins in 2026. The Pinyon Plain mine is producing more uranium than any other company in the U.S.
Rare Earth Segment Progress
Significant progress in the rare earth segment, including heavy rare earth piloting and plans for commercial production. The company has received qualification for NdPr production going into major automobile manufacturers.
Strong Financial Position
Completed a $700 million convertible note offering on favorable terms, leading to a working capital balance approaching USD 1 billion post-quarter.
Strategic Joint Ventures
Received all government approvals for the development of the Donald joint venture project in Australia, with significant heavy rare earth content.
Improved Uranium Cost Structure
Uranium production costs are expected to decline, with a target of $23 to $30 per pound as production ramps up.
Rare Earth and Mineral Sands Expansion
The company plans to expand its rare earth and mineral sands operations, with an updated feasibility study expected by the end of 2025.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Madagascar
Some unrest and political instability in Madagascar affecting the Toliara project, though initial indications are that the new government is pro-economic development.
Lower Uranium Grades
The average grade of uranium mined at Pinyon Plain was lower than expected at 1.27%, due to mining in the upper part of the main zone.
Net Loss
The company reported a net loss of $16.7 million for the third quarter, although this is an improvement from the previous quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Energy Fuels Q3 2025 conference call, CEO Mark Chalmers outlined several key metrics demonstrating the company's strong performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported increased sales and revenues, along with a buildup of low-cost uranium production, resulting in improved gross margins projected for 2026. Energy Fuels also achieved a working capital balance approaching USD 1 billion post-quarter, bolstered by an upsized $700 million convertible note offering. The company's uranium production is expected to yield between 1.1 million to 1.4 million pounds in Q1 2026, with a mining target of over 2 million pounds per year at the Pinyon Plain Mine by 2026. Additionally, the cost of production is forecasted to decrease, with sales contracts for uranium ranging from 620,000 to 880,000 pounds in 2026. Progress in the rare earth segment includes advancements in heavy rare earth piloting and NdPr production qualifications, with plans for commercial production later in 2026. The Donald project in Australia received government approvals and conditional loan support of up to AUD 80 million for its development, positioning Energy Fuels to capitalize on its strategic advantages in critical minerals globally.

Energy Fuels Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Fuels has shown significant revenue growth but remains unprofitable with negative cash flows. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, but operational inefficiencies need improvement for sustainable profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Energy Fuels has demonstrated significant revenue growth, increasing from $12.5M in 2022 to $78.1M in 2024. However, the company remains unprofitable, with a negative net income of $47.8M in 2024. Margins are concerning, with a gross profit margin of approximately 28.4% in 2024 and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong equity base with a stockholders' equity of $527.8M in 2024, reflecting a solid equity ratio of 86.3%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.004, indicating minimal leverage, which reduces financial risk. However, the company has yet to achieve a positive ROE due to persistent losses.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Energy Fuels has faced challenges in cash flow generation, with a negative free cash flow of $74.9M in 2024. Operating cash flows have also been negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash losses are significant compared to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting the company's struggle to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue78.74M78.11M37.93M12.52M3.18M1.66M
Gross Profit-4.06M17.00M15.80M-154.00K-3.10M1.66M
EBITDA-90.66M-43.02M103.97M-55.12M5.97M-22.31M
Net Income-97.77M-47.77M99.86M-59.85M1.54M-27.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets758.32M611.97M401.94M273.95M315.45M183.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments235.26M119.46M190.49M75.01M113.01M22.41M
Total Debt0.002.18M1.32M1.38M469.00K758.00K
Total Liabilities50.75M80.29M22.73M29.54M19.92M25.69M
Stockholders Equity703.25M527.79M375.25M240.43M291.57M153.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-133.02M-82.34M-60.65M-51.70M-30.66M-32.80M
Operating Cash Flow-109.91M-52.96M-15.94M-49.70M-29.29M-32.18M
Investing Cash Flow-107.38M-13.30M-23.77M-6.94M3.50M3.71M
Financing Cash Flow239.58M15.59M30.33M7.74M117.63M36.45M

Energy Fuels Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$5.57B50.3151.74%15.25%37.48%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$8.31B-7.29%189.19%-38.15%
61
Neutral
$4.38B-125.51-0.87%0.96%-7.21%-106.39%
51
Neutral
C$6.91B-18.17%
51
Neutral
$688.47M-8.56-65.17%138.94%-62.94%
43
Neutral
$482.46M-2.36-31.94%2.59%-192.73%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFR
Energy Fuels
30.58
23.06
306.65%
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels
2.22
-0.66
-22.92%
URG
UR-Energy
1.86
0.75
67.57%
UEC
Uranium Energy
17.87
10.79
152.40%
LEU
Centrus Energy
331.03
253.20
325.32%
BTU
Peabody Energy Comm
36.36
17.38
91.57%

Energy Fuels Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Energy Fuels Beats 2025 Uranium Targets, Expands Long-Term Contracts and Rare Earth Ambitions
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

Energy Fuels reported that its U.S. uranium operations outperformed expectations in 2025, with both mined uranium ore and finished U3O8 production exceeding prior guidance and confirming its status as the country’s largest and one of the lowest-cost uranium producers. The company’s Pinyon Plain and La Sal mines delivered more than 1.6 million pounds of uranium in 2025, while the White Mesa Mill produced over one million pounds of finished U3O8 and is set to maintain strong uranium output into mid-2026 before shifting capacity to commercial-scale production of heavy rare earths dysprosium and terbium, which would mark a significant milestone for domestic rare earth supply. On the commercial side, Energy Fuels increased quarterly uranium sales by 50% in Q4 2025 to 360,000 pounds at an average price of about $75 per pound and secured two new long-term contracts with U.S. nuclear utilities using hybrid pricing, expanding its contracted delivery portfolio through 2032 and underpinning future revenue visibility while retaining exposure to uranium market upside.

The most recent analyst rating on (UUUU) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Fuels stock, see the UUUU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Energy Fuels Qualifies U.S.-Produced Heavy Rare Earth Oxide for Magnet Use, Plans Commercial Expansion
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

Energy Fuels has successfully produced high-purity dysprosium oxide at its White Mesa Mill in Utah that meets stringent purity and QA/QC standards of a major South Korean automotive manufacturer for use in neodymium-iron-boron permanent magnets. This validation, following earlier qualification of its NdPr oxide, positions the company as the first in the U.S. to have both light and heavy rare earth oxides qualified for permanent magnet applications, strengthening domestic rare earth supply chains at a time when Chinese export controls have tightened global access to key heavy rare earths. Energy Fuels has produced about 29 kilograms of dysprosium oxide at pilot scale with 99.9% purity, plans to begin pilot production of terbium oxide imminently with samples expected for qualification in early 2026, and will subsequently pilot gadolinium and samarium oxides used in high-temperature and defense-related magnet applications. Building on its pilot successes, the company is moving ahead with construction of commercial-scale heavy rare earth refining circuits at White Mesa, targeting capacity of up to 48 tonnes of dysprosium oxide and 14 tonnes of terbium oxide annually, subject to feed availability, which could significantly enhance its role in supplying critical materials for electric vehicles, advanced robotics, and defense systems.

The most recent analyst rating on (UUUU) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Fuels stock, see the UUUU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Fuels Boosts Capital and Production in Q3-2025
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Energy Fuels reported increased uranium sales and successful rare earth pilot production in Q3-2025, positioning itself for future growth. The company also completed a $700 million convertible senior notes offering, boosting its working capital to nearly $1 billion, and received government approvals for a joint venture in Australia, enhancing its strategic positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (UUUU) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Fuels stock, see the UUUU Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Energy Fuels Schedules Q3-2025 Earnings Call
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

Energy Fuels Inc. announced it will hold a conference call on November 4, 2025, to discuss its Q3-2025 financial results. This announcement highlights the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, providing insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (UUUU) stock is a Buy with a $27.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Fuels stock, see the UUUU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2025