tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Element Fleet Management (TSE:EFN)
TSX:EFN

Element Fleet Management (EFN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
160 Followers

Top Page

TS

Element Fleet Management

(TSX:EFN)

64Neutral
Element Fleet Management shows strong revenue growth and strategic investments positioning it for future success. However, high leverage and negative cash flows are significant risks. The technical indicators show neutral to slightly bearish trends, while the valuation suggests potential overvaluation concerns. Strong earnings call guidance and strategic initiatives provide a positive outlook, but challenges with expenses and external factors could impact performance.
Positive Factors
Dividend Policy
Element announced an 8.3% dividend increase and renewed its repurchase program, which management intends to be more active.
Revenue Performance
Higher servicing revenue, up 25% year-over-year, indicates strong performance in this segment.
Strategic Partnerships
Through this new arrangement with Blackstone, EFN benefits from a diversification of funding sources, reducing leverage, and a capital lighter model.
Negative Factors
Industry Headwinds
Headwinds facing the industry have caused vehicle under management growth to slow more than anticipated.
Market Valuation
With its strong run muting expected total return, Element is downgraded to a Hold, on a valuation basis.
Operating Expenses
Higher opex, at US$127.5mm versus US$120.2mm estimate, up 16% year-over-year on accelerated strategic investments and additional expenses associated with AutoFleet acquisition.

Element Fleet Management (EFN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Element Fleet Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElement Fleet Management Corp. operates as a fleet management company primarily in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers fleet management services comprising vehicle acquisition, financing, program management, and remarketing services to corporate, commercial, government, and public service vehicle fleets. It serves construction, energy, oil and gas, food and beverage, healthcare, services, transportation, and utility industries. Element Fleet Management Corp. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyElement Fleet Management makes money primarily through service fees and interest income generated from its fleet management services and solutions. The company earns revenue by charging clients for the various services it provides, such as fleet leasing, maintenance management, and fuel management. Additionally, Element Fleet Management benefits from interest income associated with financing and leasing arrangements. Significant partnerships with vehicle manufacturers, maintenance providers, and fuel companies enhance their service offerings and contribute to revenue generation. The company's focus on data analytics and technology-driven solutions also plays a crucial role in optimizing fleet operations for clients, further strengthening their value proposition and revenue model.

Element Fleet Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Element Fleet Management demonstrates revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with profitability and cash flow stability. High leverage poses a financial risk, and negative cash flows may impact future operations. While the company shows growth potential, it needs to address its cash generation issues and reliance on debt for a more balanced financial health.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Element Fleet Management has shown a consistent increase in total revenue from 2022 to 2024, with the latest annual revenue at approximately $2.2 billion. The gross profit margin has remained strong, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 2023 to 2024, indicating a decline in profitability. EBITDA margin remains healthy, showcasing strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. This is a potential risk factor. The return on equity has decreased from 2023 to 2024, suggesting reduced profitability for equity holders. However, equity ratio remains stable, indicating a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The operating cash flow has been negative in recent years, which is concerning. Free cash flow has also been negative, indicating potential issues in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting difficulties in converting net income into free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.21B1.99B1.96B1.66B1.77B
Gross Profit
783.96M748.70M809.16M666.94M660.34M
EBIT
0.001.42B556.74M452.57M428.19M
EBITDA
1.13B1.01B1.16B988.67M1.22B
Net Income Common Stockholders
387.14M466.20M409.64M279.22M225.14M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
128.84M96.42M68.88M45.27M8.79M
Total Assets
12.70B16.47B14.33B12.97B14.99B
Total Debt
8.45B8.13B9.02B8.20B10.00B
Net Debt
8.32B8.03B8.95B8.16B10.00B
Total Liabilities
9.93B12.57B10.65B9.52B11.21B
Stockholders Equity
2.77B3.90B3.68B3.45B3.78B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-184.17M-1.05B160.77M2.43B2.68B
Operating Cash Flow
-107.16M-970.88M229.63M2.51B2.78B
Investing Cash Flow
-157.84M-74.90M-65.61M-85.95M-9.62M
Financing Cash Flow
454.82M1.38B-7.59M-2.39B-2.83B

Element Fleet Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price28.47
Price Trends
50DMA
28.43
Positive
100DMA
28.61
Negative
200DMA
27.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
61.62
Neutral
STOCH
73.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EFN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 28.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.29, above the 50-day MA of 28.43, and above the 200-day MA of 27.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:EFN.

Element Fleet Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSEFN
64
Neutral
$11.47B21.7113.51%1.79%23.55%15.70%
62
Neutral
$7.25B12.393.08%3.39%3.63%-14.32%
TSACQ
57
Neutral
C$343.78M7.01%-16.86%-236.70%
TSNFI
50
Neutral
C$1.26B-0.38%18.07%98.61%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFN
Element Fleet Management
28.47
6.81
31.41%
MGA
Magna International
32.47
-17.71
-35.29%
LIMAF
Linamar
33.50
-16.96
-33.61%
DOOO
BRP
35.36
-35.84
-50.34%
TSE:ACQ
AutoCanada
14.56
-10.61
-42.15%
TSE:NFI
NFI Group Inc
10.55
-1.51
-12.52%

Element Fleet Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -1.38% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance for 2024 with record growth in revenue and strategic investments positioning Element for future success. However, increased operating expenses and challenges with originations and foreign exchange fluctuations present notable obstacles.
Highlights
Record Financial Results and Growth
2024 marked a pivotal year for Element Fleet Management with record financial results including double-digit year-over-year growth in net revenue, adjusted earnings per share, and adjusted free cash flow per share. Net revenue grew 13% year-over-year to $1.1 billion, driven by an 18% increase in services revenue.
Expansion and Strategic Investments
The company added 150 new clients and increased its spend on strategic investments, including the centralization of U.S. and Canada leasing operations in Dublin and the acquisition of Autofleet. These moves position Element for sustained industry leadership and future success.
Strong Capital Management
Element returned $336 million to shareholders, raised its annual common dividend, and renewed its normal course issuer bid. A record $3.5 billion in assets was syndicated in 2024, a 40% increase from 2023.
Launch of New Offerings
Element announced Element Risk Solutions, an integrated insurance offering, and plans to release a new digital driver app and EV charger management platform in 2025.
Lowlights
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by 13% year-over-year due to accelerated strategic investments and higher performance-based compensation. This increase was well above the company's normalized expense growth outlook.
Impact of Foreign Exchange and Interest Costs
The company's net financing revenue was impacted by higher interest expenses and foreign exchange fluctuations, contributing to a decline in syndication revenue by 6% year-over-year.
Challenges with Originations
2024 originations came in lower than guidance, partly due to USD appreciation affecting translation and some vehicle models still being on controlled allocation.
Company Guidance
During Element Fleet Management's call, the company provided robust guidance for 2025, highlighting expected net revenue between $1.16 billion and $1.185 billion, and adjusted operating income ranging from $645 million to $670 million. They anticipate an adjusted operating margin of 55.5% to 56.5%, with adjusted EPS projected at $1.20 to $1.25, and adjusted free cash flow per share of $1.48 to $1.53. Originations are expected to be between $6.9 billion and $7.1 billion. The company aims to continue generating positive adjusted operating leverage and expanding operating margins. Despite potential headwinds like currency fluctuations and changes in bonus depreciation, Element remains confident in achieving these targets, supported by strategic investments and initiatives like their new insurance and risk management solutions. Additionally, they plan to maintain capital expenditures around $80 million, primarily for technology enhancements.

Element Fleet Management Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Element Fleet Management Announces Board Nominations and Annual Report
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Element Fleet Management has nominated Paolo Ferrari and Tracey McVicar for election to its Board of Directors, replacing outgoing members Andrew Clarke and Arielle Meloul-Wechsler. The company also released its inaugural annual report, highlighting strategic investments and trends in the fleet and mobility industry, which are expected to bolster its leadership position and set a foundation for future success.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Element Fleet Management Announces US$650 Million Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Mar 20, 2025

Element Fleet Management announced a private offering of US$650 million in 5.037% Senior Notes due 2030, aimed at raising funds for working capital and general corporate purposes, including potential debt repayment. The offering, set to close on March 25, 2025, is not registered under the Securities Act and is targeted at qualified institutional buyers and non-U.S. persons, reflecting Element’s strategic financial maneuvering to enhance operational flexibility and maintain its industry leadership.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Element Fleet Management Announces Private Offering of Senior Notes
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Element Fleet Management has announced a proposed private offering of senior unsecured notes, with the proceeds intended for working capital and general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. This move is part of Element’s strategy to enhance financial performance and operational efficiency, potentially impacting its market positioning by leveraging its scale and expertise in fleet management.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Element Fleet Management Achieves Record 2024 Financial Results and Reaffirms 2025 Growth Outlook
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

Element Fleet Management Corp. reported record financial results for 2024, with net revenue reaching $1.1 billion, driven by an 18% increase in services revenue and a 9% rise in net financing revenue. The strong performance facilitated strategic investments for future growth, maintaining adjusted operating margins within the guidance range. The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, anticipating continued growth in net revenue and financial metrics, supported by robust client demand and a growing pipeline.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Element Fleet Management Introduces Integrated Risk Solutions for Commercial Fleets
Positive
Jan 30, 2025

Element Fleet Management has launched Element Risk Solutions in partnership with Hub International, aiming to revolutionize insurance and risk management for commercial fleets in the U.S. and Canada. This new offering integrates insurance coverage with claims management and advisory services, addressing the challenge of high commercial auto rates and providing clients with a streamlined, data-driven approach to manage their total cost of risk, thereby supporting business growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.