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Earnings Data
Report Date
Jul 23, 2026Before Open (Confirmed)
Period Ending
2026 (Q2)Consensus EPS Forecast
1.57Last Year’s EPS
0.45Same Quarter Last Year
Strong Buy
Based on 11 Analysts Ratings
Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call emphasized multiple operational records (highest annual and quarterly production, project milestones, cost reductions), strong Q4 financials and cash generation, and clear synergy targets from the MEG acquisition. Key challenges include a near-term increase in net debt from the MEG transaction, tight execution timelines (notably West White Rose) amid severe weather, downstream margin seasonality and one-time inventory losses, and continued industry egress risk. On balance, the company demonstrated strong execution, cash flow and a credible plan for synergies and deleveraging, while acknowledging manageable near-term risks.Company Guidance
Safety Milestone at Sunrise
Sunrise Oil Sands teams achieved 2 full calendar years and over 1.8 million hours worked without a reportable incident, despite 2025 being the highest activity year at Sunrise (~950,000 hours).
Record Upstream Production
Full-year 2025 upstream production was 834,000 BOE/d (highest ever) and up ~3% versus 2024 excluding the MEG acquisition; Q4 upstream was 918,000 BOE/d and December exit production exceeded 970,000 BOE/d including MEG.
Oil Sands and Asset Records
Q4 oil sands production reached a record 727,000 BOE/d; Christina Lake averaged 309,000 bbl/d in Q4 with Christina Lake North producing >110,000 bbl/d; Foster Creek set a Q4 record at 220,000 bbl/d and delivered ~30,000 bbl/d of growth ahead of schedule.
Cost Reductions in Upstream and Downstream
Total upstream nonfuel operating costs decreased by ~4% year-over-year; oil sands nonfuel operating costs fell to $8.39/boe in Q4 (>$1.25/boe lower quarter-over-quarter). Canadian refining operating costs were reduced by ~CAD $4/boe and U.S. refineries by ~CAD $2/boe; enhanced sulfur recovery project expected to cut ~CAD $0.50–$0.75/boe midyear.
Strong Downstream Reliability and Market Capture
Combined refinery utilization was ~95% for the year; Canadian throughput 113,000 bbl/d (~105% reported utilization) and U.S. throughput 353,000 bbl/d (~97% utilization). Excluding a one-time pipeline settlement and inventory losses, adjusted market capture in Q4 was ~95%; company guides to ~70% market capture at a $14 WCS differential on a sustained basis.
Robust Financial Performance and Cash Flow
Q4 operating margin ~CAD $2.8 billion and adjusted funds flow ~CAD $2.7 billion; Upstream operating margin >CAD $2.6 billion in Q4. Downstream operating margin was CAD $149 million (would be ~CAD $235 million excluding inventory holding losses and turnarounds).
Capital Discipline and Guidance
Q4 capital spending nearly CAD $1.4 billion and full-year 2025 capex was CAD $4.9 billion; 2026 growth spend midpoint ~CAD $300 million lower year-over-year and management expects sustaining capex to be modest (~CAD $3.6–3.7 billion range implied).
Strategic Transactions and Synergies
Closed MEG acquisition (added >100,000 bbl/d) on Nov 13 and sold WRB refining JV (received CAD $1.9 billion). Management expects CAD $150 million of annual synergies in 2026–2027 and >CAD $400 million of annual synergies by end of 2028, with a majority of corporate synergies largely captured already.
Project and Resource Progress
Completed Narrows Lake tieback and Foster Creek facilities work; West White Rose tie-ins and platform construction progressed to final commissioning with first oil guidance targeted for Q2 (timeline tight). Extensions to gas sales agreements for Liwan fields add nearly USD $2 billion of incremental free cash flow over field lives.
Shareholder Returns and Tax Outcome
Q4 shareholder returns were CAD $1.1 billion (CAD $714M buybacks, CAD $380M dividends). Full-year current taxes were CAD $780 million (significantly below prior guidance of CAD $1.2–1.3 billion) driven by MEG integration; 2026 cash tax guidance remains CAD $1.0–1.3 billion at ~USD $60 WTI.
TSE:CVE Earnings History
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed
TSE:CVE Earnings-Related Price Changes
Report Date | Price 1 Day Before | Price 1 Day After | Percentage Change |
|---|---|---|---|
May 06, 2026 | C$41.28 | C$39.27 | -4.87% |
Feb 19, 2026 | C$30.09 | C$31.31 | +4.04% |
Oct 31, 2025 | C$23.01 | C$23.23 | +0.98% |
Jul 31, 2025 | C$20.28 | C$20.50 | +1.06% |
Earnings announcements can affect a stock’s price. This table shows the stock's price the day before and the day after recent earnings reports, including the percentage change.
FAQ
When does Cenovus Energy (TSE:CVE) report earnings?
Cenovus Energy (TSE:CVE) is schdueled to report earning on Jul 23, 2026, Before Open (Confirmed).
What is Cenovus Energy (TSE:CVE) earnings time?
Cenovus Energy (TSE:CVE) earnings time is at Jul 23, 2026, Before Open (Confirmed).
Where can I see when companies are reporting earnings?
You can see which companies are reporting today on our designated earnings calendar.
What companies are reporting earnings today?
You can see a list of the companies which are reporting today on TipRanks earnings calendar.
What is TSE:CVE EPS forecast?
TSE:CVE EPS forecast for the fiscal quarter 2026 (Q2) is 1.57.
