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Chartwell Retirement (TSE:CSH.UN)
:CSH.UN

Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Chartwell Retirement Residences

(TSX:CSH.UN)

51Neutral
Chartwell Retirement Residences scores moderately due to mixed financial performance and high P/E ratio. While cash flow and strategic acquisitions are strengths, high leverage and thin margins are concerns. Positive earnings call guidance and corporate events enhance future prospects.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Improvements
Chartwell's balance sheet continues to move in the right direction, with a reduced net debt/EBITDA ratio and improved cost of capital.
Occupancy and Demographic Trends
Chartwell Retirement Residences is expected to be the primary beneficiary of improving occupancy, limited new supply, and increasing demographic tailwinds.
Strategic Initiatives
Strategic initiatives have driven a stronger portfolio, including the disposition of the LTC platform and capital recycling, improving property quality.
Negative Factors
Premium Valuation
Chartwell's premium valuation might raise concerns despite the above-average growth outlook, balance sheet improvements, and strong fundamental backdrop.

Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Chartwell Retirement Residences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) is a leading provider of seniors housing in Canada, primarily focused on offering a range of retirement living options including independent living, assisted living, and memory care. The company operates a portfolio of high-quality retirement communities across the country, designed to cater to the varying needs of seniors. Chartwell is committed to providing residents with a fulfilling and engaging lifestyle, supported by a team of dedicated staff and comprehensive services aimed at enhancing the quality of life for its residents.
How the Company Makes MoneyChartwell Retirement Residences generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of retirement communities. The company's revenue model is based on offering a range of living arrangements that cater to different levels of care needs, from independent living to more intensive assisted living and memory care services. Each of these services is priced according to the level of care and amenities provided, contributing to the company's income. Additionally, Chartwell may engage in partnerships with healthcare providers to offer enhanced care services, further augmenting its revenue streams. The company also focuses on maintaining high occupancy rates and operational efficiencies to maximize profitability. Rent and service fees collected from residents form the core of Chartwell's revenue, with supplementary income derived from ancillary services offered within its communities.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chartwell Retirement Residences shows moderate financial health. Revenue and free cash flow are growing, but profitability is thin and leverage is high, indicating potential risks if not managed properly. Strong cash flow generation is a positive, but operational efficiencies need improvement to enhance EBIT margins.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Chartwell Retirement Residences shows a mixed financial performance. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 40.0%, which is decent but has decreased slightly from previous years. The net profit margin for 2024 stands at 2.6%, indicating thin profitability. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 is 15.3%, which is positive, but EBIT margin is zero, reflecting operational challenges. EBITDA margin is strong at 38.7%, suggesting that non-operational expenses are significant.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet indicates stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.42 in 2024, showing high leverage. Return on equity is low at 2.1%, indicating limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is 26.2%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing. This high leverage could pose risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Chartwell Retirement Residences exhibits a healthy cash flow with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 8.96, indicating strong cash generation relative to income. Free cash flow grew significantly from 2023 to 2024, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 4.18, reflecting efficient cash management. Despite some volatility in investing activities, the cash flow position remains robust.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
848.54M736.24M706.80M903.61M924.72M
Gross Profit
339.36M272.87M242.10M273.89M302.22M
EBIT
0.0036.08M30.28M51.95M76.78M
EBITDA
328.20M184.49M188.43M220.04M256.46M
Net Income Common Stockholders
22.41M128.27M27.39M10.13M14.88M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
20.05M24.62M28.47M95.49M70.16M
Total Assets
4.09B3.23B3.51B3.42B3.49B
Total Debt
2.60B2.03B2.34B2.35B2.52B
Net Debt
2.58B2.00B2.31B2.25B2.45B
Total Liabilities
3.01B2.44B2.74B2.59B2.76B
Stockholders Equity
1.07B791.46M769.80M826.11M733.98M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
93.58M28.18M26.35M40.98M52.23M
Operating Cash Flow
200.85M157.43M137.71M156.32M184.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-652.99M78.94M-165.61M-36.49M-62.19M
Financing Cash Flow
447.57M-240.21M-39.11M-94.51M-75.16M

Chartwell Retirement Residences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.13
Price Trends
50DMA
16.57
Positive
100DMA
16.03
Positive
200DMA
15.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
60.66
Neutral
STOCH
86.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CSH.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.45, above the 50-day MA of 16.57, and above the 200-day MA of 15.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CSH.UN.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSEXE
74
Outperform
C$1.11B14.8870.86%3.61%12.36%123.26%
TSDR
69
Neutral
$343.86M2.4523.77%2.38%-24.96%549.36%
TSSIA
63
Neutral
C$1.53B33.028.99%5.62%13.72%429.22%
59
Neutral
$2.72B11.590.11%8770.69%5.44%-16.52%
58
Neutral
$1.22B-16.93%7.35%-8.75%14.49%
51
Neutral
C$4.87B199.192.36%3.57%15.38%-84.98%
37
Underperform
C$51.30M-6.27%1.90%-2.06%43.41%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CSH.UN
Chartwell Retirement Residences
17.13
5.02
41.45%
TSE:DR
Medical Facilities
15.00
4.10
37.60%
TSE:NWH.UN
NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT
4.90
0.19
3.92%
TSE:EXE
Extendicare
13.35
6.34
90.44%
TSE:SIA
Sienna Senior Living
16.65
3.95
31.10%
TSE:MPCT.UN
Dream Impact Trust
2.79
-1.36
-32.77%

Chartwell Retirement Residences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: 4.01% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong operational and financial performance, with significant growth in occupancy, investments, and financial metrics. However, the decline in net income due to a previous year's one-time gain and higher finance costs, along with economic uncertainties, present challenges. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and operational success outweigh the concerns.
Highlights
Occupancy and Leasing Success
In Q4 2024, there was a positive net permanent move-ins of plus 689 units, helping mitigate the historical winter dip in occupancy. Same-property occupancy increased 590 basis points to 88% in 2024, and to 90.1% in Q4 2024.
Record Investment Activity
2024 was a record year for investments, with notable acquisitions including a 50% stake in a portfolio of five retirement residences in Quebec and an upscale 131-suite ISL retirement residence in Victoria, BC.
Financial Growth
FFO from continuing operations increased 61.7% and total FFO increased 48.3% in 2024 compared to 2023. Same-property adjusted NOI increased by $38.8 million or 18.9%.
Cost Efficiency
Staffing agency costs were reduced by 60% in 2024 compared to 2023, and G&A expenses were lower, contributing positively to net income.
Lowlights
Decrease in Net Income
Net income for 2024 was $22.4 million, significantly lower than the $128.3 million in 2023, primarily due to a $178.7 million gain on sale in 2023.
Higher Finance Costs
In 2024, higher adjusted finance costs of $14.2 million partially offset strong operating results and impacted net income.
Uncertainty Due to Economic Conditions
There is significant uncertainty due to potential trade disputes and economic downturns, which could impact operations despite the historical stability of the retirement living sector.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided during the Chartwell Retirement Residences' Q4 2024 Financial Results Conference Call covered several key metrics and strategic focuses for 2025. Chartwell aims to achieve a 91.1% same-property occupancy by March 2025, with a long-term goal of reaching 95% occupancy by the year-end. The company expects rent and service rates to increase by approximately 4% in 2025, with same-property operating margins projected to grow to about 40%. Chartwell's net income for 2024 was $22.4 million, down from $128.3 million in 2023 due to a previous gain on the sale of long-term care assets. Despite this, FFO from continuing operations increased by 61.7%, and total FFO rose by 48.3% in 2024. The company reduced staffing agency costs by 60% through recruitment and retention activities and plans to continue optimizing its portfolio with strategic acquisitions and dispositions of non-core properties. With liquidity of approximately $283 million as of February 2025, Chartwell is well-positioned to pursue growth opportunities while maintaining a conservative debt leverage profile.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Announces Cash Distribution and Positive Occupancy Trends
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a cash distribution of $0.051 per Trust Unit, payable on May 15, 2025, with eligible unitholders able to participate in the Distribution Reinvestment Plan to increase their ownership without fees. The company also reported positive momentum in occupancy rates, driven by strong demand and demographic growth, which is expected to continue through 2025, potentially enhancing its market position and benefiting stakeholders.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CSH.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CSH.UN is a Neutral.

Chartwell Retirement Residences has a moderate overall stock score. Strengths include strong cash flow generation and positive corporate events like strategic acquisitions. However, high leverage, thin profitability margins, and a potentially overvalued P/E ratio are key risks. The company is making strides in operational growth and efficiency, but further improvements are needed to enhance financial stability and shareholder returns.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CSH.UN stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Expands Quebec Portfolio with Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences has expanded its portfolio by acquiring two retirement residences, Résidence Le Florilège and Chartwell L’Envol, along with the remaining interest in Chartwell Trait-Carré, all located in Quebec City. These acquisitions, valued at over $247 million, are part of Chartwell’s strategy to enhance its presence in high-growth markets with high-quality, recently developed properties that boast strong occupancy rates. The integration of these properties is expected to be seamless, as they are already managed by Chartwell, and will contribute positively to the company’s portfolio quality and competitive positioning in the seniors housing industry.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Chartwell Retirement Residences Announces Q1 2025 Results Release and AGM Details
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 8, 2025, followed by a conference call and webcast on May 9, 2025, to discuss the results. Additionally, Chartwell will hold its annual general meeting on May 7, 2025, both in person and virtually. These events are significant for stakeholders as they provide insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Announces Cash Distribution and Positive Occupancy Trends
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a cash distribution of $0.051 per Trust Unit, payable on April 15, 2025, with a Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) that allows unitholders to increase their ownership without fees. The company reported robust winter sales activity, leading to higher occupancy rates and expects continued positive momentum due to strong demand driven by demographic growth and a shortage of long-term care beds.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Retirement Residences Announces $400 Million Debenture Offering
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a $400 million offering of senior unsecured debentures, divided equally between Series E and Series F, with interest rates of 3.650% and 4.500%, maturing in 2028 and 2032, respectively. The proceeds are intended to repay existing debts and finance future acquisitions, potentially enhancing Chartwell’s financial flexibility and growth prospects in the senior housing market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chartwell Retirement Residences Reports Strong Q4 2024 Results
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences reported a significant financial turnaround in the fourth quarter of 2024, with a notable increase in resident revenue and a shift from a net loss to a net income. The company attributes its success to improvements in employee engagement, resident satisfaction, and operational efficiency, alongside strategic growth and optimization efforts. Chartwell’s CEO expressed confidence in sustaining strong performance through continued focus on operational excellence and capital management, positioning the company well for future growth.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Announces Cash Distribution and Reports Strong Occupancy Trends
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a cash distribution of $0.051 per Trust Unit, payable on March 17, 2025, with the option for unitholders to participate in a Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) that includes a 3% bonus in units. Additionally, Chartwell reported higher than usual January occupancy rates due to strong winter sales activity, with expectations of continued positive momentum into the spring, indicating robust demand and potential growth in occupancy rates.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Completes Strategic Transaction with Welltower
Neutral
Feb 4, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences has completed a strategic transaction with Welltower Inc., transferring its interests in 23 co-owned residences to Welltower and management of 25 properties to Cogir. This move, in exchange for cash and Welltower’s interests in 16 residences, aims to ensure a smooth transition for residents and employees while potentially strengthening Chartwell’s market position.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Expands Quebec Portfolio with $136M Acquisition
Positive
Jan 30, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced the acquisition of Rosemont Les Quartiers, a retirement residence in Montreal, for $136 million. This strategic acquisition, expected to close in Q1 2025, enhances Chartwell’s Quebec platform and expands its presence in a prime urban location, offering significant value below replacement costs.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.