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Canaccord Genuity (TSE:CF)
TSX:CF
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Canaccord Genuity (CF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CF

Canaccord Genuity

(TSX:CF)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
C$15.00
▲(16.10% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/04/26
The score is anchored by a mixed financial profile—strong recent cash-flow momentum and a revenue rebound are positives, but ongoing net losses and materially higher leverage elevate risk. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend and steady momentum, while valuation is constrained by a negative P/E despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring wealth management revenue
Canaccord’s wealth-management business generates recurring advisory and asset-based fees, which provide predictable revenue less tied to deal flow. Over a multi-month horizon, recurring AUM-linked fees help stabilize cash inflows and margins versus purely transaction-driven activities, supporting resilience through capital-markets cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and shrinking equity
Sharp increase in leverage and declining equity reduce financial flexibility and raise refinancing and interest-rate risk. With a higher debt load, the firm has a smaller capital cushion to absorb market shocks or business slowdowns, making sustained investment or dividend policy more constrained and increasing default risk if cash flows falter.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring wealth management revenue
Canaccord’s wealth-management business generates recurring advisory and asset-based fees, which provide predictable revenue less tied to deal flow. Over a multi-month horizon, recurring AUM-linked fees help stabilize cash inflows and margins versus purely transaction-driven activities, supporting resilience through capital-markets cycles.
Read all positive factors

Canaccord Genuity (CF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Canaccord Genuity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. functions as a diversified financial services enterprise, delivering a broad spectrum of investment products, along with specialized investment banking and brokerage solutions, to a diverse clientele including institut...
How the Company Makes Money
Canaccord Genuity makes money primarily by earning fees and commissions across investment banking/capital markets, brokerage/trading-related activities, and wealth management. (1) Investment banking and capital markets: The firm earns advisory fee...

Canaccord Genuity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 13, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted robust top-line growth, materially higher profitability and margin expansion driven by strong capital markets and wealth management activity, record client assets, strategic M&A and targeted cost reductions. Key risks include regulatory uncertainty in the U.S., concentration of recent revenue in commodity-driven sectors that may moderate, and temporary margin pressure in the U.K. business. Overall, the company’s positive operating momentum and strategic actions outweigh the noted execution and market risks in the near term.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Firm-wide revenue of $616 million for the quarter, up 37% year-over-year and 16% sequentially, representing the company's second-highest quarterly revenue on record.
Negative Updates
Regulatory Uncertainty in U.S.
Ongoing engagement with U.S. regulators on previously disclosed enforcement matters; timing and final terms of a potential unified resolution remain uncertain and have taken longer than expected.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue
Firm-wide revenue of $616 million for the quarter, up 37% year-over-year and 16% sequentially, representing the company's second-highest quarterly revenue on record.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance acknowledged that while Q3 delivered exceptionally strong results—firm‑wide revenue of $616 million (up 37% YoY, 16% sequential), Capital Markets revenue of $301 million (up 43% YoY) and Wealth Management revenue of $304 million (up 30% YoY), adjusted pretax net income of $81 million (up 103% YoY) and EPS of $0.36—they expect some moderation from those elevated levels even as market conditions remain broadly supportive. They pointed to record commodity prices and healthier small/mid‑cap equity markets as drivers likely to continue to underpin capital‑raising and advisory activity, and signaled regionally that Canadian Capital Markets should remain solid, U.S. and U.K. Capital Markets are expected to improve, and Australia may be seasonally slower; they also expect Wealth Management to sustain client‑asset growth (client assets at $145 billion, +26% YoY) with positive net flows. Management expects U.S. Capital Markets margins to improve following the sale of the U.S. market‑making business and the CRC‑IB acquisition, reiterated their single‑digit growth objective for the fiscal year (9‑month YTD performance has already exceeded that target), noted continued working‑capital flexibility, announced a quarterly dividend of $0.085, and confirmed they will retain control (>50% ownership) of the Australian business after the planned rights offering.

Canaccord Genuity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed but improving fundamentals: revenue rebounded in 2026 and operating profitability remains positive, while operating and free cash flow strengthened markedly in 2025–2026. Offsetting this, net income has stayed negative through 2023–2026 and leverage rose sharply (debt-to-equity ~1.77) alongside declining equity, increasing financial risk.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.24B1.48B1.51B2.05B2.01B
Gross Profit1.98B535.65M477.44M694.99M657.64M
EBITDA199.54M217.81M88.08M453.35M449.46M
Net Income-132.87M-13.16M-90.10M246.31M263.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.78B6.13B6.30B7.25B7.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.59B1.43B1.72B2.84B2.92B
Total Debt816.43M604.75M433.86M285.09M348.83M
Total Liabilities6.57B4.77B4.90B5.83B6.52B
Stockholders Equity780.61M995.64M1.05B1.18B1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow872.67M-38.56M-612.77M248.59M1.09B
Operating Cash Flow881.35M-12.88M-584.42M263.25M1.10B
Investing Cash Flow100.90M-32.79M-288.11M-202.00M-86.13M
Financing Cash Flow-138.99M-110.60M71.22M-142.86M-117.64M

Canaccord Genuity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.92
Price Trends
50DMA
13.14
Positive
100DMA
12.69
Positive
200DMA
11.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Positive
RSI
58.96
Neutral
STOCH
51.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.30, below the 50-day MA of 13.14, and above the 200-day MA of 11.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CF.

Canaccord Genuity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$178.37M26.845.77%-10.69%23.60%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
C$1.48B-9.99-17.40%2.96%26.51%-384.81%
51
Neutral
C$87.11M-4.43-23.88%-37.96%-162.06%
45
Neutral
C$4.44M-2.33100.46%51.41%
44
Neutral
C$3.21M-1.45-66.57%-16.24%17.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CF
Canaccord Genuity
14.42
4.10
39.72%
TSE:CXI
Currency Exchange International
30.18
10.60
54.14%
TSE:RICH
Raffles Financial Group
2.85
0.00
0.00%
TSE:PNP
Pinetree Capital
9.28
-8.02
-46.36%
TSE:DELX
DelphX Capital Markets
0.02
-0.05
-69.23%
TSE:FRNT
FRNT Financial, Inc.
0.10
-0.37
-78.72%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 04, 2026