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Canaccord Genuity (TSE:CF)
TSX:CF

Canaccord Genuity (CF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CF

Canaccord Genuity

(TSX:CF)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
C$13.50
▼(-0.81% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing net losses and sharply higher leverage), partially offset by strong recent cash flow and favorable technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation is mixed: a moderate dividend helps, but the negative P/E reflects loss-making results.
Positive Factors
Strong operating and free cash flow
Material TTM operating cash flow and FCF provide durable internal funding that supports underwriting, advisor payouts and working capital. Strong cash generation reduces near-term refinancing needs, gives management flexibility to invest or weather capital-markets cycles despite reported net losses.
Revenue rebound and improved gross margin
A recent revenue rebound coupled with substantially improved gross margin indicates better top-line traction and unit economics. If sustained, this combination supports operating leverage and the ability to convert fee-based growth into more durable operating profits across wealth and capital-markets businesses.
Diversified capital-markets and wealth model
The firm's mix of advisory/underwriting, institutional brokerage and recurring AUM fees creates complementary revenue streams. Recurring wealth-management fees temper capital-markets cyclicality, while capital-markets activity delivers episodic upside—structural diversification that supports steadier cash over time.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
A sharp rise to ~2.33x debt-to-equity materially increases financial risk for a market-facing firm. Higher leverage magnifies earnings volatility, raises interest and refinancing pressures, and constrains capital allocation flexibility, leaving the company more exposed in prolonged market downturns.
Persistent net losses and weak returns
Ongoing net losses and negative returns on equity erode retained capital and limit the firm's ability to reinvest or support dividends. For a cyclical capital-markets business, persistent unprofitability undermines stakeholder confidence and raises the bar for management to prove sustainable profitability.
Historically uneven cash flows
Despite recent strong FCF, prior material outflows show cash generation is volatile. This unevenness risks that current cash strength is temporary; planning for advisor compensation, deal pipelines and debt service may be disrupted if market activity weakens, increasing refinancing or liquidity risk.

Canaccord Genuity (CF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Canaccord Genuity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanaccord Genuity Group Inc., a full-service financial services company, provides investment products, and investment banking and brokerage services to institutional, corporate, and private clients. It operates in two segments, Canaccord Genuity Capital Markets and Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management. The Canaccord Genuity Capital Markets segment offers investment banking, advisory, research, merger and acquisition, sales, and trading services. The Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management segment provides wealth management solutions, and brokerage and financial planning services to individual investors, private clients, charities, and intermediaries. The company operates in North America, the United Kingdom, Europe, Asia, Australia, and the Middle East. Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanaccord Genuity generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary sources include investment banking fees from advisory services and underwriting activities, which involve raising capital for companies through public offerings and private placements. Additionally, the firm earns commissions and trading revenues from its capital markets division, where it facilitates buying and selling of securities for clients. The wealth management segment contributes by charging management fees on assets under management and earning performance fees based on investment returns. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and clients also enhance revenue opportunities, particularly in cross-border transactions and collaborative investment strategies. Overall, the firm benefits from a diversified revenue model, which helps mitigate risks associated with fluctuations in market conditions.

Canaccord Genuity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with strong growth in Wealth Management and trading offset by significant declines in Advisory revenue and increased expenses. Record client assets and growth in Australia and the U.K. were positive, but challenges in the U.S. and regulatory issues weigh on the outlook.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Client Assets in Wealth Management
We ended the quarter with a record $125 billion in client assets, driven by rising market values and complemented by recruiting and organic inflows. The adjusted pretax net income contribution from the division increased by 23% year-over-year.
Strong Performance in Australian Wealth Business
Australian Wealth business generated record revenue of $23 million, increasing 25% year-over-year and 11% sequentially. Client assets grew to a record of $10 billion, an increase of 37% year-over-year and 6% sequentially.
Growth in Principal Trading Revenue
Principal trading revenue increased by 52% year-over-year to $38 million, driven by substantially higher trading volumes during the 3-month period.
Improved EBITDA in U.K. Wealth Business
Normalized EBITDA of GBP 21 million for the 3-month period reflects a year-over-year improvement of 8.5% in the U.K. Wealth business.
Record Growth Conference Attendance
The company will host its largest ever Growth Conference with new records for registration, indicating improving confidence across dynamic growth sectors.
Negative Updates
Decline in Advisory Revenue
Revenue contribution from the Advisory segment fell 27% year-over-year and 46% sequentially, with the sharpest impact observed in U.S. operations.
Increased Non-Compensation Expenses
Firm-wide non-compensation expense increased $6 million or 4% year-over-year to $146 million, primarily due to higher premise and equipment costs and professional fees.
Regulatory Challenges in the U.S.
$2.5 million provision towards ongoing U.S. regulatory matter without significant update on resolution.
Lower Profitability in Capital Markets Division
Adjusted pretax net income from the Capital Markets division amounted to $5.5 million for the quarter compared to $13 million in the same period a year ago, affected by lower advisory revenues and increased trading costs.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. reported consolidated revenue of $448 million, indicating a 5% increase year-over-year but a 3% decline sequentially. The Wealth Management division contributed 54% of the total revenue, achieving record levels in the U.K. and Australia with client assets reaching $125 billion. The Capital Markets division faced challenges, with advisory revenue falling 27% year-over-year and 46% sequentially, particularly impacting U.S. operations. However, trading revenue saw a 46% year-over-year increase to $37 million, and capital raising activities improved sequentially, completing 93 transactions and raising over $16 billion. The adjusted pretax net income of $33 million marked a 4% sequential improvement, with earnings per share rising by 8%. The firm maintained a compensation ratio of 60% and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.085 per share. Despite the challenges, the company remains optimistic about future growth, expecting continued momentum in Wealth Management and improved advisory activities.

Canaccord Genuity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue rebounded and margins improved, and recent operating/free cash flow is strong, but net losses persist and leverage rose sharply (elevated debt-to-equity), reducing earnings stability and increasing financial risk.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue rebounded (+9.9%), and gross margin improved meaningfully (~51%), but profitability is the key issue: the company posted a sizable net loss (net margin ~-9.9%) despite positive operating profit. Results have been volatile over the last few years (strong profitability in 2021–2022, then losses in 2023 and near-breakeven in 2024–2025 annual), which lowers confidence in earnings stability.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage has risen sharply in the most recent period: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) debt-to-equity is elevated (~2.33x) versus more moderate levels in prior annual periods (~0.24x–0.61x). Equity remains positive, but the TTM return on equity is deeply negative due to losses, and higher leverage increases sensitivity to market/earnings swings for a capital-markets business.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~$544M) and free cash flow (~$531M) are strong, with very large free-cash-flow growth versus the prior period provided. However, cash flow has been highly uneven historically (material cash outflows in 2023 and 2024 annual), and the current cash strength is occurring alongside net losses, which warrants caution on durability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.08B1.77B1.51B2.05B2.01B1.22B
Gross Profit1.07B634.09M477.44M694.99M657.64M401.59M
EBITDA119.03M260.45M88.08M453.35M449.46M189.16M
Net Income-205.29M-17.50M-90.10M246.31M263.79M86.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.61B6.72B6.30B7.25B7.63B5.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.30B1.90B1.72B2.84B2.92B1.93B
Total Debt1.39B770.83M433.86M285.09M348.83M334.39M
Total Liabilities5.50B5.36B4.90B5.83B6.52B5.03B
Stockholders Equity694.35M959.79M1.05B1.18B1.11B928.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow531.31M396.40M-612.77M248.59M1.09B362.31M
Operating Cash Flow544.35M475.61M-584.42M263.25M1.10B368.67M
Investing Cash Flow-65.18M-151.12M-288.11M-202.00M-86.13M-49.92M
Financing Cash Flow10.01M-9.82M71.22M-142.86M-117.64M-147.34M

Canaccord Genuity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.61
Price Trends
50DMA
11.96
Positive
100DMA
11.59
Positive
200DMA
10.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Negative
RSI
72.06
Negative
STOCH
69.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.55, above the 50-day MA of 11.96, and above the 200-day MA of 10.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.06 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CF.

Canaccord Genuity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$166.74M12.087.24%-4.76%-40.05%
70
Outperform
C$93.64M3.3038.03%294.30%49.60%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
57
Neutral
C$1.38B-6.15-29.66%2.96%14.59%-4520.50%
47
Neutral
C$10.64M-3.12-66.57%-51.53%3.62%
45
Neutral
C$10.47M-3.9051.76%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CF
Canaccord Genuity
13.39
5.44
68.34%
TSE:CXI
Currency Exchange International
27.98
6.01
27.36%
TSE:RICH
Raffles Financial Group
2.85
0.00
0.00%
TSE:PNP
Pinetree Capital
9.98
-4.23
-29.75%
TSE:DELX
DelphX Capital Markets
0.05
-0.04
-42.17%
TSE:FRNT
FRNT Financial, Inc.
0.25
-0.15
-37.50%

Canaccord Genuity Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Canaccord Genuity Sets February Dates for Q3 2026 Results Release and Investor Call
Neutral
Jan 30, 2026

Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. will release its third quarter fiscal 2026 financial results and supplementary information after the close of Canadian markets on February 13, 2026, followed by a conference call and webcast on February 17, 2026. The company is providing multiple access points for investors, analysts, and other stakeholders to review the results and participate in the call, including a live webcast, regional dial-in numbers, and an archived replay available for one month, underscoring its efforts to maintain transparent communication and engagement with the market ahead of its latest quarterly disclosure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CF) stock is a Hold with a C$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaccord Genuity stock, see the TSE:CF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Canaccord Genuity Expands U.S. Renewable Energy Advisory With Carbon Reduction Capital Acquisition
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. has acquired U.S.-based Carbon Reduction Capital, LLC, a prominent advisor specializing in M&A, project finance, and capital raising across the renewable energy spectrum, including wind, solar, storage, carbon capture and broader energy transition segments. The deal strengthens Canaccord Genuity’s advisory and capital markets capabilities in high-growth sustainable energy sectors and establishes a new Energy Transformation group within its U.S. Sustainability – Energy and Industrial Transformation investment banking platform, led by CRC-IB partners. By integrating CRC-IB’s track record of more than 400 transactions worth about US$91 billion with Canaccord’s global M&A and equity capital markets franchise, the firm aims to expand its U.S. and international market share in renewable energy advisory, offering enhanced services to public and private companies and financial sponsors in commercial and industrial markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CF) stock is a Hold with a C$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaccord Genuity stock, see the TSE:CF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026