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Pinetree Capital J (TSE:PNP)
TSX:PNP

Pinetree Capital (PNP) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PNP

Pinetree Capital

(TSX:PNP)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$9.00
▼(-20.35% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/06/26
The score is driven primarily by a very strong, low-leverage balance sheet and periods of strong profitability, offset by inconsistent cash flow and highly volatile, market-sensitive results. Technical indicators are mixed-to-weak (negative MACD and trading below longer-term averages), while valuation is modestly supportive with a low P/E.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low historical debt and a conservatively financed balance sheet give durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing/default risk, lets management hold positions through downturns, and preserves capacity to opportunistically deploy capital over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent cash generation
Repeated negative operating/free cash flow shows weak cash conversion and reliance on non-cash unrealized gains or timing. This reduces quality of earnings, limits predictable capital returns or buybacks, and constrains flexibility in prolonged adverse markets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low historical debt and a conservatively financed balance sheet give durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing/default risk, lets management hold positions through downturns, and preserves capacity to opportunistically deploy capital over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Pinetree Capital (PNP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pinetree Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Pinetree Capital Ltd. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in early to later stage venture, middle market, mature, later stage, turnaround, emerging growth and growth capital investments in micro and small cap companies. The f...
How the Company Makes Money
Pinetree Capital primarily makes money through investment returns generated by its securities portfolio. This includes (1) realized gains when it sells investments for more than their purchase price, (2) unrealized gains reflected in changes in th...

Pinetree Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong, conservatively financed balance sheet with minimal leverage and historically strong profitability, but results are highly cyclical (sharp revenue drop in 2025 after an unusually strong 2024) and cash flow quality is weak with multiple years of negative operating/free cash flow.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.48M33.30M6.64M2.10M2.30M
Gross Profit17.41M33.29M6.62M2.08M2.28M
EBITDA10.52M32.36M5.77M1.15M1.47M
Net Income9.89M32.33M5.75M1.18M1.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets89.39M78.27M45.75M40.06M38.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.56M5.13M2.17M6.04M9.94M
Total Debt181.00K0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities1.81M571.00K377.00K443.00K412.00K
Stockholders Equity87.59M77.70M45.37M39.62M38.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.88M2.96M-3.88M-3.89M-10.91M
Operating Cash Flow-3.88M2.96M-3.88M-3.89M-10.91M
Investing Cash Flow4.31M0.000.000.00-10.34M
Financing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.0017.88M

Pinetree Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.30
Price Trends
50DMA
9.46
Negative
100DMA
10.46
Negative
200DMA
12.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
31.09
Neutral
STOCH
22.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PNP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.11, above the 50-day MA of 9.46, and below the 200-day MA of 12.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PNP.

Pinetree Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$203.30M1.8322.78%113.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
C$78.10M10.4911.26%294.30%49.60%
51
Neutral
C$86.46M44.16-136.30%972.76%-192.94%
45
Neutral
C$36.19M-1.24-52.57%-90.34%
44
Neutral
C$47.46M-5.39-8.68%39.64%-70.96%
43
Neutral
C$106.47M-6.21-11.71%-21.21%-84.82%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PNP
Pinetree Capital
8.39
-5.61
-40.07%
TSE:HODL
Sol Strategies
1.30
-15.42
-92.22%
TSE:DEFI
DeFi Technologies
0.83
0.00
0.00%
TSE:XAU
GoldMoney
16.46
8.51
107.04%
TSE:NDA
Neptune Digital Assets
0.81
-0.49
-37.69%
TSE:DMGI
DMG Blockchain Solutions
0.24
0.04
17.07%

Pinetree Capital Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Pinetree Capital Boosts Book Value, Adds Veteran Investor to Board
Neutral
Mar 4, 2026
Pinetree Capital reported a rise in total assets to $89.4 million and an increase in book value per share to $9.33 as of December 31, 2025, up 13% from a year earlier, despite a 1% decline versus the prior quarter amid ongoing headwinds in the sof...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026