Production Outperformance and Raised Guidance
Q1 production averaged 69,500 BOE/d, above the high end of guidance. Company raised 2026 production guidance to 69,000–71,000 BOE/d (represents ~7% annual growth at midpoint, up from prior 3–5%). Three-year outlook updated to target 6–8% annual growth through 2028 (up from prior midpoint ~4%).
Strong Balance Sheet and Shareholder Returns
Ended Q1 with net cash of $591 million. Repurchased 35 million shares (4.6% of shares outstanding) for $174 million; $650 million (75% of Eagle Ford sale proceeds) intended for 2026 buybacks. Quarterly dividend unchanged at $0.0225 per share (annualized ~$0.09/share).
Improved Cash Generation and Netbacks
Adjusted funds flow of $152 million ($0.20 per basic share) in Q1. Operating netback improved to $35.36/BOE from $29.30/BOE in Q4 2025 — an increase of ~$6.06/BOE (~20.7% improvement).
Duvernay Growth Trajectory
Duvernay on track for ~35% production growth in 2026 with expected exit rate of 14,000–15,000 BOE/d. Plan for 13 wells on stream in 2026 (first wells expected in June) with an 18–20 well program contemplated in future years to support higher-end growth targets.
Heavy Oil Operational Outperformance
Heavy oil drove outperformance: oil & NGLs = 88% of mix; heavy oil ~75% of production. Peavine: first six 2026 wells averaged 30-day IPs of 680 bbl/d, above type curve. Lloydminster: stepped to three rigs and brought 16.7 net wells on stream. Peace River: added 40 sections (total 109 sections) and completed 21 sq. mile seismic (covering ~20% of land base).
Unit Cost and Well Performance Improvements
Duvernay well cost intensity improved from $1,165/ft (2024) to $1,025/ft (2025); budgeted $1,000/ft for 2026 with a target of ~$900/ft at scale. Characterization also improved from ~80 BOE/ft to ~90 BOE/ft.
Capital Allocation Discipline
2026 capital plan moved to high end at $625 million (includes incremental Duvernay and heavy oil projects). Management reiterated priority: grow production, return capital (buybacks + dividend), and maintain net cash throughout plan.
Longer-Term Optionality — Gemini Thermal
Gemini Thermal is regulatory-approved, with 44 million booked barrels and ~300 million barrels resource identified; management cited a potential recoverable target (~150 million barrels at a 50% illustrative recovery), Phase 1 design ~5,000 bbl/d, and target FID in 2027 (first barrels possible 2029) with upside to scale beyond 5,000 bbl/d.