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Ascendant Resources Inc (TSE:ASND)
TSX:ASND

Ascendant Resources Inc (ASND) AI Stock Analysis

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Ascendant Resources Inc

(TSX:ASND)

27Underperform
Ascendant Resources faces significant financial challenges, with no revenue and high leverage negatively impacting its overall score. The technical analysis shows some positive trends, but valuation is weak with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend. Recent corporate events, including securing funding and a merger, offer some relief but do not outweigh the financial weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
The acquisition of Ascendant Resources by Cerrado Gold is expected to increase the chances for future development of Lagoa Salgada substantially.
Financial Performance
Cerrado Gold's cash flow and profitability are seen as well-suited for generating ongoing shareholder value.
Metallurgical Advancements
Phase 1 of metallurgical test work completed with improvements in metal recoveries and concentrate grades, affirming the economic viability of the site.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Valuation
The acquisition cost for Ascendant Resources is well below the NAV value of the company.
Debt and Equity Conversion
Sprott Private Resources is converting debt into common shares to support Lagoa Salgada's development.
Market Valuation
The revised long-term estimates for gold and silver prices are significantly higher based on macroeconomic developments, which could benefit Ascendant Resources.

Ascendant Resources Inc (ASND) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ascendant Resources Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAscendant Resources Inc (ASND) is a Toronto-based mining company primarily engaged in the exploration and development of mineral properties. The company focuses on producing zinc, lead, silver, and copper concentrates. Ascendant Resources operates its flagship project, the Lagoa Salgada VMS Project located in Portugal, which is a significant source of polymetallic mineralization. The company aims to expand its resource base and enhance shareholder value through strategic exploration and development activities.
How the Company Makes MoneyAscendant Resources Inc generates revenue through the extraction, production, and sale of mineral concentrates, primarily zinc, lead, silver, and copper. The company's revenue model involves mining these resources from its projects, processing the raw materials into concentrates, and selling the concentrates to smelters and other customers in the metals industry. Key revenue streams include the sale of zinc concentrates, followed by lead, silver, and copper. The company's earnings are influenced by global commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiency. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures also play a role in enhancing resource development and optimizing production processes, contributing to the company's financial performance.

Ascendant Resources Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ascendant Resources Inc's financial position is precarious, with critical challenges in income generation, balance sheet stability, and cash flow management. The consistent absence of revenue, negative profitability metrics, and high leverage reflect significant financial distress.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Ascendant Resources Inc has reported no revenue in recent years, resulting in negative gross profit and net income, which reflects poorly on profitability. The lack of revenue growth and consistent net losses point to significant challenges in generating sales and managing costs effectively.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The company has a negative equity position, indicating liabilities exceed assets, which is a critical financial weakness. High debt levels relative to equity pose a risk, and the company's negative return on equity underscores ongoing unprofitability. Overall, the balance sheet strength is quite low.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow, highlighting that operating cash flows are insufficient to cover capital expenditures. The negative operating cash flow to net income ratio further illustrates the company's struggle to generate cash from its operations, indicating weak financial health.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.0077.82M
Gross Profit
-83.00K-118.77K-104.00K-123.00K-105.00K29.82M
EBIT
-2.04M-2.81M-7.93M-4.17M-2.93M-5.57M
EBITDA
-4.32M-2.89M-2.10M-1.98M-2.82M1.74M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-5.45M-10.47M-11.64M-3.19M-11.64M-5.06M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
391.00K660.00K3.81M938.00K756.00K1.68M
Total Assets
16.74M18.54M13.78M7.91M6.45M75.42M
Total Debt
18.11M18.42M14.29M2.91M206.00K14.95M
Net Debt
17.73M17.79M10.51M1.98M-550.00K13.27M
Total Liabilities
32.84M31.29M17.57M4.05M1.68M59.50M
Stockholders Equity
-19.50M-16.29M-3.79M3.86M4.78M15.92M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.49M-4.68M-1.83M-2.35M9.52M-7.92M
Operating Cash Flow
-1.69M-2.60M-1.42M-2.35M9.52M7.73M
Investing Cash Flow
-60.00K-7.87M-9.04M-3.00M-1.86M-19.04M
Financing Cash Flow
1.23M8.05M13.53M5.65M-8.31M9.24M

Ascendant Resources Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.06
Positive
100DMA
0.05
Positive
200DMA
0.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
78.07
Negative
STOCH
84.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ASND, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.06, and above the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.07 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ASND.

Ascendant Resources Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSHBM
66
Neutral
$3.78B34.283.30%0.20%19.70%9.24%
TSLUN
61
Neutral
$8.88B25.630.24%3.37%-2.71%-188.94%
TSFM
58
Neutral
$13.86B0.02%-24.38%99.06%
TSCS
57
Neutral
$4.60B39.602.90%20.74%
48
Neutral
$1.92B-1.99-22.85%3.95%0.94%-27.31%
TSAVL
42
Neutral
$15.37M-5.23%-11500.00%
27
Underperform
C$10.15M128.65%12.04%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ASND
Ascendant Resources Inc
0.08
0.02
33.33%
TSE:HBM
Hudbay Minerals
9.78
-1.05
-9.69%
TSE:AVL
Avalon Advanced Materials
0.03
-0.05
-62.50%
TSE:CS
Capstone Copper
5.98
-3.67
-38.03%
TSE:FM
First Quantum Minerals
16.72
0.63
3.92%
TSE:LUN
Lundin Mining
10.74
-4.90
-31.33%

Ascendant Resources Inc Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Ascendant Resources Announces Shareholder Meeting for Acquisition Vote
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

Ascendant Resources Inc. has announced a special meeting for shareholders to vote on a statutory plan of arrangement, which involves the acquisition of all outstanding common shares by Cerrado Gold Inc. The meeting is set for May 6, 2025, and the company’s special committee recommends shareholders vote in favor of the arrangement, which could significantly impact Ascendant’s operations and market positioning.

Spark’s Take on TSE:ASND Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:ASND is a Underperform.

Ascendant Resources faces significant financial challenges, with no revenue and high leverage negatively impacting its overall score. The technical analysis shows some positive trends, but valuation is weak with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend. Recent corporate events, including securing funding and a merger, offer some relief but do not outweigh the financial weaknesses.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:ASND stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Ascendant Resources Secures Funding to Advance Lagoa Salgada Project
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Ascendant Resources Inc. has successfully closed the first tranche of a private placement to raise funds for its Lagoa Salgada project and address short-term financial obligations. This funding round, which includes significant investment from Cerrado Gold Inc., is part of an arrangement where Cerrado plans to acquire all outstanding shares of Ascendant, potentially strengthening Ascendant’s market position and operational capabilities.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ascendant Resources Merges with Cerrado Gold in Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Feb 3, 2025

Ascendant Resources Inc. has announced a definitive agreement with Cerrado Gold Inc. for a business combination, where Cerrado will acquire all outstanding shares of Ascendant. This acquisition offers Ascendant shareholders a premium on their shares and provides the combined entity with a strong cash position, reduced equity dilution, and diversified asset risk. The transaction is structured to include debt absorption and conversion, ensuring continued advancement of key projects such as the Lagoa Salgada Project. Upon completion, existing Cerrado and Ascendant shareholders will own roughly 79% and 21% of the merged entity, respectively, with the combined company continuing under the Cerrado Gold Inc. name.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.