tiprankstipranks
Barrick Gold Corporation (TSE:ABX)
TSX:ABX

Barrick Gold (ABX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,070 Followers

Top Page

TSBarrick Gold
(TSX:ABX)
73Outperform
Barrick Gold achieves a high score due to its robust financial performance, supported by strong revenue growth, profitability, and a solid balance sheet. Technical indicators show upward momentum, and the valuation remains attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield. Positive earnings call outcomes further strengthen the outlook, despite some operational challenges. This places Barrick Gold in a favorable position within the mining sector.
Positive Factors
Copper Production Expansion
The expansion is expected to leverage existing infrastructure by almost doubling throughput from 27Mtpa to 52Mtpa, increasing average annual copper production to 240ktpa and extending Lumwana's mine life by 16 years to 2057.
Reserves Growth
Gold reserves grew 16% year-over-year, driven by the conversion of Reko Diq resources after completion of the feasibility study.
Negative Factors
Operational Risks
There is increased risk to production, mainly at the halted Loulo-Gounkoto mine in Mali, and the challenged ramp-up of the Pueblo Viejo mine in Dominican Republic.

Barrick Gold (ABX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Barrick Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanada-based Barrick Gold Corp. is engaged in the production and sale of gold and copper, as well as related activities such as exploration and mine development.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarrick Gold makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and copper. The company's revenue model is centered around mining operations where it explores, develops, and operates large-scale mines. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold and copper, which are extracted from its mines and sold to various buyers, including smelters and refineries. Additionally, Barrick Gold enters into joint ventures and partnerships to enhance its operational efficiency and expand its production capabilities. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by global commodity prices, production volumes, and cost management strategies. These factors, alongside strategic mergers and acquisitions, also play a critical role in driving Barrick's financial performance.

Barrick Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barrick Gold demonstrates a strong financial position with solid revenue growth and profitability margins. The balance sheet reflects low leverage and high equity, supporting financial stability. Cash flow generation is effective, though opportunities exist to enhance free cash flow utilization. Overall, the company is well-positioned within the mining industry, with potential for further profitability improvements.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement reflects a healthy gross profit margin of 38.4% and a strong net profit margin of 16.6% for the latest year. However, the EBIT margin is missing for the current year, potentially indicating operational challenges. Revenue growth is solid, with a 13.4% increase year-over-year, and EBITDA margin remains robust at 54.2%.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, reflecting manageable leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 51.0%, indicating a solid asset base funded by equity. Return on equity stands at 8.8%, which is moderate for the industry, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.10, indicating effective cash generation. Free cash flow grew significantly by 104.0%, signaling improved efficiency in capital expenditure management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.61, suggesting potential for further optimization.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
12.92B11.40B11.01B11.98B12.60B
Gross Profit
4.96B3.46B3.52B4.90B5.18B
EBIT
0.002.98B3.38B4.82B4.90B
EBITDA
7.01B5.21B5.38B7.08B7.11B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.14B1.27B1.02B3.29B3.61B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.07B4.15B4.44B5.28B5.19B
Total Assets
47.63B45.81B45.97B46.89B46.51B
Total Debt
5.26B5.22B5.25B5.47B5.36B
Net Debt
1.18B1.07B810.00M193.00M176.00M
Total Liabilities
14.37B13.81B14.68B14.58B14.80B
Stockholders Equity
24.29B23.34B22.77B23.86B23.34B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.32B646.00M432.00M1.94B3.36B
Operating Cash Flow
4.49B3.73B3.48B4.38B5.42B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.76B-2.82B-1.71B-1.90B-1.29B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.79B-1.21B-2.60B-2.39B-2.25B

Barrick Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.68
Price Trends
50DMA
23.77
Positive
100DMA
24.58
Positive
200DMA
24.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Positive
RSI
56.84
Neutral
STOCH
31.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ABX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.42, above the 50-day MA of 23.77, and above the 200-day MA of 24.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ABX.

Barrick Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSABX
73
Outperform
$44.35B15.318.83%2.29%15.40%72.49%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-4.00-31.55%3.33%2.93%-29.90%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ABX
Barrick Gold
26.48
5.68
27.34%
AEM
Agnico Eagle
99.55
46.94
89.22%
EGO
Eldorado Gold
14.35
2.19
18.01%
KGC
Kinross Gold
11.44
6.18
117.49%
OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
18.88
3.03
19.12%
AUGG
Augusta Gold
0.82
0.15
22.39%

Barrick Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.76% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant financial growth, increased production, and successful project developments, indicating a strong performance. However, safety incidents and operational challenges in Mali presented concerns. Despite these challenges, the company's financial and operational achievements suggest a largely positive outlook.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
EBITDA increased by 30%, with margins growing both quarterly and annually. Adjusted net earnings per share grew 50% year-over-year to $1.26. Barrick achieved the highest net earnings in a decade, with operating cash flow for the quarter up 18% to $1.4 billion.
Gold and Copper Production and Reserves
Gold production increased by 15% quarter-on-quarter, with a 3% reduction in cost of sales and a 5% decrease in total cash costs. The company added significant new reserves from La Moana and Riccardeck, replacing 12.7 million ounces of gold and 13 million tons of copper.
Positive Developments in Key Projects
Pueblo Viejo expansion is progressing well, with gold production improving and recovery rates reaching 80% by year-end. The Riccardec project feasibility study is complete, with board approval to proceed.
Shareholder Returns
Barrick maintained its quarterly dividend at $0.10 per share and repurchased $354 million of its own shares in Q4, totaling almost $500 million for the year.
Lowlights
Safety Incidents
The company reported three fatalities in 2024, which it deemed unacceptable despite improvements in safety indicators.
Operational Challenges in Mali
Gold sales in Mali were significantly affected by government-imposed export restrictions, leading to a temporary suspension of operations.
Cost Increases in Pueblo Viejo
All-in sustaining costs were 14% higher despite a production decrease of only 5%, attributed to lower grades.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of 2024, Barrick Gold Corporation reported a robust performance, achieving a 30% increase in EBITDA and a 50% year-on-year growth in adjusted net earnings per share, reaching $1.26. The company maintained its quarterly dividend at $0.10 per share and executed $354 million in share buybacks, culminating in nearly $500 million for the year. The company's gold production rose by 15% quarter-on-quarter, coupled with a 3% reduction in cost of sales and a 5% decrease in total cash costs. Operating cash flow for the quarter increased by 18% to $1.4 billion, contributing to a total of $4.5 billion for the year, the highest since 2020. These results facilitated a 104% surge in full-year free cash flow to $1.3 billion. In addition to continued success in reserve replacement, Barrick achieved a 73 million gold equivalent ounces increase, primarily from the La Moana and Riccardeck projects. The company also met its production guidance for both gold and copper, with notable performance in Nevada and the Lemona project. Despite facing challenges, including three fatalities and operational disruptions in Mali, Barrick highlighted its commitment to sustainability, with significant improvements in safety metrics and an industry-leading water use efficiency rate of 85%.

Barrick Gold Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividends
Barrick Gold Declares Dividend and Reports Share Buybacks
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation declared a dividend of $0.10 per share for the fourth quarter of 2024, in line with its Performance Dividend Policy. Alongside dividends, Barrick repurchased 28.675 million shares in 2024, reflecting strong business performance and a focus on shareholder returns, while maintaining a robust financial position to support growth initiatives.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Gold Introduces New $1 Billion Share Buyback Program
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation has announced a new share buyback program, allowing for the repurchase of up to $1.0 billion of its common shares over the next 12 months. This decision highlights Barrick’s belief that its shares may be undervalued and reflects its strategic approach to leveraging financial performance, cash flow availability, and other investment opportunities to enhance shareholder value. The program is flexible, with no obligation to repurchase a specific number of shares, and can be suspended or discontinued at any time.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Barrick Gold Reports Strong Year-End Performance and Growth
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation reported a robust performance for Q4 and the entire year, with significant increases in gold and copper production, as well as reduced production costs. The company recorded a notable rise in net earnings and EBITDA, alongside strong cash flow figures, supporting a maintained dividend and share buybacks. These results highlight Barrick’s strategic focus on asset quality and sustainable growth, positioning the company strongly within the industry and indicating positive implications for stakeholders.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Gold Boosts Reserves, Strengthens Industry Position
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation announced a significant increase in its gold and copper reserves, underscoring its strategic focus on organic growth and asset quality. The company reported a 23% increase in gold mineral reserves and a 224% increase in copper reserves, highlighting the successful conversion of resources to reserves at its Reko Diq and Lumwana projects. This expansion positions Barrick as a leader in resource management, promising extended operational life and enhanced production capabilities, which are expected to create long-term value for its stakeholders.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Gold’s Kibali Mine Achieves Record Performance and Advances Sustainability Initiatives
Positive
Jan 28, 2025

Barrick Gold’s Kibali mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo ended 2024 with a record performance in yearly throughput, highlighting its operational excellence and efficiency as a low-cost producer. The mine is set to enhance its exploration efforts and strengthen its management team, aiming for new gold discoveries and bolstering its reserves. Additionally, Barrick is advancing the construction of a 16MW solar plant to reduce emissions and fuel consumption, aiming to operate with 100% renewable power for six months annually. The company’s efforts also include maintaining high environmental standards, supporting biodiversity projects, and contributing significantly to the local Congolese economy.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Gold’s Lumwana Mine Expansion to Boost Zambia’s Economy
Positive
Jan 26, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation is reinforcing its contribution to Zambia’s economy with the Lumwana Mine, having injected over $3.7 billion since 2019. The Lumwana expansion plan is set to double copper production by 2028 and create numerous jobs, aligning with Zambia’s development strategy. The expansion includes a training initiative to equip local workers, and infrastructure developments like a new airport and industrial park. Barrick is also addressing power supply issues in collaboration with ZESCO to benefit local communities and industries.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick’s Twiga Partnership Spurs Economic Growth and Sustainability in Tanzania
Positive
Jan 23, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation has made a substantial economic impact in Tanzania through its Twiga joint venture, injecting over $4.24 billion since 2019 and contributing $888 million in 2024 alone. The partnership has been pivotal in providing employment, supporting local businesses, and funding community projects, with 96% of the workforce being Tanzanian nationals. Significant advancements have been made in mine production, safety records, and environmental management. The establishment of a Special Economic Zone and the Barrick Academy underscores Barrick’s commitment to sustainable development and talent cultivation. Additionally, the expansion of exploration areas is vital for the long-term strategy to enhance mineral reserves and sustain growth in the region.

Barrick Gold to Announce Q4 2024 Financial Results
Jan 16, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation has announced the release of its fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results, scheduled for February 12, 2025. The release will include a live presentation and interactive webinar led by President and CEO Mark Bristow, offering stakeholders an opportunity to engage with the company’s financial performance and future outlook.

Barrick Gold Halts Mali Operations Amid Government Restrictions
Jan 14, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation has temporarily suspended operations at its Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex in Mali due to restrictions imposed by the Malian government on gold shipments. The government has moved the gold stock to a custodial bank, preventing shipment and sale, prompting Barrick to work towards a resolution with stakeholders to ensure the long-term sustainability of its operations and their economic impact in Mali.

Barrick Gold Advises Against TRC Capital’s Below-Market Mini-Tender Offer
Jan 13, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation has received an unsolicited mini-tender offer from TRC Capital Investment Corporation to purchase 5,000,000 common shares at a below-market price of C$21.35 per share. Barrick advises its shareholders to reject this offer, highlighting that it is not affiliated with TRC Capital and expressing concerns over the discounted offer, which is 4.52% and 4.38% below recent market prices on the Toronto and New York Stock Exchanges, respectively. The company aligns with guidance from Canadian and U.S. securities authorities, which warn investors about the potential risks associated with such mini-tender offers, urging them to exercise caution and seek professional financial advice.

Barrick Gold Faces Operational Challenges in Mali
Jan 6, 2025

Barrick Gold is currently facing operational challenges at its Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex in Mali due to restrictions on gold shipments and an interim attachment order against its gold stock. The unresolved situation threatens to impact the local economy and the livelihoods of 8,000 employees and service providers. Barrick is actively seeking to resolve disputes with the Mali government through arbitration and dialogue, emphasizing their longstanding commitment to Mali’s economic and social development. The company also faces the detention of several Malian employees on unfounded charges and is working towards their release.

Barrick Gold Faces Challenges in Mali Operations
Dec 16, 2024

Barrick Gold is facing significant challenges in Mali as efforts to resolve disputes with the government over the Loulo-Gounkoto complex have stalled. The situation has deteriorated with local management facing imprisonment without cause and gold shipments being blocked, potentially forcing a suspension of operations. Despite contributing significantly to Mali’s economy, Barrick’s attempts at negotiation have been rejected, raising concerns about future investment in the region.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.