tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
TechPrecision (TPCS)
NASDAQ:TPCS
US Market

TechPrecision (TPCS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
51 Followers

Top Page

TPCS

TechPrecision

(NASDAQ:TPCS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-34.21% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, elevated leverage, and especially negative free cash flow. Technicals remain bearish with the stock below key moving averages, while valuation metrics provide limited support due to the negative P/E and no dividend yield. The earnings call adds some offsetting strength (funded backlog/grants and improving margins), but near-term liquidity and Stadco execution risks remain prominent.
Positive Factors
Funded backlog & grants
A $46M funded backlog plus over $24M of funded grants provides multi-year revenue visibility and reduces near-term sales risk. This funded work supports planning, steady factory utilization and a clearer path to convert backlog into predictable cash flows over 1–3 years.
Ranor segment profitability
A profitable Ranor subsidiary delivers structural earnings and operational stability within the consolidated business. Its positive operating margin generates internal cash, underpins customer programs (submarine/defense), and provides a foundation to offset loss-making units while management scales repeatable program work.
Margin recovery & cost discipline
Sustained gross‑margin recovery and tighter SG&A control indicate improving unit economics and better cost absorption. If maintained, higher margins boost operating leverage on incremental revenue, shorten the path to sustained profitability and improve free cash flow potential over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Deep negative free cash flow and essentially zero cash on hand create ongoing liquidity pressure, forcing reliance on financing or working‑capital fixes. Persistent cash burn constrains investment, raises refinancing risk, and limits ability to fund growth or absorb execution setbacks without external support.
Elevated leverage
Leverage materially above parity restricts financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to interest costs and covenant constraints. Until consistent profitability and cash generation return, elevated debt limits strategic options, raises refinancing risk and can amplify losses from operational slippage.
Stadco contract & execution risks
Legacy contract provisions, customer‑furnished delays and rework at Stadco create recurring margin volatility and unpredictable costs. Combined with customer concentration, these structural execution issues hinder scaling to repeatable programs and risk ongoing hit to consolidated profitability and cash conversion.

TechPrecision (TPCS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TechPrecision Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTechPrecision Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells precision, fabricated, and machined metal structural components and systems in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Ranor and Stadco. It provides custom components for ships, submarines, military helicopters, aerospace equipment, components for nuclear power plants, and components for medical systems. The company also provides support services to its manufacturing capabilities comprising manufacturing engineering, quality control, materials procurement, production control, and final assembly. Its finished products are used various markets, including defense, aerospace, nuclear, medical, and precision industrial. TechPrecision Corporation was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Westminster, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyTechPrecision makes money primarily by fulfilling customer purchase orders and contracts for manufactured components and assemblies. Revenue is generated from (1) machining and fabrication services—pricing is typically based on the scope and complexity of work such as engineering requirements, materials, machining time, labor, and any required welding/finishing; (2) assembly and integration work where TechPrecision produces higher-level subassemblies or complete assemblies rather than single parts, generally increasing value per order; and (3) repeat production and program work for customers that order the same or similar parts over time, which can create more consistent throughput once parts are qualified. Where applicable, earnings are influenced by customer program schedules and acceptance/testing milestones, as revenue is recognized as products/services are delivered and accepted under the underlying contract terms. Information on specific significant partnerships is null.

TechPrecision Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: meaningful positives include Ranor profitability, a strong funded-grant position (> $24M), a solid $46M funded backlog, improved nine‑month margins and reduced debt/interest expense. Offsetting these are significant near-term challenges at Stadco (Q3 operating loss, legacy contract provisions, material delays and rework), a Q3 consolidated net loss, extremely low cash balance ($50k), and uncertainty about when top‑line growth will scale beyond the current ~$7M–$9M quarterly range. Management emphasized active cash management, customer partnerships and strategic focus on repeatable programs, but Stadco’s drag and liquidity constraints leave material execution risk in the near term.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Backlog and Funded Grants Provide Multi-Year Visibility
Company reports a $46.0M backlog (funded portions only) expected to be delivered over the next 1–3 fiscal years. Ranor was awarded a new grant just over $3.2M, bringing total completely funded grant money to over $24M, which the company noted represents more than 50% of TechPrecision's market capitalization (~$45.5M).
Ranor Segment Profitability and Stability
Ranor Q3 revenue was $4.4M with an operating profit of $1.5M, up ~1% year-over-year for the quarter. Ranor delivered $1.5M in gross profit in Q3 and is executing sustained procurement, delivery and installation activity supporting submarine programs.
Improved Nine‑Month Margins and Operating Performance
For the nine months ended Dec 31, 2025 consolidated cost of revenue fell by $2.6M and favorable customer mix/productivity gains increased gross profit by $1.6M (≈ +7 percentage points). Consolidated operating loss for the nine-month period decreased by 65% (improved by ~$1.6M) year-over-year.
Active Cash Management and Debt Reduction
Net cash provided by operating and investing activities was $0.6M for the nine months. The company paid down debt (total debt $6.7M at Dec 31, 2025 vs $7.4M at Mar 31, 2025, a reduction of ~$0.7M, ≈9.5%) and reported lower interest expense on term loans and revolver borrowings.
Customer Confidence and New Quoting Opportunities
Management stated strong customer confidence across both subsidiaries, with on‑time delivery of quality components generating new quoting opportunities in air defense and submarine defense sectors and meaningful new business captures contributing to the backlog.
Controlled SG&A and Expense Discipline
Consolidated SG&A remained controlled with only a 3% increase to $1.7M (driven primarily by higher stock‑based compensation) while the company emphasized aggressive daily cash management, control of capex, progress billings and final invoicing at shipment.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Q3 Revenue Decline and Gross Profit Compression
Fiscal Q3 consolidated revenue was $7.1M, down 7% year-over-year from $7.6M. Consolidated gross profit for Q3 totaled $0.4M, down by $0.6M versus prior-year quarter, driven primarily by Stadco shortfalls.
Stadco Operating Losses and Legacy Contract Headwinds
Stadco Q3 revenue was $2.9M with an operating loss of $1.2M; losses were ~$0.6M higher than the prior-year quarter. Management attributed the deterioration to delayed customer furnished materials, unfavorable project mix, higher provisions for projected contract losses (legacy and underpriced one‑time contracts and specific first‑article part numbers), and some equipment downtime.
Quarterly Net Loss and Low Cash Balance
Net loss for Q3 was $1.5M (loss of $0.15 per share). For nine months the net loss was $1.2M ($0.13 per share). Cash on hand at Dec 31, 2025 was only $50k, down from $195k at Mar 31, 2025 (a decline of ~$145k, ≈74%), indicating tight near‑term liquidity.
Customer Rejections and Unexpected Rework Costs
Management disclosed that customers unexpectedly required additional rework on legacy items (contrary to prior expectations), forcing the company to increase loss provisions and add estimated hours/costs back into fixed‑price contracts. Management could not precisely quantify remaining exposure.
Revenue Concentration and Dependence on Few Programs/Customers
The business is concentrated (e.g., Sikorsky represents a majority of Stadco volume and >50% of certain volumes) and a large portion of funded grants (~$24M) represents a material portion of market cap, creating concentration risk if program timing or customer decisions change.
Scalability and Top‑Line Growth Uncertainty
Investors questioned the company being stuck in a ~$7M–$9M quarterly revenue range. Management acknowledged limits to scalability from one‑off/first‑article work and emphasized the need to shift to repeatable part numbers/programs of record; timing for moving into a higher, sustained revenue run‑rate was uncertain.
Company Guidance
Management's guidance emphasized aggressive daily cash management and operational controls while targeting delivery of a $46.0M funded backlog over the next 1–3 fiscal years with gross‑margin expansion; they expect fewer surprises next quarter but gave no firm timeline to reach targets. Key metrics cited: Q3 consolidated revenue $7.1M (−7% YoY), consolidated gross profit $0.4M (down $0.6M), SG&A $1.7M (+3%), Q3 net loss $1.5M ($0.15/share); Ranor Q3 revenue $4.4M with $1.5M operating profit, Stadco Q3 revenue $2.9M with $1.2M operating loss (losses +$0.6M YoY). Nine months: revenue $23.6M (−4%), cost of revenue $19.7M (−$2.6M), gross profit improvement $1.6M (≈+7 pts), nine‑month operating loss $0.9M (−65%), nine‑month net loss $1.2M ($0.13/share). Cash items: net cash from ops+investing $0.6M, cash used in financing $0.8M, total debt $6.7M (from $7.4M), cash $50K (from $195K). Ranor won a ~$3.2M grant, bringing funded grants to >$24M (>50% of the $45.5M market cap).

TechPrecision Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operationally improving but still weak overall: revenue is slightly down (TTM -1.57%) and the company remains unprofitable (net margin ~-3.4%). Leverage is elevated (TTM D/E ~1.32) and cash generation is the main concern, with deeply negative TTM free cash flow (~-$4.44M), implying ongoing cash burn despite smaller losses and improved gross margin (~18%).
Income Statement
34
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is roughly flat to down (revenue growth -1.57%) and profitability remains weak, with a net loss (net margin about -3.4%). The company is showing improvement versus the deeper losses in FY2024 and FY2025 annual results, and gross margin has rebounded in TTM (~18.0%) from FY2025 (~12.7%), but earnings power is still not consistently positive (negative net income and near-breakeven operating results). Overall: recovering margins and smaller losses, but not yet sustainably profitable.
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Leverage is elevated with debt higher than equity (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.32), though it has improved from FY2024 (~1.63). Equity remains positive, but returns to shareholders are still negative (TTM return on equity about -5.4%), reflecting ongoing losses. The balance sheet is not distressed on equity, but the debt load limits flexibility until profitability and cash generation improve.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is the key weak spot: TTM operating cash flow is only about $0.14M versus a net loss of ~$1.13M, and free cash flow is deeply negative (TTM about -$4.44M) with a sharp deterioration in the provided growth figure (TTM free cash flow growth -17.12). While prior years included periods of positive free cash flow (FY2023), the current profile suggests meaningful cash burn and likely reliance on financing or working-capital improvements to stabilize.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Mar 2023Jun 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.04M34.03M31.59M31.43M22.28M15.60M
Gross Profit5.95M4.33M4.12M4.90M3.38M3.46M
EBITDA1.47M587.00K-2.16M1.79M-144.30K1.33M
Net Income-1.13M-2.75M-7.04M-979.01K-349.83K320.63K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.80M33.53M34.75M36.21M37.85M16.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.00K195.00K138.40K534.47K1.05M2.13M
Total Debt10.51M11.76M12.70M11.82M13.66M3.82M
Total Liabilities24.82M24.79M26.94M21.61M22.59M6.78M
Stockholders Equity7.98M8.74M7.80M14.59M15.26M9.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.44M-4.72M-1.93M812.54K-681.16K18.34K
Operating Cash Flow143.00K-599.00K1.30M3.14M257.84K635.85K
Investing Cash Flow27.00K-1.08M-3.17M-2.32M-8.73M-607.93K
Financing Cash Flow-285.00K1.74M1.47M-1.34M7.40M1.17M

TechPrecision Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.32
Price Trends
50DMA
4.50
Negative
100DMA
4.54
Negative
200DMA
4.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
31.73
Neutral
STOCH
50.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPCS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.96, above the 50-day MA of 4.50, and above the 200-day MA of 4.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 31.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPCS.

TechPrecision Risk Analysis

TechPrecision disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TechPrecision reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TechPrecision Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
$3.79M-15.91-8.38%9.60%-19.68%-2.61%
47
Neutral
$1.98M-13.20-81.84%
46
Neutral
$178.67M-5.24-8.73%0.20%88.39%
42
Neutral
$34.74M-8.20-5.10%1.15%94.58%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPCS
TechPrecision
3.47
0.74
27.11%
AP
Ampco-Pittsburgh
8.79
6.62
305.07%
HIHO
Highway Holdings
0.82
-1.08
-56.68%
MTEN
Mingteng International Corp., Inc.
1.62
-1,000.38
-99.84%
LNKS
Linkers Industries Limited Class A
1.00
0.43
77.05%

TechPrecision Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TechPrecision Extends Revolving Credit Line Maturity Date
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On January 12, 2026, TechPrecision subsidiary Ranor, Inc. and other affiliated borrowers amended their existing loan arrangements by entering into a new agreement with Beacon Bank & Trust, the successor by merger to Berkshire Bank, to extend the maturity date of their $4.5 million revolving line of credit from January 16, 2026 to May 15, 2026. The extension provides the company with additional short-term liquidity and financing flexibility, and management emphasized that, aside from the lending arrangements and prior borrowing relationship, there is no other material relationship between TechPrecision’s affiliates and Beacon.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPCS) stock is a Sell with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TechPrecision stock, see the TPCS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026