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Theravance Biopharma (TBPH)
NASDAQ:TBPH

Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) AI Stock Analysis

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Theravance Biopharma

(NASDAQ:TBPH)

41Neutral
Theravance Biopharma faces significant financial and valuation challenges, with consistent losses and a negative P/E ratio. While there is some revenue growth and milestone achievements, the bearish technical indicators and lack of dividend yield contribute to a low overall score. The company must address operational inefficiencies and profitability to improve its stock attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Milestone Payments
The regulatory application submitted by Viatris in China could lead to significant milestone payments and royalties, boosting future revenues.
Revenue Growth
Yupelri delivered 49% year-over-year growth in the hospital channel in the fourth quarter, which facilitated solid outpatient growth.
Strategic Milestones
Theravance Biopharma's price target has been increased to $12 per share, driven by improved financial performance and strategic milestones.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
Despite strong revenue and operating income results, the earnings per share were below expectations due to GAAP tax expenses.
Pipeline Risks
Key risks include clinical development on key pipeline assets, especially ampreloxetine, commercial on execution of Yupelri.

Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Theravance Biopharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTheravance Biopharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company primarily focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of small-molecule medicines for the treatment of respiratory, gastrointestinal, and infectious diseases, as well as other serious conditions. The company is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, and engages in research and development activities aiming to deliver innovative therapies that address unmet medical needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyTheravance Biopharma generates revenue through the development and commercialization of proprietary pharmaceutical products and through strategic collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies. A significant portion of its earnings comes from royalties and milestone payments related to its partnered programs. The company's collaborations and licensing agreements are critical in advancing its product candidates, sharing development costs, and accessing broader market channels. Additionally, any approved products contribute to revenue through direct sales or through collaborations with other companies that manage the marketing and distribution.

Theravance Biopharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Theravance Biopharma faces ongoing financial challenges, primarily due to consistent losses and negative margins. While there has been revenue growth and an improvement in equity position, significant efforts are needed to enhance operational efficiency and cash flow stability. Debt levels are manageable, but sustained profitability remains elusive.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Theravance Biopharma's income statement reveals challenges with consistent losses over recent years. The net profit margin remains negative at -87.65% for 2024, indicating profitability issues. Despite a revenue growth rate of 12.11% in 2024, improvements in cost management are needed, as evidenced by the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows improvement in stockholders' equity, turning positive in 2024 to $175.5 million. However, the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 suggests manageable leverage, but historical volatility in equity raises concerns. The equity ratio stands at 49.57%, indicating a balanced structure between debt and equity financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow situation remains tight with a negative free cash flow of $-11.87 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, pointing to operational inefficiencies. While there is a significant improvement in free cash flow from the previous year, stabilization is needed.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
64.38M57.42M51.35M55.31M71.86M
Gross Profit
64.38M16.80M44.76M48.02M-189.10M
EBIT
-46.95M-56.03M-91.96M-257.78M-297.76M
EBITDA
-46.95M-40.87M-79.86M-249.39M-294.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-56.42M-55.19M-92.82M-199.43M-278.02M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
88.35M102.43M327.48M173.47M292.94M
Total Assets
354.16M382.00M607.40M374.82M469.06M
Total Debt
49.82M49.16M74.12M652.08M647.06M
Net Debt
12.02M9.61M-224.05M562.12M565.59M
Total Liabilities
178.62M169.00M165.60M713.39M772.81M
Stockholders Equity
175.54M213.00M441.80M-338.57M-303.75M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-11.87M-29.48M-187.56M-211.26M-257.02M
Operating Cash Flow
-11.54M-27.00M-186.99M-207.86M-250.40M
Investing Cash Flow
12.28M-32.70M1.15B124.49M10.72M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.50M-198.93M-758.81M91.86M263.08M

Theravance Biopharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.44
Price Trends
50DMA
9.36
Negative
100DMA
9.40
Negative
200DMA
8.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
42.06
Neutral
STOCH
24.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBPH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.21, below the 50-day MA of 9.36, and below the 200-day MA of 8.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TBPH.

Theravance Biopharma Risk Analysis

Theravance Biopharma disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Theravance Biopharma reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Theravance Biopharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.69B11.8538.89%31.85%
70
Outperform
$315.37M18.17531.78%53.38%
66
Neutral
$1.13B84.703.42%14.88%-86.70%
60
Neutral
$751.23M222.83%23.89%16.86%
48
Neutral
$6.86B1.11-50.22%2.47%16.71%1.53%
42
Neutral
$2.72B-17.90%-10.27%
41
Neutral
$433.86M-29.04%12.12%-19.00%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBPH
Theravance Biopharma
8.44
-1.03
-10.88%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
15.38
-2.42
-13.60%
RIGL
Rigel
17.24
4.64
36.83%
INVA
Innoviva
17.72
2.99
20.30%
VKTX
Viking Therapeutics
22.62
-53.26
-70.19%
XERS
Xeris Pharmaceuticals
4.41
2.39
118.32%

Theravance Biopharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -7.05% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Theravance Biopharma had a strong fourth quarter in 2024 with record sales in YUPELRI and significant milestone payments from TRELEGY. The company demonstrated solid progress in ampreloxetine development and maintained a strong financial position. However, potential seasonal sales declines and increased operating expenses were noted. Overall, the positive achievements and growth trajectory outweigh the concerns.
Highlights
Record YUPELRI Net Sales
Fourth quarter YUPELRI net sales increased 10% over the fourth quarter of 2023, reaching $66.7 million, an all-time high. Hospital doses were up 49% year-over-year.
TRELEGY Sales and Milestone Achievement
GSK reported full year TRELEGY sales of $3.5 billion, up 26% year-over-year, triggering a $50 million milestone payment to Theravance.
Ampreloxetine Development Progress
Solid enrollment in the CYPRESS study and positive FDA interactions reaffirmed expectations for expedited NDA filing contingent on positive results.
Financial Position Strength
Theravance ended 2024 with $88 million in cash and no debt, excluding a recent $50 million milestone receipt.
Lowlights
Potential Seasonal Decline in YUPELRI Sales
Management noted typical seasonal dips in reported net sales as the transition from the fourth quarter to the first quarter occurs.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses excluding share-based comp increased to $22 million due to incremental commercial and medical affairs spend on ampreloxetine prelaunch activities.
Company Guidance
During the Theravance Biopharma Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Conference Call, the company reported several key metrics and guidance. YUPELRI's fourth quarter net sales rose by 10% year-over-year to $66.7 million, with full-year sales reaching $239 million. Hospital doses increased by 49% year-over-year. The company also expects a $25 million U.S. sales milestone and potential income from China pending approval. TRELEGY's full-year sales by GSK reached $3.5 billion, triggering a $50 million milestone payment, with an additional $150 million possible in the next 24 months. For ampreloxetine, Theravance anticipates completing CYPRESS study enrollment by mid-2025 and plans for a New Drug Application (NDA) filing, aiming for priority review. Financial guidance for 2025 includes R&D expenses of $32-38 million and SG&A expenses of $50-60 million, with anticipated non-GAAP losses similar to 2024 levels.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.