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Savara (SVRA)
NASDAQ:SVRA

Savara (SVRA) AI Stock Analysis

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SVRA

Savara

(NASDAQ:SVRA)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(0.81% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is primarily held down by the financial profile—no revenue, accelerating losses, and high, worsening cash burn—alongside weak technical momentum. A comparatively solid equity base with manageable debt and mildly positive corporate updates provide limited offset, while valuation signals are constrained by negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A meaningful increase in stockholders’ equity to ~$203M, combined with modest debt (~$29.9M; debt/equity ~0.32), provides Savara with durable financial flexibility typical for a development-stage biotech. This backing helps absorb R&D and pre-commercial costs, supports borrowing capacity, and reduces immediate liquidity strain during regulatory execution.
Cash Runway
Holding ~$235.7M in cash and short-term investments gives the company substantive runway to fund ongoing regulatory work, commercial planning and pivotal activities over the next several quarters. For a pre-revenue firm, this liquidity materially lowers near-term financing pressure and supports orderly execution of launch preparations if approval timelines hold.
Regulatory / Pipeline Progress
Filing of the BLA with an assigned PDUFA date, parallel MAAs and pediatric program advancement mark a structural shift toward potential commercialization. These steps, if successful, would validate the clinical strategy, materially change revenue prospects, enable commercial rollout plans already being staffed, and unlock both funding and longer-term growth pathways.
Negative Factors
Pre-Revenue Status
Savara remains a pre-revenue company with no product sales through 2024 and TTM, meaning it must rely on external financing or milestone receipts to fund operations. This structural lack of recurring revenue elevates long-term financing and execution risk, making sustainable profitability contingent on successful regulatory approval and commercial launch.
High Cash Burn
Operating cash flow has deteriorated to roughly -$101M TTM and free cash flow mirrors that shortfall, reflecting accelerating spending to advance development and commercialization readiness. Sustained high burn narrows runway despite cash on hand, limits strategic optionality, and increases the probability of additional financing needs under potentially unfavorable terms.
Funding Contingent on Approval
Material incremental financing is explicitly contingent on product approval: the company cites access to up to $150M in non-dilutive capital only upon MOLBREEVI approval. This creates a binary financing profile where a regulatory delay or denial would force reliance on dilutive or more expensive funding alternatives, raising long-term dilution and cost-of-capital risks.

Savara (SVRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Savara Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSavara Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on rare respiratory diseases. Its lead product candidate is molgramostim, an inhaled granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor, which is in Phase III development stage for the treatment of autoimmune pulmonary alveolar proteinosis. The company is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Savara Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue profile with widening losses (net loss to ~$118.8M TTM) and worsening operating and free-cash-flow burn (~-$101M TTM) materially weigh on quality; partially offset by a relatively supportive balance sheet (equity ~$203.1M TTM) and manageable debt (~$29.9M TTM).
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
SVRA remains a pre-revenue biotechnology company, with total revenue at $0 in 2021–2024 and in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Losses have widened materially over time: net loss increased from about $38.2M (2022) to $54.7M (2023) to $95.9M (2024) and $118.8M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Operating losses (EBIT) followed the same trajectory, indicating rising cost structure ahead of commercialization. The main positive is that the company is building its pipeline capacity (typical for the industry), but the lack of revenue and accelerating losses keep income statement quality weak.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively solid for a development-stage biotech, with meaningful equity backing and moderate leverage. Stockholders’ equity increased from $107.8M (2022) to $140.4M (2023) to $171.4M (2024) and $203.1M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), supporting financial flexibility. Debt is manageable at ~$29.9M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and debt relative to equity is ~0.32 (TTM), which is not excessive. The key weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (driven by net losses), which signals dilution/financing risk over time if burn continues.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash flow is pressured by consistent and sizable cash burn. Operating cash flow was negative every year, worsening from about -$34.6M (2022) to -$51.1M (2023) to -$89.1M (2024) and -$101.0M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow is similarly negative, at roughly -$101.1M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). While free cash flow has occasionally shown positive growth rates (including TTM), the absolute level of cash consumption is high and trending worse versus prior years, increasing reliance on future funding.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-245.00K-78.03M-44.26M-27.88M-28.99M
EBITDA-123.46M-102.27M-59.13M-38.01M-40.50M
Net Income-118.84M-95.88M-54.70M-38.15M-43.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets253.44M212.88M177.56M139.78M176.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments235.70M196.33M162.32M125.88M161.17M
Total Debt29.91M26.73M26.49M26.14M25.79M
Total Liabilities50.30M41.43M37.19M32.00M32.10M
Stockholders Equity203.13M171.45M140.37M107.78M144.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-101.06M-89.11M-51.36M-34.56M-40.14M
Operating Cash Flow-101.04M-89.09M-51.06M-34.55M-40.08M
Investing Cash Flow-18.44M-39.94M-57.12M52.65M-69.46M
Financing Cash Flow137.81M117.58M82.78M87.00K120.81M

Savara Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.96
Price Trends
50DMA
5.61
Negative
100DMA
5.51
Negative
200DMA
4.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
36.90
Neutral
STOCH
15.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVRA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.49, below the 50-day MA of 5.61, and above the 200-day MA of 4.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SVRA.

Savara Risk Analysis

Savara disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Savara reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Savara Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$479.56M2.10240.83%79.13%2798.12%
57
Neutral
$1.79B-101.811813.84%196.42%53.92%
56
Neutral
$1.17B-27.17%-103.95%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$1.45B-8.8476.70%
47
Neutral
$1.23B-13.39-42.90%17.23%
46
Neutral
$1.02B-11.28-84.01%-22.39%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SVRA
Savara
4.96
2.13
75.27%
RIGL
Rigel
25.96
5.42
26.39%
ANAB
AnaptysBio
62.37
43.66
233.32%
OLMA
Olema Pharmaceuticals
14.08
9.76
225.93%
NBTX
Nanobiotix
29.03
25.38
695.78%
BCAX
Bicara Therapeutics Inc.
18.41
4.61
33.41%

Savara Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Savara Signs Long-Term Lease for New Headquarters
Positive
Mar 13, 2026

On March 10, 2026, Savara Inc. signed a lease with ML7 Yardley Partners, LP for about 10,795 square feet of office space at 19 W. College Avenue, Suite 200, in Yardley, Pennsylvania, with plans to relocate its headquarters there. The lease term begins July 1, 2026, runs through December 1, 2031, and includes an option for a five-year extension.

Savara will pay about $28,337 in monthly base rent in the first year, with roughly 2% annual increases, and total base rent of about $1.78 million over the term after five months of rent abatement. The company will also cover its share of operating expenses, taxes, and utilities and has posted a security deposit of $28,337 under customary commercial lease terms, underscoring a long-term commitment to the new headquarters location.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVRA) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savara stock, see the SVRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Savara Enters New Material Definitive Agreement and Obligation
Neutral
Jan 27, 2026

Savara Inc., a Delaware corporation, reported on January 27, 2026, that it had executed a material definitive agreement, as disclosed under Item 1.01 of its filing, and confirmed that the report was duly authorized and signed by Chief Financial and Administrative Officer Dave Lowrance. The filing formally records the company’s entry into this significant agreement, signaling a potentially important development for Savara’s corporate and financial arrangements, though specific operational or strategic implications were not detailed in the disclosure.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVRA) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savara stock, see the SVRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Savara Highlights Autoimmune PAP Burden in Updated Presentation
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

In January 2026, Savara updated its corporate presentation to provide an expanded overview of autoimmune pulmonary alveolar proteinosis (autoimmune PAP), the burden of disease, and the limitations of existing care such as whole lung lavage, an invasive and non‑standardized procedure that does not address the underlying pathophysiology and often must be repeated. The materials underscore significant unmet medical need, including high morbidity, increased healthcare utilization, risk of serious infections, and substantial impact on patients’ daily lives, thereby reinforcing the strategic rationale for Savara’s development of MOLBREEVI and signaling the company’s continued positioning as a specialist player in rare respiratory diseases, with potential implications for future regulatory, clinical, and commercial milestones.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVRA) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savara stock, see the SVRA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026