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Sunation Energy, Inc. (SUNE)
NASDAQ:SUNE

SUNation Energy (SUNE) AI Stock Analysis

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SUNE

SUNation Energy

(NASDAQ:SUNE)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(78.57% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
Score is driven by strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD) and improving financial trajectory (better leverage and positive free cash flow), offset by ongoing operating losses/weak returns and limited valuation support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Residential Sales Growth
Sizable residential growth in NY and HI and a 72% rise in service sales indicate strong demand in high-value markets and recurring revenue opportunities. Durable strength in residential segments supports steady installation volume, higher lifetime customer value, and scalable unit economics over coming quarters.
Revenue & Margin Improvement
TTM revenue growth near 20% combined with gross margins in the mid-to-high 30% range suggests solid project economics and pricing discipline. Sustained margin strength helps absorb fixed costs and supports a credible path to operating profitability as revenues scale, improving long-term resilience.
Improved Leverage & Cash Generation
Meaningful debt reduction and higher cash balances, alongside positive operating and free cash flow, materially improve financial flexibility. Lower leverage reduces interest burden and enhances capacity to fund growth, pursue strategic M&A, and navigate project timing variability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Unprofitability
Despite improving top-line and margins, persistent negative EBIT/EBITDA/net income and poor ROE show the company hasn't converted gross profit into sustained earnings. Continued losses constrain internal capital formation and could pressure book value if profitability isn't consistently achieved.
Policy/Tax-Credit Exposure
Significant exposure to residential tax incentives means policy shifts can structurally alter consumer economics and demand. Expiration or redesign of credits and financing changes reduce predictability of future installations, complicating long-term sales planning and ROI assumptions for the business.
Commercial Sales Weakness
Declining commercial sales and prolonged development timelines signal execution and demand challenges in a higher-ticket segment. Weakness here reduces revenue diversification, increases reliance on residential cycles, and can compress margins and delay cash realization from projects.

SUNation Energy (SUNE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SUNation Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSUNation Energy, Inc. is focused on local and regional solar, storage, and energy services companies nationwide. The firm's vision is to power the energy transition through the grass-roots growth of solar electricity paired with battery storage. Its portfolio of brands, including SUNation, Hawaii Energy Connection, E-Gear, Sungevity, and Horizon Solar Power, provides homeowners and small businesses with an end-to-end product offering spanning solar, battery storage, and grid services. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Ronkonkoma, NY.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

SUNation Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in financial performance and strategic initiatives, particularly in residential sales and debt reduction. However, there are challenges such as declining commercial sales and uncertainties related to tax policy changes. Overall, the sentiment reflects positive momentum with some caution due to external factors.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Residential Sales Growth
Residential sales in New York and Hawaii were up 54% year-over-year in Q3, driven by the rush to complete installations before the end of 2025.
Improved Financial Metrics
Total Q3 sales rose by 29% to $19 million. Gross margins improved to 38% of sales from 35.6%. Net loss decreased by $2.9 million from last year's third quarter.
Debt Reduction and Stronger Balance Sheet
Total debt decreased by over $11 million, falling to $7.9 million, and cash and cash equivalents rose to $5.4 million.
Diversification and Strategic Focus
The company plans to expand into new markets and services, including energy-efficient HVAC and roofing, and is evaluating strategic M&A opportunities.
Negative Updates
Commercial Sales Decline
Commercial sales declined by $1.7 million, with the company acknowledging the complexity and longer development time of commercial projects.
Uncertainty Due to Policy Changes
The upcoming expiration of the 25D tax credit and introduction of new financing models create uncertainty in the residential market.
Company Guidance
During the SUNAtion Energy Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided an optimistic outlook despite industry challenges. SUNAtion reported a notable 29% increase in total sales, reaching $19 million, up from $14.7 million the previous year. Residential sales in New York and Hawaii surged by 54% year-over-year, contributing to a 72% rise in service sales. Gross margins improved to 38% from 35.6%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. The company also reduced total debt by over $11 million to $7.9 million. Despite a net loss of $393,000, this was a significant improvement from the $3.3 million loss in the prior year. SUNAtion reiterated its 2025 guidance, expecting total sales between $65 million and $70 million and a positive adjusted EBITDA ranging from $500,000 to $700,000. Looking ahead, the company aims to leverage new financing options and expand its market presence through strategic M&A opportunities and diversification into sectors like AI and data centers.

SUNation Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: strong TTM revenue growth (+19.7%) with steady gross margin (mid-to-high 30s), improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.48 vs ~2.39 in 2024), and a turn to positive operating and free cash flow (~$1.0M). However, EBIT/EBITDA/net income remain negative and ROE is very poor, so sustained profitability is still unproven.
Income Statement
38
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew strongly (+19.7%) and gross margin held steady in the mid-to-high 30% range, showing decent pricing and project economics. However, profitability remains weak: EBIT, EBITDA, and net income are all negative in TTM, and net margin is deeply negative, indicating the company is still struggling to translate gross profit into bottom-line earnings. Losses have improved versus 2024, but the business has not yet demonstrated consistent operating profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet improved meaningfully in TTM with lower leverage: debt-to-equity moved to ~0.48 versus a highly levered 2024 (~2.39), alongside a much larger equity base. Total assets are relatively stable, and the current leverage level looks more manageable for an engineering & construction business. The key weakness is ongoing losses driving a very poor return on equity in TTM, which can pressure book value over time if profitability does not recover.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation improved in TTM with positive operating cash flow and positive free cash flow (~$1.0M), a notable turnaround from materially negative cash flow in 2024. That said, free cash flow growth is sharply negative versus the prior period (reflecting volatility), and cash flow quality is still not fully proven given the company remains unprofitable on a net income basis. Overall, near-term cash flow direction is better, but consistency remains a risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.91M56.86M79.63M27.52M38.16K
Gross Profit27.54M20.43M27.70M7.38M38.16K
EBITDA-1.67M-9.57M973.22K943.41K-3.43M
Net Income-10.89M-15.85M-8.13M-10.35M-6.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.24M45.71M58.17M74.70M2.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.18M839.27K3.58M4.85M18.97K
Total Debt5.33M20.42M19.77M17.64M6.54M
Total Liabilities23.90M37.17M37.74M47.47M11.44M
Stockholders Equity24.34M8.55M20.44M27.22M-8.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow955.00K-6.34M-1.32M-7.69M-4.65M
Operating Cash Flow955.00K-6.30M-667.18K-7.58M-4.61M
Investing Cash Flow-49.00K-26.67K3.57M-3.10M30.54M
Financing Cash Flow5.13M2.08M-2.76M15.91M-35.59M

SUNation Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.12
Price Trends
50DMA
1.31
Positive
100DMA
1.28
Positive
200DMA
1.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
74.00
Negative
STOCH
86.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUNE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.42, below the 50-day MA of 1.31, and below the 200-day MA of 1.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SUNE.

SUNation Energy Risk Analysis

SUNation Energy disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SUNation Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SUNation Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$8.11M-0.24-52.51%-1.41%98.90%
51
Neutral
$54.62M-1.8233.49%-10.69%-81.71%
45
Neutral
$15.96M-578.91%23.25%-343.35%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SUNE
SUNation Energy
2.38
-105.62
-97.80%
VATE
INNOVATE Corp
4.00
-4.82
-54.65%
SKK
SKK Holdings Limited
0.30
-0.54
-64.88%
MSW
Ming Shing Group Holdings Limited
1.23
-3.02
-71.06%
WXM
WF International Ltd.
0.47
-2.39
-83.57%
OFAL
OFA Group
0.39
-4.30
-91.77%

SUNation Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
SUNation Energy Reduces Debt Through New Credit Facility
Positive
Feb 4, 2026

On January 30, 2026, SUNation Energy settled a $1.1 million legacy promissory note for $800,000 using a related-party revolving credit facility, trimming principal by about $335,000 and cutting monthly payments from roughly $25,000 to $5,000, which management says sharpens cash-flow visibility and reflects ongoing balance-sheet cleanup efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (SUNE) stock is a Sell with a $0.86 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SUNation Energy stock, see the SUNE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026