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SoundThinking Inc (SSTI)
NASDAQ:SSTI

SoundThinking Inc (SSTI) AI Stock Analysis

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SoundThinking Inc

(NASDAQ:SSTI)

68Neutral
SoundThinking Inc's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and technical momentum, but is tempered by profitability challenges and cash flow volatility. While the technical outlook is positive, the valuation remains a concern due to financial losses. The earnings call provided optimistic guidance and highlighted strategic expansions, yet also acknowledged near-term revenue and expense challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Management raised FY25 revenue guidance to $111.0M-$113.0M, above the consensus of $107.9M.
International Expansion
The recently announced multi-year contract for the City of Niteroi indicates strong international momentum.
Product Development
Management expressed optimism around the recently announced launch of the PlateRanger license plate reader (LPR) solution, which is part of a partnership with Rekor.
Negative Factors
Contract Delays
F4Q24 financial results were impaired primarily as a result of delayed renewals of two NYPD contracts, caused by what CEO Ralph Clark described as the 'recent and well-documented political distractions and personnel turnover in the city.'
Market Challenges
The departure of Chicago ($9.2M of revenue in 2024) means tough comps for the first nine months of 2025.
Revenue Impact
Revenue decreased 10% to $23.4M and was below consensus, with a decline in AEBITDA and gross margin.

SoundThinking Inc (SSTI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

SoundThinking Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoundThinking Inc. (SSTI) is a technology company specializing in public safety solutions. The company is primarily known for its ShotSpotter technology, which is used by law enforcement and security agencies to detect, locate, and analyze gunfire incidents in real time. SoundThinking operates within the sectors of public safety, law enforcement, and urban security, providing innovative tools and services that help improve community safety and response times to critical incidents.
How the Company Makes MoneySoundThinking Inc. generates revenue through the sale and subscription of its ShotSpotter technology services to municipalities, law enforcement agencies, and other organizations concerned with public safety. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for access to its gunshot detection and location services, professional services fees for implementation and support, and equipment sales related to the deployment of its technologies. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships with city governments and public safety departments to expand the adoption of its services, further contributing to its earnings.

SoundThinking Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SoundThinking Inc is displaying positive revenue and free cash flow growth, underscoring operational improvements. However, consistent net losses and a negative return on equity signal profitability concerns. The company's balance sheet is stable, with manageable leverage and adequate equity. Continuous focus on profitability and cash flow management will be crucial for financial health.
Income Statement
70
Positive
SoundThinking Inc has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from $81 million in 2022 to $104.7 million TTM. However, net income remains negative, indicating profitability issues. The gross profit margin is fairly strong at approximately 58.8% TTM, but the net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. The company's EBITDA margin improved, suggesting better operational efficiency despite the negative EBIT margin.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.09 TTM, indicating conservative leverage. Stockholders' equity has been stable, supporting a decent equity ratio of around 51.7%. However, the negative net income affects the return on equity, leading to a negative ROE, highlighting profitability issues.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
SoundThinking Inc has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth, increasing from $5.9 million in 2023 to $17.7 million TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting healthy cash flow management despite the negative net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
104.67M92.72M81.00M58.16M45.73M40.75M
Gross Profit
61.59M52.84M46.78M32.52M26.98M24.34M
EBIT
-3.62M-1.24M-1.41M-4.07M-4.29M1.59M
EBITDA
3.80M9.17M7.75M4.11M6.88M6.58M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.46M-2.72M6.38M-4.43M1.23M1.80M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.22M5.70M10.48M15.64M16.04M24.55M
Total Assets
47.12M138.71M122.75M72.30M66.32M60.57M
Total Debt
0.008.54M3.42M2.42M945.00K302.00K
Net Debt
-10.22M2.84M-7.06M-13.21M-15.10M-24.25M
Total Liabilities
29.97M63.95M61.80M38.49M32.02M33.32M
Stockholders Equity
17.15M74.76M60.95M33.81M34.30M27.25M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
17.73M5.90M1.26M1.92M7.08M8.78M
Operating Cash Flow
23.39M10.95M12.18M9.82M11.21M13.69M
Investing Cash Flow
-5.77M-16.48M-15.54M-7.88M-18.76M-4.91M
Financing Cash Flow
-8.24M795.00K-1.75M-2.27M-956.00K5.48M

SoundThinking Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.44
Price Trends
50DMA
15.10
Positive
100DMA
13.77
Positive
200DMA
13.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.00
Negative
RSI
55.86
Neutral
STOCH
72.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSTI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.75, above the 50-day MA of 15.10, and above the 200-day MA of 13.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SSTI.

SoundThinking Inc Risk Analysis

SoundThinking Inc disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SoundThinking Inc reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SoundThinking Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$42.19B115.2319.10%33.32%111.64%
68
Neutral
$219.54M-12.48%10.05%-213.69%
PSPSN
67
Neutral
$6.34B28.479.99%24.03%43.75%
58
Neutral
$21.06B10.51-17.38%2.43%4.55%-24.07%
47
Neutral
$113.72M-365.12%-13.43%15.63%
44
Neutral
$50.48M-53.44%-13.06%-465.17%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSTI
SoundThinking Inc
17.44
1.32
8.19%
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
1.72
-1.58
-47.88%
AXON
Axon Enterprise
534.95
223.58
71.81%
VERI
Veritone
2.55
-2.81
-52.43%
PSN
Parsons
59.42
-23.78
-28.58%

SoundThinking Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: 27.49% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects both positive momentum in terms of full year revenue growth, international expansion, and successful contract renewals, alongside challenges such as a decline in Q4 revenue and increased net loss due to delayed contracts.
Highlights
Full Year Revenue Growth
Full year 2024 revenue grew by 10% to a record $102 million, reflecting strong demand for public safety and security solutions.
International Expansion
ShotSpotter went live in 20 new cities and five new universities, with significant international expansion including new city captures in Niterói, Brazil, Nelson Mandela Bay, South Africa, and Montevideo, Uruguay.
NYPD Contract Renewal
Successfully executed a three-year contract renewal of approximately $21.9 million with NYPD, securing the ShotSpotter service through December 2027.
Net Promoter Score Improvement
Achieved a world-class net promoter score of 66%, moving up 200 basis points from last year's 64%.
Increased Revenue Guidance for 2025
Increased full year 2025 revenue guidance to $111 million to $113 million, representing approximately 10% year-over-year growth.
Lowlights
Q4 Revenue Decline
Q4 revenue decreased by 10% year-over-year to $23.4 million due to a $3.5 million delay in contract renewals with NYPD.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for Q4 was approximately $4.1 million compared to a net income of $3.6 million in the prior-year period, impacted by delayed contracts.
Operating Expense Increase
Operating expenses increased 22% to $65.7 million or 64% of revenues for the year, compared to 58% of revenues in 2023.
Company Guidance
On SoundThinking's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Ralph Clark and CFO Alan Stewart provided guidance for 2025, anticipating full-year revenue between $111 million and $113 million, representing a 10% year-over-year growth. They expect to achieve an adjusted EBITDA margin of 21% to 23%. Despite a 10% decrease in Q4 revenue year-over-year to $23.4 million, attributed to contract delays with the NYPD, the company reported a full-year revenue growth of 10%, reaching a record $102 million. SoundThinking's annual recurring revenue (ARR) entering 2025 is $95.6 million, and they have a $50 million ACV pipeline, with 62% being non-domestic. The company also highlighted a 105% revenue retention rate for 2024 and expects significant contributions from their SafetySmart platform and international expansion, particularly in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.