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Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL)
NASDAQ:CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) AI Stock Analysis

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CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications

(NASDAQ:CMTL)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-36.59% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak underlying financial performance (multi-year losses and historically negative cash generation) and bearish technicals. The latest earnings call provides the main offset, pointing to improving margins, sustained positive operating cash flow, and stronger bookings/backlog, but leverage and near-term revenue pressure keep the overall risk profile elevated.
Positive Factors
Margin expansion and improving profitability
Gross margin widened materially and adjusted EBITDA more than tripled, reflecting product mix improvement and cost discipline. Sustained higher gross margins across contracts and improving adjusted operating metrics increase the chance of durable profitability as the company scales higher‑margin programs and reduces legacy low‑margin exposure.
Robust backlog and book‑to‑bill supporting revenue visibility
A backlog of $732M and strong book‑to‑bill give multi‑quarter revenue visibility, underpinning planned production ramps. This backlog should smooth revenue recognition as next‑gen modem programs move to production and supports recurring service transitions, reducing near‑term top‑line uncertainty if execution stays on plan.
Strategic shift toward recurring, higher‑margin products/services
Winning multiyear Allerium funding and migrating PSAP customers to cloud/AI services shows movement to recurring revenue and software‑enabled offerings. Coupled with planned production of next‑gen modems, this structural shift improves revenue mix toward higher gross margins and more predictable lifecycle support revenue over time.
Negative Factors
Historic unprofitable operations and cash flow volatility
The company has posted losses and negative free cash flow across several annual periods, indicating a history of cash burn and execution risk. Although recent trailing results show positive operating cash flow, multi‑year instability weakens confidence in durability and means future growth depends on sustaining positive cash generation.
Elevated leverage and complex capital structure
Large secured and subordinated borrowings plus a sizable preferred liquidation preference constrain financial flexibility and raise refinancing risk. Even with covenant relief, high structural leverage can limit investment capacity, increase interest and payout obligations, and magnify downside in revenue shortfalls.
Near‑term revenue pressure from phasing out legacy business and timing sensitivity
Deliberately exiting low‑margin legacy contracts improved margins but reduced revenue and introduced timing risk tied to government ordering cycles. Reliance on government program timing and phasing of legacy work creates structural revenue volatility until new production ramps and recurring services fully offset lost legacy sales.

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comtech Telecommunications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComtech Telecommunications Corp., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, produces, and markets products, systems, and services for communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Commercial Solutions and Government Solutions. The Commercial Solutions segment offers satellite ground station technologies, including single channel per carrier and time division multiple access modems, amplifiers, frequency converters, and network software to modulate, demodulate, and amplify signals, as well as to carry voice, video, and/or data over networks; and public safety and location technologies, such as 911 call handling and mapping solutions that allow cellular carriers and voice over the Internet carriers to deliver emergency calls to public safety emergency call centers. The Government Solutions segment provides tactical satellite-based networks, such as satellite modems, ruggedized routers, and solid-state drives; sustainment services for the secret Internet Protocol router and non-classified Internet Protocol router access point; and small aperture terminals. This segment also offers high-performance transmission technologies that are used in communication systems comprising electronic warfare, radar, and identification friend or foe (IFF); troposcatter technologies for satellite communication; and high-power radio frequency microwave amplifiers and related switching control technologies that are used in electronic warfare, communications, radar, IFF, and medical applications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, satellite broadcasters, prime contractors and system suppliers, medical equipment companies, aviation industry system integrators, oil companies, and domestic and international defense and government customers, as well as end-customers. Comtech Telecommunications Corp. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyComtech makes money primarily by selling communications equipment, software, and services across government and commercial markets. A major portion of revenue is generated through government-related programs and contracts (including U.S. and allied defense and public safety agencies) for specialized communications systems—such as satellite communication terminals/modems, troposcatter/over-the-horizon systems, and satellite ground infrastructure—where Comtech is paid for product deliveries as well as associated engineering, integration, testing, training, and lifecycle support. It also earns revenue from commercial and government customers through recurring or project-based services tied to its technology deployments, which can include managed services, maintenance/support, and software-enabled solutions. In its public safety/location business, revenue is generated by providing 911-related technologies and services (including call handling and location capabilities) to emergency communications customers; depending on the offering, this can include a mix of product sales and ongoing service/support arrangements. Specific revenue mix by stream, pricing model details, and named partnerships materially contributing to earnings are null.

Comtech Telecommunications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 16, 2026
(Q2-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful operational improvement and strategic repositioning: margin expansion, stronger adjusted EBITDA, sustained positive operating cash flow (four consecutive quarters), robust bookings (book-to-bill 1.64x), backlog growth and specific product/program wins (Allerium contract funding, troposcatter and modem programs). These positives are tempered by a year-over-year revenue decline (~15.7%), a significant decrease in Satellite & Space sales (~31%) due to the phasing out of legacy low-margin business and government shutdown timing impacts, and a leveraged balance sheet with substantial preferred liquidation preference. On balance the company demonstrated credible progress toward higher-margin, recurring-revenue business and improved cash generation, but capital structure and near-term revenue timing remain areas to monitor.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Profitability and Margins
Gross profit increased to $36.2M from $33.7M year-over-year; gross margin rose to 33.9% from 26.7% (approx +7.2 percentage points). Adjusted EBITDA increased to $9.1M from $2.9M (over 200% increase). Excluding one-time and noncash items, consolidated operating income would have been $6.2M (5.8% of net sales) versus roughly breakeven a year ago.
Consistent Positive Operating Cash Flow and Liquidity
Fourth consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow with $4.9M of operating cash inflows for the quarter versus roughly breakeven prior year. Available liquidity totaled approximately $49.9M, including ~$30.2M in qualified cash and $19.6M of revolver availability.
Strong Bookings, Backlog and Revenue Visibility
Net bookings of $175.4M produced a book-to-bill of 1.64x (vs. 0.63x prior year). Backlog increased to $732M and revenue visibility remained approximately $1.1B, signaling strong demand pipeline.
Allerium Segment Growth and Strategic Wins
Allerium net sales grew to $56.2M, up 6.2% YoY. Segment operating income improved to $5.5M from $3.4M. Received over $107M of incremental funding toward a multiyear contract extension valued in excess of $130M and in excess of $10.5M in multiyear funding for a new NG911 deployment. Progress on cloud and AI-infused products (Mira call handling platform) and migration of PSAP customers toward recurring cloud services.
Satellite & Space Repositioning and Tactical Wins
Although S&S net sales declined, operating income improved to $2.5M from $1.2M due to cost reductions and optimization. Awarded >$5.5M of funded orders for troposcatter/MPRs and >$4.5M incremental funding for cybersecurity training/support. Begun deliveries of DCG-7000 software-defined modems and initial production units for next-generation satellite modem programs with production expected in fiscal 2026 — signaling a shift toward higher-margin, higher-volume production.
Improved Financial Flexibility and Covenant Relief
Amendments to credit agreements suspended covenant testing (net leverage and fixed charge coverage) through the quarter ending Jan 31, 2027, and the company removed its going concern disclosure in the fiscal 2025 Form 10-K, reflecting improved financial stability.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Revenue Decline
Consolidated net sales declined to $106.8M from $126.6M year-over-year, a drop of approximately 15.7%. The Satellite & Space segment experienced a ~31% decline in net sales due to phasing out low-margin business and U.S. government shutdown-related timing delays.
High Leverage and Significant Preferred Stock Liability
Total outstanding borrowings included approximately $125M under the credit facility and $102.8M under the subordinated credit facility (including PIK interest accruals). The liquidation preference of convertible preferred stock was $213.4M (excluding potential increases) and $32.5M of make-whole amounts related to part of the subordinated facility were noted — signaling elevated leverage and potential capital structure risk.
Operating Loss and One-Time/Noncash Charges
The company reported a consolidated operating loss of $1.2M for the quarter, driven in part by noncash and one-time charges. While adjusted metrics show improvement, the presence of these items reduced GAAP operating results.
Near-Term Revenue Impact from Strategic Phasing Out
Intentional phasing out of low-margin contracts (e.g., VSAT, GFSR, legacy troposcatter products) improved margin profile but contributed to the near-term decline in revenue and created timing sensitivity in topline performance.
U.S. Government Shutdown Caused Timing Delays
The recent prolonged U.S. government shutdown caused order and timing delays, particularly in Satellite & Space, which pushed revenue toward later periods and added near-term uncertainty.
Pending Legal Matters
Counterclaims by Comtech against former CEO remain pending in arbitration (Mr. Peterman voluntarily withdrew his claims but sought dismissal of Comtech counterclaims which was denied). Ongoing legal proceedings introduce some legal and reputational risk and uncertainty.
Company Guidance
Management guided that multiple next‑generation satellite modems will transition to production in fiscal 2026 (one already in low‑rate production; the EDIM program ramping late in the year) and emphasized long‑term unit opportunity, leaving the company with revenue visibility of approximately $1.1 billion, a backlog of $732 million and net bookings of $175.4 million in Q2 (book‑to‑bill 1.64x vs 0.63x a year ago). For Q2 management reported net sales of $106.8 million (vs $126.6M prior), gross profit $36.2 million (33.9% of sales, up from 26.7%), an operating loss of $1.2 million (or $6.2M adjusted, 5.8% of sales), adjusted EBITDA of $9.1 million (vs $2.9M), and positive operating cash flow of $4.9 million (fourth consecutive quarter). Liquidity totaled ~$49.9 million (≈$30.2M cash + $19.6M revolver availability), outstanding credit facility borrowings were ≈$125M (revolver drawn $7.6M), subordinated facility borrowings $102.8M, and convertible preferred liquidation preference $213.4M; management also noted funded awards of >$5.5M (troposcatter), >$4.5M (cyber support) and Allerium funding >$107M toward a >$130M multiyear extension plus >$10.5M for a South Central NG911 deployment.

Comtech Telecommunications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain pressured by persistent net losses and historically negative operating/free cash flow, despite relatively resilient gross margins. The balance sheet is workable with positive equity, but leverage has risen and returns are negative. A recent TTM/quarterly improvement in operating cash flow and profitability metrics is constructive, but durability is not yet proven.
Income Statement
27
Negative
Profitability remains the key weak spot. Over the annual periods, revenue has generally trended down to slightly negative growth, and the company has posted net losses each year with deeply negative net margins (worsening in 2025 vs. 2024). While gross margin has been relatively resilient (roughly mid-20%s to high-30%s range historically), operating performance has been inconsistent and often negative. The latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows an unusually large revenue figure and extremely weak net profitability, which reinforces elevated earnings volatility and lowers confidence in the run-rate.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Leverage is moderate but moving in the wrong direction. Debt relative to equity increased in 2025 versus prior years, indicating rising balance-sheet pressure. Equity remains positive, which provides a cushion, but returns on equity are consistently negative due to ongoing losses. Overall, the balance sheet is not distressed, yet it is becoming less flexible as profitability has not improved alongside higher leverage.
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
Cash generation has been inconsistent and often negative. Operating cash flow was negative in most annual periods (2021–2025), and free cash flow was negative each year in the annual set, signaling reliance on financing or balance-sheet capacity to fund operations. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) prints positive operating cash flow and positive free cash flow, which is a constructive development, but cash flow has not been stable enough year-to-year to be considered durable. The cash flow profile is improving lately, but still carries execution risk.
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.00T>499.53M540.40M549.99M486.24M581.70M
Gross Profit36.22T127.87M157.18M184.46M179.84M213.96M
EBITDA95.01M-76.06M-44.14M18.66M-334.00K-37.76M
Net Income-20.16T-155.30M-99.98M-26.90M-33.05M-73.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets703.83M740.84M912.43M996.24M974.30M993.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.83T40.02M32.43M18.96M21.65M30.86M
Total Debt37.44T250.68M212.66M214.81M183.11M249.41M
Total Liabilities10.00T>446.87M426.11M445.73M402.51M492.39M
Stockholders Equity265.58M293.97M486.33M550.51M571.79M500.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.26T-16.86M-67.58M-22.74M-17.62M-56.67M
Operating Cash Flow12.95T-8.29M-54.49M-4.43M2.00M-40.64M
Investing Cash Flow-7.68T-8.56M20.14M-18.31M-19.62M-15.48M
Financing Cash Flow-8.35M24.44M47.83M20.05M8.41M39.10M

Comtech Telecommunications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.52
Price Trends
50DMA
5.44
Negative
100DMA
4.44
Negative
200DMA
3.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
25.15
Positive
STOCH
21.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.02, above the 50-day MA of 5.44, and above the 200-day MA of 3.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.15 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMTL.

Comtech Telecommunications Risk Analysis

Comtech Telecommunications disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comtech Telecommunications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comtech Telecommunications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$150.96M-18.31-5.49%-9.26%36.90%
64
Neutral
$108.80M-8.28-10.53%-4.61%63.88%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$61.56M-27.50-3.58%9.55%65.17%
50
Neutral
$65.97M-106.24-21.04%93.47%37.19%
48
Neutral
$100.61M-122.91%-1.89%76.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
3.39
1.45
74.74%
KVHI
KVH Industries
7.75
2.49
47.34%
OCC
Optical Cable
6.97
3.68
111.85%
SILC
Silicom
19.10
4.10
27.33%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
2.62
0.75
40.11%
FKWL
Franklin Wireless
3.55
-2.10
-37.17%

Comtech Telecommunications Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Comtech Shareholders Approve Directors, Pay and Equity Plan
Positive
Mar 12, 2026

Comtech Telecommunications held its Fiscal 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on March 9, 2026, at which shareholders elected seven directors to the board, including Kenneth H. Traub and Lieutenant General (Ret.) Bruce T. Crawford, with voting outcomes aligned with board recommendations. Investors also approved, on an advisory basis, the compensation of named executive officers, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditor for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2026, and endorsed an amendment to increase the shares available under the 2023 Equity and Incentive Plan, reinforcing the company’s governance stability and capacity for future equity-based incentives.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTL) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comtech Telecommunications stock, see the CMTL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Comtech Telecommunications Announces Planned Board Director Retirement
Neutral
Jan 29, 2026

On January 23, 2026, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. announced that director Wendi B. Carpenter will retire from its Board of Directors and will not stand for re-election at the company’s Fiscal 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, scheduled for March 9, 2026; she will serve out the remainder of her term until that date, and her departure is not due to any disagreement with the company or the board. Upon the conclusion of Carpenter’s term at the Fiscal 2025 Annual Meeting, the size of Comtech’s board will be reduced to seven members, signaling a modest governance change but no reported strategic shift or internal conflict, which should reassure shareholders that the transition is part of routine board refreshment rather than a response to controversy.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTL) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comtech Telecommunications stock, see the CMTL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026