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Sportradar Group AG (SRAD)
NASDAQ:SRAD

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) AI Stock Analysis

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SRAD

Sportradar Group AG

(NASDAQ:SRAD)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(15.96% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/05/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth, cash generation, and a strengthened balance sheet) and a positive earnings outlook with margin expansion guidance and buybacks. These are offset by a high valuation and a mixed technical setup with weaker intermediate-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Accelerating revenue growth and constructive guidance
Sustained double-digit top-line growth and explicit multi-year guidance indicate durable market demand across betting, media, and streaming. A clear growth runway (notably U.S. expansion and IMG contributions) supports scalable recurring revenues and reduces reliance on one-off deals over the next 2–6 months.
Strong cash generation and conservatively positioned balance sheet
Robust operating cash flow and materially improved free cash flow provide financial flexibility to invest in rights, integrate IMG, and fund buybacks without levering the balance sheet. Low leverage materially reduces refinancing risk and supports durable capital allocation over coming quarters.
IMG acquisition integration and large buyback authorization
Acquiring IMG structurally strengthens content rights and distribution capabilities, increasing differentiation in premium sports data and media. Early client uptake and targeted synergies suggest lasting revenue and margin upside, while a large repurchase program signals strong cash return optionality and management conviction.
Negative Factors
Gross-margin compression and rising rights expense
Higher content and rights costs from IMG and premium rights can structurally compress gross margins if not fully offset by pricing or synergy realization. Persistently elevated rights/operating expense trends could limit sustainable margin expansion over the medium term.
Lumpy revenue and cash flow due to event timing and one-offs
Revenue and cash generation are sensitive to sports calendars, large contract phasing and one-off fees, creating volatility in quarterly performance. This timing risk complicates forecasting, working-capital planning, and could stress margins or investment pacing when major events are unevenly distributed.
Prediction-market opportunity constrained by regulatory/league uncertainty
Regulatory and league approvals are structural gating factors for prediction-market products. Prolonged or adverse regulatory outcomes could materially delay or limit this revenue stream, reducing expected upside and making near-term revenue contribution uncertain.

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sportradar Group AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in the United Kingdom, the United States, Malta, Switzerland, and internationally. Its sports data services to the bookmaking under the Betradar brand name, and to the international media industry under the Sportradar Media Services brand name. The company offers mission-critical software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. In addition, the company provides sports entertainment, gaming solution, and sports solutions, as well as live streaming solution for online, mobile, and retail sports betting. Further, its software solutions address the entire sports betting value chain from traffic generation and advertising technology to the collection, processing, and extrapolation of data and odds, as well as to visualization solutions, risk management, and platform services. Sportradar Group AG was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in St. Gallen, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneySportradar generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by offering data and content solutions to sports betting operators and media companies. Its main revenue sources include subscription fees for access to its extensive sports data feeds, transaction-based revenues from betting operators leveraging its technology for in-play betting, and licensing agreements for the use of its data and analytics in media broadcasts. The company has established significant partnerships with various sports leagues, federations, and betting companies, which further enhance its market position and revenue potential. Additionally, Sportradar invests in integrity services, helping sports organizations monitor and safeguard against betting-related corruption, which also contributes to its overall earnings.

Sportradar Group AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum: record full-year revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, robust free cash flow, rapid IMG integration with early revenue and cost synergies, growth in streaming and Managed Trading Services, and an ambitious buyback program. Headwinds and risks were acknowledged — primarily foreign exchange impacts, timing-lumpy revenue in certain segments, elevated rights and operating costs related to IMG, and regulatory/league uncertainty around prediction markets. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance with planned margin expansion, but noted FX and timing will affect near-term cadence. Overall, positives (scale, margin expansion, cash generation, successful deal integration and clear growth guidance) materially outweigh the identified risks, which are being actively managed.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Revenue and Strong Top-Line Growth
Full-year 2025 revenue of $1.3 billion, up $183 million or 17% year-over-year, driven by uptake from existing partners, U.S. market growth (U.S. revenue +23% year-over-year; U.S. now 25% of total revenue) and contributions from IMG.
Record Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Full-year Adjusted EBITDA of $297 million, up $74 million or 33% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded over 290 basis points to 23% for the year. Q4 Adjusted EBITDA $89 million, up 48% year-over-year, with Q4 margin expanding ~450 basis points to 24.2%.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Strength
Full-year free cash flow of $167 million with free cash flow conversion of 56% (vs. $118 million and 53% in 2024). Cash and cash equivalents at quarter-end $365 million and no debt outstanding.
Successful IMG Acquisition and Early Synergy Realization
IMG acquisition closed in November 2025 and was immediately integrated into products and distribution. Majority of tier-one clients signed onto IMG data/AV products; company targets ~25% revenue synergies for IMG in 2026 (previously referenced ~$140 million figure) and reports early revenue and cost synergy realization; transaction described as margin-accretive.
Robust Guidance for 2026 with Acceleration Expected
2026 guidance: total company revenue growth of 23%-25% on a constant currency basis (implying revenue $1.56B-$1.58B after FX headwinds). Forecast Adjusted EBITDA growth of 34%-37% on a constant currency basis (implying Adjusted EBITDA $390M-$400M) and expected margin expansion of ~200-225 basis points in 2026.
Managed Trading Services and Turnover Growth
Managed Trading Services 2025 turnover $52 billion, up 26% year-over-year, positioning the company as a top bookmaker globally. MTS delivered nearly 11% margin for clients in 2025.
Betting Technology & Streaming Momentum
Q4 betting technology and solutions revenue $305 million, up 24% year-over-year; betting and gaming content grew 29% year-over-year. Streaming expanded to over 525,000 matches in 2025 (100,000 more than two years prior) and company expects to stream over 700,000 matches in 2026.
Marketing & Media Growth and DSP Momentum
Marketing and media services growth contributed to sports content segment; DSP volume grew 35% year-over-year in 2025, delivering record ad volumes and demonstrating scalability and increased demand for data-driven advertising solutions.
Share Repurchase Program Increased and Active Buybacks
Board increased share repurchase authorization from $300 million to $1 billion. Over $170 million of stock purchased to date (including $91 million in 2025 and $25 million in Q4); opportunistic repurchases continuing given perceived valuation disconnect.
Negative Updates
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
Weakened U.S. dollar relative to the euro acted as a headwind: Q4 reported revenue would have been ~22% growth on a constant currency basis (reported +20%). Management flagged FX as a significant headwind at current rates, particularly affecting Q1 and to a lesser extent Q2 2026.
Timing-Related Sports Performance and Platform Revenue Variability
Sports performance revenue declined year-over-year in Q4 (timing-related), though full-year sports performance grew 8%. Managed betting services grew only 5% in Q4, with lower platform revenues driven by one-time installation fees in the prior year, indicating some lumpy or timing-sensitive revenue streams.
Rising Rights and Operating Expenses
Sports rights expense in Q4 increased 18% year-over-year to $122 million (driven by IMG premium rights and ATP). Adjusted other operating expenses rose 25% in Q4 (Brazil and IMG-related costs). Adjusted personnel expenses increased 9% to $79 million in Q4, though personnel costs fell as a percent of revenue.
Quarterly Profitability Still Modest and Impacted by Non-Recurring Items
Q4 IFRS profit was $4 million versus a $1 million loss a year ago—positive but modest. Q4 included a $35 million lower unrealized FX loss and a $6 million income tax benefit; some margin improvement drivers in Q4 (e.g., lower bonus accrual, timing of IT spend) were non-recurring or timing-related.
Prediction Markets: Opportunity with Regulatory and League Uncertainty
Prediction markets identified as a strategic growth avenue, but realization depends on league approvals, regulatory frameworks, and player-protection safeguards. Company expects initial upside in the 'tens of millions' rather than hundreds of millions and noted that significant prediction-market deals were not fully baked into 2026 guidance.
Dependence on Event Timing and Market Seasonality
Management highlighted that the strongest revenue growth is expected in Q2 and Q3 2026 (World Cup and other content), and that revenue phasing and IMG synergies will be weighted toward the back half of the year. Potential sports disruptions (e.g., MLB lockout risk) were noted, though management expects limited impact if replacements are available.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 revenue to grow 23–25% on a constant‑currency basis (implying $1.56–$1.58 billion at current FX) and Adjusted EBITDA to grow 34–37% on a constant‑currency basis (implying $390–$400 million), driving roughly 200–225 basis points of margin expansion versus 2025, while free‑cash‑flow conversion is expected to rise above the 56% achieved in 2025. They said growth should be strongest in Q2–Q3 (FX headwinds greatest in Q1–Q2), plan to scale IMG to realize ~25% revenue synergies (previously cited ≈$140 million), will continue opportunistic buybacks after raising repurchase authorization to $1 billion (≈$170 million repurchased to date, ≈$830 million remaining), and reiterated operational targets such as streaming >700,000 matches in 2026 and a significant World Cup turnover opportunity (expected to exceed the prior World Cup’s ≈$35 billion).

Sportradar Group AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by accelerating revenue growth, improving net margin in 2025, rising operating cash flow and sharply higher free cash flow, and a conservatively positioned balance sheet with low leverage. Key risks are the 2025 gross-margin compression and historically lumpy free cash flow.
Income Statement
71
Positive
Top-line momentum is a clear strength, with revenue growth positive each year (2025 showing a sharp acceleration vs. prior years). Profitability is mixed: operating margins are fairly steady around ~8–10% over time, and net margin has improved to ~7.8% in 2025 from low-single-digits in 2022–2024. The key concern is volatility in gross margin, which fell materially in 2025 versus 2021–2024, suggesting higher cost intensity and less consistency in the core economics.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned. Debt is low relative to equity in recent years (debt-to-equity ~0.03–0.06 from 2022–2025), and equity has grown over the period, supporting financial flexibility. A notable historical risk is that leverage was much higher in 2020–2021 (including debt-to-equity above 2x in 2020), but the subsequent de-leveraging meaningfully reduces balance-sheet risk today.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
Cash generation is a standout: operating cash flow is strong and rising, and free cash flow has stepped up sharply, reaching a very high level in 2025 versus prior years. Cash conversion versus earnings also improved meaningfully in 2025. The main weakness is variability—free cash flow was minimal in 2021–2022 and much lower in 2023–2024, indicating that cash generation can be lumpy year-to-year despite improving trend.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.11B877.62M730.19M561.20M
Gross Profit261.55M628.55M540.03M431.72M453.57M
EBITDA176.58M384.75M285.01M242.64M185.52M
Net Income96.36M34.15M34.66M10.89M12.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.87B2.29B2.25B1.39B1.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments365.14M348.36M277.17M243.76M742.77M
Total Debt62.83M46.72M50.15M22.84M435.35M
Total Liabilities1.89B1.36B1.37B631.63M1.04B
Stockholders Equity977.92M925.15M867.79M751.59M738.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow382.40M125.36M58.37M5.52M1.47M
Operating Cash Flow387.11M353.01M258.64M168.08M132.22M
Investing Cash Flow-237.36M-254.88M-202.09M-246.57M-333.77M
Financing Cash Flow-108.32M-36.75M-17.63M-459.85M539.77M

Sportradar Group AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.11
Price Trends
50DMA
18.45
Negative
100DMA
20.90
Negative
200DMA
24.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
49.75
Neutral
STOCH
27.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRAD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.32, below the 50-day MA of 18.45, and below the 200-day MA of 24.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SRAD.

Sportradar Group AG Risk Analysis

Sportradar Group AG disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sportradar Group AG reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
The requirements of being a public company may strain our resources and divert management's attention, and additional legal, accounting and compliance expenses may be greater than we anticipate. Q4, 2023

Sportradar Group AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.51B27.2177.38%2.11%17.83%118.70%
73
Outperform
$2.28B19.4118.70%18.18%70.94%
70
Outperform
$5.71B63.0910.31%18.99%66.43%
62
Neutral
$5.25B-101.06-8.52%22.69%-32.47%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$942.77M-17.26-32.90%12.78%-20.47%
60
Neutral
$3.91B-16.43%24.26%55.58%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
18.36
-4.44
-19.47%
KC
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings
14.78
-3.66
-19.85%
FROG
JFrog
43.87
9.60
28.01%
YOU
Clear Secure
48.54
21.45
79.18%
FRSH
Freshworks
8.02
-7.45
-48.16%
AMPL
Amplitude
7.05
-4.59
-39.43%

Sportradar Group AG Corporate Events

Sportradar Posts Record 2025 Results and Lifts Share Buyback Authorization to $1 Billion
Mar 3, 2026

On March 3, 2026, Sportradar reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting record annual revenue of €1.29 billion, up 17%, and profit of €100 million, equal to 7.8% of revenue. Adjusted EBITDA rose 33% to €297 million with margins expanding to 23.0%, while free cash flow reached a record €167 million and customer net retention came in at 109%.

The company also reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue growth of 20% to €369 million, with adjusted EBITDA up 48% and margin improving to 24.2% despite a modest quarterly profit of €4 million. Sportradar completed the acquisition of IMG ARENA’s global sports betting rights portfolio and sharply expanded its share repurchase authorization from $300 million to $1 billion, signaling confidence in its growth strategy and balance sheet strength.

For 2025, Sportradar generated €403 million in net cash from operating activities and repurchased $91 million of its shares, including $25 million in the fourth quarter alone. Revenue growth was broad-based across betting technology, marketing and media, and sports content services, with particularly strong expansion in the United States and the rest of the world, underscoring the company’s reinforced competitive position in the global sports data and betting technology market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRAD) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sportradar Group AG stock, see the SRAD Stock Forecast page.

Sportradar Group AG Elects Breon Corcoran to Board of Directors
Dec 15, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Sportradar Group AG held an extraordinary general meeting where shareholders approved the election of Breon Corcoran to the board of directors with an overwhelming majority of 98.09% votes in favor. This decision is expected to strengthen the company’s leadership and potentially enhance its strategic direction, impacting its operations and industry positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRAD) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sportradar Group AG stock, see the SRAD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 05, 2026