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Synovus (SNV)
NYSE:SNV

Synovus (SNV) AI Stock Analysis

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Synovus

(NYSE:SNV)

67Neutral
Synovus shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiencies but faces challenges in profit margins and cash flow management. The technical analysis suggests potential downward trends, while valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic initiatives support future prospects, balancing the risks and underpinning a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Synovus Financial shares reported a 4Q24 adjusted EPS beat driven by net interest margin expansion and lower provisions.
Loan Growth
Synovus is well-positioned to deliver stronger loan growth, assuming a pick-up in industry-wide lending demand materializes.
Negative Factors
Expense Growth
Expense commentary was the largest incremental negative from the conference call, with a faster growth potentially negating positive operating leverage in 2025.
Profit-Taking
The stock weakness is attributed to profit-taking on an as-expected update and management's hesitation towards committing to positive operating leverage.

Synovus (SNV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Synovus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSynovus Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Synovus Bank that provides commercial and retail banking products and services. It operates through three segments: Community Banking, Wholesale Banking, and Financial Management Services. The company's commercial banking services include treasury management, asset management, capital market, and institutional trust services, as well as commercial, financial, and real estate loans. Its retail banking services comprise accepting customary types of demand and savings deposits accounts; mortgage, installment, and other consumer loans; investment and brokerage services; safe deposit services; automated banking services; automated fund transfers; Internet-based banking services; and bank credit and debit card services. The company also offers various other financial services, including portfolio management for fixed-income securities, investment banking, execution of securities transactions as a broker/dealer, and financial planning services, as well as provides individual investment advice on equity and other securities. As of December 31, 2020, it operated through 289 branches and 389 ATMs in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and Tennessee. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Columbus, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneySynovus generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investment securities, as well as from fees and service charges related to its banking operations. The company's key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, interest from investment securities, and non-interest income from fees for services such as asset management, deposit account services, and transaction processing. Synovus also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with financial technology providers to enhance its product offerings and service delivery, further contributing to its revenue.

Synovus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Synovus shows robust revenue growth and operational efficiency improvements, but faces challenges with declining net profit margins and increased leverage. The balance sheet reflects a stable capital structure, but lower returns on equity. Cash flow management remains a concern due to decreased operating cash flows, impacting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Synovus has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with Total Revenue increasing significantly from $2.03 billion in 2023 to $3.19 billion in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin remained consistent at 100% due to the nature of banking operations. However, the Net Profit Margin decreased to 15.1% in 2024 from 26.7% in 2023, indicating increased expenses or lower profitability. EBIT Margin improved considerably, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio increased, indicating higher leverage. However, Synovus maintains a solid Equity Ratio of 8.7%, suggesting stable capital structure but relatively low equity compared to total assets. The Return on Equity (ROE) decreased to 9.2% in 2024 from 10.6% in 2023, suggesting lowered returns to shareholders.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Operating Cash Flow decreased significantly from $1.28 billion in 2023 to $419.9 million in 2024, impacting overall cash flow stability. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was favorable at 0.87, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate was negative, reflecting declining free cash flow over the period.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.19B2.03B2.21B1.98B2.02B
Gross Profit
3.19B1.72B1.88B1.68B1.71B
EBIT
3.15B998.21M1.24B989.36M484.67M
EBITDA
0.000.001.03B1.10B554.29M
Net Income Common Stockholders
482.46M543.71M757.90M760.47M373.69M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.56B12.20B11.62B13.86B12.10B
Total Assets
60.23B59.81B59.73B57.32B54.37B
Total Debt
1.86B1.23B4.71B1.20B1.21B
Net Debt
-1.11B-1.18B2.77B-1.73B-2.93B
Total Liabilities
54.97B54.67B55.26B52.02B49.20B
Stockholders Equity
5.24B5.12B4.48B5.30B5.16B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
419.94M1.25B1.16B768.06M-13.07M
Operating Cash Flow
419.94M1.28B1.19B794.02M17.03M
Investing Cash Flow
-101.63M323.97M-4.86B-4.38B-2.35B
Financing Cash Flow
-36.38M-1.13B2.63B2.35B5.40B

Synovus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price42.82
Price Trends
50DMA
49.20
Negative
100DMA
51.40
Negative
200DMA
47.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.96
Negative
RSI
39.07
Neutral
STOCH
18.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 42.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.03, below the 50-day MA of 49.20, and below the 200-day MA of 47.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SNV.

Synovus Risk Analysis

Synovus disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Synovus reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Synovus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.99B12.4910.38%3.05%8.83%3.77%
71
Outperform
$5.28B10.429.75%3.88%26.65%-3.60%
68
Neutral
$5.93B11.349.70%2.51%11.17%1.47%
ONONB
67
Neutral
$6.29B11.719.06%3.12%16.39%-13.25%
SNSNV
67
Neutral
$6.04B14.139.31%4.00%0.83%-11.72%
65
Neutral
$6.03B10.1611.42%3.23%13.68%13.73%
64
Neutral
$13.44B9.419.19%4.92%16.30%-8.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNV
Synovus
39.57
3.65
10.16%
CADE
Cadence Bancorporation
28.87
2.77
10.61%
BOKF
Bok Financial
92.22
6.16
7.16%
HOMB
Home Bancshares
26.69
4.10
18.15%
ONB
Old National Bancorp Capital
19.70
4.18
26.93%
BPOP
Popular
86.91
5.99
7.40%

Synovus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 15, 2025 | % Change Since: -22.87% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong earnings growth, effective cost management, and improved asset quality, which were offset by challenges in loan growth and anticipated margin pressure. Overall, the sentiment was positive as Synovus demonstrated robust financial performance and strategic investments for future growth.
Highlights
Strong Earnings Performance
Synovus reported Q4 EPS of $1.25, up 6% from the previous quarter, and adjusted EPS rising 18% year-over-year.
Healthy Deposit Growth
Core deposits grew by 3% in Q4, with money market and operating deposits increasing across core commercial business lines.
Cost Management Success
Adjusted noninterest expense declined 3% year-over-year with an efficiency ratio of 54.33%.
Improved Asset Quality
Net charge-offs at 26 basis points, lower end of the expected range, and improved loan losses year-over-year.
Capital Strength
Common equity Tier 1 ratio increased 62 basis points to 10.84%.
Lowlights
Loan Growth Challenges
Loan balances declined $512 million or 1% sequentially, with significant payoffs impacting higher-growth segments.
Pressure on Net Interest Margin
Margin pressure expected in early 2025 due to lead-lag effects and cash position.
Company Guidance
During the Synovus Fourth Quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance for 2025, highlighting key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Synovus reported a fourth quarter EPS of $1.25, up 6% from the previous quarter, and an annual EPS of $3.03, with an adjusted EPS of $4.43. The company anticipates period-end loan growth of 3% to 6% and core deposit growth within the same range for 2025. Additionally, adjusted revenue is projected to grow by 3% to 7%, supported by a stable net interest margin (NIM) of mid-320 basis points in the first half, with expectations of expansion in the second half. The adjusted noninterest expense is expected to grow by 3% to 7%, driven by strategic investments. Synovus also plans to maintain a stable common equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio, with a $400 million share repurchase program authorized for 2025. The company's focus remains on strategic growth through middle market and wealth management expansions, while maintaining disciplined cost control and leveraging capital to balance organic growth.

Synovus Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Synovus Reports Strong Q4 2024 Earnings Growth
Positive
Jan 15, 2025

On January 15, 2025, Synovus announced its financial results for Q4 2024 and the full year. The company reported a significant increase in diluted earnings per share to $1.25 from $0.41 in the same quarter of the previous year, driven by relationship-building strategies and strict cost control. Despite a decline in net income and net interest income for the year, Synovus saw an improvement in credit quality and maintained a robust CET1 ratio. The company also experienced growth in core deposits and adjusted non-interest revenue, positioning itself for continued success in 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.