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Thai Beverage Public Co Ltd (SG:Y92)
SGX:Y92

Thai Beverage Public Co (Y92) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:Y92

Thai Beverage Public Co

(SGX:Y92)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
S$0.52
â–²(13.26% Upside)
Thai Beverage's strong valuation and solid financial performance are the primary drivers of its stock score. The attractive P/E ratio and high dividend yield enhance its appeal, despite challenges in revenue growth and increasing leverage. Technical indicators suggest a neutral market sentiment, with no significant momentum. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction, supporting long-term stability.
Market Position
As a leading beverage producer, Thai Beverage benefits from brand recognition and market dominance, providing a competitive edge and stable revenue base.
Profitability
Consistent profitability indicates effective cost management and pricing power, supporting sustainable margins and long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Volatile revenue growth can hinder strategic planning and investment, potentially impacting the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities.
Increasing Leverage
Rising leverage may constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, necessitating careful debt management to maintain financial stability.
Declining Net Profit Margin
A declining net profit margin suggests pressure on profitability, which could affect the company's ability to invest in growth and maintain competitive positioning.

Thai Beverage Public Co (Y92) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

Thai Beverage Public Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThai Beverage Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, and food products in Thailand, Vietnam, and internationally. The company operates through Spirits, Beer, Non-Alcoholic Beverages, and Food segments. It offers liquor, beer, malt, and yeast products; spirits, including brown spirits, white spirits, herbs, and other products; and non-alcoholic beverages comprising drinking and soda water, electrolyte beverages, energy drinks, green and herbal tea, ready-to-drink coffee, carbonated soft drinks, isotonics, soya drinks, Asian and sparkling drinks, cordials, pasteurized milk, UHT milk, sterilized milk, yoghurt, canned milk, pasteurized juice, ready-to-drink juice, ice cream, and cereal bars. The company also provides chilled and frozen, and canned food products; and fertilizers and feeds, bricks, and oak barrels. In addition, it is involved in the trading of molasses; provision of transportation and distribution, logistics, advertising and marketing, consultancy, asset and brands management, public cold storage, and human resources and organization development services; operation of restaurants, bakeries, and social enterprise; and production and distribution of biogas. Further, the company is involved in the trading of bottles and supplies; wholesale and distribution of beverages; and production of cartons, and metal and plastic packaging businesses. Additionally, it engages in asset management activities; e-commerce business; development, rental, and investment in properties; mechanical equipment manufacturing; warehousing business; trading of chemical and packaging materials; manufacture of equipment used in food manufacturing; and installation and maintenance of machinery system and equipment. Thai Beverage Public Company Limited was founded in 2003 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
How the Company Makes MoneyThai Beverage generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of alcoholic beverages, including beer and spirits, which account for a significant portion of its earnings. The company's flagship beer brand, Chang, is distributed widely in Thailand and exported to various international markets, contributing substantially to revenue. Additionally, Thai Beverage's spirits segment, which includes various local and international brands, enhances its earnings through both domestic sales and exports. The non-alcoholic beverages segment also provides a growing revenue stream, supported by partnerships with retailers and distributors. The company benefits from economies of scale due to its large production capacity and extensive distribution network, which allows it to maintain competitive pricing and improve margins. Strategic partnerships and collaborations further enhance its market reach and brand presence, solidifying its position in the beverage industry.

Thai Beverage Public Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 21, 2024
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted growth in several segments, including beer and non-alcoholic beverages, and successful business restructuring. However, there were challenges such as a decline in net profit for the spirits and food businesses, and a downturn in other business segments. Despite these challenges, the company's overall performance showed positive trends, particularly in revenue growth and strategic achievements.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Total Sales Revenue
Total sales revenue for the fiscal year ended 30th September 2024 was THB340,289 million, an increase of 2.2% compared to the same period last year, driven by growth in Beverage and Food segments.
Beer Business Growth
Beer business recorded sales revenue of THB126,332 million in 2024, an increase of 2.4% year-on-year, with a net profit increase of 3.9% due to lower raw material costs and improved operational efficiencies.
Non-Alcoholic Beverages Performance
Non-alcoholic beverages saw a 4.2% year-on-year rise in sales revenue to THB65,802 million, with a 9.3% increase in net profit, supported by lower packaging costs and enhanced production efficiency.
Strong Performance in Myanmar Market
The spirits market in Myanmar showed improvement in sales revenue and EBITDA.
Successful Business Restructuring
Completed a share swap transaction increasing IBIL's percentage interest in Fraser and Neave Limited shares from 28.31% to 69.64%, making ThaiBev the holding company of F&N.
Negative Updates
Spirits Business Net Profit Decline
Despite a 0.8% increase in sales revenue, the spirits business saw a 4.6% year-on-year decline in net profit to THB21,385 million due to higher raw material costs and increased brand and marketing investments.
Food Business Net Profit Decline
Food business registered a 5.5% year-on-year increase in sales revenue but net profit fell to THB301 million due to higher raw material costs, increased operational expenses, and decreased one-time fair value gains.
Decline in Other Business
Other business segments, including publishing and printing, saw a decline in sales revenue by 6% year-on-year to THB5,400 million, mainly due to lower international printing demand.
Company Guidance
During the Thai Beverage Fiscal Year 2024 Results Call, the company reported a total sales revenue of THB340,289 million, reflecting a 2.2% increase from the previous year, driven by growth in both the Beverage and Food segments. The net profit for the fiscal year was THB35,270 million, marking a 0.6% rise compared to the prior year. The company's beer business saw a 2.4% increase in sales revenue to THB126,332 million, aided by a rebound in tourism and favorable weather, while the non-alcoholic beverages segment posted a 4.2% rise in sales revenue to THB65,802 million. The spirits business reported a modest 0.8% revenue increase to THB120,728 million, yet experienced a 4.6% decline in net profit due to higher raw material costs. The Board proposed a full-year dividend of THB11,810 million or THB0.62 per share, with the final dividend set at THB0.47 per share.

Thai Beverage Public Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thai Beverage Public Co demonstrates robust revenue growth and profitability, with stable margins. However, high leverage and declining free cash flow growth are areas of concern. The company needs to manage its debt levels carefully while maintaining operational efficiency to sustain its growth trajectory.
Income Statement
Thai Beverage Public Co shows strong revenue growth of 10.26% in the latest year, indicating a positive trajectory. Gross profit margin is stable at 30.33%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 8.00%. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased to 15.12%, and the EBITDA margin is at 18.12%, reflecting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed well. Return on equity is strong at 18.24%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but the balance sheet shows a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow has decreased by 20.86%, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.35, suggesting moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.75, indicating that a significant portion of net income is converted into free cash flow, albeit lower than previous years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue366.81B333.29B340.29B334.76B272.36B240.54B
Gross Profit111.97B103.51B103.21B100.52B80.46B71.48B
EBITDA54.41B57.02B61.65B49.24B46.34B40.63B
Net Income26.08B25.36B27.22B27.43B30.11B24.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets534.45B509.59B527.59B494.55B507.79B472.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.35B43.90B55.63B45.73B54.03B40.05B
Total Debt245.37B235.45B241.39B209.26B214.45B225.38B
Total Liabilities304.21B293.77B298.54B299.36B258.40B262.41B
Stockholders Equity151.55B141.28B149.21B201.32B205.75B170.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow31.83B31.96B28.66B30.34B41.51B28.51B
Operating Cash Flow44.39B46.03B38.08B39.10B45.01B32.07B
Investing Cash Flow-6.88B-12.65B1.49B-6.85B-10.47B-11.66B
Financing Cash Flow-37.07B-43.30B-31.74B-32.21B-30.67B-20.37B

Thai Beverage Public Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.46
Price Trends
50DMA
0.47
Negative
100DMA
0.47
Negative
200DMA
0.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
42.84
Neutral
STOCH
55.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:Y92, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.46, below the 50-day MA of 0.47, and below the 200-day MA of 0.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SG:Y92.

Thai Beverage Public Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$11.56B11.5616.87%5.22%3.00%-2.21%
71
Outperform
S$2.19B15.464.88%3.10%7.43%-6.37%
70
Outperform
S$543.63M20.705.51%5.62%-0.51%-25.57%
68
Neutral
S$479.76M13.7210.03%3.56%-4.54%-35.71%
66
Neutral
S$1.36B37.349.42%4.60%13.97%-49.60%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:Y92
Thai Beverage Public Co
0.46
-0.05
-10.51%
SG:F99
Fraser & Neave
1.50
0.21
15.92%
SG:P34
Delfi
0.79
0.06
7.48%
SG:Q01
QAF Ltd.
0.94
0.15
18.99%
SG:Y03
Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd
0.61
0.06
11.01%
SG:F03
Food Empire Holdings Limited
2.58
1.66
180.43%

Thai Beverage Public Co Corporate Events

Fitch Assigns Investment-Grade Ratings with Negative Outlook to Thai Beverage
Dec 19, 2025

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited has received new credit ratings from Fitch Ratings, which assigned the company a Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating of BBB- with a Negative Outlook and a National Long-Term Rating of AA(tha) with a Negative Outlook. While both ratings are classified as investment grade, they sit below Thailand’s sovereign and national ratings, indicating that Fitch views the company as a solid but relatively higher-risk borrower than the Thai government, a signal that could influence THBEV’s borrowing costs, investor perception, and its positioning in regional credit markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:Y92) stock is a Buy with a S$0.52 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thai Beverage Public Co stock, see the SG:Y92 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025