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Thai Beverage Public Co Ltd (SG:Y92)
SGX:Y92

Thai Beverage Public Co (Y92) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:Y92

Thai Beverage Public Co

(SGX:Y92)

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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
S$0.51
▲(12.22% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/11/25
Thai Beverage's overall stock score of 65 reflects a balanced outlook, driven primarily by solid financial performance with strong cash flow growth and decent profitability, though tempered by revenue declines and moderate leverage. Attractive valuation metrics, including a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, provide additional support, while technical indicators remain neutral with slight bearish momentum.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction, supporting long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Volatile revenue growth can hinder strategic planning and investment, potentially impacting the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction, supporting long-term stability.
Read all positive factors

Thai Beverage Public Co (Y92) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

Thai Beverage Public Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Thai Beverage Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, and food products in Thailand, Vietnam, and internationally. The company operates through Spirits, Beer, Non-Alco...
How the Company Makes Money
Thai Beverage generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of alcoholic beverages, including beer and spirits, which account for a significant portion of its earnings. The company's flagship beer brand, Chang, is distributed...

Thai Beverage Public Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Mixed. The call highlights operational strengths — notably a strong beer profit recovery (+24.6% net profit) and material raw-material tailwinds expected to improve margins in FY26, plus completed/near-complete capacity investments (Cambodia, Malaysia) and maintained dividend. However, these positives are tempered by group-wide revenue and net profit declines (sales -2.1%, net profit -11.7%), continued softness in domestic consumption, segmental profit declines (spirits -7%, NAB -13.4%), losses in food and other businesses, and short-term market/logistical disruptions (Vietnam competition, border conflicts, floods). Overall the positives and negatives are balanced.
Positive Updates
Group Dividend and Payout
Board proposed total dividend THB 15,581 million (THB 0.62/share) representing a 61.4% payout ratio, including interim THB 0.15 and proposed final THB 0.47, maintained despite softer earnings.
Negative Updates
Group Revenue and Net Profit Declines
Total sales revenue THB 333,286 million, down 2.1% YoY; net profit including associates THB 31,153 million, down 11.7% YoY, reflecting weaker sales across most businesses.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Group Dividend and Payout
Board proposed total dividend THB 15,581 million (THB 0.62/share) representing a 61.4% payout ratio, including interim THB 0.15 and proposed final THB 0.47, maintained despite softer earnings.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management’s guidance was broadly conservative and operationally focused: the Board proposed a THB 15,581m total dividend (THB 0.62/share; interim THB 0.15 paid June 2025, proposed final THB 0.47) and reiterated a minimum ~50% payout policy (61.4% payout this year); major Malaysia/Cambodia CapEx is largely spent with spend expected to normalise by mid‑FY26; an IPO for the beer arm is not expected in FY26 given market conditions. They flagged favorable input‑cost tailwinds for FY26 (molasses ~30–35% lower YoY, resin ~60% of last year’s price, malt down another “two digits,” broken rice >20% lower, and easing aluminum/carton/label costs), will keep A&P trade‑focused and cautious (RTD breakeven ~1 year, single‑malt longer), expect Cambodian commercial production around Dec–Jan, and noted net gearing rose due to lower EBITDA despite lower absolute interest‑bearing debt; Myanmar spirits share ~72%.

Thai Beverage Public Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thai Beverage's financial performance is mixed, with strong cash flow growth (41.7% Free Cash Flow Growth Rate) and decent profitability (Gross Profit Margin of 31.1%). However, declining revenue growth (-9.1%) and moderate leverage (Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.67) temper the outlook, resulting in a moderate score.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue366.81B333.29B340.29B334.76B272.36B240.54B
Gross Profit111.97B103.51B103.21B100.52B80.46B71.48B
EBITDA54.41B57.02B61.65B49.24B46.34B40.63B
Net Income26.08B25.36B27.22B27.43B30.11B24.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets534.45B509.59B527.59B494.55B507.79B472.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.35B43.90B55.63B45.73B54.03B40.05B
Total Debt245.37B235.45B241.39B209.26B214.45B225.38B
Total Liabilities304.21B293.77B298.54B299.36B258.40B262.41B
Stockholders Equity151.55B141.28B149.21B201.32B205.75B170.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow31.83B31.96B28.66B30.34B41.51B28.51B
Operating Cash Flow44.39B46.03B38.08B39.10B45.01B32.07B
Investing Cash Flow-6.88B-12.65B1.49B-6.85B-10.47B-11.66B
Financing Cash Flow-37.07B-43.30B-31.74B-32.21B-30.67B-20.37B

Thai Beverage Public Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.45
Price Trends
50DMA
0.45
Negative
100DMA
0.45
Negative
200DMA
0.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
39.81
Neutral
STOCH
22.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:Y92, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.43, below the 50-day MA of 0.45, and below the 200-day MA of 0.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SG:Y92.

Thai Beverage Public Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
S$581.02M12.925.33%5.62%-0.51%-25.57%
72
Outperform
S$608.10M11.337.15%3.56%-4.54%-35.71%
69
Neutral
S$2.11B15.544.65%3.10%7.43%-6.37%
67
Neutral
S$1.62B27.9013.05%4.60%13.97%-49.60%
65
Neutral
S$10.68B11.597.40%5.22%3.00%-2.21%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:Y92
Thai Beverage Public Co
0.43
-0.02
-3.63%
SG:F99
Fraser & Neave
1.45
0.37
34.51%
SG:P34
Delfi
1.00
0.35
53.31%
SG:Q01
QAF Ltd.
1.01
0.22
27.85%
SG:Y03
Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd
0.59
0.07
13.46%
SG:F03
Food Empire Holdings Limited
3.00
1.86
163.16%

Thai Beverage Public Co Corporate Events

Fitch Assigns Investment-Grade Ratings with Negative Outlook to Thai Beverage
Dec 19, 2025
Thai Beverage Public Company Limited has received new credit ratings from Fitch Ratings, which assigned the company a Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating of BBB- with a Negative Outlook and a National Long-Term Rating of AA(tha) with ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025