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Thai Beverage Public Co Ltd (SG:Y92)
SGX:Y92
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Thai Beverage Public Co (Y92) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:Y92

Thai Beverage Public Co

(SGX:Y92)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
S$0.50
▲(6.38% Upside)
Thai Beverage Public Co's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's solid profitability and efficient cash flow management provide a stable foundation for growth. While technical indicators suggest a neutral short-term trend, the stock's valuation and dividend yield offer compelling reasons for investment.
Positive Factors
Cost Efficiency
Management has been procuring molasses at roughly 20% better yields year over year, suggesting lower raw material costs from this crop will likely expand margins.
Earnings Growth
Analysts expect a return to earnings growth for the company in the future.
Market Leadership
The domestic beer segment is set to post better margins and has maintained its market share leadership.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Weakness
Downside risks include prolonged macroeconomic weakness impacting sales volumes and lower margins from higher SG&A.
Regulatory Challenges
THBEV faces stronger competition for its spirits business due to upcoming regulatory changes.
Tax Increases
Vietnam recently announced it would increase its special consumption tax on beer and other alcoholic beverages to 90% by 2031, affecting domestic beer products such as THBEV.

Thai Beverage Public Co (Y92) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

Thai Beverage Public Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThai Beverage Public Company Limited, commonly known as ThaiBev, is a leading beverage manufacturer headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. The company operates in several sectors, including spirits, beer, non-alcoholic beverages, and food. As one of Southeast Asia's largest beverage companies, ThaiBev's portfolio includes a wide range of well-known brands such as Chang Beer, SangSom Rum, and Oishi green tea, among others. The company has a significant presence in both domestic and international markets, leveraging its extensive distribution network to reach a diverse customer base.
How the Company Makes MoneyThai Beverage Public Company Limited generates revenue through a diversified portfolio of products across its core sectors. The primary revenue streams include the sale of spirits, which is the largest contributor to its earnings, followed by beer, non-alcoholic beverages, and food. The company's spirits segment features popular brands that command significant market share in Thailand and other regions. The beer segment is anchored by the Chang brand, which is a dominant player in the Thai beer market. Additionally, the non-alcoholic beverage segment offers a variety of tea, water, and functional drinks, catering to the growing demand for healthier beverage options. ThaiBev also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its production capabilities and market reach. The company's extensive distribution network, both domestically and internationally, plays a crucial role in driving sales and expanding its customer base, contributing significantly to its overall revenue.

Thai Beverage Public Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 1.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted growth in several segments, including beer and non-alcoholic beverages, and successful business restructuring. However, there were challenges such as a decline in net profit for the spirits and food businesses, and a downturn in other business segments. Despite these challenges, the company's overall performance showed positive trends, particularly in revenue growth and strategic achievements.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Total Sales Revenue
Total sales revenue for the fiscal year ended 30th September 2024 was THB340,289 million, an increase of 2.2% compared to the same period last year, driven by growth in Beverage and Food segments.
Beer Business Growth
Beer business recorded sales revenue of THB126,332 million in 2024, an increase of 2.4% year-on-year, with a net profit increase of 3.9% due to lower raw material costs and improved operational efficiencies.
Non-Alcoholic Beverages Performance
Non-alcoholic beverages saw a 4.2% year-on-year rise in sales revenue to THB65,802 million, with a 9.3% increase in net profit, supported by lower packaging costs and enhanced production efficiency.
Strong Performance in Myanmar Market
The spirits market in Myanmar showed improvement in sales revenue and EBITDA.
Successful Business Restructuring
Completed a share swap transaction increasing IBIL's percentage interest in Fraser and Neave Limited shares from 28.31% to 69.64%, making ThaiBev the holding company of F&N.
Negative Updates
Spirits Business Net Profit Decline
Despite a 0.8% increase in sales revenue, the spirits business saw a 4.6% year-on-year decline in net profit to THB21,385 million due to higher raw material costs and increased brand and marketing investments.
Food Business Net Profit Decline
Food business registered a 5.5% year-on-year increase in sales revenue but net profit fell to THB301 million due to higher raw material costs, increased operational expenses, and decreased one-time fair value gains.
Decline in Other Business
Other business segments, including publishing and printing, saw a decline in sales revenue by 6% year-on-year to THB5,400 million, mainly due to lower international printing demand.
Company Guidance
During the Thai Beverage Fiscal Year 2024 Results Call, the company reported a total sales revenue of THB340,289 million, reflecting a 2.2% increase from the previous year, driven by growth in both the Beverage and Food segments. The net profit for the fiscal year was THB35,270 million, marking a 0.6% rise compared to the prior year. The company's beer business saw a 2.4% increase in sales revenue to THB126,332 million, aided by a rebound in tourism and favorable weather, while the non-alcoholic beverages segment posted a 4.2% rise in sales revenue to THB65,802 million. The spirits business reported a modest 0.8% revenue increase to THB120,728 million, yet experienced a 4.6% decline in net profit due to higher raw material costs. The Board proposed a full-year dividend of THB11,810 million or THB0.62 per share, with the final dividend set at THB0.47 per share.

Thai Beverage Public Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thai Beverage Public Co demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability, and efficient cash flow management. The company manages leverage prudently, although there is potential to enhance equity utilization.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Thai Beverage Public Co has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 21.92% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is robust at 30.33%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 8.00%. The EBIT margin stands at 11.00%, and the EBITDA margin is 18.12%, indicating efficient operations. Overall, the company shows solid profitability and growth, with opportunities for further margin improvements.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62, reflecting manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 18.24%, which is strong, indicating efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is 28.28%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the company maintains a stable financial position, there is room to optimize equity utilization further.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Thai Beverage Public Co has increased its free cash flow by 5.98% year-over-year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.40, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.05, showing effective conversion of earnings to cash. The company demonstrates solid cash flow management, supporting its growth strategy.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue340.29B279.09B272.36B240.54B253.48B
Gross Profit103.21B82.80B80.46B71.48B74.86B
EBITDA61.65B49.24B46.34B47.38B48.11B
Net Income27.22B27.43B30.11B24.64B22.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets527.59B494.55B507.79B472.59B433.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.12B45.73B54.03B40.05B34.70B
Total Debt241.39B209.26B214.45B225.38B176.60B
Total Liabilities298.54B253.03B258.40B262.41B254.12B
Stockholders Equity149.21B201.32B205.75B170.96B142.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.66B30.34B41.51B28.51B32.62B
Operating Cash Flow38.08B31.97B45.01B32.07B37.27B
Investing Cash Flow1.49B-6.85B-10.47B-11.66B-7.52B
Financing Cash Flow-31.74B-32.21B-30.67B-20.37B-24.95B

Thai Beverage Public Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.47
Price Trends
50DMA
0.47
Positive
100DMA
0.48
Negative
200DMA
0.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
49.63
Neutral
STOCH
77.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:Y92, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.47, above the 50-day MA of 0.47, and below the 200-day MA of 0.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SG:Y92.

Thai Beverage Public Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
S$1.25B33.299.42%2.61%13.97%-49.60%
74
Outperform
$11.94B11.6115.42%5.11%33.63%1.49%
69
Neutral
S$497.61M19.055.51%5.78%-0.51%-25.57%
68
Neutral
¥221.32B22.438.23%2.16%4.86%-0.08%
68
Neutral
$461.42M13.1110.03%5.64%-4.54%-35.71%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:Y92
Thai Beverage Public Co
0.47
<0.01
1.73%
SG:F03
Food Empire Holdings Limited
2.31
1.39
151.09%
SG:P34
Delfi
0.76
-0.01
-1.30%
SG:Q01
QAF Ltd.
0.86
0.09
11.69%

Thai Beverage Public Co Corporate Events

ThaiBev Reports Stable Revenue Amid Market Challenges
Aug 14, 2025

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited reported stable sales revenue for the nine months ending June 2025, despite challenging market conditions and softening consumer sentiment. The spirits segment maintained its revenue, although profitability was impacted by increased marketing expenditures. The beer segment experienced a slight decline in sales revenue due to difficulties in the Vietnamese market, but saw an increase in EBITDA driven by reduced raw material costs and improved production efficiency. The overall financial performance reflects ThaiBev’s resilience and strategic focus on efficiency and market expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:Y92) stock is a Buy with a S$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thai Beverage Public Co stock, see the SG:Y92 Stock Forecast page.

Thai Beverage Launches $2 Billion Debt Issuance Programme
Jun 4, 2025

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited has announced the establishment of a $2 billion multicurrency debt issuance programme, appointing DBS Bank Ltd. as the sole arranger and dealer. This strategic move allows the company to issue notes and perpetual securities in various currencies, enhancing its financial flexibility and potentially strengthening its market position by diversifying its funding sources.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:Y92) stock is a Buy with a S$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thai Beverage Public Co stock, see the SG:Y92 Stock Forecast page.

ThaiBev Announces 2025 Annual Information Meeting for Shareholders
May 16, 2025

ThaiBev has announced its 2025 Annual Information Meeting for shareholders in Singapore, scheduled for June 20, 2025, at the InterContinental Hotel. This meeting provides an opportunity for shareholders to engage with key directors and management, offering insights into the company’s business operations and updates. The event will include a presentation and a Q&A session, with materials available online post-meeting. Due to limited seating, reservations are required, and no resolutions will be considered during this informal gathering.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:Y92) stock is a Buy with a S$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thai Beverage Public Co stock, see the SG:Y92 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 16, 2025