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Thai Beverage Public Co Ltd (SG:Y92)
SGX:Y92

Thai Beverage Public Co (Y92) AI Stock Analysis

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Thai Beverage Public Co

(SGX:Y92)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
S$0.50
▲(8.70%Upside)
Overall, Thai Beverage Public Co scores well due to its strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and profitability. While technical analysis presents a mixed picture, the stock's valuation is appealing with a reasonable P/E ratio and a good dividend yield. The absence of significant corporate events or earnings call insights leaves these factors neutral in the score calculation.
Positive Factors
Corporate Actions
Corporate actions are expected to unlock valuations in beer and F&B businesses, with a Beer Co IPO potentially in sight.
Earnings Growth
Analysts expect a return to earnings growth for the company in the future.
Market Position
Thai Beverage is the undisputed market leader in SEA.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Structural decline in spirit demand and competitive pressure in the beer segment will depress valuations.
Economic Challenges
The spirits business is likely to face challenges due to a sluggish local economy and high input costs.
Market Demand
Beer volume forecasts have been trimmed due to soft demand in Vietnam.

Thai Beverage Public Co (Y92) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

Thai Beverage Public Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThai Beverage Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, and food products in Thailand, Vietnam, and internationally. The company operates through Spirits, Beer, Non-Alcoholic Beverages, and Food segments. It offers liquor, beer, malt, and yeast products; spirits, including brown spirits, white spirits, herbs, and other products; and non-alcoholic beverages comprising drinking and soda water, electrolyte beverages, energy drinks, green and herbal tea, ready-to-drink coffee, carbonated soft drinks, isotonics, soya drinks, Asian and sparkling drinks, cordials, pasteurized milk, UHT milk, sterilized milk, yoghurt, canned milk, pasteurized juice, ready-to-drink juice, ice cream, and cereal bars. The company also provides chilled and frozen, and canned food products; and fertilizers and feeds, bricks, and oak barrels. In addition, it is involved in the trading of molasses; provision of transportation and distribution, logistics, advertising and marketing, consultancy, asset and brands management, public cold storage, and human resources and organization development services; operation of restaurants, bakeries, and social enterprise; and production and distribution of biogas. Further, the company is involved in the trading of bottles and supplies; wholesale and distribution of beverages; and production of cartons, and metal and plastic packaging businesses. Additionally, it engages in asset management activities; e-commerce business; development, rental, and investment in properties; mechanical equipment manufacturing; warehousing business; trading of chemical and packaging materials; manufacture of equipment used in food manufacturing; and installation and maintenance of machinery system and equipment. Thai Beverage Public Company Limited was founded in 2003 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
How the Company Makes MoneyThai Beverage Public Co. generates revenue primarily through the production, marketing, and distribution of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. The company's key revenue streams include sales of spirits, which contribute significantly to its overall earnings, followed by its beer segment. The non-alcoholic beverages and food sectors also add to the revenue, albeit at a smaller scale compared to alcoholic products. ThaiBev benefits from a strong distribution network and brand recognition, both of which facilitate high sales volumes. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions further enhance its market position, allowing the company to access new markets and diversify its product offerings.

Thai Beverage Public Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -8.55%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted growth in several segments, including beer and non-alcoholic beverages, and successful business restructuring. However, there were challenges such as a decline in net profit for the spirits and food businesses, and a downturn in other business segments. Despite these challenges, the company's overall performance showed positive trends, particularly in revenue growth and strategic achievements.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Total Sales Revenue
Total sales revenue for the fiscal year ended 30th September 2024 was THB340,289 million, an increase of 2.2% compared to the same period last year, driven by growth in Beverage and Food segments.
Beer Business Growth
Beer business recorded sales revenue of THB126,332 million in 2024, an increase of 2.4% year-on-year, with a net profit increase of 3.9% due to lower raw material costs and improved operational efficiencies.
Non-Alcoholic Beverages Performance
Non-alcoholic beverages saw a 4.2% year-on-year rise in sales revenue to THB65,802 million, with a 9.3% increase in net profit, supported by lower packaging costs and enhanced production efficiency.
Strong Performance in Myanmar Market
The spirits market in Myanmar showed improvement in sales revenue and EBITDA.
Successful Business Restructuring
Completed a share swap transaction increasing IBIL's percentage interest in Fraser and Neave Limited shares from 28.31% to 69.64%, making ThaiBev the holding company of F&N.
Negative Updates
Spirits Business Net Profit Decline
Despite a 0.8% increase in sales revenue, the spirits business saw a 4.6% year-on-year decline in net profit to THB21,385 million due to higher raw material costs and increased brand and marketing investments.
Food Business Net Profit Decline
Food business registered a 5.5% year-on-year increase in sales revenue but net profit fell to THB301 million due to higher raw material costs, increased operational expenses, and decreased one-time fair value gains.
Decline in Other Business
Other business segments, including publishing and printing, saw a decline in sales revenue by 6% year-on-year to THB5,400 million, mainly due to lower international printing demand.
Company Guidance
During the Thai Beverage Fiscal Year 2024 Results Call, the company reported a total sales revenue of THB340,289 million, reflecting a 2.2% increase from the previous year, driven by growth in both the Beverage and Food segments. The net profit for the fiscal year was THB35,270 million, marking a 0.6% rise compared to the prior year. The company's beer business saw a 2.4% increase in sales revenue to THB126,332 million, aided by a rebound in tourism and favorable weather, while the non-alcoholic beverages segment posted a 4.2% rise in sales revenue to THB65,802 million. The spirits business reported a modest 0.8% revenue increase to THB120,728 million, yet experienced a 4.6% decline in net profit due to higher raw material costs. The Board proposed a full-year dividend of THB11,810 million or THB0.62 per share, with the final dividend set at THB0.47 per share.

Thai Beverage Public Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thai Beverage Public Co exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability, and efficient cash flow management. The company manages its leverage prudently, though there is potential to enhance equity utilization. The stable financial foundation positions the company well for future growth and resilience in the competitive beverage industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Thai Beverage Public Co has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 21.92% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is robust at 30.33%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 8.00%. The EBIT margin stands at 11.00%, and the EBITDA margin is 18.12%, indicating efficient operations. Overall, the company shows solid profitability and growth, with opportunities for further margin improvements.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62, reflecting manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 18.24%, which is strong, indicating efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is 28.28%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the company maintains a stable financial position, there is room to optimize equity utilization further.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Thai Beverage Public Co has increased its free cash flow by 5.98% year-over-year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.40, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.05, showing effective conversion of earnings to cash. The company demonstrates solid cash flow management, supporting its growth strategy.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
270.70B340.29B279.09B272.36B240.54B253.48B
Gross Profit
80.79B103.21B82.80B80.46B71.48B74.86B
EBIT
34.41B37.44B36.25B46.74B39.55B41.55B
EBITDA
43.96B61.65B49.24B46.34B47.38B48.11B
Net Income Common Stockholders
29.21B27.22B27.43B30.11B24.64B22.75B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
46.26B54.12B45.73B54.03B40.05B34.70B
Total Assets
496.20B527.59B494.55B507.79B472.59B433.52B
Total Debt
213.74B241.39B209.26B214.45B225.38B176.60B
Net Debt
167.54B187.32B194.43B196.25B210.00B161.45B
Total Liabilities
255.69B298.54B253.03B258.40B262.41B254.12B
Stockholders Equity
200.71B149.21B201.32B205.75B170.96B142.60B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
37.17B28.66B30.34B41.51B28.51B32.62B
Operating Cash Flow
43.09B38.08B31.97B45.01B32.07B37.27B
Investing Cash Flow
-5.26B1.49B-6.85B-10.47B-11.66B-7.52B
Financing Cash Flow
-29.87B-31.74B-32.21B-30.67B-20.37B-24.95B

Thai Beverage Public Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.46
Price Trends
50DMA
0.48
Negative
100DMA
0.49
Negative
200DMA
0.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
37.73
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:Y92, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.47, below the 50-day MA of 0.48, and below the 200-day MA of 0.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SG:Y92.

Thai Beverage Public Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SGY92
70
Outperform
$11.81B11.4915.42%5.00%33.63%1.49%
65
Neutral
$8.89B14.914.67%6.16%3.60%-2.89%
$1.41B12.665.21%3.70%
$357.57M10.7312.79%4.05%
SGQ01
76
Outperform
S$488.98M14.107.04%5.88%1.20%26.15%
SGY03
S$359.04M52.251.19%3.45%
SGF03
79
Outperform
S$996.50M13.7917.74%3.35%11.26%-7.30%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:Y92
Thai Beverage Public Co
0.46
0.01
2.91%
FNEVF
Fraser & Neave
0.97
0.22
29.33%
PEFDF
Delfi
0.60
-0.02
-3.23%
SG:Q01
QAF Ltd.
0.85
0.10
13.33%
SG:Y03
Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd
0.58
0.04
7.41%
SG:F03
Food Empire Holdings Limited
1.79
0.83
86.46%

Thai Beverage Public Co Corporate Events

Thai Beverage Launches $2 Billion Debt Issuance Programme
Jun 4, 2025

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited has announced the establishment of a $2 billion multicurrency debt issuance programme, appointing DBS Bank Ltd. as the sole arranger and dealer. This strategic move allows the company to issue notes and perpetual securities in various currencies, enhancing its financial flexibility and potentially strengthening its market position by diversifying its funding sources.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:Y92) stock is a Buy with a S$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thai Beverage Public Co stock, see the SG:Y92 Stock Forecast page.

ThaiBev Announces 2025 Annual Information Meeting for Shareholders
May 16, 2025

ThaiBev has announced its 2025 Annual Information Meeting for shareholders in Singapore, scheduled for June 20, 2025, at the InterContinental Hotel. This meeting provides an opportunity for shareholders to engage with key directors and management, offering insights into the company’s business operations and updates. The event will include a presentation and a Q&A session, with materials available online post-meeting. Due to limited seating, reservations are required, and no resolutions will be considered during this informal gathering.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:Y92) stock is a Buy with a S$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thai Beverage Public Co stock, see the SG:Y92 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.