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Olam Group (SG:VC2)
SGX:VC2

Olam Group (VC2) AI Stock Analysis

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Olam Group

(SGX:VC2)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
S$1.00
▲(8.70%Upside)
The overall score reflects strong revenue growth and operational efficiency but is tempered by high leverage and cash flow constraints. The technical indicators suggest caution, and the valuation appears stretched with a high P/E ratio. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strong segment performance, yet concerns remain about finance costs and cash flow.

Olam Group (VC2) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

Olam Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOlam Group (VC2) is a leading global agribusiness company engaged in the sourcing, processing, and distribution of agricultural products and food ingredients. With operations spanning various sectors such as edible nuts, spices, dairy, grains, and more, Olam is dedicated to meeting the growing global demand for food and agricultural resources. The company focuses on sustainable practices to enhance food security and improve the livelihood of communities across its supply chain.
How the Company Makes MoneyOlam Group makes money through its diverse revenue streams, primarily driven by the sourcing, processing, and distribution of agricultural commodities and ingredients. The company operates an integrated supply chain, capturing value at multiple stages, from farm to fork. Key revenue streams include the sale of processed goods, logistics services, and value-added solutions in sectors such as edible nuts, cocoa, coffee, grains, and dairy. Olam's extensive global reach and strategic partnerships with farmers, suppliers, and customers enhance its ability to secure and deliver high-quality products efficiently. The company's focus on sustainable practices and innovation in agriculture also contributes to its financial performance and market competitiveness.

Olam Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -8.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and EBIT growth, particularly in ofi and Olam Agri, despite challenging market conditions and elevated commodity prices. However, significant finance costs, currency impacts, and specific business challenges present notable concerns.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Volume Achievements
Olam Group achieved nearly 50 million tons in volumes and crossed SGD50 billion in revenues for the first time. EBIT increased by 9% to SGD1.9 billion, with Olam ofi and Olam Agri each contributing over SGD1 billion in EBIT.
Strong Performance of ofi
ofi delivered a 29.1% increase in EBIT to SGD1.07 billion, driven by strong growth in Ingredients & Solutions. Invested capital grew by 47% to SGD26 billion, primarily due to elevated commodity prices.
Olam Agri's Resilience in a Downturn
Olam Agri's EBIT grew by 5.8% to SGD1.024 billion, with a 14% increase in volumes. The segment remained relatively stable despite a cyclical downturn in the industry.
Significant Growth in Ingredients & Solutions
ofi's Ingredients & Solutions segment now accounts for 70% of its EBIT, reflecting a strategic focus on value-added products.
Successful Portfolio Management
Despite market volatility, Olam managed its capital effectively, with some inventories being self-liquidating and a robust liquidity buffer of SGD25 billion.
Negative Updates
High Finance Costs and Negative Cash Flow
Higher net finance costs due to elevated commodity prices led to negative free cash flow of SGD5.9 billion and increased gearing from 1.73x to 2.79x.
Currency Impact on Processing & Value-added Segment
Currency depreciation in Nigeria affected margins in the Processing & Value-added segment, reducing them from SGD143 to SGD115 per ton.
Challenges in Fiber Business
The Fiber business underperformed, contributing to lower returns in the Fiber, Agri-industrials, and Ag Services segment.
Non-Cash Translation Losses
The Remaining Olam Group faced a significant non-cash translation loss due to currency fluctuations, impacting overall profitability.
Company Guidance
In the recent call discussing Olam Group's 2024 financial results, several key metrics were highlighted. The group achieved nearly 50 million tons in volume and crossed SGD50 billion in revenue for the first time, despite not typically tracking revenue due to uncontrollable commodity prices. EBIT, a crucial operational metric, increased by 9% to SGD1.9 billion, while PATMI was SGD86.4 million, affected by higher net finance costs due to elevated commodity prices. Consequently, free cash flow to equity was negative SGD5.9 billion, and gearing rose from 1.73x to 2.79x. However, adjusted gearing remained stable at 0.68x, reflecting the liquidity of the business. The operational PATMI was higher at SGD216 million, with segmental contributions of over SGD1 billion in EBIT from both Olam ofi and Olam Agri. Revenue increased by 16.3%, driven primarily by ofi, which also saw a significant 29.1% EBIT growth. Olam Agri's EBIT grew by 5.8%, with volume growth of 12.5% largely from the Food & Feed platform and Origination & Merchandising segment. Despite challenges such as high commodity prices, the group maintained a strong liquidity position with SGD25 billion in available capital.

Olam Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Olam Group demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but profitability at the net level is under pressure. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which could be risky, while cash flow constraints indicate potential liquidity issues. Overall, the company needs to manage its debt levels and improve cash flow generation to ensure sustainable growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Olam Group's revenue has shown a strong growth trend, with a significant increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin is robust, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has declined, suggesting increased operational costs or other expenses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a leveraged position that could pose risks in volatile markets. However, the return on equity is positive, showing that the company is generating returns for its shareholders. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a balanced approach between debt and equity financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Olam Group faces challenges in cash flow, with negative free cash flow indicating more capital outflows than inflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, suggesting cash generation issues. However, the company managed to finance its activities adequately, as seen in its financing cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
56.28B48.27B54.90B47.00B35.82B
Gross Profit
4.96B4.26B54.99B3.98B3.10B
EBIT
4.96B2.16B1.57B1.25B665.64M
EBITDA
4.96B2.50B2.35B1.95B1.26B
Net Income Common Stockholders
86.42M278.72M629.09M686.43M189.26M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.33B3.58B4.81B4.32B3.12B
Total Assets
45.23B33.35B31.95B32.06B26.70B
Total Debt
23.09B16.29B16.15B16.71B14.16B
Net Debt
19.77B13.04B11.80B13.42B11.92B
Total Liabilities
37.91B25.68B23.87B25.28B20.67B
Stockholders Equity
7.01B7.33B7.66B6.77B5.96B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-5.98B-1.03B153.20M-2.96M-757.46M
Operating Cash Flow
-5.32B-334.60M964.60M690.50M-78.50M
Investing Cash Flow
-618.80M-580.19M984.76M-1.72B-513.70M
Financing Cash Flow
5.37B-214.37M-1.34B2.36B610.71M

Olam Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.92
Price Trends
50DMA
0.91
Positive
100DMA
0.98
Negative
200DMA
1.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
52.13
Neutral
STOCH
79.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:VC2, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.92, above the 50-day MA of 0.91, and below the 200-day MA of 1.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SG:VC2.

Olam Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SGP8Z
74
Outperform
€1.30B6.7416.33%9.38%3.60%-10.76%
SGUD2
73
Outperform
S$1.26B8.1114.25%3.37%3.73%
SGF34
71
Outperform
$18.98B12.145.84%5.08%-0.24%-23.64%
SG5JS
70
Outperform
S$439.71M4.667.94%3.17%-4.59%74.87%
SGE5H
67
Neutral
$3.17B6.517.27%3.37%11.22%84.13%
65
Neutral
$8.88B15.054.75%203.76%3.54%-2.50%
SGVC2
60
Neutral
$3.50B64.691.32%6.27%16.34%-83.55%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:VC2
Olam Group
0.92
-0.21
-18.73%
SG:5JS
Indofood Agri Resources Ltd.
0.31
0.03
10.71%
SG:E5H
Golden Agri-Resources
0.25
>-0.01
-2.34%
SG:F34
Wilmar International
3.04
0.10
3.30%
SG:UD2
Japfa Ltd.
0.62
0.32
110.62%
SG:P8Z
Bumitama Agri Ltd.
0.79
0.17
27.63%

Olam Group Corporate Events

Olam Group Allocates Treasury Shares for Director Remuneration
Jun 4, 2025

Olam Group Limited has announced the transfer of 320,100 treasury shares to its Non-Executive Directors as part of their remuneration for the financial year ending December 31, 2024. This move, valued at S$304,223.04, reflects the company’s strategy to manage its equity and incentivize its leadership, slightly reducing its treasury shares from 61,550,800 to 61,230,700, which impacts the percentage of treasury shares against the total number of ordinary shares outstanding.

Olam Agri Secures $1.85 Billion Financing to Bolster Operations
May 30, 2025

Olam Agri, part of Olam Group, has secured a US$1,850 million dual tranche financing facility to support its operations. This facility, comprising a conventional and an Islamic tranche, will be used for general corporate purposes and reflects Olam Agri’s strategic financial planning as it prepares for its demerger. The financing underscores Olam Agri’s robust market positioning and commitment to sustainable growth in the global agri-business sector.

Olam Group Restructures Board Committees with New EXCO Formation
May 29, 2025

Olam Group Limited, a company incorporated in Singapore, has announced changes to its board committees with the formation of a new Board Executive Committee (EXCO). This development leads to the dissolution of the Board Strategy and Execution Committee. The reorganization of the board committees is aimed at enhancing the company’s governance structure, potentially impacting its strategic decision-making processes and stakeholder engagement.

Olam Group Holds Fourth Annual General Meeting
May 25, 2025

Olam Group Limited held its Fourth Annual General Meeting on April 25, 2025, at the Marina Bay Sands Convention Centre in Singapore. The meeting was attended by the company’s Board of Directors, management, shareholders, and representatives from its auditors and legal counsels. The AGM provided a platform for discussing the company’s strategic direction and operational performance, reflecting Olam’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

Olam Group Announces Board and Committee Reshuffle
Apr 30, 2025

Olam Group Limited, a company incorporated in Singapore, has announced changes to its Board and Board Committees effective from May 1, 2025. The changes include the appointment of Mr. Dinesh Khanna as an Alternate Director to Mr. Nagi Hamiyeh, and Mr. Yasuaki Matsuo as a Non-Executive Director, replacing Mr. Yuji Tsushima. Mr. Matsuo will also join the Sustainability and Risk Committees. These adjustments reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its governance structure and enhance its strategic oversight capabilities.

Olam Group’s ofi Secures $350 Million Loan to Enhance Financial Flexibility
Apr 28, 2025

Olam Group’s subsidiary, olam food ingredients (ofi), has secured a US$350 million term loan facility with a two-year tenor, initially guaranteed by Olam Group Limited. The loan, involving DBS and ICBC as lead arrangers, will be used for refinancing existing loans and general corporate purposes, with the guarantee transferring to ofi Group Limited following its planned IPO and demerger. This financial move is expected to support ofi’s operational flexibility and strategic positioning in the global food and beverage ingredients market.

Olam Group Announces Board and Committee Restructuring
Apr 25, 2025

Olam Group Limited, a company incorporated in Singapore, has announced significant changes to its Board and Board Committees effective April 25, 2025. These changes include the stepping down of Ms. Marie Elaine Teo as an Independent and Non-Executive Director, the separation of the Audit and Risk Committee into two distinct committees, and the appointment of Mr. Tran Phuoc (Lucas) as the new Chairman of the Audit Committee. These adjustments are poised to impact the company’s governance structure, potentially enhancing its strategic execution and risk management capabilities.

Olam Group Advances Re-organization with Strategic Divestments and Investments
Apr 14, 2025

Olam Group has announced the next steps in its re-organization plan, following the proposed sale of its remaining stake in Olam Agri to SALIC. The plan includes right-sizing the Remaining Olam Group’s capital structure by allocating $2 billion to eliminate debt, investing $500 million into ofi for strategic growth, and divesting all remaining assets to distribute proceeds to shareholders. The re-organization aims to focus on value creation for ofi, with funding sourced from the sale of Olam Agri and asset divestments.

Olam Group’s 2024 Annual Report Highlights Growth and Strategic Milestones
Apr 9, 2025

Olam Group Limited has released its 2024 Annual Report, showcasing significant financial growth and strategic achievements, including EBIT growth, increased sales volumes, and improved cash flow. A notable milestone in their Re-organisation Plan is the proposed sale of a 44.58% interest in Olam Agri to SALIC for approximately US$1.78 billion, paving the way for further strategic options, including a potential IPO for ofi. The company continues to prioritize sustainability, with efforts to comply with the EU Deforestation Regulation and initiatives to enhance farmer incomes, alongside improving climate-related disclosures and ratings.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.