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Serve Robotics Inc (SERV)
NASDAQ:SERV
US Market

Serve Robotics Inc (SERV) AI Stock Analysis

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SERV

Serve Robotics Inc

(NASDAQ:SERV)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(36.45% Upside)
Serve Robotics Inc's overall score is driven by strong operational achievements and market momentum, despite ongoing profitability challenges. The earnings call provided positive guidance, but the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates successful market expansion and increased demand for Serve Robotics' services, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with DoorDash enhances Serve Robotics' market penetration and competitive positioning, providing a robust platform for future growth.
Fleet Expansion
The rapid expansion of the robot fleet demonstrates Serve Robotics' operational scalability and commitment to meeting growing delivery demands.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent negative margins highlight ongoing profitability challenges, which could hinder long-term financial health and require strategic cost management.
High Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses may pressure Serve Robotics' financial resources, necessitating improved efficiency to sustain growth and profitability.
Negative EBITDA
Negative EBITDA reflects ongoing operational inefficiencies, which could impact Serve Robotics' ability to generate positive cash flow and invest in growth.

Serve Robotics Inc (SERV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Serve Robotics Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionServe Robotics Inc (SERV) is a technology company specializing in autonomous delivery robots, primarily serving the food and beverage sector. The company focuses on creating last-mile delivery solutions that leverage robotics and artificial intelligence to enhance efficiency and convenience. With a commitment to sustainability and innovation, Serve Robotics aims to revolutionize urban logistics through its fleet of self-driving delivery robots that navigate sidewalks and public spaces.
How the Company Makes MoneyServe Robotics generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by partnering with restaurants, grocery stores, and delivery platforms to provide autonomous delivery services. The company typically charges a fee per delivery, which can be structured as a flat rate or a percentage of the order value. Additionally, Serve Robotics may earn income from licensing its technology and software to other companies looking to implement similar delivery solutions. Strategic partnerships with major brands and integration with existing delivery networks further enhance their revenue potential, while ongoing maintenance and support services for their robotic systems contribute to long-term earnings.

Serve Robotics Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as reaching deployment milestones, revenue growth, and strategic partnerships, indicating strong operational and financial progress. However, the negative EBITDA and high operating expenses present challenges that need addressing.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Deployment Milestone
Serve Robotics crossed the threshold of deploying 1,000 robots, marking a significant inflection point in their operations.
Delivery Volume and Reliability Increase
The company achieved nearly 100% delivery reliability, with a 66% increase in delivery volume in a single quarter.
Expansion of Partnerships
Serve Robotics announced a partnership with DoorDash, expanding their reach to over 80% of the US food delivery market along with Uber.
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $687,000, a 210% increase compared to last year, with fleet revenue becoming the predictable growth engine.
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of YU Robotics is expected to enhance autonomous delivery capabilities and reduce data infrastructure costs.
Operational Expansion
Serve Robotics expanded its fleet size 10x, cities 5x, and major platform partners 2x within a year.
Financial Stability
The company ended the quarter with $211 million in cash and marketable securities, maintaining a debt-free balance sheet.
Negative Updates
Negative EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was negative $24.9 million, driven by operational expansion expected to enhance efficiency through 2026.
High Operating Expenses
GAAP operating expenses for Q3 were $30.4 million, increasing due to investments in market launches and operational capabilities.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Serve Robotics provided several metrics indicating significant growth and expansion. The company crossed the milestone of deploying 1,000 robots, representing a 10-fold increase in fleet size within a year. Delivery reliability approached 100%, with delivery volume increasing by 66% in a single quarter. Serve Robotics now delivers for over 3,600 restaurants, marking a 45% increase from the previous quarter and a ninefold increase year-over-year. Financially, Q3 revenue reached $687,000, up 210% compared to the previous year, driven by a 120% sequential jump in branding revenue and a shift towards recurring software revenue. The company ended the quarter with $211 million in cash and marketable securities, and projected full-year 2025 revenue of over $2.5 million, with fleet revenues expected to grow threefold year-over-year. Serve Robotics aims to achieve an annualized revenue run rate of $60 to $80 million, with plans to deploy 2,000 robots by the end of 2025, and anticipates a 10x revenue inflection in 2026.

Serve Robotics Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Serve Robotics Inc is experiencing strong revenue growth, but profitability and cash flow management remain significant challenges. The company has low leverage, which is a positive aspect, but needs to address its negative margins and improve operational efficiency to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Serve Robotics Inc has shown a significant revenue growth rate of 31.42% TTM, indicating potential market expansion. However, the company is struggling with negative margins across the board, including a net profit margin of -37.29% and an EBIT margin of -37.75%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.012, suggesting minimal leverage risk. However, the negative return on equity of -36.47% TTM highlights inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholder investments, and the equity ratio is not favorable.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Despite a positive free cash flow growth rate of 47.15% TTM, Serve Robotics Inc faces challenges with negative operating cash flow and a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.51, indicating cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.94M1.81M207.54K107.82K0.00
Gross Profit-9.36M-75.16K-1.52M-1.04M0.00
EBITDA-76.99M-37.98M-17.39M-20.83M-21.62M
Net Income-80.21M-39.19M-24.81M-21.86M-21.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets299.51M139.60M2.80M8.54M8.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments210.45M123.27M6.76K2.72M7.97M
Total Debt4.15M2.34M4.37M7.48M0.00
Total Liabilities15.24M7.92M6.84M21.00M336.31K
Stockholders Equity284.27M131.68M-4.03M-12.45M8.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-82.96M-31.79M-15.98M-25.05M-10.87M
Operating Cash Flow-56.86M-21.54M-15.97M-21.40M-10.71M
Investing Cash Flow-127.07M-10.32M-4.91K-4.06M-258.73K
Financing Cash Flow249.80M155.12M13.27M20.21M18.93M

Serve Robotics Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.26
Price Trends
50DMA
11.95
Negative
100DMA
11.67
Negative
200DMA
10.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
43.86
Neutral
STOCH
9.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SERV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.08, below the 50-day MA of 11.95, and below the 200-day MA of 10.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SERV.

Serve Robotics Inc Risk Analysis

Serve Robotics Inc disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Serve Robotics Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Serve Robotics Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$35.39B-378.69-8.09%24.80%-31.37%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$17.92M1.0521.29%-1.36%
60
Neutral
$764.20M-6.87-47.18%15.84%-71.99%
55
Neutral
$8.05B-9.24-37.27%5.46%
47
Neutral
$20.67M-109.96-0.73%19.84%95.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SERV
Serve Robotics Inc
10.26
-4.47
-30.35%
CVV
CVD Equipment
2.98
-0.84
-21.99%
GTEC
Greenland Technologies Holding
1.03
-0.91
-46.91%
SYM
Symbotic
59.00
33.47
131.10%
AUR
Aurora Innovation
4.16
-2.82
-40.40%
RR
Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B
3.54
1.58
80.61%

Serve Robotics Inc Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serve Robotics Reports Strong Q3 Results and Expansion
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Serve Robotics Inc. announced its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 66% increase in delivery volume and a 209% rise in revenue compared to the same period in 2024. The company also expanded its market presence by launching in Chicago and forming a strategic partnership with DoorDash. Serve ended the quarter with a strong liquidity position and raised $100 million through a direct share offering, positioning itself for significant growth, including a projected 10x revenue increase in 2026.

Private Placements and Financing
Serve Robotics Inc Announces $100M Stock Offering
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Serve Robotics Inc. announced a securities purchase agreement with institutional investors to sell 6,250,000 shares of common stock through a registered direct offering, expected to generate approximately $100 million in gross proceeds. The offering, set to close on October 14, 2025, aims to fund general corporate purposes, including working capital and capital expenditures, and involves Northland Securities as the exclusive placement agent.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Serve Robotics Partners with DoorDash for Robot Deliveries
Positive
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Serve Robotics Inc. announced a strategic partnership with DoorDash to expand the use of its autonomous delivery robots on the DoorDash platform, starting in Los Angeles with plans to extend to other cities. This collaboration is part of DoorDash’s strategy to integrate various delivery methods, including robots, to meet growing demand while reducing emissions and traffic, and it positions Serve Robotics to increase its delivery volume and market reach.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Serve Robotics Deploys 1,000th Autonomous Delivery Robot
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Serve Robotics Inc. announced the deployment of its 1,000th third-generation autonomous delivery robot, marking a significant milestone in its operations. The company remains on track to achieve its goal of deploying 2,000 robots by the end of 2025, which underscores its commitment to expanding its presence in the delivery sector and enhancing its market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025