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Serve Robotics Inc (SERV)
NASDAQ:SERV
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Serve Robotics Inc
(NASDAQ:SERV)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▼(-0.40%Downside)
Serve Robotics Inc (SERV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$573.52M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)5.31M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.47
Revenue Growth17.26%
EPS Growth-32.57%
CountryUS
Employees120
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryIndustrial - Machinery
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.23
Shares Outstanding57,123,356
10 Day Avg. Volume4,258,191
30 Day Avg. Volume5,312,601
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.22
Price to Book (P/B)-70.61
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio-35.10
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.54
Enterprise Value/Revenue139.90
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit-413.50
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-6.20
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$20.00Price Target Upside99.20% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
Serve Robotics Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionServe Robotics Inc. designs, develops, and operates low-emission robots that serve people in public spaces with food delivery in the United States. It builds self-driving delivery robots. The company was formerly known as Patricia Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to Serve Robotics Inc. in July 2023. Serve Robotics Inc. was founded in 2017 and is based in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyServe Robotics Inc generates revenue through a combination of direct sales, service agreements, and partnership collaborations. The company sells its autonomous delivery robots to businesses and logistics companies seeking to optimize their delivery operations. Additionally, Serve Robotics offers service contracts for maintenance and software updates, ensuring optimal performance of deployed units. Strategic partnerships with retail and food delivery companies also contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations often include revenue-sharing models and exclusive service agreements, allowing Serve Robotics to expand its market reach and drive adoption of its technology.
Serve Robotics Inc Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
| % Change Since: 53.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Serve Robotics demonstrated strong growth in revenue and operational efficiency, with significant fleet expansion and new market launches. However, the company continues to face high operating expenses and negative EBITDA, reflecting the upfront costs of scaling. Overall, the positive achievements in growth and expansion outweigh these financial challenges.Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Fleet Expansion
Serve Robotics built 250 new third-generation robots in Q1, with a target to deploy 2,000 robots by the end of the year. This expansion resulted in a 75% increase in delivery volume over the quarter.
Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q1 2025 increased 150% sequentially to $440,000. This growth was driven by $229,000 in software services and a 20% increase in fleet revenues, totaling $212,000.
Increased Operational Efficiency
The company managed to reduce the percentage of deliveries failing to meet the internal delivery deadline by 65% compared to the previous year, while maintaining a consistent average delivery drop-off time.
Strong Capital Position
Serve Robotics raised an additional $91 million in Q1, ending the quarter with $198 million on the balance sheet, providing strategic flexibility.
Market Expansion
New markets were launched in Miami and Dallas, with plans to launch in Atlanta by the end of Q2. The company also increased its presence in LA, now serving over 320 households and 1,500 restaurants, a 50% increase since the last update.
Negative Updates
Operating Expenses Increase
Total GAAP operating expenses were $13.5 million in Q1, up from $12.9 million in Q4 and $8.3 million in the same quarter last year. Non-GAAP operating expenses also increased.
Continued Negative EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was negative $7.1 million, an improvement from the previous quarter but still negative as the company absorbs upfront expansion costs.
High Startup Costs
Total cost of revenues increased by approximately $1 million due to startup costs related to scaling up the fleet and launching in new markets.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Serve Robotics provided guidance indicating significant growth and expansion, with key metrics highlighting their progress. They built 250 new third-generation robots, aiming to deploy a total of 2,000 by the end of the year. The company's delivery volume increased by over 75% throughout the quarter, with expectations for 60% to 75% quarter-over-quarter growth in Q2. Revenue for Q1 jumped 150% sequentially to $440,000, driven by software services and a 20% increase in fleet revenues. Serve Robotics raised an additional $91 million, ending the quarter with $198 million in cash, and projects an annualized revenue run rate of $60 million to $80 million once the full fleet is operational. They plan to launch in Atlanta by the end of Q2 and have agreements for software platform revenues starting in Q2, indicating a strategic diversification in their revenue streams.Serve Robotics Inc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Serve Robotics Inc displays a challenging financial position with ongoing profitability issues and high dependency on external financing. While there is potential for growth given recent revenue increases and equity improvements, the company's operational inefficiencies and cash flow challenges present significant risks.Income Statement
Serve Robotics Inc shows significant challenges in profitability with negative gross profit and net income consistently over the years. The recent revenue growth is promising, but the company still faces high EBIT and EBITDA losses, indicating ongoing operational inefficiencies.15
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals substantial improvement in stockholders' equity due to the latest financing activities. However, the company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting reliance on debt financing, and a low equity ratio, indicating potential financial instability.40
Negative
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement shows negative free and operating cash flows, with heavy reliance on financing activities for cash inflow. Despite a recent infusion of cash, the company struggles to generate cash from operations, raising concerns about long-term sustainability.30
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.31M | 1.81M | 207.54K | 107.82K | 0.00 |
| Gross Profit | -2.14M | -75.16K | -1.52M | -1.04M | -42.47K |
| EBITDA | -45.05M | -37.98M | -17.39M | -20.83M | -10.58M |
| Net Income | -43.37M | -39.19M | -24.81M | -21.86M | -21.67M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 216.59M | 139.60M | 2.80M | 8.54M | 8.66M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 197.76M | 123.27M | 6.76K | 2.72M | 7.97M |
| Total Debt | 1.89M | 2.34M | 4.37M | 7.48M | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 6.43M | 7.92M | 6.84M | 21.00M | 336.31K |
| Stockholders Equity | 210.16M | 131.68M | -4.03M | -12.45M | 8.32M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -40.64M | -31.79M | -15.98M | -25.05M | -10.87M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -26.93M | -21.54M | -15.97M | -21.40M | -10.71M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -13.61M | -10.32M | -4.91K | -4.06M | -258.73K |
| Financing Cash Flow | 237.87M | 155.12M | 13.27M | 20.21M | 18.93M |
Serve Robotics Inc Technical Analysis
Negative
10.04
Price Trends
10.31
Negative
8.81
Positive
10.68
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.06
Positive
43.77
Neutral
19.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SERV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.84, below the 50-day MA of 10.31, and below the 200-day MA of 10.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SERV.
Serve Robotics Inc Risk Analysis
Serve Robotics Inc disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Serve Robotics Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Serve Robotics Inc Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
57 Neutral | $42.65M | 30.96 | -1.24% | ― | -25.94% | -108.22% | |
56 Neutral | $5.68B | 21.52 | -28.61% | 5.64% | 10.78% | -31.78% | |
54 Neutral | $55.39M | ― | -38.88% | ― | 44.03% | -231.69% | |
50 Neutral | $573.52M | ― | -43.04% | ― | 17.26% | -32.57% | |
49 Neutral | $15.49M | ― | -90.36% | ― | -87.59% | 51.14% | |
| ― | $152.88M | ― | ― | ― | ― | ||
| ― | $208.94M | ― | -37.39% | ― | ― | ― |
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
SERV
Serve Robotics Inc
10.04
7.74
336.52%
BWEN
Broadwind Energy
1.88
-1.60
-45.98%
CETY
Clean Energy Technologies
0.25
-1.00
-80.00%
SHMD
SCHMID Group NV
3.14
-1.56
-33.19%
LASE
Laser Photonics Corp.
3.88
1.90
95.96%
RR
Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B
1.82
0.68
59.65%
Serve Robotics Inc Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Serve Robotics Inc Confirms Director Elections and Key Proposals
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025
At the 2025 annual meeting of Serve Robotics Inc. held on June 12, 2025, stockholders voted on several key proposals. The election of two directors, Lily Sarafan and Olivier Vincent, to serve as Class II directors until 2028 was confirmed. Additionally, the selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified. Furthermore, an amendment to the 2023 Equity Incentive Plan to increase the number of shares authorized for issuance was approved. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic direction and governance priorities.
The most recent analyst rating on (SERV) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Serve Robotics Inc stock, see the SERV Stock Forecast page.
Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serve Robotics Inc Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
May 8, 2025
On May 8, 2025, Serve Robotics Inc. announced its first-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting the successful deployment of 250 new third-generation robots and expansion into Miami and Dallas. The company reported a 150% increase in revenue compared to Q4 2024, reaching $440,000, and strengthened its balance sheet with $91.5 million in new capital. Serve also expanded its merchant partnerships significantly and is on track to deploy 2,000 robots by the end of the year, aiming for a $60-$80 million annualized revenue run-rate once fully deployed. The company is also focusing on monetizing its software and data platform, expecting recurring revenue from new key customers.
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.