Origin Agritech Limited (SEED)
NASDAQ:SEED
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Origin Agritech
(NASDAQ:SEED)
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Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(13.64% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (volatile results, negative cash generation, and a stressed balance sheet with negative equity and higher debt). Technicals provide some support due to an uptrend versus major moving averages, but overbought signals and loss-driven valuation (negative P/E) limit the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Business Model & Market Position
Origin Agritech’s core model—proprietary seed breeding, trait development and commercial seed sales—is structurally durable. Proprietary varieties and trait IP create recurring product cycles and licensing potential, supporting long-term revenue streams and market positioning in China’s agricultural inputs sector.
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Health
Negative equity and a sharp 2025 debt increase materially weaken financial flexibility. This elevated leverage raises refinancing and covenant risk, constrains ability to fund scaling of production or trials internally, and increases reliance on dilutive financings or costly debt over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Business Model & Market Position
Origin Agritech’s core model—proprietary seed breeding, trait development and commercial seed sales—is structurally durable. Proprietary varieties and trait IP create recurring product cycles and licensing potential, supporting long-term revenue streams and market positioning in China’s agricultural inputs sector.
Read all positive factors
Origin Agritech (SEED) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$15.91M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.25M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.81
Revenue Growth-21.82%
EPS Growth-104.92%
CountryUS
Employees68
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryAgricultural Inputs
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.50
Shares Outstanding12,143,526
10 Day Avg. Volume6,011,928
30 Day Avg. Volume2,246,586
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)-2.76
Price to Sales (P/S)0.72
P/FCF Ratio-1.80
Enterprise Value/Market Cap6.43
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.12
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit15.96
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-1.89
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Origin Agritech Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in crop seed breeding and genetic improvement activities. It develops...
How the Company Makes Money
Origin Agritech primarily generates revenue from the commercialization of crop seeds and related agricultural technology services. Key revenue streams include: (1) seed product sales—income from selling proprietary seed varieties through distribut...
Origin Agritech Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2025
(Q4-2024)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and technological advancements, such as the GMO safety certificate and gene editing breakthroughs. However, these were tempered by challenges including decreased net income and increased expenses.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Origin Agritech achieved a revenue of $16.2 million in fiscal year 2024, representing a 24.6% increase from the previous year.
Negative Updates
Decreased Net Income
Net income from continuing operations was $2.7 million, down from $8.7 million in the prior year due to one-time gains.
Read all updates
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth
Origin Agritech achieved a revenue of $16.2 million in fiscal year 2024, representing a 24.6% increase from the previous year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Origin Agritech Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Weibin Yan and CFO Patrick Cheng presented a comprehensive update on the company's financial and strategic performance. The company reported a 24.6% increase in revenue, reaching $16.2 million, primarily driven by increased corn seed sales. Origin Agritech achieved significant milestones, including obtaining a GMO safety certificate for their BBL2-2 transgenic maize and advancing gene editing technology. While general and administrative expenses rose to $5.1 million, reflecting investments in talent and systems, R&D spending also increased to $1.5 million. The company's net income from continuing operations was $2.7 million, down from the previous year's $8.7 million due to one-time gains from subsidiary disposals. With $1.2 million in cash and cash equivalents, Origin Agritech aims for cash flow breakeven and plans further expansion, targeting a top-five position in China's corn seed industry by 2030-2032. The call emphasized the company's strategic roadmap and confidence in achieving long-term growth and profitability through biotechnology innovation and expanded seed offerings.Origin Agritech Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
| Breakdown | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 90.12M | 113.38M | 93.31M | 52.58M | 46.42M |
| Gross Profit | 6.31M | 16.07M | 17.25M | 16.19M | 12.81M |
| EBITDA | -51.64M | 23.08M | 67.84M | -8.99M | -59.77M |
| Net Income | -52.64M | 20.71M | 55.33M | -6.26M | -91.53M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 100.67M | 131.56M | 238.51M | 135.96M | 119.04M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 15.91M | 8.38M | 23.71M | 17.67M | 15.35M |
| Total Debt | 54.27M | 5.08M | 241.00K | 139.28M | 140.77M |
| Total Liabilities | 151.71M | 190.16M | 319.77M | 308.60M | 304.64M |
| Stockholders Equity | -23.34M | -31.29M | -57.40M | -133.87M | -140.67M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -35.92M | -20.00M | -17.66M | 2.67M | -26.79M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -22.57M | -15.03M | -5.46M | 3.29M | -25.08M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -14.28M | -4.97M | -11.22M | -1.10M | -1.21M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 44.47M | 4.50M | 22.93M | -332.00K | 19.84M |
Origin Agritech Technical Analysis
Positive
1.32
Price Trends
1.18
Positive
1.23
Positive
1.23
Positive
Market Momentum
0.04
Negative
55.10
Neutral
53.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SEED, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.25, above the 50-day MA of 1.18, and above the 200-day MA of 1.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SEED.
Origin Agritech Risk Analysis
Origin Agritech disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Origin Agritech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Origin Agritech Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
48 Neutral | $97.02M | -8.58 | -158.60% | ― | 45.88% | 43.12% | |
46 Neutral | $15.91M | -1.23 | ― | ― | -21.82% | -104.92% | |
43 Neutral | $68.21M | -2.18 | -22.89% | ― | -4.29% | -276.74% | |
43 Neutral | $2.76M | -1.16 | -80.74% | ― | -1.80% | 15.74% | |
42 Neutral | $33.19M | -0.11 | -105.50% | ― | -27.90% | -4194.67% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
SEED
Origin Agritech
1.25
-0.19
-13.19%
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Origin Agritech Corporate Events
Origin Agritech Reshapes Leadership Team With New CFO and Independent Director
Mar 24, 2026
Origin Agritech announced leadership changes on March 20, 2026, appointing veteran executive Dr. Zheng James Chen as chief financial officer. Chen, who has previously served as both CFO and CEO of the company and held senior roles at China Finance...
Origin Agritech Raises $2.8 Million in Private Share Placement to Fund R&D Expansion
Feb 2, 2026
On December 12, 2025, Origin Agritech’s board approved the sale of up to 2,000,000 ordinary shares at $1.40 per share, and on February 1, 2026 the company entered into three securities purchase agreements with two individual investors and on...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.