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Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA)
NASDAQ:RKDA

Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA) AI Stock Analysis

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RKDA

Arcadia Biosciences

(NASDAQ:RKDA)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-53.27% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/27/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (persistent losses and negative cash flow despite improved burn) and bearish technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation provides limited support due to losses and no dividend, while the merger termination/strategic review adds uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / debt-free balance sheet
A debt-free capital structure materially reduces financial risk and interest burden, giving management flexibility to fund operations or pursue strategic options over the next several months without servicing obligations. This durable strength supports survivability during prolonged revenue weakness.
Negative Factors
Persistent operating losses and negative margins
Deep, recurring negative margins indicate the core business has not scaled to cover fixed and variable costs. Over 2–6 months, sustained losses will continue to deplete equity and require financing or asset sales, limiting reinvestment and strategic optionality absent a material change in revenue or cost structure.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / debt-free balance sheet
A debt-free capital structure materially reduces financial risk and interest burden, giving management flexibility to fund operations or pursue strategic options over the next several months without servicing obligations. This durable strength supports survivability during prolonged revenue weakness.
Read all positive factors

Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arcadia Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. produces and markets plant-based health and wellness products in the United States. It engages in developing crop improvements primarily in wheat to enhance farm economics by improving the performance of crops in the fiel...
How the Company Makes Money
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Arcadia Biosciences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to 2025, with significant revenue growth in the Zola brand and effective cost control measures. However, challenges such as a decline in gross margin and an increase in inventory and cash consumption were noted. The pending business combination with Roosevelt Resources is a positive development, enhancing future prospects.
Positive Updates
Zola Revenue Growth
Zola coconut water revenue grew 90% year-over-year, driven by a 70% increase in new distribution gains.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
The gross margin rate decreased to 43% in Q1 from 52% in Q1 of the previous year.
Read all updates
Q1-2025 Updates
Negative
Zola Revenue Growth
Zola coconut water revenue grew 90% year-over-year, driven by a 70% increase in new distribution gains.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. first-quarter 2025 conference call, significant growth and strategic shifts were highlighted. The company reported a remarkable 90% year-over-year increase in revenue for its Zola coconut water, primarily due to a 70% rise in new distribution channels. Operating expenses saw a 16% reduction, despite incurring nearly half a million dollars in transaction-related fees. The gross margin stood at 43%, maintaining a trend of exceeding 30% for nine consecutive quarters. Arcadia continued to monetize its intellectual property, securing $750,000 in cash for certain soy patents, which allowed for the elimination of a $1,000,000 contingent liability. The pending business combination with Roosevelt Resources is progressing, aiming for completion by late summer, with a fixed equity share ratio of 90-10 between Roosevelt Partners and Arcadia stockholders. The call also mentioned a strong pipeline and new product innovations expected to further boost Zola's market presence. Overall, the company is focused on streamlining operations and enhancing financial performance in 2025.

Arcadia Biosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak operating results dominate: revenue has been volatile and down, losses persist with deeply negative margins (TTM net margin ~-48%, EBITDA margin ~-51%), and operating/free cash flow remain negative despite a smaller 2025 cash burn. The main offset is a low-leverage balance sheet (debt-free), but shrinking assets/equity and very negative ROE (~-56%) keep financial risk elevated.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.86M5.04M4.45M7.42M6.78M
Gross Profit1.76M2.08M2.28M1.32M-1.93M
EBITDA-9.84M-7.50M-5.73M-14.75M-27.71M
Net Income-2.34M-7.04M-13.98M-15.38M-14.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.55M13.52M19.70M28.92M43.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.56M4.24M11.64M20.64M28.68M
Total Debt0.00155.00K1.01M2.02M3.29M
Total Liabilities2.41M7.29M7.00M8.02M12.72M
Stockholders Equity4.14M6.22M12.84M21.03M31.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.74M-9.64M-15.30M-14.05M-26.88M
Operating Cash Flow-4.74M-9.63M-15.29M-13.98M-25.87M
Investing Cash Flow750.00K7.34M-4.34M1.42M16.61M
Financing Cash Flow6.00K9.00K5.51M4.52M21.90M

Arcadia Biosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.21
Price Trends
50DMA
1.71
Negative
100DMA
2.34
Negative
200DMA
3.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
34.80
Neutral
STOCH
13.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RKDA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.47, above the 50-day MA of 1.71, and above the 200-day MA of 3.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RKDA.

Arcadia Biosciences Risk Analysis

Arcadia Biosciences disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arcadia Biosciences reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arcadia Biosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
48
Neutral
$97.02M-8.58-158.60%45.88%43.12%
46
Neutral
$15.30M-1.23-21.82%-104.92%
43
Neutral
$2.73M-1.16-80.74%-1.80%15.74%
43
Neutral
$72.78M-2.18-22.89%-4.29%-276.74%
42
Neutral
$36.55M-0.11-105.50%-27.90%-4194.67%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RKDA
Arcadia Biosciences
1.33
-1.63
-55.07%
AVD
American Vanguard
2.63
-1.30
-33.08%
SEED
Origin Agritech
1.29
-0.11
-7.86%
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences
4.27
-1.33
-23.75%
BIOX
Bioceres Crop Solutions
0.59
-3.76
-86.53%

Arcadia Biosciences Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Arcadia Biosciences Announces Resignations of Two Board Directors
Neutral
Feb 6, 2026
On February 4, 2026, Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. announced that directors Albert D. Bolles, Ph.D., and Deborah Carosella resigned from the company’s board and from all subsidiary boards, effective the same day. The company stated that the depa...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Arcadia Biosciences Executes Inducement Financing to Bolster Liquidity
Neutral
Jan 14, 2026
On January 9, 2026, Arcadia Biosciences entered into inducement agreements with certain investors to immediately exercise previously issued preferred investment options for 808,595 shares of common stock, cutting the exercise price from $9.00 to $...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Arcadia Biosciences Executes Inducement Financing to Bolster Liquidity
Neutral
Jan 14, 2026
On January 9, 2026, Arcadia Biosciences entered into inducement agreements with certain investors to immediately exercise previously issued preferred investment options for 808,595 shares of common stock, cutting the exercise price from $9.00 to $...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 27, 2026