Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA)
NASDAQ:RKDA
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Arcadia Biosciences
(NASDAQ:RKDA)
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Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-68.85% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue contraction, deep losses, and ongoing cash burn) with only partial offset from a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals also weigh on the score given a sustained downtrend (below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage (zero debt)
Zero reported debt materially reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, preserving financial flexibility. Over a 2–6 month horizon this durable balance-sheet characteristic gives management optionality to pursue strategic funding, partnerships, or asset sales without immediate covenant constraints.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contraction
A severe and persistent decline in revenue undermines scale economics and reduces the company's ability to absorb fixed costs, invest in R&D, or commercialize products. Over several months this structural revenue erosion increases the likelihood of restructuring, dilution, or a pivot in business strategy.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage (zero debt)
Zero reported debt materially reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, preserving financial flexibility. Over a 2–6 month horizon this durable balance-sheet characteristic gives management optionality to pursue strategic funding, partnerships, or asset sales without immediate covenant constraints.
Read all positive factors
Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.98M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.09M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.67
Revenue Growth-9.53%
EPS Growth-286.64%
CountryUS
Employees9
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryAgricultural Inputs
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-6.83
Shares Outstanding2,056,884
10 Day Avg. Volume3,254,407
30 Day Avg. Volume1,090,692
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.02
Price to Book (P/B)0.65
Price to Sales (P/S)0.56
P/FCF Ratio-0.57
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.27
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.11
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit0.33
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-0.06
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-2.42
Revenue Forecast (FY)$7.70M
Arcadia Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. produces and markets plant-based health and wellness products in the United States. It engages in developing crop improvements primarily in wheat to enhance farm economics by improving the performance of crops in the fiel...
How the Company Makes Money
null...
Arcadia Biosciences Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to 2025, with significant revenue growth in the Zola brand and effective cost control measures. However, challenges such as a decline in gross margin and an increase in inventory and cash consumption were noted. The pending business combination with Roosevelt Resources is a positive development, enhancing future prospects.Positive Updates
Zola Revenue Growth
Zola coconut water revenue grew 90% year-over-year, driven by a 70% increase in new distribution gains.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
The gross margin rate decreased to 43% in Q1 from 52% in Q1 of the previous year.
Read all updates
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Zola Revenue Growth
Zola coconut water revenue grew 90% year-over-year, driven by a 70% increase in new distribution gains.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. first-quarter 2025 conference call, significant growth and strategic shifts were highlighted. The company reported a remarkable 90% year-over-year increase in revenue for its Zola coconut water, primarily due to a 70% rise in new distribution channels. Operating expenses saw a 16% reduction, despite incurring nearly half a million dollars in transaction-related fees. The gross margin stood at 43%, maintaining a trend of exceeding 30% for nine consecutive quarters. Arcadia continued to monetize its intellectual property, securing $750,000 in cash for certain soy patents, which allowed for the elimination of a $1,000,000 contingent liability. The pending business combination with Roosevelt Resources is progressing, aiming for completion by late summer, with a fixed equity share ratio of 90-10 between Roosevelt Partners and Arcadia stockholders. The call also mentioned a strong pipeline and new product innovations expected to further boost Zola's market presence. Overall, the company is focused on streamlining operations and enhancing financial performance in 2025.Arcadia Biosciences Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.76M | 4.86M | 5.04M | 4.45M | 7.42M | 6.78M |
| Gross Profit | 1.64M | 1.76M | 2.08M | 2.28M | 1.32M | -1.93M |
| EBITDA | -9.53M | -9.96M | -7.50M | -5.73M | -14.75M | -27.71M |
| Net Income | -9.32M | -2.34M | -7.04M | -13.98M | -15.38M | -14.66M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.32M | 6.55M | 13.52M | 19.70M | 28.92M | 43.92M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.72M | 4.56M | 4.24M | 11.64M | 20.64M | 28.68M |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 0.00 | 155.00K | 1.01M | 2.02M | 3.29M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.44M | 2.41M | 7.29M | 7.00M | 8.02M | 12.72M |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.88M | 4.14M | 6.22M | 12.84M | 21.03M | 31.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -4.25M | -4.74M | -9.64M | -15.30M | -14.05M | -26.88M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -4.25M | -4.74M | -9.63M | -15.29M | -13.98M | -25.87M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 250.00K | 750.00K | 7.34M | -4.34M | 1.42M | 16.61M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.79M | 6.00K | 9.00K | 5.51M | 4.52M | 21.90M |
Arcadia Biosciences Technical Analysis
Negative
3.21
Price Trends
1.20
Negative
1.61
Negative
2.64
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.08
Negative
37.65
Neutral
19.30
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RKDA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.02, above the 50-day MA of 1.20, and above the 200-day MA of 2.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RKDA.
Arcadia Biosciences Risk Analysis
Arcadia Biosciences disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arcadia Biosciences reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Arcadia Biosciences Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
49 Neutral | $73.80M | -1.62 | -21.86% | ― | -0.96% | 66.81% | |
45 Neutral | $13.72M | -1.36 | ― | ― | -25.50% | -905.27% | |
45 Neutral | $87.50M | -7.65 | -88.01% | ― | 26.90% | -18.62% | |
43 Neutral | $28.19M | -0.12 | -105.50% | ― | -31.20% | -754.78% | |
41 Neutral | $1.98M | -0.14 | -80.74% | ― | -9.53% | -286.64% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
RKDA
Arcadia Biosciences
0.96
-3.80
-79.75%
AVD
American Vanguard
2.58
-2.03
-44.03%
SEED
Origin Agritech
1.13
<0.01
0.89%
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences
3.86
-2.89
-42.81%
BIOX
Bioceres Crop Solutions
0.45
-4.35
-90.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.