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Swedbank (SE:SWED.A)
:SWED.A
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Swedbank (SWED.A) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:SWED.A

Swedbank

(SWED.A)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
kr394.00
â–²(6.20% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/18/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance: strong profitability and ROE are offset by negative/volatile cash flow and rising leverage. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation is favorable due to a moderate P/E and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High ROE and strong profitability
Sustained mid‑teens ROE (~15% TTM) indicates the bank earns strong returns on equity, supporting internal capital generation and shareholder distributions. Durable profitability gives management flexibility to invest in tech, absorb shocks and maintain franchise strength even if growth softens.
Negative Factors
Weak and volatile cash generation
Negative operating and free cash flows over recent periods reduce financial flexibility for lending growth, balance‑sheet rebuilds or sustained dividends. Swingy cash conversion increases reliance on external funding and raises execution risk during tougher credit or liquidity conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High ROE and strong profitability
Sustained mid‑teens ROE (~15% TTM) indicates the bank earns strong returns on equity, supporting internal capital generation and shareholder distributions. Durable profitability gives management flexibility to invest in tech, absorb shocks and maintain franchise strength even if growth softens.
Read all positive factors

Swedbank (SWED.A) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Swedbank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Swedbank AB (publ) functions as a comprehensive financial services provider, extending a diverse range of banking products and services to both individual and corporate clients. The company organizes its operations across three primary divisions: ...
How the Company Makes Money
Swedbank makes money primarily through a mix of net interest income, fee and commission income, and other financial income typical of a universal bank. 1) Net interest income (core earnings driver): The bank earns interest on assets such as mortg...

Swedbank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and ROE are strong (income statement strength), but overall financial quality is held back by weak and volatile cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow in TTM and 2025) and higher leverage trending up (debt-to-equity ~5.1x in TTM).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue115.13B115.94B144.06B131.14B64.54B49.66B
Gross Profit69.60B69.49B73.33B72.25B51.29B46.70B
EBITDA41.47B43.48B47.15B45.63B29.58B27.50B
Net Income31.22B32.76B34.87B34.13B21.36B20.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.31T3.06T3.01T2.86T2.85T2.75T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments395.90B263.63B325.60B252.99B365.99B360.15B
Total Debt1.02T909.93B923.10B873.63B881.36B808.09B
Total Liabilities3.10T2.84T2.79T2.66T2.68T2.59T
Stockholders Equity207.04B225.80B218.87B198.76B176.06B161.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-32.41B-46.68B80.41B-146.00B-18.98B49.16B
Operating Cash Flow-31.93B-46.19B80.82B-145.15B-18.62B49.41B
Investing Cash Flow-3.72B-3.82B-147.00M-418.00M691.00M628.00M
Financing Cash Flow-26.73B-1.43B-12.64B32.17B10.02B14.15B

Swedbank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price371.00
Price Trends
50DMA
368.41
Positive
100DMA
349.15
Positive
200DMA
322.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.05
Positive
RSI
48.69
Neutral
STOCH
10.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:SWED.A, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 371 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 379.13, above the 50-day MA of 368.41, and above the 200-day MA of 322.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:SWED.A.

Swedbank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
kr91.49B28.4141.62%2.35%5.91%15.50%
75
Outperform
kr12.99B17.2122.19%3.29%17.46%13.75%
73
Outperform
kr63.13B22.3039.54%3.28%11.21%12.86%
71
Outperform
kr293.96B12.3812.52%12.20%-19.24%-9.09%
69
Neutral
kr418.97B13.4514.70%5.51%-12.92%-7.93%
61
Neutral
kr429.54B13.8513.93%3.89%-14.03%-2.92%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:SWED.A
Swedbank
373.60
123.15
49.17%
SE:AZA
Avanza Bank Holding AB
400.00
50.68
14.51%
SE:SEB.A
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB
219.40
50.97
30.26%
SE:SHB.A
Svenska Handelsbanken AB
146.95
35.92
32.35%
SE:SAVE
Nordnet AB
369.00
92.93
33.66%
SE:AVARDA
TF Bank AB
201.00
39.68
24.60%

Swedbank Corporate Events

Swedbank posts solid Q2 growth as DFS settlement closes historical probes
Jul 17, 2026
Swedbank reported strong volume growth across all four home markets in the second quarter of 2026, supported by a new organisational structure that management says is helping deliver on its financial plan. Total income rose 6% year-on-year to SEK ...
Swedbank Ends Historical Probes with USD 50 Million DFS Settlement
Jul 16, 2026
Swedbank has reached a USD 50 million settlement with the New York State Department of Financial Services over failures to disclose information in 2016 and 2018, bringing to an end all investigations into its historical shortcomings. The probes, l...
Swedbank Sets July 17 Release for Q2 2026 Interim Report
Jul 3, 2026
Swedbank will publish its interim report for the second quarter of 2026 on 17 July at 7:00 a.m. CEST, followed by a conference call for investors and analysts at 9:30 a.m. featuring the bank’s top executives. The report, along with a recordi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2026