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Starbreeze AB (SE:STAR.B)
:STAR.B

Starbreeze AB (STAR.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:STAR.B

Starbreeze AB

(STAR.B)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
kr0.08
▼(-25.45% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/23/26
The score is driven down primarily by weak financial performance (sharp post-2023 revenue decline and significant 2024–2025 losses) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Positive 2025 free cash flow and reduced leverage provide some support, but valuation signals are limited due to a negative P/E and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage
Material reduction in leverage meaningfully lowers financial risk and interest burden over the medium term. A lighter capital structure improves flexibility for R&D, publishing deals or M&A, and reduces default probability, supporting sustainability of operations if cash generation continues.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue & margin deterioration
A severe revenue collapse and persistently negative gross and operating margins indicate structural demand or execution issues. Continued weak profitability erodes capacity to fund development and marketing internally, risking product slippage and long-term competitiveness absent a clear recovery plan.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage
Material reduction in leverage meaningfully lowers financial risk and interest burden over the medium term. A lighter capital structure improves flexibility for R&D, publishing deals or M&A, and reduces default probability, supporting sustainability of operations if cash generation continues.
Read all positive factors

Starbreeze AB (STAR.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Starbreeze AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Starbreeze AB (publ) operates as an independent developer, creator, publisher, and distributor of computer and video games in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. The company develops and publishes games for PC and console, as well as...
How the Company Makes Money
Starbreeze AB generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of video games, both digital and physical. The company's flagship franchise, 'Payday', has been a significant revenue driver through its sales, downloadable content ...

Starbreeze AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2024
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights a strong financial performance with significant cash reserves and positive trends in product reviews and market reach, particularly for PAYDAY 3. However, there are challenges with the current performance of PAYDAY 3 and high direct costs impacting the bottom line. The company's focus on future investments and solid financial position provide a positive outlook.
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Quarter
Net sales amounted to SEK 56.6 million, with an EBITDA of SEK 28.6 million after adjustments. Positive cash flow from operating activities was SEK 78.4 million, resulting in a healthy cash position of about SEK 387 million.
Negative Updates
PAYDAY 3 Performance Below Expectations
PAYDAY 3 is not performing at expected levels, generating SEK 23.3 million, but positive trends are observed with ongoing content updates.
Read all updates
Q1-2024 Updates
Negative
Strong Financial Quarter
Net sales amounted to SEK 56.6 million, with an EBITDA of SEK 28.6 million after adjustments. Positive cash flow from operating activities was SEK 78.4 million, resulting in a healthy cash position of about SEK 387 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2024 earnings call for Starbreeze, executives Hans-Jurgen Goeldner and Mats Juhl provided an optimistic update on the company's financial and operational performance. The quarter saw net sales of SEK 56.6 million and an EBITDA of SEK 48.5 million, adjusted to SEK 28.6 million after long-term incentive program impacts. Despite a loss of SEK 21 million due to ongoing investments, the company maintained a solid cash position of SEK 387 million, with a positive cash flow of SEK 78.4 million from operations. The newly launched game Roboquest performed well, contributing SEK 17.4 million to net sales, while PAYDAY 2 and PAYDAY 3 generated SEK 10.9 million and SEK 23.3 million, respectively, with PAYDAY games accounting for 60% of total sales. Despite PAYDAY 3's initial underperformance, positive trends are emerging, bolstered by the launch of Operation Medic Bag. The company is focused on enhancing PAYDAY 3 and advancing Project Baxter, set for a 2026 release, with a development team of 150 people split between the two projects. Starbreeze is also in the final stages of appointing a new CEO, with an announcement expected soon.

Starbreeze AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is the primary drag: revenue fell sharply from 2023 levels and 2024–2025 show deeply negative profitability and a large net loss. Balance sheet leverage improved materially versus 2021–2022, but equity has declined steeply and returns on equity are strongly negative. Cash flow is a partial positive with operating cash flow positive and free cash flow turning positive in 2025, but volatility and loss coverage concerns keep the profile high-risk.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue220.98M185.85M633.51M127.60M125.69M
Gross Profit-301.42M-263.00M324.24M67.08M69.39M
EBITDA47.49M102.38M457.47M64.32M6.35M
Net Income-399.31M-317.85M207.63M-59.81M-103.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets337.48M830.13M1.11B746.40M674.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.62M191.91M347.75M108.22M128.57M
Total Debt41.07M22.14M16.82M400.16M440.68M
Total Liabilities116.45M124.69M216.84M689.62M551.33M
Stockholders Equity221.03M705.44M894.65M56.79M122.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.15M-188.14M-87.80M-88.33M-38.70M
Operating Cash Flow45.83M64.87M114.58M57.83M73.87M
Investing Cash Flow-167.33M-245.46M-202.38M-143.94M-109.01M
Financing Cash Flow32.42M24.52M327.44M65.55M6.17M

Starbreeze AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.11
Price Trends
50DMA
0.09
Negative
100DMA
0.10
Negative
200DMA
0.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
55.89
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:STAR.B, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, above the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:STAR.B.

Starbreeze AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
kr135.12M-84.11-3.04%13.12%-3.51%-192.91%
48
Neutral
kr60.58M5.9327.44%-10.21%-1.15%
43
Neutral
kr28.15M-2.96
41
Neutral
kr119.55M-3.8532.83%13.34%
40
Underperform
kr157.22M-0.40-76.88%8.38%-48.41%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:STAR.B
Starbreeze AB
0.09
-0.09
-50.00%
SE:FLEXM
Flexion Mobile
2.90
-3.92
-57.48%
SE:GCOR
Gaming Corps AB
0.82
-0.28
-25.27%
SE:MAGI
MAG Interactive AB
5.10
-3.84
-42.95%
SE:FRAG
Fragbite Group AB
7.50
-0.45
-5.66%
SE:SCOUT
Scout Gaming Group AB
0.13
-0.05
-30.56%

Starbreeze AB Corporate Events

Starbreeze Posts Wider 2025 Loss Despite Higher Sales and PAYDAY 3 Updates
Feb 19, 2026
Starbreeze reported fourth-quarter 2025 net sales of SEK 41.1 million, down year-on-year, as PAYDAY 3 and third-party publishing revenues declined but work-for-hire income rose sharply. The quarter swung to an EBITDA loss and a pre-tax loss of SEK...
Starbreeze Expands PAYDAY 3 With New Shopping Spree Heist DLC
Jan 13, 2026
Starbreeze AB has released Shopping Spree, a new paid DLC heist for PAYDAY 3 set in the struggling Nobleman Galleria mall, where players target mafia figure Pietro Palatucci’s illicit retail front and attempt to cripple the Palatucci crime f...
Starbreeze AB Enhances PAYDAY 3 with Skills 2.0 Update
Dec 2, 2025
Starbreeze AB has launched a major update for PAYDAY 3 called Skills 2.0, which revamps the game’s skill system to offer players more impactful choices and deeper buildcrafting options. This update is expected to enhance player engagement by...
Starbreeze AB Announces Share Conversion
Nov 28, 2025
Starbreeze AB has announced a conversion of 134,236 series A-shares into series B-shares, as part of its ongoing program to eventually issue only series B-shares. This conversion reduces the total number of votes in the company but does not affect...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 23, 2026