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Starbreeze AB (SE:STAR.B)
:STAR.B

Starbreeze AB (STAR.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:STAR.B

Starbreeze AB

(STAR.B)

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Neutral 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Neutral
Price Target:
kr0.09
▼(-17.27% Downside)
Starbreeze AB's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance and valuation. The company faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges, reflected in its negative margins and P/E ratio. Technical analysis also indicates bearish trends, further weighing down the stock's attractiveness. Strategic improvements are crucial for enhancing financial stability and investor confidence.
Positive Factors
Strong IP & Diversified Revenue
Starbreeze's owned IP (Payday) and multi-channel monetization—game sales, DLC, licensing, publishing and merchandise—provide recurring revenue streams and customer engagement. This diversification supports steadier long-term cash inflows and lowers reliance on a single product release cycle.
Relatively Low Leverage
Manageable leverage gives Starbreeze financial flexibility to fund game development cycles, absorb delays, or pursue partnerships without immediate refinancing pressure. Low debt reduces fixed obligations and preserves optionality for strategic investments or restructuring if needed.
Positive Revenue Growth Trend
Mid-single-digit revenue growth indicates the company is expanding top-line traction, likely driven by ongoing franchise monetization and releases. Sustained revenue expansion supports reinvestment in content and technology, helping improve scale economics over a multi-quarter horizon.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability & Margins
Persistent negative gross, EBIT and net margins indicate Starbreeze cannot yet convert revenue into sustainable profits. Structural margin weaknesses limit internal funding for development, increase reliance on external capital, and raise execution risk until cost structure or pricing improves.
Weak Free Cash Flow Generation
Negative free cash flow growth and a poor FCF-to-net-income ratio show the business is burning cash despite some operating cash generation. This constrains R&D and marketing investments, increases financing needs, and makes long-term development roadmaps contingent on external funding or margin recovery.
Negative Return on Equity
A negative ROE signals shareholder capital is being eroded by losses, reducing investor confidence and limiting ability to raise equity on favorable terms. Over time this can restrict strategic initiatives, M&A optionality and the capacity to scale profitable franchises without corrective actions.

Starbreeze AB (STAR.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Starbreeze AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStarbreeze AB (publ) operates as an independent developer, creator, publisher, and distributor of computer and video games in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. The company develops and publishes games for PC and console, as well as mobile. It also acts as a publisher for games developed by other game developers. Starbreeze AB (publ) was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyStarbreeze AB generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of video games, both digital and physical. The company's flagship franchise, 'Payday', has been a significant revenue driver through its sales, downloadable content (DLC), and expansions. Additionally, Starbreeze earns income from licensing agreements and partnerships, which allow third-party developers to use its proprietary game engines and technology. The company also explores opportunities in publishing, where it collaborates with other developers to bring new titles to market, sharing profits from sales. Furthermore, Starbreeze engages in merchandise sales related to its games, enhancing revenue through branded products. Overall, the combination of game sales, DLC, licensing, and publishing partnerships forms the core of Starbreeze's revenue model.

Starbreeze AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2024
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights a strong financial performance with significant cash reserves and positive trends in product reviews and market reach, particularly for PAYDAY 3. However, there are challenges with the current performance of PAYDAY 3 and high direct costs impacting the bottom line. The company's focus on future investments and solid financial position provide a positive outlook.
Q1-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Quarter
Net sales amounted to SEK 56.6 million, with an EBITDA of SEK 28.6 million after adjustments. Positive cash flow from operating activities was SEK 78.4 million, resulting in a healthy cash position of about SEK 387 million.
Positive Trends and Investments
Positive review trends for PAYDAY 3 and continued investment in PAYDAY and Project Baxter, expected to release in 2026. PAYDAY 2 generated SEK 10.9 million in sales, with Third-party Games, mainly Roboquest, contributing SEK 17.4 million.
Solid Financial Position
The company has a strong cash position of almost SEK 400 million with no external debt, and is fully funded for the development of Baxter.
Positive Market Trends
Game Pass and PlayStation platforms have shown better than expected player base numbers for PAYDAY 3.
Negative Updates
PAYDAY 3 Performance Below Expectations
PAYDAY 3 is not performing at expected levels, generating SEK 23.3 million, but positive trends are observed with ongoing content updates.
High Direct Costs
Direct costs amounted to SEK 86.5 million, driven by higher depreciation of intangible assets.
Loss After Tax
Reported a loss after tax of SEK 21 million due to ongoing investments.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2024 earnings call for Starbreeze, executives Hans-Jurgen Goeldner and Mats Juhl provided an optimistic update on the company's financial and operational performance. The quarter saw net sales of SEK 56.6 million and an EBITDA of SEK 48.5 million, adjusted to SEK 28.6 million after long-term incentive program impacts. Despite a loss of SEK 21 million due to ongoing investments, the company maintained a solid cash position of SEK 387 million, with a positive cash flow of SEK 78.4 million from operations. The newly launched game Roboquest performed well, contributing SEK 17.4 million to net sales, while PAYDAY 2 and PAYDAY 3 generated SEK 10.9 million and SEK 23.3 million, respectively, with PAYDAY games accounting for 60% of total sales. Despite PAYDAY 3's initial underperformance, positive trends are emerging, bolstered by the launch of Operation Medic Bag. The company is focused on enhancing PAYDAY 3 and advancing Project Baxter, set for a 2026 release, with a development team of 150 people split between the two projects. Starbreeze is also in the final stages of appointing a new CEO, with an announcement expected soon.

Starbreeze AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Starbreeze AB faces significant financial difficulties across all verticals. The company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative margins and returns. While leverage is low, cash flow issues persist, impacting overall financial stability. Strategic improvements are necessary to enhance financial performance and sustainability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Starbreeze AB's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced negative gross and net profit margins, indicating operational inefficiencies and substantial losses. Although there is a slight revenue growth in the TTM, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain negative, reflecting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, but overall financial health remains a concern due to persistent losses.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates a negative free cash flow growth rate, highlighting cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash from operations, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, underscoring cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue226.21M185.85M633.51M127.60M125.69M118.01M
Gross Profit-269.90M-263.00M324.24M67.08M69.39M86.93M
EBITDA-280.33M102.38M457.47M64.32M6.35M41.49M
Net Income-386.43M-317.85M207.63M-59.81M-103.47M-130.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets403.08M830.13M1.11B746.40M674.15M708.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments135.13M191.91M347.75M108.22M128.57M157.42M
Total Debt43.33M22.14M16.82M400.16M440.68M393.89M
Total Liabilities120.21M124.69M216.84M689.62M551.33M480.21M
Stockholders Equity282.87M705.44M894.65M56.79M122.82M228.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-156.06M-188.14M-87.80M-88.33M-38.70M-120.43M
Operating Cash Flow48.93M64.87M114.58M57.83M73.87M-24.64M
Investing Cash Flow-207.42M-245.46M-202.38M-143.94M-109.01M-96.22M
Financing Cash Flow44.47M24.52M327.44M65.55M6.17M195.60M

Starbreeze AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.11
Price Trends
50DMA
0.11
Negative
100DMA
0.13
Negative
200DMA
0.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
32.65
Neutral
STOCH
12.22
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:STAR.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, above the 50-day MA of 0.11, and below the 200-day MA of 0.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:STAR.B.

Starbreeze AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
kr153.14M-12.02-3.04%13.12%-3.51%-192.91%
45
Neutral
kr62.84M-0.46-229.41%-10.21%-1.15%
43
Neutral
kr33.22M-3.78
41
Neutral
kr174.53M-3.8332.83%13.34%
40
Neutral
kr159.39M-0.39-76.88%8.38%-48.41%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:STAR.B
Starbreeze AB
0.10
-0.10
-51.02%
SE:FLEXM
Flexion Mobile
2.80
-4.48
-61.54%
SE:GCOR
Gaming Corps AB
1.20
0.13
12.15%
SE:MAGI
MAG Interactive AB
5.78
-3.06
-34.62%
SE:FRAG
Fragbite Group AB
7.78
0.98
14.41%
SE:SCOUT
Scout Gaming Group AB
0.15
-0.06
-27.23%

Starbreeze AB Corporate Events

Starbreeze Expands PAYDAY 3 With New Shopping Spree Heist DLC
Jan 13, 2026

Starbreeze AB has released Shopping Spree, a new paid DLC heist for PAYDAY 3 set in the struggling Nobleman Galleria mall, where players target mafia figure Pietro Palatucci’s illicit retail front and attempt to cripple the Palatucci crime family’s finances. The add-on emphasizes replayability through randomized objectives, dynamic favors that adjust risk–reward, and a multi-store layout supporting multiple playstyles, from stealth to all-out combat, while also tying deeper into the PAYDAY universe via in-world brand Teddy Moo; alongside the DLC, the studio is rolling out free quality-of-life improvements and bug fixes for all PAYDAY 3 players, underscoring its commitment to ongoing support and retention of its core community.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:STAR.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK0.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Starbreeze AB stock, see the SE:STAR.B Stock Forecast page.

Starbreeze AB Enhances PAYDAY 3 with Skills 2.0 Update
Dec 2, 2025

Starbreeze AB has launched a major update for PAYDAY 3 called Skills 2.0, which revamps the game’s skill system to offer players more impactful choices and deeper buildcrafting options. This update is expected to enhance player engagement by providing a more dynamic and personalized gaming experience, potentially strengthening Starbreeze’s position in the competitive gaming market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:STAR.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Starbreeze AB stock, see the SE:STAR.B Stock Forecast page.

Starbreeze AB Announces Share Conversion
Nov 28, 2025

Starbreeze AB has announced a conversion of 134,236 series A-shares into series B-shares, as part of its ongoing program to eventually issue only series B-shares. This conversion reduces the total number of votes in the company but does not affect the ownership in terms of capital. The total number of registered shares now stands at 1,624,438,244, with 142,127,683 series A-shares and 1,482,310,561 series B-shares.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:STAR.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Starbreeze AB stock, see the SE:STAR.B Stock Forecast page.

Starbreeze AB Shifts Focus to PAYDAY Amid Financial Challenges
Nov 11, 2025

Starbreeze AB’s Q3 2025 report highlights a strategic shift towards the PAYDAY franchise, with the discontinuation of the Baxter project. Despite increased net sales, the company reported a significant loss before taxes due to high depreciation and impairment costs, particularly related to the Baxter project. The strategic focus on PAYDAY aims to strengthen its market position in the heisting genre.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025