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Orron Energy (SE:ORRON)
:ORRON

Orron Energy (ORRON) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:ORRON

Orron Energy

(ORRON)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
kr6.50
▲(35.98% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—losses, negative gross profit, and deteriorating operating cash flow—despite a balance sheet with moderate leverage. Technicals are a relative positive with the stock above major moving averages and a positive MACD, but valuation signals remain unfavorable due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Diversified revenue streams
Orron’s multi‑stream business model — PPA-backed power sales plus consulting and installation services — creates diversified, recurring revenue sources. That mix reduces dependence on single projects, supports cross‑selling, and improves resilience versus pure‑merchant asset players over months.
Moderate leverage and equity base
A modest debt load and sizeable equity base provide financial flexibility for project financing and capital spending without immediate heavy interest burdens. This structural balance sheet positioning helps sustain investment in buildout and negotiating PPAs over the medium term.
Top-line rebound in 2025
A material revenue recovery in 2025 signals renewed project activity or higher utilization of assets. For a renewables developer/operator, rising revenues indicate growing contracted output or installations, which supports longer‑term scale economics and the potential to leverage fixed cost absorption.
Negative Factors
Negative gross profit and widening operating losses
Negative gross profit and expanding operating losses indicate the core projects or services are currently unprofitable on a unit basis. Unless structural cost reductions or pricing improvements occur, this undermines sustainable margins, erodes reinvestment capacity, and threatens long‑term viability.
Weak cash generation and deteriorating FCF
Persistent negative operating cash flow and collapsing free cash flow create funding pressure for capital projects and working capital. Over several months this raises refinancing and dilution risk, constrains growth investment, and limits the company’s ability to self‑fund new renewable assets.
Volatile profitability and historical balance-sheet stress
Repeated swings from prior profits to multi‑year losses and past negative equity reflect structural execution or capital allocation weaknesses. Such historical instability increases long‑term operational and funding risk, making consistent recovery and external financing more difficult.

Orron Energy (ORRON) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Orron Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrrön Energy AB (publ) operates as an independent renewable energy company. It has wind and hydro assets in the Nordics, a wind farm in Finland, a hydropower plant in Norway, and a Karskruv wind farm in southern Sweden. The company was formerly known as Lundin Energy AB (publ) and changed its name to Orrön Energy AB (publ) in July 2022. Orrön Energy AB (publ) was founded in 2001 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrron Energy generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from the sale of electricity generated from its solar and wind farms, which are often backed by long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utility companies and large corporations. Additionally, Orron Energy offers consulting services that help businesses transition to renewable energy, providing another significant revenue source. The company also engages in the installation of renewable energy systems, charging for both the products and the labor involved. Strategic partnerships with technology providers and government incentives for renewable energy projects further enhance its profitability, allowing it to reduce costs and increase project funding.

Orron Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue rebounded in 2025, but profitability deteriorated sharply (negative gross profit and wider operating losses) and results have been volatile across years. Cash generation also weakened, with operating cash flow turning negative in 2024–2025 and free cash flow deteriorating, raising funding risk despite currently moderate leverage.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Revenue rebounded in 2025 (annual revenue up ~30% vs. 2024), but profitability deteriorated sharply: gross profit turned negative in 2025 and operating losses widened, with a very weak net margin. Results have also been volatile over time (strong profits in 2021–2022 followed by sizable losses in 2023–2025), which lowers confidence in earnings quality and sustainability.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Leverage is moderate in the most recent years, with debt-to-equity around ~0.25–0.33 in 2023–2025 and a sizeable equity base. However, returns on equity have been consistently negative in 2023–2025, and earlier periods showed stressed equity (negative equity in 2020–2021), highlighting historical balance-sheet instability and ongoing profitability pressure.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash generation has weakened meaningfully: operating cash flow was positive in 2022–2023 but turned negative again in 2024–2025, signaling that recent losses are also consuming cash. Free cash flow was strong in 2022–2023, then deteriorated to negative in 2024 and effectively zero in 2025, increasing funding risk if the company needs to sustain investment while operating cash flow remains negative.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.61M25.70M28.00M14.50M0.00
Gross Profit-5.51M25.70M14.09M10.75M0.00
EBITDA-6.71M1.50M-2.40M5.00M-12.20M
Net Income-31.50M-13.40M-8.00M28.90M493.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets534.43M448.20M500.70M480.40M7.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.53M32.10M27.50M31.40M130.00M
Total Debt124.65M84.20M115.50M30.80M0.00
Total Liabilities152.06M108.80M147.30M96.80M9.33B
Stockholders Equity379.68M336.70M350.70M374.70M-1.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-6.30M15.40M1.40B1.73B
Operating Cash Flow-12.10M-6.30M15.50M1.70B3.06B
Investing Cash Flow-16.41M32.60M-79.10M-458.60M-1.41B
Financing Cash Flow25.75M-30.10M57.70M-831.70M-1.30B

Orron Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.78
Price Trends
50DMA
5.60
Positive
100DMA
5.18
Positive
200DMA
4.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
66.63
Neutral
STOCH
76.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:ORRON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.45, below the 50-day MA of 5.60, and below the 200-day MA of 4.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:ORRON.

Orron Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
50
Neutral
kr2.04B-8.500.66%-22.91%88.74%
49
Neutral
kr2.03B-7.02-9.16%-3.20%-2418.83%
42
Neutral
kr162.31M-3.61-5.97%-100.00%31.68%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:ORRON
Orron Energy
7.14
2.09
41.44%
SE:MINEST
Minesto AB
0.62
-1.78
-73.99%
SE:MAHA.A
Maha Energy AB Class A
11.46
7.01
157.53%
SE:STW
SeaTwirl AB
22.30
15.55
230.37%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026