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Minesto AB (SE:MINEST)
:MINEST

Minesto AB (MINEST) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:MINEST

Minesto AB

(MINEST)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
kr0.59
▼(-17.46% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/01/26
Overall score is driven down by weak financial performance (revenue collapse, ongoing losses, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals also remain unfavorable with price below key longer-term moving averages and negative MACD. A low-debt balance sheet is a mitigating positive but not enough to offset the lack of earnings power and cash generation.
Positive Factors
Low leverage and sizable equity base
A conservatively levered balance sheet with minimal debt and substantial equity provides long-term solvency resilience. This reduces default risk, supports project financing flexibility, and gives management runway to pursue deployments or R&D without immediate refinancing pressure.
Proprietary Deep Green tidal technology
Owning a differentiated, proprietary tidal technology anchors a structural competitive position in a niche with high entry barriers. Sustainable IP and specialized deployment expertise can drive multi-year contracts, licensing, and first-mover advantages as marine renewables scale.
Partnerships and government support for projects
Access to partnerships, grants and public support reduces upfront commercial risk and cost of deployments. These structural funding channels improve project economics, enable staged rollouts, and help secure long-term installation contracts and financing for capital-intensive tidal projects.
Negative Factors
Revenue collapsed to near-zero by 2025
A collapse of reported revenue undermines the business model's ability to cover fixed costs and fund scaling. Over months to years, restoring a commercial revenue base is critical; prolonged near-zero sales increase reliance on external funding and raise execution risk for deployments.
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow indicate ongoing cash burn and limited internal funding for projects. Over the medium term this forces repeated external financing, risking dilution, higher financing costs, and potential delays to installations or commercialization efforts.
Consistent losses and negative ROE eroding value
Multi-year operating losses and negative ROE mean equity is being eroded rather than compounded. Structurally, this weakens the firm’s capital buffer, reduces investor confidence, and makes it harder to secure favorable long-term partners or financing unless profitability is demonstrably restored.

Minesto AB (MINEST) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Minesto AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMinesto AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a marine energy developer in Sweden, Wales, Northern Ireland, and Taiwan. Its Deep Green technology produces electricity from slow tidal streams and ocean currents through a turbine. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyMinesto generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Deep Green technology and related services. The company's revenue model includes the development and deployment of its tidal energy systems in various markets, where it enters into contracts with utility companies and energy developers. Key revenue streams include the sale of energy generated by its installations, project financing, government grants, and partnerships with other renewable energy firms. Significant partnerships with industry players and governmental support for renewable energy projects also contribute to Minesto's earnings, allowing for sustained growth and expansion in new markets.

Minesto AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are very weak: revenue has fallen sharply to near-zero by 2025 with ongoing negative EBIT/EBITDA and net losses, and operating/free cash flow are negative in recent years (continued cash burn). The balance sheet is a relative strength with very low leverage and sizable equity, but persistent negative ROE indicates losses are eroding value.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company is still in a loss-making phase with consistently negative EBIT/EBITDA and net income across the period. Revenue has deteriorated sharply—declining from ~40m (2020–2022) to near-zero by 2025, including a -100% revenue growth rate in 2025, which indicates a major disruption or reset in the revenue base. While reported gross profit is positive in several years, profitability is not translating to operating or bottom-line earnings, keeping overall income statement quality weak.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage appears very low with total debt steady at 0.5m and a near-zero debt-to-equity ratio each year, which reduces solvency risk. Equity remains sizable (roughly 523m–630m in 2023–2025), supporting the asset base. The key weakness is persistent negative return on equity (around -3% to -19% historically), reflecting ongoing losses and value erosion despite a conservatively levered balance sheet.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is volatile and predominantly negative: operating cash flow is negative in 2021–2025 and free cash flow is deeply negative in most years, signaling continued cash burn. 2020 stands out as a strong year with positive operating and free cash flow, but that performance did not persist. Recent free cash flow remains negative (though less negative in 2025 vs. 2024), indicating some improvement in burn rate, but overall cash flow strength is still weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.23M0.0075.00K391.00K42.82M38.76M
Gross Profit1.07M-252.00K25.71M41.78M85.64M77.53M
EBITDA-33.31M-38.52M-35.79M-26.78M-22.21M-18.58M
Net Income-34.73M-36.63M-36.10M-27.12M-84.44M-14.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets597.81M652.60M586.19M552.14M486.18M559.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.24M67.57M34.89M15.16M34.58M150.89M
Total Debt500.00K500.00K500.00K500.00K500.00K500.00K
Total Liabilities35.16M22.24M17.54M29.40M32.83M21.75M
Stockholders Equity562.66M630.36M568.65M522.75M453.34M537.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-18.97M-14.18M-62.54M-116.74M-116.77M-94.87M
Operating Cash Flow-18.64M-14.18M-10.22M-16.20M-36.58M-20.41M
Investing Cash Flow-42.95M-29.50M-52.29M-100.54M-80.18M-74.45M
Financing Cash Flow15.94M76.68M81.95M96.73M0.00140.26M

Minesto AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.71
Price Trends
50DMA
0.64
Negative
100DMA
0.96
Negative
200DMA
2.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
51.93
Neutral
STOCH
71.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:MINEST, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.58, above the 50-day MA of 0.64, and below the 200-day MA of 2.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:MINEST.

Minesto AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
49
Neutral
kr1.98B-6.84-9.16%-3.20%-2418.83%
43
Neutral
kr113.28M-0.65-47.34%-36.89%33.50%
42
Neutral
kr160.23M-3.56-5.97%-100.00%31.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:MINEST
Minesto AB
0.62
-1.78
-74.32%
SE:ORRON
Orron Energy
6.96
1.91
37.78%
SE:CLIME.B
Climeon AB
2.22
-0.82
-27.04%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026