Genova Property Group AB (GPG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: kr1.87B
• Dividend Yield: 1.04%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.63K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.42
• Revenue Growth: -0.16%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: SE
• Employees: 48
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 55
• Industry: Real Estate - Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.20
• Shares Outstanding: 45,613,330
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,498
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,629
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: kr48.00
• Price Target Upside: 17.36% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: kr45.00 ▲(10.02% Upside)

Genova Property Group AB's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow generation. However, high leverage and low return on equity are significant risks. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, but there are signs of potential bullish momentum. The valuation is reasonable, with a moderate P/E ratio and low dividend yield.

Genova Property Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genova Property Group AB (GPG) is a Swedish real estate company that operates in the property development and management sectors. The company focuses on residential and commercial properties, offering a range of services from the acquisition and development to the management and leasing of real estate assets. Genova Property Group is committed to sustainable urban development, with projects that enhance the value and functionality of properties in key locations.

How the Company Makes Money

Genova Property Group AB generates revenue through a diversified model primarily centered around property development and management. The company earns income from the sale of developed residential and commercial properties, as well as from rental income generated by its portfolio of owned and managed properties. Key revenue streams include development projects where Genova acquires land, develops residential or commercial buildings, and sells them at a profit. Additionally, its property management operations provide steady rental income from leasing office spaces, retail locations, and residential units. The company's earnings are further supported by strategic partnerships with investors and stakeholders in the real estate industry, which facilitate large-scale projects and enhance capital efficiency. Factors such as market demand, property location, and economic conditions significantly impact Genova's profitability.

Genova Property Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Genova Property Group AB demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability improvements, with strong cash flow generation. However, high leverage and low return on equity present potential risks. The company should focus on improving operational efficiency and managing debt levels to sustain growth.

Income Statement

Genova Property Group AB shows a strong revenue growth rate of 19.7% in the TTM, indicating robust top-line expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 72.2%, and the net profit margin has improved to 27.8%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is relatively low at 4.4%, suggesting limited efficiency in generating returns from equity. However, the equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Genova Property Group AB exhibits a strong free cash flow growth rate of 90.5% in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in converting earnings into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	509.80M	507.80M	503.00M	394.70M	319.90M	268.10M
Gross Profit	370.20M	368.90M	367.50M	277.80M	235.30M	214.40M
EBITDA	364.30M	495.20M	-218.90M	465.20M	903.20M	145.20M
Net Income	125.90M	124.40M	-450.80M	223.50M	608.70M	417.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	11.36B	11.65B	11.57B	11.98B	9.66B	6.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	122.00M	151.90M	284.50M	257.70M	316.00M	578.40M
Total Debt	6.22B	6.59B	6.38B	6.42B	5.26B	3.63B
Total Liabilities	7.17B	7.51B	7.26B	7.38B	5.99B	4.14B
Stockholders Equity	3.36B	3.33B	3.51B	3.85B	3.56B	2.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	88.60M	80.40M	112.10M	71.60M	70.00M	94.10M
Operating Cash Flow	92.60M	83.00M	112.60M	73.00M	72.10M	96.50M
Investing Cash Flow	-593.90M	-606.00M	-119.20M	-767.50M	-2.25B	-857.70M
Financing Cash Flow	301.00M	390.30M	70.70M	636.10M	1.92B	1.23B

Genova Property Group AB Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 40.90
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:GPG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 40.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.10, below the 50-day MA of 41.03, and below the 200-day MA of 44.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.65 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:GPG.

Genova Property Group AB Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GPG	69 Neutral	kr1.87B	14.62		1.04%	-0.16%	―
Sector *	63 Neutral	$7.06B	14.07	-0.50%	6.96%	4.08%	-25.24%
075	―	€340.35M	84.80	0.37%	―	―	―
6XXH	―	€354.92M	16.87	4.06%	―	―	―
733	―	€121.13M	11.25	5.30%	―	―	―
SOLNA	71 Outperform	kr454.96M	10.43		4.96%	4.30%	―
KAPIAB	―	kr737.30M	10.29		5.97%	―	―

Genova Property Group AB Corporate Events

Genova Property Group Expands Share Capital to Strengthen Market Position

Genova Property Group AB has increased its total number of shares and votes to 45,613,329 as of June 30, 2025, following a directed share issue that added 600,000 ordinary shares. This strategic move, authorized by the Annual General Meeting, aims to bolster Genova’s market presence and enhance shareholder value, reflecting the company’s commitment to sustainable growth and active market participation.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Buy with a SEK52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova Property Group’s Share Issue Heavily Oversubscribed, Welcomes New Shareholders

Genova Property Group AB announced that its directed share issue to the general public was heavily oversubscribed, resulting in the addition of over 2,300 new shareholders. The offering, which involved 600,000 newly issued ordinary shares at a subscription price of SEK 43.29 per share, aimed to enhance liquidity and diversify ownership. The successful share issue is expected to strengthen Genova’s market position by broadening its shareholder base and increasing interest in its development, without causing net dilution for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova Property Group Reduces Shares and Votes

Genova Property Group AB announced a decrease in its total number of shares and votes, following the cancellation of 600,000 ordinary shares as resolved in the Annual General Meeting. This adjustment, registered by the Swedish Companies Registration Office, results in a new total of 45,013,329 shares and votes, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova Property Group Announces Directed Share Issue to Public

Genova Property Group AB announced the publication of an exemption document for a directed issue of up to 600,000 ordinary shares to the general public in Sweden, deviating from existing shareholders’ preferential rights. This move, authorized by the Annual General Meeting, aims to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and market presence, with the document registered with the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority and available on the company’s and Avanza Bank’s websites.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova Property Group Announces Directed Share Issue to Broaden Ownership

Genova Property Group AB has announced a directed share issue to the general public in Sweden, offering up to 600,000 ordinary shares. This move aims to diversify the company’s ownership, improve liquidity in share trading, and enhance market awareness of Genova’s business model. The subscription price will be set at a 5% discount to the volume-weighted average price on Nasdaq Stockholm during the subscription period. This initiative is expected to benefit both existing and new shareholders by broadening the ownership base and increasing the company’s visibility among stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.