Genova Property Group AB (GPG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: kr1.84B
• Dividend Yield: 1.67%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.68K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.47
• Revenue Growth: 0.71%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: SE
• Employees: 48
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Services
• EPS (TTM): 1.80
• Shares Outstanding: 45,613,330
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,004
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,682
• PEG Ratio: -0.12
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.58
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.77
• P/FCF Ratio: 23.83
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: kr53.00
• Price Target Upside: 34.86% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: kr42.00 ▲(6.87% Upside)

Genova Property Group AB's stock score is primarily influenced by its strong valuation, indicating potential undervaluation. However, the financial performance is mixed due to high leverage and declining cash flow growth. Technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, which could impact short-term performance.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The robust top-line expansion indicates effective market positioning and demand for GPG's properties, supporting long-term growth.

Cash Flow Generation

Improved cash generation capabilities enhance financial flexibility, enabling GPG to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.

Profitability

High profit margins reflect efficient operations and pricing power, contributing to sustainable profitability and shareholder value.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

Significant leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting GPG's ability to invest in growth and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.

Low Return on Equity

Low ROE suggests inefficiency in generating returns from equity, which may hinder investor confidence and long-term capital growth.

Operational Challenges

Declining operational margins indicate potential inefficiencies or increased costs, which could impact profitability and competitive positioning.

Genova Property Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genova Property Group AB (publ) operates as a property company in Sweden. It develops, owns, and manages various commercial, community service, and residential properties in Greater Stockholm and the Uppsala Region. Genova Property Group AB (publ) was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

How the Company Makes Money

Genova Property Group AB generates revenue primarily through the leasing and management of its property portfolio, which includes residential units and commercial spaces. The company earns rental income from tenants occupying its properties, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, GPG engages in property development projects, allowing them to sell newly constructed properties or increase the value of existing ones through renovations and upgrades. Strategic partnerships with local governments and other organizations can also facilitate investment opportunities and access to financing, further contributing to the company's profitability. Overall, GPG's diversified approach to real estate investments, combined with its focus on sustainable development, positions it to capitalize on market trends and generate consistent income.

Genova Property Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Genova Property Group AB demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability improvements, with strong cash flow generation. However, high leverage and low return on equity present potential risks. The company should focus on improving operational efficiency and managing debt levels to sustain growth.

Income Statement

Genova Property Group AB shows a strong revenue growth rate of 19.7% in the TTM, indicating robust top-line expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 72.2%, and the net profit margin has improved to 27.8%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is relatively low at 4.4%, suggesting limited efficiency in generating returns from equity. However, the equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Genova Property Group AB exhibits a strong free cash flow growth rate of 90.5% in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in converting earnings into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	512.20M	507.80M	503.00M	394.70M	319.90M	268.10M
Gross Profit	371.20M	368.90M	367.50M	277.80M	235.30M	214.40M
EBITDA	366.10M	495.20M	-218.90M	465.20M	903.20M	145.20M
Net Income	251.00M	124.40M	-450.80M	223.50M	608.70M	417.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	11.49B	11.65B	11.57B	11.98B	9.66B	6.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	131.00M	151.90M	284.50M	257.70M	316.00M	578.40M
Total Debt	7.00B	6.59B	6.38B	6.42B	5.26B	3.63B
Total Liabilities	7.94B	7.51B	7.26B	7.38B	5.99B	4.14B
Stockholders Equity	2.83B	3.33B	3.51B	3.85B	3.56B	2.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	22.20M	80.40M	112.10M	71.60M	70.00M	94.10M
Operating Cash Flow	25.40M	83.00M	112.60M	73.00M	72.10M	96.50M
Investing Cash Flow	-703.60M	-606.00M	-119.20M	-767.50M	-2.25B	-857.70M
Financing Cash Flow	566.40M	390.30M	70.70M	636.10M	1.92B	1.23B

Genova Property Group AB Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 39.30
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:GPG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.38, below the 50-day MA of 39.78, and below the 200-day MA of 41.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:GPG.

Genova Property Group AB Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SOLNA	71 Outperform	kr451.20M	10.35	―	5.79%	4.30%	―
SFAST	70 Neutral	kr4.33B	12.12	6.08%	1.80%	-2.06%	―
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
GPG	65 Neutral	kr1.84B	7.27	―	1.67%	0.71%	―
BRIN.B	62 Neutral	kr3.66B	21.81	2.27%	―	51.80%	―

Genova Property Group AB Corporate Events

Genova Property Group Launches Share Buy-Back to Boost Per-Share Growth

Genova Property Group has launched a share buy-back programme for its ordinary shares, authorised by its 2025 Annual General Meeting, with repurchases to be conducted on Nasdaq Stockholm from 13 January 2026 until the 2026 AGM at the latest. The programme, capped at SEK 29.76 million and limited to a maximum of 10 percent of the company’s 46,975,629 outstanding shares, is designed to optimise Genova’s capital structure, enhance growth per share through a reduced share count, and potentially provide a stock-based currency for future acquisitions, underscoring the company’s strategic shift toward per-share value creation over new construction starts.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova Retires Entire SEK 200 Million Convertible Bond Issue

Genova Property Group AB has repurchased all of its outstanding convertible bonds with ISIN SE0021630308, totaling SEK 200 million, at 104.5 percent of their nominal value, after which no convertible bonds remain in circulation. The move simplifies the company’s capital structure by removing this class of debt, which may have implications for its future financing flexibility and equity dilution profile, and signals an active approach to balance sheet and liability management in a volatile real estate funding environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova issues SEK 200m green bond tap and buys back convertibles to curb dilution

Genova Property Group has issued SEK 200 million in additional green senior unsecured bonds maturing in September 2029 under its SEK 750 million green bond framework, bringing the total outstanding to SEK 620 million, and intends to list the new bonds on Nasdaq Stockholm’s sustainable bond list. The company will use the proceeds in line with its green finance framework and has simultaneously repurchased SEK 195 million of outstanding convertible bonds, with plans to redeem the small remaining amount, a move that management says is largely debt- and interest-neutral but removes a potential future equity dilution of about 8% and is aimed at enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova Property Group Strengthens Sustainable Investment with New Bond Issuance

Genova Property Group AB has successfully issued MSEK 95 in green senior unsecured bonds under its existing framework and repurchased MSEK 61.25 in hybrid bonds. This strategic financial maneuver aims to enhance Genova’s sustainable investment initiatives and strengthen its market position, with plans to list the bonds on Nasdaq Stockholm’s sustainable bond list.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova Property Group Reports Strong Growth and Strategic Acquisitions

Genova Property Group reported a significant increase in income from property management and net income for the period January to September 2025, with a notable 27% rise in income from property management. The company also saw a 5% increase in long-term net asset value per share. Key developments include the acquisition of a 30% share in the Viby urban development project and the successful issuance of green bonds. Post-quarter, Genova signed agreements to acquire property portfolios in the Stockholm region, expected to boost income from property management per share by 20%, enhancing its market presence and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova Property Group Expands with Major Stockholm Acquisitions

Genova Property Group AB has announced an agreement to acquire a property portfolio in the Stockholm region valued at SEK 634 million, which is expected to boost the company’s income from property management per share by 20% and enhance long-term net asset value per share. Additionally, Genova has signed a letter of intent for an add-on acquisition of three more properties valued at SEK 600 million, with financing partly through a new issue of ordinary shares. These strategic acquisitions align with Genova’s growth strategy, expanding its presence in core markets with stable tenants and long lease terms, while welcoming Landia as a new significant shareholder.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.