Genova Property Group AB (GPG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: kr1.80B
• Dividend Yield: 1.11%
• Average Volume (3M): 5.20K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.41
• Revenue Growth: -0.16%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: SE
• Employees: 48
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.20
• Shares Outstanding: 45,613,330
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,656
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,199
• PEG Ratio: -0.12
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.58
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.77
• P/FCF Ratio: 23.83
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: kr47.00
• Price Target Upside: 18.99% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: kr43.00 ▲(8.86% Upside)

Genova Property Group AB's overall stock score is primarily driven by its solid financial performance, characterized by strong revenue growth and cash flow generation. However, high leverage and low return on equity pose risks. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation suggests the stock is fairly valued. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.

Genova Property Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genova Property Group AB (publ) operates as a property company in Sweden. It develops, owns, and manages various commercial, community service, and residential properties in Greater Stockholm and the Uppsala Region. Genova Property Group AB (publ) was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

How the Company Makes Money

Genova Property Group AB generates revenue through a diversified model primarily centered around property development and management. The company earns income from the sale of developed residential and commercial properties, as well as from rental income generated by its portfolio of owned and managed properties. Key revenue streams include development projects where Genova acquires land, develops residential or commercial buildings, and sells them at a profit. Additionally, its property management operations provide steady rental income from leasing office spaces, retail locations, and residential units. The company's earnings are further supported by strategic partnerships with investors and stakeholders in the real estate industry, which facilitate large-scale projects and enhance capital efficiency. Factors such as market demand, property location, and economic conditions significantly impact Genova's profitability.

Genova Property Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Genova Property Group AB demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability improvements, with strong cash flow generation. However, high leverage and low return on equity present potential risks. The company should focus on improving operational efficiency and managing debt levels to sustain growth.

Income Statement

Genova Property Group AB shows a strong revenue growth rate of 19.7% in the TTM, indicating robust top-line expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 72.2%, and the net profit margin has improved to 27.8%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is relatively low at 4.4%, suggesting limited efficiency in generating returns from equity. However, the equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Genova Property Group AB exhibits a strong free cash flow growth rate of 90.5% in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in converting earnings into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	509.80M	507.80M	503.00M	394.70M	319.90M	268.10M
Gross Profit	370.20M	368.90M	367.50M	277.80M	235.30M	214.40M
EBITDA	364.30M	495.20M	-218.90M	465.20M	903.20M	145.20M
Net Income	125.90M	124.40M	-450.80M	223.50M	608.70M	417.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	11.36B	11.65B	11.57B	11.98B	9.66B	6.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	122.00M	151.90M	284.50M	257.70M	316.00M	578.40M
Total Debt	6.22B	6.59B	6.38B	6.42B	5.26B	3.63B
Total Liabilities	7.17B	7.51B	7.26B	7.38B	5.99B	4.14B
Stockholders Equity	3.36B	3.33B	3.51B	3.85B	3.56B	2.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	88.60M	80.40M	112.10M	71.60M	70.00M	94.10M
Operating Cash Flow	92.60M	83.00M	112.60M	73.00M	72.10M	96.50M
Investing Cash Flow	-593.90M	-606.00M	-119.20M	-767.50M	-2.25B	-857.70M
Financing Cash Flow	301.00M	390.30M	70.70M	636.10M	1.92B	1.23B

Genova Property Group AB Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 39.50
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:GPG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.37, below the 50-day MA of 40.67, and below the 200-day MA of 43.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:GPG.

Genova Property Group AB Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SOLNA	71 Outperform	kr466.24M	10.69	5.25%	5.24%	4.30%	―
GPG	64 Neutral	kr1.80B	14.12	―	1.11%	-0.16%	―
SFAST	56 Neutral	kr3.85B	16.43	4.02%	0.97%	-4.24%	―
BRIN.B	54 Neutral	kr3.50B	78.63	0.26%	―	28.05%	―
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%

Genova Property Group AB Corporate Events

Genova Property Group Issues SEK 325 Million in Green Bonds

Genova Property Group AB has successfully issued SEK 325 million in senior unsecured green bonds, under a framework of SEK 750 million, with a floating interest rate and maturity in September 2029. The issuance, arranged by Arctic Securities and Nordea Bank, marks a strategic move to enhance Genova’s sustainable financial operations, potentially strengthening its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Hold with a SEK45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.

Genova Property Group Expands Share Capital to Strengthen Market Position

Genova Property Group AB has increased its total number of shares and votes to 45,613,329 as of June 30, 2025, following a directed share issue that added 600,000 ordinary shares. This strategic move, authorized by the Annual General Meeting, aims to bolster Genova’s market presence and enhance shareholder value, reflecting the company’s commitment to sustainable growth and active market participation.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:GPG) stock is a Buy with a SEK52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genova Property Group AB stock, see the SE:GPG Stock Forecast page.